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As of September 10, 2026, MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) trades at $68.13. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $71.51, 5.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $100.00 across 11 analysts. RSI at 57 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $75.34.
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL)
MaxLinear, Inc. NASDAQ
$68.13
-3.380 (-4.73%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
68 / 100
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is currently trading at $71.51, below its 50-day moving average of $75.34 but above its 200-day moving average of $48.00. The company has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 58.00% increase year-over-year, reaching $738 million. This growth is expected to continue into next year, with estimates of $953.7 million, representing a 29.00% increase. Despite these positive top-line trends, the company reports a negative EPS of -1.18, making traditional P/E ratio analysis impossible. Also, insider activity shows a heavy net selling signal, with over $62.4 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a lack of insider confidence at current levels. The technology sector, represented by the XLK ETF, shows average P/E of -57.74 and revenue growth of 10.0%. MaxLinear's revenue growth significantly outpaces this average, suggesting strong market demand for its products. However, the negative EPS and substantial insider selling present considerable risks that investors must weigh against the projected revenue expansion and the analyst median price target of $100.00, which implies a 39.8% upside.
MXL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$68.05
Day Range
$66.24 to $70.28
Prev Close
$71.51
Volume
34.8K
52-Week Range
$12.77 to $128.30
Market Cap
$6.49B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-4% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
MXL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, MXL beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
MXL Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+46.78% Upside
Median of 11 analysts (12-month)
$100.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume for MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) has been notably active, with the latest volume of 3.16 million shares exceeding its average volume of 2.22 million shares by 42.6%. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $75.34, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but remains above its 200-day simple moving average of $48.00, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend is intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 57.32, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD is currently at -2.77, indicating bearish momentum. Key support is seen at the 200-day SMA of $48.00, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA of $75.34. The stochastic oscillator is at 98.36, suggesting the stock is in overbought territory on that indicator, which could signal a potential pullback. The combination of mixed signals from moving averages and oscillators suggests a period of consolidation or potential downward pressure before a clearer trend emerges.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling totaling over $62.4 million, investors should exercise caution and closely monitor future insider transactions for any signs of changing sentiment.
- MaxLinear, Inc. is trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating short-term weakness, while remaining above its 200-day moving average, suggesting the long-term trend is still positive. Consider this divergence when making entry or exit decisions.
- The stock experienced a sharp -21.54% decline following its latest earnings report, highlighting its volatility. Employing a disciplined risk management strategy, potentially including stop-loss orders, is advisable.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current year revenue estimates are $738M (+58.00% YoY) and next year estimates are $953.7M (+29.00% YoY), indicating significant market demand for MaxLinear's products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold over $62.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the current valuation.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Negative Earnings Per Share
MaxLinear Inc. reports a negative EPS of -1.18, making profitability a key concern and limiting traditional valuation analysis.
Source: Financial DataBullish
Positive Analyst Consensus and Price Target
The median analyst price target of $100.00 suggests a 39.8% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus rating.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBearish
Volatile Stock Reaction to Earnings
The stock experienced a -21.54% drop after the latest earnings beat, demonstrating high volatility and sensitivity to market interpretation of results.
Source: Earnings Report DataMarket Outlook
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is expected to maintain its strong revenue growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by demand in the semiconductor market. The median analyst target price of $100.00 suggests a potential upside of nearly 40% from the current price of $71.51, reflecting optimism around its top-line expansion. The company's ability to continue growing revenue at such a high rate, even with a negative EPS, is a key factor supporting this outlook. However, the thesis could be challenged by persistent unprofitability and continued heavy insider selling, which could deter new investment and pressure the stock price. A significant shift in market sentiment or increased competition could also impact growth. Investors should monitor the company's progress towards achieving positive EPS and any changes in insider transaction patterns for potential shifts in the outlook.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 6.49B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.18 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 128.30 |
| 52 Week Low | 12.77 |
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) presents a challenging valuation picture due to its negative EPS of -1.18, rendering a P/E ratio calculation impossible and indicating current unprofitability. While the company's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, projected at 58.00% for the current year and 29.00% for the next, this top-line expansion is not yet translating into bottom-line profits. The current price of $71.51 is difficult to assess against traditional valuation multiples given the negative earnings. Compared to the technology sector's average revenue growth of 10.0%, MaxLinear's performance is outstanding. However, the significant insider selling, totaling over $62.4 million with no corresponding purchases, raises concerns about management's confidence in the current valuation and future prospects. This heavy selling pressure, coupled with the lack of profitability, suggests that the current market capitalization of $6.49 billion may be stretched, especially without a clear path to positive earnings. Investors should closely monitor future earnings reports for signs of profitability improvement.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) reported mixed earnings results in its recent quarters. In the most recent quarter ending July 23, 2026, the company beat EPS estimates by 6.06%, reporting $0.35 against an estimate of $0.33. However, this beat was accompanied by a significant price drop of -21.54%. The prior quarter ending April 23, 2026, saw a stronger EPS surprise of 22.22% ($0.22 actual vs. $0.18 estimate), which coincided with a substantial price increase of 76.12%. This pattern suggests that while the company can meet or exceed analyst expectations, the market's reaction is volatile and not solely dependent on earnings beats.
