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Stock·NASDAQ·Technology

Sunrun Inc. (RUN)

$7.27 -0.31 (-4.09%)
Latest Price
Hold
54 / 100
CleaRank Financial AI scorei
Market cap
$1.75B
Dividend yield
None
Street target
$13.50median of 20 analysts
52-week range
$6.78 $21.95
01

RUN stock forecast today

Where RUN stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

RUN at a glance

Sunrun Inc. (RUN): Hold, 54/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($8.29 and $12.64).
  • Insiders Insiders sold $29.4M and bought $693K over the last 18 months.

Figures as of October 26, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Hold, with a model score of 54/100.

The trend holds it back most: the price is 42.50% below its 200-day average and 12.30% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 34.43% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $8.29 and the 200-day at $12.64. Over the past year the price fell 65.13%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from RUN's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

RUN stock price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $7.27 is 12.3% below the 50-day simple moving average of $8.29.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 42.5% below the 200-day simple moving average of $12.64.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($8.29) is 34.4% below the 200-day average ($12.64), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 3% of its 52-week range, between $6.78 and $21.95.

RUN share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far RUN has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $20.85 Oct 24, 2025
Latest close $7.27 Oct 26, 2026
High $21.41 Jan 28, 2026
Low $6.89 Oct 19, 2026

Today's trading

Where RUN sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 4.43% wide
$7.27
$7.23 $7.55
52-week range 3% of the way up
$7.27
$6.78 $21.95
Open
$7.54
Previous close
$7.58
Volume
8.36M
3% below average
Market cap
$1.75B
03

RUN fundamentals and valuation

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

1/2
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 0.50 is 93.4% below the sector median of 7.6.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was -$958.5M on revenue of $3.5B, a net margin of -27.6%.

Key statistics

The headline figures for RUN.

Market Cap
1.75B
P/E Ratio
N/A
EPS (TTM)
N/A
Dividend Yield
None
52 Week High
21.95
52 Week Low
6.78

As of October 26, 2026, RUN trades at $7.27, with a market value of $1.75B.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of RUN's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

On sales, the P/S of 0.50 is 93.4% below the sector median P/S of 7.6.

Revenue grew 52.80% in the latest quarter year on year, which is 28.6 percentage points ahead of the 24.2% median for Technology. RUN turns sales into profit at a net margin of -27.6% and an operating margin of 4.00%, alongside a return on equity of -19.86%, below the sector median of 13.4%. It also reports debt-to-equity of 2.93.

Earnings & Growth

RUN reported $0.42 a share in its latest quarterly report, dated August 5, 2026, against an estimate of $0.25. That was a beat of 68.00% over the estimate. Despite the beat, the share price dropped 10.58% in the first session after the report.

The earnings record shows 1 beat in 2 reports, yet the stock fell in the first session after that beat. The November 6, 2025 report stands out among the earlier ones: a miss of 50.00%, after which the stock fell 16.11%. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $1.40 for this fiscal year and $0.52 for next, a decline of 18.3% for the current year.

Key risks

RUN's price typically moves 3.79% on a given day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 2.44. Continued trading under both moving averages keeps the downtrend a live risk. The price is also 66.88% below its 52-week high of $21.95. Insider sales over the last 18 months came to $29.4M, while insider purchases totalled $693K. Sales are often planned ahead or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than buying does.

RUN against the Technology sector

How RUN compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 93% below the median
RUN
0.5x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 28.6 points above the median
RUN
52.8%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 33.3 points below the median
RUN
-19.9%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, RUN trades at 0.5038x, far below the sector average of 7.60x.

Return vs XLK: Since May 14, 2025, RUN has lost 42.8% against a gain of 59.2% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

RUN and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
RUN XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much RUN sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$3.5B
Net income, 12 months
-$958M
Net margin
-27.6%
Revenue growth
+52.8%
Q2 '26, year on year
FY2021-61% marginFY2022-37% marginFY2023-119% marginFY2024-214% marginFY2025-34% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 45.1% in FY2025 to $3.0B, from $2.0B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -34.1% in FY2025, up from -213.7% the year before.

