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As of October 10, 2026, Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) trades at $125.23. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $125.23, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $170.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 23 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $145.93.
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK)
Oshkosh Corporation NYSE
$125.23
-2.120 (-1.66%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is currently trading at $125.23, significantly below its 50-day SMA of $145.93 and 200-day SMA of $146.90. The stock's RSI is in oversold territory at 22.87, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but indicating broader weakness. Fundamentally, the company exhibits a profit margin of 5.24% and a return on equity of 12.39%, which are respectable but do not fully justify the current valuation relative to its peers. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.24, indicating a healthy balance sheet. However, recent insider activity shows net selling, with total sales amounting to $6.3 million, which raises concerns about management's near-term confidence.
OSK Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$127.56
Day Range
$124.42 to $128.32
Prev Close
$127.35
Volume
683.5K
52-Week Range
$116.77 to $180.49
Market Cap
$7.81B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-58%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
OSK Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, OSK beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
OSK Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
At $125.23, Oshkosh Corporation is trading below its 50-day SMA of $145.93 and its 200-day SMA of $146.90, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 22.87, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting the stock may be due for a bounce but also highlighting significant selling pressure. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with 683,500 shares traded compared to a 643,420 average. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current chart structure given the sustained downtrend, while resistance is expected around the moving averages. The overall technical picture points to continued weakness unless a significant catalyst emerges to reverse the current momentum.
ProTips
- Oshkosh Corporation's oversold RSI (22.87) and price below key moving averages suggest a potential for a short-term bounce, but the moderate insider selling indicates caution is warranted.
- Consider waiting for confirmation of a trend reversal, such as the stock trading consistently below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($145.93 and $146.90), before initiating new positions.
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports and management guidance closely, as these will be critical in determining whether the company can overcome current market headwinds and analyst concerns.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Trend
Insiders have sold approximately $6.3 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a net seller position that could signal a lack of confidence in near-term prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The RSI is at 22.87, well into oversold territory, suggesting that the current downward momentum may continue before any significant price recovery.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Price Below Key Moving Averages
Oshkosh Corporation is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($145.93 and $146.90), reinforcing the bearish trend and indicating resistance at higher levels.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Analyst Price Target Median
The median analyst price target for Oshkosh Corporation is $170.00, suggesting a potential upside of 35.8% from the current price, indicating some analysts see value at current levels.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Earnings Beat in Latest Quarter
The company beat EPS estimates for the quarter ending June 2026 by 9.96%, demonstrating an ability to meet or exceed analyst expectations on earnings.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Oshkosh Corporation suggests continued pressure in the near term, with the stock potentially testing lower support levels if current technical and fundamental headwinds persist. The median analyst target price of $170.00 implies a significant upside from the current price, but this is contingent on a reversal of the current bearish momentum and a stronger execution on future growth. Upside catalysts could include a significant improvement in forward guidance, a strong rebound in industrial demand, or positive developments in its defense segment. Conversely, a failure to break out of the current downtrend, persistent insider selling, or a slowdown in its key end markets could lead to further downside, potentially testing the lower end of analyst price targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.81B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.27 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.73 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.77% |
| 52 Week High | 180.49 |
| 52 Week Low | 116.77 |
