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As of September 26, 2026, Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) trades at $132.75. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $132.75, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $170.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 17 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $149.47.
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK)
Oshkosh Corporation NYSE
$132.75
2.580 (1.98%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is currently trading at $132.75, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($149.47 and $146.87), signaling a bearish short-term trend. The company's recent earnings for the quarter ending June 2026 showed a better-than-expected EPS of $2.87 against an estimate of $2.61, a 9.96% surprise, though the stock reacted negatively with a -6.35% price change. Despite this, the overall consensus rating from 18 Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a median price target of $170, implying a 28.1% upside potential. Fundamental analysis reveals a profit margin of 5.24% and a return on equity of 12.39%, which are solid but trade at a discount to sector averages in terms of P/E ratio (15.84 vs 34). The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 is well below the sector average. However, recent insider activity shows a net selling trend, with $6.3 million in sales versus no reported purchases, contributing to a 'Moderate Sell Signal' verdict, which warrants investor attention.
OSK Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$130.51
Day Range
$130.38 to $133.56
Prev Close
$130.17
Volume
679.6K
52-Week Range
$116.77 to $180.49
Market Cap
$8.20B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-53%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
OSK Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, OSK beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
OSK Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+28.06% Upside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$170.00
AI Technical Analysis
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) exhibits bearish momentum with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 16.83, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce. The stock is trading below its 20-day ($143.82), 50-day ($149.47), and 200-day ($146.87) moving averages, indicating a downtrend. The MACD is at -4.54, further confirming bearish sentiment. Volume on the latest trading day was 679,600, which is 15.1% below the average volume of 800,820, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current trend, but the oversold RSI could signal a reversal if buying pressure emerges. The stock's current price of $132.75 is significantly below its 52-week high, and the lack of strong upward momentum suggests caution for short-term traders.
ProTips
- Given the oversold technical conditions and the 'Hold' consensus, consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout or a clearer signal of insider buying before initiating new positions in Oshkosh Corporation (OSK).
- Oshkosh Corporation's revenue growth of 6.7% trails the sector average of 11.7%, suggesting a need to monitor competitive positioning and market share dynamics within the farm and heavy construction machinery industry.
- With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) maintains a conservative leverage profile, providing financial flexibility. However, investors should track its ability to grow revenue to support future profitability.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprise in Q2 2026
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) reported Q2 2026 EPS of $2.87, beating estimates by 9.96%. This demonstrates operational efficiency, though market reaction was negative.
Source: Company Earnings ReportBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold approximately $6.3 million worth of OSK stock with no reported purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and indicating potential caution among management.
Source: Insider Transaction DataNeutral
Wall Street 'Hold' Consensus with Upside Potential
The median analyst price target for OSK is $170, offering 28.1% upside, but the overall consensus remains 'Hold', reflecting a balanced view of risks and rewards.
Source: Wall Street Analyst ReportsBullish
Attractive Valuation Relative to Sector
OSK trades at a P/E ratio of 15.84, significantly lower than the sector median of 34, suggesting potential for multiple expansion if growth prospects improve.
Source: Financial Data AnalysisMarket Outlook
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is expected to see continued revenue growth, with current year estimates at $11.2 billion and next year projected at $12 billion, representing a 7.00% growth rate for both periods. The company's strong balance sheet and reasonable profitability metrics provide a stable foundation. Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $170, suggesting a 28.1% upside from the current price, driven by expectations of future earnings growth, with next year's EPS estimated at $13.99. The near-term outlook is cautious due to oversold technicals and recent insider selling. A catalyst for upside could be a sustained recovery in demand for its heavy machinery and defense products, coupled with positive earnings surprises that shift analyst sentiment. Conversely, a failure to break above key resistance levels, continued insider selling, or a slowdown in the industrial sector could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing its long-term support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 8.20B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.84 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.38 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.67% |
| 52 Week High | 180.49 |
| 52 Week Low | 116.77 |
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 15.84, which is substantially lower than the sector median of 34, indicating a potential valuation discount. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 0.78, also below the sector average. The company boasts a profit margin of 5.24% and an operating margin of 8.41%, with a return on equity of 12.39%, demonstrating reasonable profitability. The balance sheet appears healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, significantly lower than the sector average. However, the company's revenue growth of 6.7% is below the sector's median growth of 11.7%. While the current valuation appears attractive relative to peers, the slower revenue growth and the recent 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions suggest that investors should monitor future performance closely.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, delivering an EPS of $2.87, which surpassed the analyst estimate of $2.61 by 9.96%. This beat was accompanied by a -6.35% stock price reaction, indicating that the market may have been looking for more or that broader market sentiment overshadowed the positive earnings surprise. Prior quarters show mixed performance, with a miss in the March 2026 quarter (-18.27% surprise) and slight misses in the December 2025 and September 2025 quarters. The company's revenue growth for the current year is estimated at 7.00%, with expectations for stronger growth in the next year at 7.00%. Forward-looking EPS estimates are strong, with the next year's estimate at $13.99, suggesting potential for future earnings expansion.