Key Risks
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) faces significant risks, primarily stemming from its heavy insider selling, with over $62.4 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, signaling a potential lack of confidence from management at current price levels. The company's negative EPS of -1.18 also presents a substantial risk, indicating unprofitability and making traditional valuation metrics unreliable. Also, the stock's recent sharp decline of -21.54% following its latest earnings report highlights its high volatility and sensitivity to market sentiment, even when beating estimates.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 57.32 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.77 |
| SMA 50 | 75.34 |
| SMA 200 | 48.00 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($75.34) above the 200-day SMA ($48.00), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.53
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
MXL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$66.77
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$68.13
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$60.18
MAX LOSS
-9.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (57.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$70.11
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$73.44
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$76.78
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
MXL is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 6.57%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MXL in September 2016 would be worth about $38,591 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MXL today could grow to about $27,569 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $209,155 and a bear case around $3,634. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MXL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $102 for MXL by 2030 in the base case, from $68.13 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $28.37. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MXL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $39.73 | $75.40 | $143 |
| 2028 | $33.72 | $83.45 | $207 |
| 2029 | $30.44 | $92.36 | $280 |
| 2030 | $28.37 | $102 | $368 |
| 2031 | $26.99 | $113 | $474 |
| 2032 | $26.06 | $125 | $602 |
| 2033 | $25.43 | $139 | $755 |
| 2034 | $25.03 | $153 | $939 |
| 2035 | $24.82 | $170 | $1,160 |
| 2036 | $24.76 | $188 | $1,425 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MXL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MXL is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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MXL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$62.4M
13 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$4.8M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | SEENDRIPU KISHORE V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 591.5K | $50.4M |
| Feb 3, 2023 | LOUGHEED JAMES R
Officer
|
Sell | 115.9K | $4.7M |
| May 8, 2026 | KWONG CONNIE H.
Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $3.4M |
| Jun 25, 2021 | SEENDRIPU KISHORE V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 81.1K | $3.3M |
| Feb 25, 2021 | SEENDRIPU KISHORE V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 72.3K | $3.0M |
| Feb 19, 2021 | TORGERSON WILLIAM G
Officer
|
Sell | 67.0K | $2.6M |
| Sep 22, 2021 | SEENDRIPU KISHORE V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.1K | $2.0M |
| May 25, 2021 | LOUGHEED JAMES R
Officer
|
Sell | 54.3K | $2.0M |
| Aug 4, 2021 | SEENDRIPU KISHORE V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.1K | $2.0M |
| Jan 8, 2021 | SEENDRIPU KISHORE V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 53.5K | $2.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is MaxLinear, Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is currently trading at $71.51. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Buy', with a consensus score of 68 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for MXL stock?
The median analyst price target for MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is $100.00, suggesting an upside potential of 39.8% from the current price of $71.51.
What are the revenue growth prospects for MaxLinear, Inc.?
MaxLinear, Inc. is projected to experience strong revenue growth, with current year estimates at $738 million (58.00% YoY growth) and next year's estimates at $953.7 million (29.00% YoY growth).
What is the profitability status of MaxLinear, Inc.?
MaxLinear, Inc. is currently unprofitable, reporting a negative EPS of -1.18. This makes traditional P/E ratio analysis impossible and indicates a need for future profit improvement.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for MaxLinear, Inc.?
Insider activity for MaxLinear, Inc. indicates a heavy insider selling, with over $62.4 million in sales and no reported purchases, suggesting a lack of insider confidence at current valuation levels.
How does MaxLinear, Inc. compare to its sector averages?
MaxLinear, Inc.'s revenue growth significantly outpaces the technology sector's average of 10.0%. However, its profitability metrics are currently worse than the sector's average ROE of 15.0% due to negative EPS.
What is MaxLinear, Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, MaxLinear, Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $107.28, with a downside projection of $29.78 and an upside projection of $386.48. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.