Oshkosh Corporation trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.27, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potential valuation discount. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 0.73, also below the sector average of 4.0. The company's return on equity is 12.39%, and its profit margin is 5.24%, both of which are below the sector medians of 17.8% and not directly comparable to the sector's average P/E and P/S ratios. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.24, which is favorable compared to the sector average of 0.24. Revenue growth has been reported at 6.7%, lagging behind the sector's 11.7% growth. While the valuation appears attractive on a P/E basis relative to the sector, the lagging revenue growth and moderate insider selling warrant caution.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Oshkosh Corporation's most recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 2026 showed an EPS of $2.87, beating the estimate of $2.61 by 9.96%. However, this positive surprise was accompanied by a price drop of 6.35%, indicating that the market may have been looking for stronger forward guidance or that the beat was not sufficient to overcome broader negative sentiment. Prior quarters have shown mixed results, with a miss in March 2026 and a slight miss in December 2025, suggesting inconsistent earnings performance.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Oshkosh Corporation is the current bearish technical trend, with the stock trading significantly below its key moving averages and showing oversold conditions. Moderate insider selling, totaling $6.3 million in sales, further dampens sentiment and suggests a lack of immediate conviction from management. Additionally, the mixed earnings surprises and negative price reaction to the latest EPS beat indicate that even positive results may not be enough to reverse the current downward trajectory.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 22.87 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -5.44 |
| SMA 50 | 145.93 |
| SMA 200 | 146.90 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 22.9 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with OSK? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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OSK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$127.73
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$125.23
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$134.34
MAX LOSS
-5.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (22.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$121.35
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$114.96
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$108.57
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for OSK is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OSK in October 2016 would be worth about $22,970 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OSK today could grow to about $21,493 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $89,123 and a bear case around $5,183. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OSK Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $170 for OSK by 2030 in the base case, from $125 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $69.18. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OSK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $86.22 | $135 | $212 |
| 2028 | $77.26 | $146 | $276 |
| 2029 | $72.29 | $158 | $343 |
| 2030 | $69.18 | $170 | $418 |
| 2031 | $67.16 | $184 | $502 |
| 2032 | $65.86 | $198 | $596 |
| 2033 | $65.09 | $214 | $703 |
| 2034 | $64.73 | $231 | $824 |
| 2035 | $64.68 | $249 | $961 |
| 2036 | $64.91 | $269 | $1,116 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OSK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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OSK Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$6.3M
9 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$695.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | JONES WILSON R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 89.6K | $8.7M |
| Nov 3, 2020 | JONES WILSON R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 46.0K | $3.3M |
| May 14, 2021 | NELSON BRADLEY M
Officer
|
Sell | 19.1K | $2.6M |
| May 3, 2021 | NERENHAUSEN FRANK R
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $2.6M |
| Feb 1, 2021 | JONES WILSON R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $2.3M |
| May 19, 2021 | BRYANT JOHN J
Officer
|
Sell | 16.9K | $2.2M |
| Aug 12, 2025 | CORTINA IGNACIO AGUSTIN
Officer
|
Sell | 12.7K | $1.8M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | FREEDERS JAMES C
Officer
|
Sell | 12.1K | $1.7M |
| Feb 2, 2021 | NERENHAUSEN FRANK R
Officer
|
Sell | 15.6K | $1.5M |
| May 26, 2021 | NELSON BRADLEY M
Officer
|
Sell | 10.8K | $1.4M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Oshkosh Corporation's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Oshkosh Corporation's stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $170.07, a downside projection of $69.18, and an upside projection of $418.11. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets.
Is Oshkosh Corporation a buy right now?
Oshkosh Corporation is currently rated as a 'Sell' by our consensus score of 21 out of 100. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, exhibits oversold technicals, and has seen moderate insider selling, suggesting a bearish near-term outlook.
What is Oshkosh Corporation's current valuation compared to its sector?
Oshkosh Corporation trades at a P/E ratio of 14.27 and a P/S ratio of 0.73, which are below the sector medians of 34 and 4.0, respectively. However, its revenue growth of 6.7% lags the sector average of 11.7%.
How did Oshkosh Corporation perform in its latest earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Oshkosh Corporation reported an EPS of $2.87, beating estimates by 9.96%. Despite this beat, the stock price declined by 6.35%, suggesting market concerns may lie beyond the immediate earnings figures.
What are the key technical indicators for Oshkosh Corporation?
Oshkosh Corporation's RSI at 22.9, indicating oversold conditions, while the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($145.93 and $146.90), signaling a bearish trend.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Oshkosh Corporation?
The Wall Street consensus for Oshkosh Corporation is 'Buy', with a median price target of $170.00, implying an upside of 35.8% from the current price. This consensus is based on ratings from 18 analysts.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Oshkosh Corporation?
Insider activity for Oshkosh Corporation shows a net seller position, with total sales of $6.3 million and no reported purchases. This moderate sell signal suggests caution regarding insider sentiment.