Loss-making: RUN lost $1.0B in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did RUN beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
1 of 2
last 2 reports
Fell after a beat
1 of 1
first session after the report
Average surprise
+9.0%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
-13.3%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Nov '25Aug '26

Earnings record: RUN beat the analyst estimate in 1 of the last 2 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after that beat, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

RUN earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Aug 5, 2026after close $0.25 $0.42 +68.00% -10.58% -6.20%
Nov 6, 2025after close $0.12 $0.06 -50.00% -16.11% -7.59%

As of October 26, 2026, RUN has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 2 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after it; its latest report, on August 5, 2026, came in 68.00% above the estimate and the stock moved -10.58% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

RUN AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 41.3, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 41.3 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of RUN

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
3/5
12-month analyst target
$13.50
+85.69% above price · median of 20 analysts
AI analyst consensus
54/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is priced at $7.27, below both of its main moving averages. The stock sits 12.30% below its 50-day average of $8.29 and 42.50% below its 200-day average of $12.64. Within its 52-week range it is at 3%, and the price is 7.23% above the 52-week low of $6.78. The two averages point the same way, with the 50-day 34.43% below the 200-day.

The price is down over each of these periods: 10.36% over the past month, 27.15% over the past three months and 65.13% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 41.3, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.

Catalysts
Other events
  • Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›

    The August 5, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 68.00%, and the share price fell 10.58% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, August 5, 2026
  • Rating reaffirmed ›

    Morgan Stanley kept its Equal-Weight rating on October 14, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Morgan Stanley, October 14, 2026
ProTips
  1. The two nearest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $7.66, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $6.78, which sits below it.
  2. A 14-day RSI of 41.3 sits in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
  3. The share price fell 10.58% in the first session after the August 5, 2026 report. RUN has beaten estimates in 1 of its last 2 reports.
Market outlook

RUN remains in a downtrend while it sits below both its 50-day average of $8.29 and its 200-day average of $12.64. A close back above the 50-day average would be the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $7.66 is the nearest hurdle.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low of $6.78.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for RUN, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
41.314-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.263 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-12.3%price against the 50-day average
200-day $12.64 50-day $8.289 Price $7.270
Price against the 200-day -42.5% Bearish

As of October 26, 2026, with RUN at $7.27, its 14-day RSI is 41.3 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $8.29 and its 200-day is $12.64.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What RUN moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.25 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.25 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.25 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.12 Weak

As of October 26, 2026, RUN's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.25 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.25 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.25 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.12 with gold (XAU).

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05

RUN price target and analyst forecast

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

3/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    11 of 20 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $13.50 is 85.7% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    11 of 20 rate it a buy now, against 12 of 22 three months ago.

RUN Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $7.00 Median $13.50 (+85.7%) High $30.00

Ratings

Buy 11 Hold 9 Sell 0 3 months ago: 12 of 22 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on RUN
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 14, 2026 Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight
Oct 14, 2026 Susquehanna Maintains Positive
Oct 9, 2026 Citigroup Maintains Buy
Oct 9, 2026 Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight
Oct 8, 2026 Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy
Sep 21, 2026 Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy

As of October 26, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover RUN: 11 rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $7.00 to $30.00. The median RUN price target is $13.50, 85.7% above the price of $7.27.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

RUN trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

RUN trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$7.197
Slight discount to current
Lower entry level
Aggressive
$7.270
At current price
Entry at the current price

Risk management

Stop loss
$6.693
Max loss
-7.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (41.3) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$7.413
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$7.557
+5% (Conservative) +4.0% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$7.773
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

RUN moves about 3.8% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much RUN tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Beta
2.44
against the S&P 500; 1 moves with the market
Daily volatility
3.79%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$7.270
$6.78 3% of the way up $21.95

Compare RUN

Put RUN side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

RUN price history and drawdowns

RUN's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

1/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 3.79% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 93.8%, from January 2021 to April 2025; the price is still 92.0% below that peak.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    52% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $13,538, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

RUN Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-93.8%
January 2021 to April 2025
Recovery
Not yet
still 92.0% below the January 2021 peak
From the 10-year high
-92.0%
highest close, January 2021
1-year holds that gained
52%
of every 1-year window

As of October 26, 2026, RUN's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -93.8% (January 2021 to April 2025); it is still 92.0% below that peak, and 52% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into RUN in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

RUN today
$13,538
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,015
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$28,477
0.3x the index result
Total change
+35%
1.4x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
RUN S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: RUN trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $13,538 against $42,015.

