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As of September 27, 2026, RTX Corporation (RTX) trades at $189.40. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell on near-term price action, while its valuation model puts fair value at $219.00, 15.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $240.00 across 23 analysts. RSI at 23 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $207.64.
RTX Corporation (RTX)
RTX Corporation NYSE
$189.40
0.7900 (0.42%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
RTX Corporation is currently trading at $189.40, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.64 and $194.69), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's recent earnings have shown consistent beats, with the latest quarter to June 2026 exceeding estimates by 13.86%. However, this positive operational performance is overshadowed by substantial insider selling, with over $53.6 million in dispositions versus only $23.6 thousand in purchases, signaling a heavy sell signal from management. While Wall Street maintains a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $240, suggesting a 26.74% upside, the overwhelming insider selling and oversold RSI of 23 present significant near-term risks that warrant caution.
RTX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$188.07
Day Range
$187.56 to $189.58
Prev Close
$188.61
Volume
3.67M
52-Week Range
$155.64 to $226.88
Market Cap
$255.27B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-2% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
RTX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, RTX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RTX Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
RTX Corporation's technical indicators are flashing bearish signals, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 23, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a bounce but indicating significant downward momentum. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.64 and $194.69), reinforcing a downtrend. The MACD at -5.09 further supports this bearish sentiment. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 3.67 million compared to a 4.41 million average, suggesting a lack of conviction behind current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current trend, but the oversold RSI could provide a temporary floor near current levels.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy selling pressure is a significant bearish signal that outweighs positive analyst targets.
- Given the oversold RSI and price below key moving averages, consider waiting for technical confirmation of a bottom before initiating a long position.
- The AI consensus rating is 'Sell' due to the strong bearish signals from insider activity and technicals, suggesting a cautious approach is warranted.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $53.6 million worth of RTX stock, signaling a lack of confidence and potentially leading to further price declines.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The RSI is at 23, and the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.64 and $194.69), indicating strong bearish momentum and potential for further price drops.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
RTX Corporation has a track record of exceeding EPS estimates, with the latest quarter to June 2026 beating expectations by 13.86%.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
The majority of Wall Street analysts rate RTX Corporation as a 'Buy' with a median price target of $240, suggesting a potential 26.74% upside.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
RTX Corporation faces a challenging near-term outlook despite positive analyst sentiment and consistent earnings beats. The stock is currently trading below key moving averages and exhibits oversold technical conditions, suggesting potential for further downside pressure. The significant insider selling activity, amounting to over $53.6 million, is a strong bearish signal that cannot be ignored. While the median analyst price target of $240 implies a 26.74% upside, the current technical and insider sentiment suggests that this upside may be difficult to achieve without a significant shift in market perception or insider behavior. Potential catalysts for a turnaround would require a clear reversal in insider selling trends and a break above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Conversely, continued selling pressure from insiders or broader market weakness in the aerospace and defense sector could exacerbate the current bearish technicals, pushing the stock towards its oversold support levels. Investors should monitor insider transactions closely and look for technical confirmation before considering a bullish position.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 255.27B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 33.35 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.68 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
| 52 Week High | 226.88 |
| 52 Week Low | 155.64 |
RTX Corporation exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with a price-to-sales ratio of 2.73, which is below the sector average of 4.0, suggesting it may be attractively valued on a sales basis. Its profit margin of 8.28% and operating margin of 12.70% are respectable within the Industrials sector. However, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57 is in line with the sector average, and its return on equity at 12.27% is below the sector median of 17.8%. The current P/E ratio of 33.35 is slightly below the sector average of 34, but given the heavy insider selling and bearish technicals, the valuation may not be sufficient to offset these concerns.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
RTX Corporation has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat earnings per share estimates, with the most recent quarter to June 2026 showing an EPS of $1.89 against an estimate of $1.66, a 13.86% surprise. This positive earnings trend has been observed across the last four reported quarters. Revenue growth for the current year is projected at +9.00% to $96.1 billion, with expectations for continued growth in the coming years. Despite these strong operational results, the significant insider selling activity casts a shadow over the company's near-term prospects.
