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Stock·NASDAQ·Technology

Sunrun Inc. (RUN)

$7.30 -0.3400 (-4.45%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Hold
47 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$1.74B
P/E
4.93
Dividend yield
0.00%
Street target
$14.00median of 20 analysts
52-week range
$7.17 $21.95
01

The short version

Where RUN stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

RUN at a glance

Sunrun Inc. (RUN): Hold, 47/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($8.60 and $12.97).
  • Insiders Insiders sold $29.4M and bought $693K over the last 18 months.
  • Valuation P/E of 4.9 against 35.1 for the Technology sector: a discount to peers (-86%).

Figures as of October 18, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) receives a Hold rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 47/100.

The biggest contributor to that score is valuation: the P/E of 4.93 is 85.9% below the sector median, a discount to peers, and the P/S of 0.50 is 93.4% below the sector median. The trend is the largest drag. The price sits 43.72% below the 200-day average and 15.08% below the 50-day, and the 50-day is 33.72% below the 200-day. The 50-day average is $8.60 and the 200-day is $12.97. The price fell 63.75% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from RUN's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $7.30 is 15.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $8.60.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 43.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $12.97.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($8.60) is 33.7% below the 200-day average ($12.97), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 1% of its 52-week range, between $7.17 and $21.95.

RUN share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far RUN has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $20.14 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $7.30 Oct 16, 2026
High $21.41 Jan 28, 2026
Low $7.30 Oct 14, 2026

Today's trading

Where RUN sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 7.26% wide
$7.30
$7.23 $7.76
52-week range 1% of the way up
$7.30
$7.17 $21.95
Open
$7.58
Previous close
$7.64
Volume
8.73M
1% above average
Market cap
$1.74B
03

Fundamentals

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

3/3
  • P/E below the sector median ›
    The trailing P/E of 4.93 is 85.9% below the Technology median of 35.1.
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 0.50 is 93.4% below the sector median of 7.6.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $400.7M on revenue of $3.5B, a net margin of 11.5%.

Key statistics

The headline figures for RUN.

Market Cap
1.74B
P/E Ratio
4.93
EPS (TTM)
1.48
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
21.95
52 Week Low
7.17

As of October 18, 2026, RUN trades at $7.30, with a market value of $1.74B and a P/E ratio of 4.93.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of RUN's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

RUN's trailing P/E of 4.93 is 85.9% below the Technology median of 35.1, a gap the peer comparison on this page labels a discount to peers. On sales, the P/S of 0.50 is 93.4% below the sector median of 7.6.

Revenue grew 52.80% over the latest year, which is 28.6 percentage points ahead of the 24.2% median for Technology. RUN turns sales into profit at a net margin of 11.59% and an operating margin of 4.00%, alongside a return on equity of -19.86%, below the sector median of 13.4%. It also reports debt-to-equity of 2.93.

Earnings & Growth

The consensus EPS estimate stands at $1.41 for this fiscal year and $0.6531 for next, a decline of 17.4% for the current year.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of RUN shifts by 3.25%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 66.74% below its 52-week high of $21.95. Over the last 18 months, insider sales totalled $29.4M against $693K of purchases; planned sales and tax sales on vesting shares make selling a weaker signal than buying.

RUN against the Technology sector

How RUN compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/E ratio 86% below the median
RUN
4.9x
Sector median
35.1x
P/S ratio 93% below the median
RUN
0.5x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 28.6 points above the median
RUN
52.8%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 33.3 points below the median
RUN
-19.9%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to earnings vs sector: RUN trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-86%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.

Return vs XLK: Since May 6, 2025, RUN has gained 3.4% against a gain of 71.7% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

RUN and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
RUN XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much RUN sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$3.5B
Net income, 12 months
$401M
Net margin
11.6%
Revenue growth
+52.8%
latest quarter, year on year
FY2021-61% marginFY2022-37% marginFY2023-119% marginFY2024-214% marginFY2025-34% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 45.1% in FY2025 to $3.0B, from $2.0B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -34.1% in FY2025, up from -213.7% the year before.