A $10,000 investment in RUN in October 2016 would be worth about $13,538 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to RUN, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb4/10 upMar3/10 upApr8/10 upMay5/10 upJun7/10 upJul7/10 upAug5/10 upSep3/10 upOct2/9 upNov5/10 upDec5/10 up

Strongest month, July: an average of +14.34%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -6.90%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged -5.07%, up in 2 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, RUN's strongest calendar month has been July (average +14.34%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -6.90%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

RUN stock price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in RUN, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$3,345
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$12,050
median path
Upside, 2030
$43,409
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in RUN today could grow to about $12,050 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $43,409 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,345. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

RUN Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$7.27
Base case, 2030
$8.76
1.2x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$2.43 to $31.56
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $8.76 for RUN by 2030 in the base case, from $7.27 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.43. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RUN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

RUN simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $4.01 $7.62 $14.46
2028 $3.22 $7.98 $19.75
2029 $2.76 $8.36 $25.37
2030 $2.43 $8.76 $31.56

Method: a lognormal simulation of RUN's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

09

RUN insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

RUN insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
$693K
2 open-market purchases
Sold
$29.4M
83 open-market sales
Insiders filing
13
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$355K
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Net insider selling: Insiders bought $693K on the open market and sold $29.4M.

As of October 26, 2026, RUN insiders reported 83 open-market sales worth $29.4M and 2 open-market purchases worth $693K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in RUN
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 6, 2026
Mary G Powell
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 24.3K $188.9K
Oct 6, 2026
Danny Abajian
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 16.7K $129.9K
Oct 6, 2026
Paul S Dickson
President
Sell 15.8K $123.0K
Oct 6, 2026
Jeanna C Steele
Officer
Sell 10.0K $78.0K
Oct 6, 2026
Maria Barak
Officer
Sell 1.8K $13.8K
Oct 6, 2026
Danny Abajian
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 16.8K -
Aug 3, 2026
Lynn Michelle Jurich
Director
Sell 50.0K $498.1K
Jul 9, 2026
Maria Barak
Officer
Sell 3.3K $39.9K
Jul 6, 2026
Mary G Powell
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 24.0K $316.3K
Jul 6, 2026
Danny Abajian
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 16.5K $217.5K
Page 1 of 12

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

RUN stock forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.

RUN Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Sunrun Inc. (RUN) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates RUN Hold, on a model score of 54/100. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 42.50% below its 200-day average and 12.30% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 34.43% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Sunrun Inc. (RUN) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 65.13%. Over shorter periods it fell 27.15% in three months and fell 10.36% in the past month. It now trades 66.88% below its 52-week high of $21.95.
What are the key price levels for RUN?
The 20-day EMA at $7.66 and the 50-day SMA at $8.29 are the two levels above the price. The 52-week low at $6.78 is the level below it.
What do Wall Street analysts think of RUN?
Among the 20 analysts who currently rate RUN, 11 recommend buying it, 9 recommend holding and 0 recommend selling. The median 12-month price target is $13.50, which is 85.7% above the current price.
How often has RUN beaten earnings estimates?
In the last 2 reports in our data, RUN beat the EPS estimate in 1 of them. The share price fell after that beat.
How volatile is RUN?
On an average day, RUN's price moves 3.79%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. Measured against the S&P 500, its beta is 2.44.
Are RUN insiders buying or selling?
In the last 18 months, insiders sold $29.4M of stock and bought $693K on the open market. Many sales are planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they tell an investor less than purchases would.
What is the 52-week range of RUN?
Over the past 52 weeks, RUN has traded between $6.78 and $21.95. At $7.27, the stock sits at 3% of that range, 7.23% above the low and 66.88% below the high.
Is RUN in an uptrend?
No. Sunrun Inc. (RUN) trades at $7.27, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($8.29 and $12.64). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 41.3, in neutral territory.
What is RUN's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Sunrun Inc. (RUN)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -93.8%, from January 2021 to April 2025 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 92.0% below it. Over the same period, 52% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for RUN are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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