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As of September 26, 2026, Micron Technology Inc. (MU) trades at $1,082.28. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $1,540.00, 42.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $1,540.00 across 49 analysts. RSI at 59 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $941.62.
Micron Technology Inc. (MU)
Micron Technology Inc. NASDAQ
$1,082.28
1.750 (0.16%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
Micron Technology (MU) is trading at $1082.28, significantly above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($941.62 and $661.10), indicating a strong uptrend. The company's recent earnings have shown consistent beats, with the quarter to March 2026 exceeding estimates by 33.19%. Analysts are overwhelmingly positive, with a median price target of $1540, implying a 42.3% upside from current levels. The technology sector, particularly semiconductors, is experiencing strong growth, and MU is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. Fundamental metrics are strong, with a net profit margin of 55.91% and a return on equity of 66.64%. While the price-to-sales ratio of 13.52 is high compared to the sector median of 7.5, the exceptional revenue growth of 345.7% and projected 91.00% growth next year justify this premium. The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, indicating a healthy balance sheet. However, significant insider selling, with over $429 million in dispositions versus $7.8 million in purchases, warrants close monitoring as a potential risk factor.
MU Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$1,095.83
Day Range
$1,073.00 to $1,108.72
Prev Close
$1,080.53
Volume
20.87M
52-Week Range
$154.65 to $1,255.00
Market Cap
$1.22T
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-28%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
MU Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, MU beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
MU Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+42.29% Upside
Median of 49 analysts (12-month)
$1,540.00
AI Technical Analysis
Micron Technology (MU) is exhibiting bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($941.62 and $661.10), with its RSI at a neutral 59.21. The MACD is positive at 35.14, further supporting the bullish trend. The stock's current price of $1082.28 is also above its 20-day EMA of $1005.72, reinforcing the upward trajectory. Key support levels are found at the 50-day SMA of $941.62 and the 200-day SMA of $661.10. The stock's recent trading volume has been below average, suggesting a potential consolidation phase before the next significant move. The high stochastic reading of 87.17 indicates the stock may be approaching overbought territory in the short term, but the overall trend remains strongly positive.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the substantial dispositions by management could signal future headwinds.
- Given the stock's strong performance above key moving averages, consider using the 50-day SMA ($941.62) as a trailing support level for risk management.
- The semiconductor sector is highly cyclical; ensure your position sizing reflects this inherent volatility and potential for sharp downturns.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Upgrades and Maintains
Multiple analysts have recently reiterated or upgraded their ratings to Buy or Outperform, with a median price target of $1540, indicating strong Wall Street conviction.
Source: Wall Street Analyst ReportsBullish
Exceptional Revenue Growth Projections
Next year's revenue is projected to grow by 91.00%, and the next five years show an average annual growth rate of 101.9%, driven by demand in AI and data centers.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Micron Technology exceeded earnings estimates by 33.19% in its most recent quarter (March 2026), demonstrating operational efficiency and strong product demand.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $429 million worth of stock versus only $7.8 million in purchases, indicating a net seller position and potential lack of confidence from management.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Premium Valuation Metrics
The stock's price-to-sales ratio of 13.52 is significantly higher than the sector median of 7.5, making it vulnerable to valuation compression in a market downturn.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Micron Technology (MU) is expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by strong demand in the semiconductor market and its own strong financial performance. The median analyst price target of $1540 suggests a 42.3% upside from the current price of $1082.28, reflecting confidence in sustained growth. The company's projected revenue growth of 91.00% next year and 113.1% for the following year, coupled with its high profit margins and strong balance sheet, provide a solid foundation for this outlook. Potential catalysts include continued advancements in memory technology and increasing demand from AI and data center markets. However, investors should remain aware of the significant insider selling and the inherent cyclicality of the semiconductor industry. A broader market downturn or a slowdown in demand could pressure the stock, despite its current strong fundamentals.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 1.22T |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.45 |
| EPS (TTM) | 44.19 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.05% |
| 52 Week High | 1,255.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 154.65 |