Key Risks
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) faces several key risks, including recent insider selling totaling $6.3 million, which has generated a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and suggests a lack of immediate conviction from management. The stock's technical indicators are significantly oversold, trading significantly below its key moving averages, indicating a bearish trend that could persist despite potential for a short-term rebound. Also, while Wall Street consensus is 'Hold' with upside to the median target price, the company's revenue growth of 6.7% lags the sector average of 11.7%, posing a risk to its long-term expansion potential.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 16.83 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -4.54 |
| SMA 50 | 149.47 |
| SMA 200 | 146.87 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($149.47) above the 200-day SMA ($146.87), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 16.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.53
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with OSK? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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OSK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$131.42
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$132.75
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$126.14
MAX LOSS
-4.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (16.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$135.37
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$137.99
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$141.94
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for OSK is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OSK in September 2016 would be worth about $25,324 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OSK today could grow to about $22,578 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $93,612 and a bear case around $5,446. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OSK Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $184 for OSK by 2030 in the base case, from $133 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $74.80. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OSK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $91.85 | $144 | $226 |
| 2028 | $82.71 | $156 | $295 |
| 2029 | $77.78 | $169 | $369 |
| 2030 | $74.80 | $184 | $452 |
| 2031 | $72.97 | $199 | $545 |
| 2032 | $71.91 | $216 | $651 |
| 2033 | $71.43 | $235 | $772 |
| 2034 | $71.37 | $255 | $909 |
| 2035 | $71.68 | $276 | $1,065 |
| 2036 | $72.29 | $300 | $1,243 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OSK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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OSK Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$6.3M
9 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$695.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | JONES WILSON R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 89.6K | $8.7M |
| Nov 3, 2020 | JONES WILSON R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 46.0K | $3.3M |
| May 14, 2021 | NELSON BRADLEY M
Officer
|
Sell | 19.1K | $2.6M |
| May 3, 2021 | NERENHAUSEN FRANK R
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $2.6M |
| Feb 1, 2021 | JONES WILSON R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $2.3M |
| May 19, 2021 | BRYANT JOHN J
Officer
|
Sell | 16.9K | $2.2M |
| Aug 12, 2025 | CORTINA IGNACIO AGUSTIN
Officer
|
Sell | 12.7K | $1.8M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | FREEDERS JAMES C
Officer
|
Sell | 12.1K | $1.7M |
| Feb 2, 2021 | NERENHAUSEN FRANK R
Officer
|
Sell | 15.6K | $1.5M |
| May 26, 2021 | NELSON BRADLEY M
Officer
|
Sell | 10.8K | $1.4M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Oshkosh Corporation's current stock price and rating?
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is currently trading at $132.75 per share. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 59 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for OSK stock?
The median price target set by Wall Street analysts for Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is $170.00. This suggests an upside potential of 28.1% from the current stock price.
How did Oshkosh Corporation perform in its most recent earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.87, exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.61 by 9.96%. However, the stock price declined by 6.35% following the announcement.
What are the key technical indicators for OSK stock?
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) has an RSI at 16.8, indicating it is oversold. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($149.47 and $146.87), signaling a bearish trend.
What is the financial health of Oshkosh Corporation?
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) has a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, well below the sector average. Its profit margin is 5.24% and return on equity is 12.39%.
Are there any significant insider transactions for OSK?
Recent insider activity for Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) indicates a net selling trend, with $6.3 million in total sales and no reported purchases, leading to a 'Moderate Sell Signal'.
What is Oshkosh Corporation's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Oshkosh Corporation's (OSK) stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $183.87 and a downside projection of $74.80. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.