Key Risks
The primary risk for RTX Corporation stems from significant insider selling, with over $53.6 million in dispositions, signaling a lack of confidence from management. The stock is also trading in oversold territory with a low RSI of 23 and below key moving averages, indicating strong bearish momentum. While analyst targets suggest upside, the current technical and insider sentiment presents a substantial risk of further price declines.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 23.00 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -5.09 |
| SMA 50 | 207.64 |
| SMA 200 | 194.69 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($207.64) above the 200-day SMA ($194.69), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 23.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RTX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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RTX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$193.19
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$189.40
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$199.56
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (23.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$183.53
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$173.87
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$164.21
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for RTX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RTX in September 2016 would be worth about $29,405 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RTX today could grow to about $24,298 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $75,649 and a bear case around $7,805. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RTX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $270 for RTX by 2030 in the base case, from $189 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $132. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RTX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $145 | $207 | $296 |
| 2028 | $136 | $226 | $376 |
| 2029 | $133 | $247 | $460 |
| 2030 | $132 | $270 | $554 |
| 2031 | $132 | $295 | $659 |
| 2032 | $134 | $323 | $778 |
| 2033 | $136 | $353 | $912 |
| 2034 | $140 | $385 | $1,064 |
| 2035 | $143 | $421 | $1,237 |
| 2036 | $148 | $460 | $1,433 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RTX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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RTX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$23.6K
1 Transactions
Sold
$53.6M
21 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2024 | HAYES GREGORY J
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 134.9K | $15.9M |
| Feb 12, 2020 | HAYES GREGORY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 92.9K | $14.3M |
| Feb 19, 2026 | CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 63.6K | $13.0M |
| Feb 19, 2025 | HAYES GREGORY J
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 101.7K | $12.7M |
| Apr 25, 2024 | HAYES GREGORY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 89.8K | $9.1M |
| Feb 12, 2020 | GITLIN DAVID L
Officer
|
Sell | 51.5K | $7.9M |
| Feb 19, 2026 | MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 35.8K | $7.3M |
| Jul 15, 2021 | ORTBERG ROBERT KELLY
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $5.1M |
| Nov 4, 2019 | LEDUC ROBERT F
Officer
|
Sell | 33.2K | $4.9M |
| Sep 11, 2019 | GILL CHARLES D JR
General Counsel
|
Sell | 33.8K | $4.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is RTX Corporation's current stock price and consensus rating?
RTX Corporation is currently trading at $189.40 per share. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Buy', with a consensus score of 71 out of 100.
Is RTX Corporation stock a buy right now?
While Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating and a median price target of $240, suggesting potential upside, the stock exhibits heavy insider selling and oversold technical indicators. The AI consensus rating is 'Sell' due to these significant bearish signals.
What are the key technical indicators for RTX Corporation?
RTX Corporation's RSI at 23.0, indicating oversold conditions. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.64 and $194.69), and its MACD is negative at -5.09, all pointing to bearish momentum.
What is the outlook for RTX Corporation's earnings and revenue?
RTX Corporation has a history of beating EPS estimates, and current year revenue is projected to grow by 9.00% to $96.1 billion. Analysts expect continued revenue growth in the next year, with an average estimate of $103.2 billion.
What are the main risks facing RTX Corporation?
The primary risks include substantial insider selling totaling over $53.6 million and significantly oversold technical conditions. These factors suggest potential for further price depreciation despite positive analyst sentiment and earnings performance.
What is RTX Corporation's fair value and upside potential according to analysts?
The calculated fair value for RTX Corporation is $219.00, implying an upside of 15.63%. Analysts' median price target is $240.00, suggesting a potential upside of 26.74% from the current price.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for RTX Corporation?
Insider activity shows a heavy insider selling with over $53.6 million in sales compared to only $23.6 thousand in purchases, indicating significant selling pressure from insiders.
What is RTX Corporation's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, RTX Corporation's stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $270.15, with a downside projection of $131.72 and an upside projection of $554.06. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.