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As of September 11, 2026, Sunrun Inc. (RUN) trades at $8.69. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $10.64, 22.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $15.00 across 21 analysts. RSI at 42 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $10.24.
Sunrun Inc. (RUN)
Sunrun Inc. NASDAQ
$8.69
0.0600 (0.70%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is currently trading at $8.69, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($10.24 and $14.30), signaling a bearish short-term trend. The company's revenue growth has been strong, with a reported 52.8% year-over-year increase, though forward estimates suggest a slowdown to 7.00% for the current year and 2.00% for the next. Despite a 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street and a median price target of $15, implying substantial upside, significant insider selling totaling $29.4 million against $692.5 thousand in purchases presents a notable risk. This moderate sell signal from insiders warrants close attention from investors.
RUN Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$8.79
Day Range
$8.66 to $8.95
Prev Close
$8.63
Volume
49.5K
52-Week Range
$8.22 to $22.44
Market Cap
$2.06B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-82%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
RUN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, RUN beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RUN Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
At $8.69, Sunrun Inc. (RUN) exhibits bearish technical momentum, trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 42.09, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -0.43, suggesting downward pressure. The limited trading volume, significantly below its average, further points to a lack of conviction in the current price action. Key resistance levels are observed at the 50-day SMA of $10.24 and the 200-day SMA of $14.30, with the current price acting as immediate support.
ProTips
- Investors should closely monitor insider transaction activity for Sunrun Inc. (RUN), as the current moderate sell signal from insiders warrants caution.
- Given Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($10.24 and $14.30), consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating new positions.
- The projected deceleration in revenue growth for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) highlights the importance of monitoring forward guidance and actual sales figures closely in upcoming earnings reports.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $29.4 million worth of Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock against only $692.5 thousand in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in current valuation.
Source: Insider SummaryBullish
Strong Median Analyst Price Target
The median analyst price target for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is $15, suggesting a potential upside of 72.6% from the current price of $8.69, indicating Wall Street's belief in future appreciation.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Recent EPS Beat Exceeds Expectations
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) reported an EPS of $0.42 in its most recent quarter, beating the estimate of $0.25 by 68%, demonstrating operational efficiency in meeting or exceeding earnings targets.
Source: Earnings ReportBearish
Projected Revenue Growth Slowdown
Forward-looking revenue estimates for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) indicate a slowdown, with current year growth projected at 7.00% and next year at 2.00%, which could impact future valuation multiples.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) faces a challenging outlook over the next 6-12 months, with its current trading price below key technical indicators suggesting downward pressure. The median analyst price target of $15 implies significant upside potential, but this is counterbalanced by substantial insider selling and a projected slowdown in revenue growth to 7.00% for the current year and 2.00% for the next. The company's ability to overcome these headwinds will depend on its execution and broader market sentiment towards the renewable energy sector.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.06B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 6.02 |
| EPS (TTM) | 1.47 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 22.44 |
| 52 Week Low | 8.22 |
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.02, which is considerably lower than the sector median of 34, suggesting potential undervaluation from a P/E perspective. However, the company's revenue growth, while strong at 52.8% year-over-year, is projected to decelerate significantly in the coming year. The current earnings per share (EPS) of $1.47 is positive, but the substantial insider selling activity raises concerns about management's near-term confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects. The market capitalization stands at $2.06 billion.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) recently reported an EPS of $0.42 for the August 2026 quarter, significantly beating the estimate of $0.25 by 68%, yet the stock reacted negatively with a 10.58% decline. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings reactions, with a previous beat in May 2026 also resulting in a price drop. While the company has demonstrated an ability to exceed earnings expectations, the market's response suggests that these beats are not translating into sustained positive price momentum, potentially due to broader concerns about the company's outlook or valuation.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is the substantial insider selling, with over $29 million in sales against minimal purchases, signaling a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the projected deceleration in revenue growth for the upcoming year, coupled with a bearish technical setup below key moving averages, presents headwinds. The stock's recent negative reaction to a strong earnings beat further highlights potential investor skepticism or broader market concerns impacting the renewable energy sector.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 42.09 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.43 |
| SMA 50 | 10.24 |
| SMA 200 | 14.30 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $10.24, 200-day: $14.30), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
RUN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$8.603
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$8.690
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$8.001
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (42.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$8.861
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$9.033
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$9.291
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
RUN is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.32%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RUN in September 2016 would be worth about $14,148 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RUN today could grow to about $16,605 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $125,976 and a bear case around $2,189. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RUN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $10.64 for RUN by 2030 in the base case, from $8.69 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.95. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RUN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $4.82 | $9.14 | $17.35 |
| 2028 | $3.89 | $9.62 | $23.80 |
| 2029 | $3.33 | $10.12 | $30.70 |
| 2030 | $2.95 | $10.64 | $38.34 |
| 2031 | $2.67 | $11.20 | $46.93 |
| 2032 | $2.45 | $11.78 | $56.60 |
| 2033 | $2.27 | $12.39 | $67.53 |
| 2034 | $2.13 | $13.04 | $79.86 |
| 2035 | $2.01 | $13.72 | $93.78 |
| 2036 | $1.90 | $14.43 | $109 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RUN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
RUN Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$692.5K
2 Transactions
Sold
$29.4M
83 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$354.6K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2020 | BLACKSTONE HOLDINGS III, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.0M | $482.0M |
| Oct 5, 2020 | TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.0M | $395.4M |
| Oct 16, 2020 | TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.5M | $154.5M |
| Oct 13, 2020 | TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.6M | $107.2M |
| Oct 7, 2020 | TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.3M | $99.7M |
| Nov 12, 2020 | BYWATER DAVID H
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 476.4K | $27.5M |
| Dec 23, 2020 | BYWATER DAVID H
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 263.3K | $18.5M |
| Dec 18, 2020 | BYWATER DAVID H
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 263.3K | $16.8M |
| Dec 16, 2020 | DAWSON, CHRISTOPHER MACKIE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 158.6K | $9.6M |
| Dec 21, 2020 | FENSTER EDWARD HARRIS
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 139.0K | $8.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock a buy right now?
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $15, suggesting potential upside. However, significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators warrant caution, making it a speculative buy at best.
What is the outlook for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock in the next 6-12 months?
The outlook for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is mixed. While the median analyst price target suggests upside, insider selling and decelerating revenue growth estimates present considerable risks that could temper performance.
What are the biggest risks facing Sunrun Inc. (RUN)?
The primary risks for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) include substantial insider selling, a bearish technical trend indicated by its position below key moving averages, and a projected slowdown in revenue growth for the upcoming year.
How does Sunrun Inc. (RUN) compare to its sector averages?
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) exhibits a P/E ratio of 6.02, significantly lower than the sector median of 34, and its revenue growth of 52.8% outpaces the sector median of 24.1%. However, its Return on Equity (ROE) of 13.4% is slightly above the sector median of 13.4%, indicating competitive performance in profitability.
What is Sunrun Inc. (RUN)'s projected stock price for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Sunrun Inc. (RUN)'s projected stock price for 2030 is $10.64 as a base case, with a downside projection of $2.95 and an upside projection of $38.34. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Has Sunrun Inc. (RUN) shown consistent earnings growth?
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) has shown inconsistent earnings performance, with recent quarters showing significant EPS beats but also negative stock reactions. The company has experienced both positive and negative EPS figures in recent reporting periods.
What is the consensus rating for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock?
The consensus rating for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock is 'Hold', with 21 analysts covering the stock. The breakdown includes 3 Strong Buys, 9 Buys, and 9 Holds, with no Sell ratings.