Loss-making: RUN lost $1.0B in FY2025.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 37.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 37.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of RUN

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
3/5
12-month analyst target
$14.00
+91.78% above price · median of 20 analysts
AI analyst consensus
47/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) changed hands at $7.30 and sits under both of its main moving averages. The price is 15.08% below the 50-day average of $8.60 and 43.72% below the 200-day average of $12.97. It sits at 1% of its 52-week range, with the price 1.81% above the 52-week low of $7.17. The 50-day average is 33.72% below the 200-day, so the two averages point the same way.

On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 37.9, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative. Every period on the chart shows a loss, with the price down 38.40% over the past three months, 41.13% over the past six months and 63.75% over the past year.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Rating reaffirmed ›

    Citigroup kept its Buy rating on October 9, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Citigroup, October 9, 2026
Risks

No risks flagged.

ProTips
  1. The two levels closest to the price matter most. Above it, the 20-day EMA at $7.82. Below it, the 52-week low at $7.17.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 37.9, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
Market outlook

RUN stays in a downtrend for as long as it trades below both its 50-day average at $8.60 and its 200-day average at $12.97. A close back above the 50-day would be the first sign of a repair. The 20-day EMA, at $7.82, is the first hurdle above the price.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $7.17.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for RUN, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
37.914-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.349 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-15.1%price against the 50-day average
200-day $12.97 50-day $8.597 Price $7.300
Price against the 200-day -43.7% Bearish

As of October 18, 2026, with RUN at $7.30, its 14-day RSI is 37.9 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $8.60 and its 200-day is $12.97.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 18, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What RUN moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.26 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.26 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.25 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.12 Weak

As of October 18, 2026, RUN's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.26 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.26 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.25 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.12 with gold (XAU).

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05

What Wall Street expects

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

3/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    11 of 20 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $14.00 is 91.8% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    11 of 20 rate it a buy now, against 12 of 22 three months ago.

RUN Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $7.00 Median $14.00 (+91.8%) High $30.00

Ratings

Buy 11 Hold 9 Sell 0 3 months ago: 12 of 22 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on RUN
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 9, 2026 Citigroup Maintains Buy
Oct 9, 2026 Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight
Oct 8, 2026 Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy
Sep 21, 2026 Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy
Aug 17, 2026 GLJ Research Reiterates Sell
Aug 14, 2026 Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight

As of October 18, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover RUN: 11 rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $7.00 to $30.00, with a median of $14.00, 91.8% above the price of $7.30.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

RUN trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$7.227
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$7.300
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$6.440
Max loss
-10.9%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (37.9) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$7.444
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$7.588
+5% (Conservative) +4.0% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$7.805
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

RUN moves about 3.3% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much RUN tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
3.25%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$7.300
$7.17 1% of the way up $21.95

Compare RUN

Put RUN side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

The long record

RUN's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

0/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 3.25% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 93.9%, from January 2021 to April 2025; the price is still 92.2% below that peak.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    52% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $11,179, against $41,793 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

RUN Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-93.9%
January 2021 to April 2025
Recovery
Not yet
still 92.2% below the January 2021 peak
From the 10-year high
-92.2%
highest close, January 2021
1-year holds that gained
52%
of every 1-year window

As of October 18, 2026, RUN's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -93.9% (January 2021 to April 2025); it is still 92.2% below that peak, and 52% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into RUN in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

RUN today
$11,179
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$41,793
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$30,614
0.3x the index result
Total change
+12%
1.1x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
RUN S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: RUN trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $11,179 against $41,793.