Micron Technology (MU) trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 13.52, which is a premium compared to the sector median of 7.5, but this is supported by its exceptional revenue growth of 345.7% and projected 91.00% growth for next year. The company boasts a net profit margin of 55.91% and an operating margin of 80.37%, demonstrating significant profitability. Its return on equity stands at a strong 66.64%, far exceeding the sector average of 13.4. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.06, indicating minimal financial leverage. This financial health, combined with strong growth prospects and high profitability, provides a solid foundation for the current valuation. The company's ability to consistently beat earnings estimates further strengthens its fundamental appeal.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Micron Technology (MU) has demonstrated a strong track record of exceeding earnings expectations. Most recently, for the quarter ending March 2026, the company reported an EPS of $12.20, significantly beating the estimate of $9.16 by 33.19%, although the stock saw a -3.78% price reaction. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, including a 20.71% beat in the quarter to December 2025. This consistent outperformance suggests effective operational management and strong demand for its products.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Micron Technology (MU) is the significant insider selling, with over $429 million in dispositions compared to only $7.8 million in purchases, signaling potential concerns among management. While the stock's valuation is supported by high growth, its price-to-sales ratio is considerably above the sector median, making it vulnerable to market corrections or shifts in semiconductor demand. Also, the semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, and a downturn could impact future revenue and profitability.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 59.21 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 35.14 |
| SMA 50 | 941.62 |
| SMA 200 | 661.10 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($941.62) above the 200-day SMA ($661.10), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.58
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.69
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MU? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
MU Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$1,060.63
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$1,082.28
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$1,007.60
MAX LOSS
-5.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (59.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$1,113.67
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$1,166.70
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$1,219.73
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
MU is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.33%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MU in September 2016 would be worth about $623,433 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MU today could grow to about $55,562 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $421,531 and a bear case around $7,324. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MU Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $2,149 for MU by 2030 in the base case, from $1,082 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $597. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $677 | $1,285 | $2,438 |
| 2028 | $616 | $1,525 | $3,775 |
| 2029 | $597 | $1,810 | $5,493 |
| 2030 | $597 | $2,149 | $7,742 |
| 2031 | $609 | $2,551 | $10,691 |
| 2032 | $630 | $3,028 | $14,551 |
| 2033 | $660 | $3,595 | $19,588 |
| 2034 | $697 | $4,267 | $26,140 |
| 2035 | $741 | $5,066 | $34,636 |
| 2036 | $793 | $6,013 | $45,621 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MU's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MU is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MU Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$7.8M
1 Transactions
Sold
$429.0M
53 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$8.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $43.4M |
| Aug 21, 2026 | MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $38.8M |
| May 29, 2026 | MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 37.4K | $36.0M |
| Jun 26, 2026 | MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 28.5K | $32.8M |
| Jul 24, 2026 | MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 31.3K | $29.0M |
| Oct 30, 2025 | MURPHY MARK J
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 126.0K | $28.4M |
| May 1, 2026 | MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $21.5M |
| Oct 27, 2025 | DEBOER SCOTT J.
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 82.0K | $18.3M |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SADANA SUMIT
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $14.0M |
| Apr 1, 2026 | ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $13.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Micron Technology's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Micron Technology's stock price is projected to be $2149.08 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $596.57, while the upside projection reaches $7741.83. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Micron Technology stock a buy right now?
Micron Technology (MU) is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 78 out of 100. Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $1540, suggesting a 42.3% upside from the current price of $1082.28.
How does Micron Technology's valuation compare to its peers?
Micron Technology (MU) trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 13.52, which is a premium compared to the sector median of 7.5. However, its exceptional revenue growth and strong profit margins help justify this premium.
What are the key risks facing Micron Technology?
Significant insider selling, with over $429 million in dispositions, presents a notable risk. Additionally, the stock's premium valuation and the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry are potential headwinds.
What is Micron Technology's recent earnings performance?
Micron Technology (MU) has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently surpassing expectations by 33.19% for the quarter ending March 2026. This strong performance indicates strong demand for its products.
How is Micron Technology positioned within the semiconductor sector?
Micron Technology (MU) is a leading player in the semiconductor industry, benefiting from strong sector-wide growth. Its impressive revenue growth of 345.7% and projected 91.00% growth next year place it favorably within the sector.
What is the outlook for Micron Technology's revenue growth?
Analysts project strong revenue growth for Micron Technology (MU), with an estimated 91.00% increase for next year and a 113.1% increase for the next fiscal year. The next quarter is expected to see a substantial 321.00% year-over-year revenue growth.