A $10,000 investment in RUN in October 2016 would be worth about $11,179 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $41,793 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to RUN, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb4/10 upMar2/10 upApr6/10 upMay7/10 upJun8/10 upJul7/10 upAug4/10 upSep2/10 upOct3/9 upNov5/10 upDec6/10 up

Strongest month, July: an average of +13.31%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -8.27%, up in 2 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged -4.08%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, RUN's strongest calendar month has been July (average +13.31%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -8.27%, up in 2 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in RUN, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$1,904
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$14,444
median path
Upside, 2036
$109,579
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RUN today could grow to about $14,444 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $109,579 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,904. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

RUN Stock Price Prediction: 2030

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$7.30
Base case, 2030
$8.46
1.2x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$2.35 to $30.46
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $8.46 for RUN by 2030 in the base case, from $7.30 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.35. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RUN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

RUN simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $3.99 $7.57 $14.37
2028 $3.17 $7.86 $19.45
2029 $2.69 $8.15 $24.73
2030 $2.35 $8.46 $30.46
2031 $2.09 $8.77 $36.77

Method: a lognormal simulation of RUN's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

09

Insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

RUN insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
$693K
2 open-market purchases
Sold
$29.4M
83 open-market sales
Insiders filing
13
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$355K
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Insider buying: Insiders bought $693K on the open market and sold $29.4M.

As of October 18, 2026, RUN insiders reported 83 open-market sales worth $29.4M and 2 open-market purchases worth $693K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in RUN
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 6, 2026
Mary G Powell
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 24.3K $188.9K
Oct 6, 2026
Danny Abajian
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 16.7K $129.9K
Oct 6, 2026
Paul S Dickson
President
Sell 15.8K $123.0K
Oct 6, 2026
Jeanna C Steele
Officer
Sell 10.0K $78.0K
Oct 6, 2026
Maria Barak
Officer
Sell 1.8K $13.8K
Oct 6, 2026
Danny Abajian
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 16.8K -
Aug 3, 2026
Lynn Michelle Jurich
Director
Sell 50.0K $498.1K
Jul 9, 2026
Maria Barak
Officer
Sell 3.3K $39.9K
Jul 6, 2026
Mary G Powell
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 24.0K $316.3K
Jul 6, 2026
Danny Abajian
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 16.5K $217.5K
Page 1 of 12

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 18, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Sunrun Inc. (RUN) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates RUN Hold, on a model score of 47/100. Most of the lift comes from valuation, as the P/E of 4.93 is 85.9% below the sector median (a discount to peers) and the P/S of 0.50 is 93.4% below the sector median. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 43.72% below its 200-day average and 15.08% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 33.72% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Sunrun Inc. (RUN) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 63.75%. Over shorter periods it fell 38.40% in three months and fell 11.73% in the past month. It now trades 66.74% below its 52-week high of $21.95.
What are the key price levels for RUN?
Two levels sit above the price: the 20-day EMA at $7.82 and the 50-day SMA at $8.60. The nearest level below is the 52-week low at $7.17.
Is RUN expensive compared with Technology stocks?
RUN's trailing P/E of 4.93 is 85.9% below the Technology median of 35.1, which the peer comparison on this page rates as a discount to peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.50 is 93.4% below the sector median of 7.6. Those medians are drawn from 111 stocks across the entire sector, not just direct competitors.
What do Wall Street analysts think of RUN?
20 analysts cover RUN. Of them, 11 rate it buy, 9 rate it hold, and 0 rate it sell. The median 12-month price target is $14.00, which is 91.8% above the current price.
How volatile is RUN?
On an average day RUN's price moves 3.25%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
Are RUN insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $29.4M of stock over the last 18 months and bought $693K on the open market. Because sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, they carry less weight than purchases do.
What is the 52-week range of RUN?
Over the past 52 weeks RUN has traded between $7.17 and $21.95. At $7.30, the price sits at 1% of that span, 1.81% above the low and 66.74% below the high.
Is RUN in an uptrend?
No. Sunrun Inc. (RUN) trades at $7.30, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($8.60 and $12.97). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 37.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is RUN's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Sunrun Inc. (RUN)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -93.9%, from January 2021 to April 2025 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 92.2% below it. Over the same period, 52% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for RUN are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 18, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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