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As of October 10, 2026, RTX Corporation (RTX) trades at $185.97. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $240.00, 29.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $240.00 across 23 analysts. RSI at 32 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $203.30.
RTX Corporation (RTX)
RTX Corporation NYSE
$185.97
1.650 (0.90%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
RTX Corporation (RTX) is trading at $185.97, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($203.30 and $194.99), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's fair value is estimated at $240.00, suggesting a potential 29.1% upside from current levels, supported by a Wall Street consensus rating of 'Buy' with a median price target of $240.00. RTX operates in the Aerospace & Defense sector, which has a median P/E of 34 and revenue growth of 11.7%, against which RTX's P/E of 32.81 and revenue growth of 14.5% appear competitive. However, significant insider selling, with over $53.6 million in dispositions versus only $23.6 thousand in purchases, presents a notable risk. Despite the bearish technicals and insider selling, RTX's fundamental performance remains solid. The company reported an EPS beat for the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of $1.89 exceeding estimates by 13.86%. Wall Street analysts project revenue growth of 9.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next, with an average EPS estimate of $7.24 for the current year. The company's profit margin stands at 8.28% and its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.57, which aligns with sector averages. The dividend yield is approximately 1.52%.
RTX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$185.20
Day Range
$183.03 to $186.46
Prev Close
$184.32
Volume
3.36M
52-Week Range
$155.64 to $226.88
Market Cap
$250.64B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-3% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
RTX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, RTX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RTX Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+29.05% Upside
Median of 23 analysts (12-month)
$240.00
AI Technical Analysis
RTX Corporation exhibits bearish momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 32.39, indicating it is neither overbought nor oversold but trending downwards. The stock is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, signaling a downtrend. The MACD is also negative at -5.11, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key support levels are being tested as the stock trades below its 50-day SMA of $203.30 and 200-day SMA of $194.99. The current price of $185.97 suggests potential further downside if these levels are breached. Trading volume has been below average recently, with 3.36 million shares traded compared to a 3.82 million average, indicating a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action.
ProTips
- RTX Corporation's significant insider selling, totaling over $53.6 million in dispositions, warrants close monitoring for any further negative signals.
- The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($203.30 and $194.99), suggesting a bearish technical trend; consider waiting for a confirmed break above these levels before initiating new positions.
- With a dividend yield of approximately 1.52%, RTX offers a modest income stream, but investors should prioritize capital appreciation given the current technical and insider selling pressures.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprises Continue
RTX has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 13.86% for the quarter to June 2026, indicating strong operational execution and potential for upward earnings revisions.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsBullish
Analyst Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target for RTX is $240.00, representing a 29.1% upside from the current price, suggesting Wall Street sees significant value not yet reflected in the stock price.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $53.6 million in RTX stock, significantly outweighing purchases, which could signal a lack of confidence in near-term stock performance.
Source: Insider Transaction FilingsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($203.30 and $194.99), with a bearish RSI reading, indicating a potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis DataMarket Outlook
RTX Corporation's outlook is cautiously optimistic, with a base case scenario targeting $240.00 based on analyst consensus and fair value estimates, implying a 29.1% upside from current levels. The company's strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats provide a foundation for potential appreciation, supported by projected revenue growth of 9.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next. However, the bearish technical indicators, including the stock trading below key moving averages and negative RSI momentum, present immediate headwinds. Significant insider selling further tempers the outlook, suggesting potential internal concerns that could counteract positive analyst sentiment. A catalyst for upside would be a clear break above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while a failure to hold current support levels could lead to further downside, testing the lower end of analyst price targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 250.64B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 32.81 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.68 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.52% |
| 52 Week High | 226.88 |
| 52 Week Low | 155.64 |
RTX Corporation's valuation appears attractive relative to its sector, with a P/E ratio of 32.81 compared to the sector median of 34.00, and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.69 against a sector average of 4.00. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 12.27%, slightly below the sector median of 17.80%, but its profit margin of 8.28% and operating margin of 12.70% are healthy. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57 is in line with the sector average. Despite a slightly lower ROE than the sector, RTX's revenue growth of 14.5% outpaces the sector's 11.7% median growth. Analysts project revenue growth of 9.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next, with EPS expected to grow to $7.86 next year. The current price of $185.97 is below the median analyst target price of $240.00, implying a significant upside potential.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
RTX Corporation has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS of $1.89 for the quarter to June 2026, which surpassed the estimate of $1.66 by 13.86% and resulted in a 1.74% stock price increase. This follows a pattern of positive surprises in previous quarters, including a 17.11% beat in the quarter to March 2026. The company's forward guidance indicates continued revenue growth, with analysts projecting a 9.00% increase for the current year and 8.00% for the next.
Key Risks
The primary risk for RTX Corporation stems from significant insider selling, with over $53.6 million in dispositions versus minimal purchases, signaling potential concerns among management. Also, the stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish technical trend and potential for further price declines. Competition within the aerospace and defense sector remains intense, requiring continuous innovation and contract wins to maintain market position.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 32.39 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -5.11 |
| SMA 50 | 203.30 |
| SMA 200 | 194.99 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($203.30) above the 200-day SMA ($194.99), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RTX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
RTX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$184.11
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$185.97
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$178.59
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (32.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$189.63
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$193.32
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$198.84
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for RTX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RTX in October 2016 would be worth about $29,557 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RTX today could grow to about $24,354 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $75,824 and a bear case around $7,822. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RTX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $266 for RTX by 2030 in the base case, from $186 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $129. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RTX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $142 | $203 | $291 |
| 2028 | $134 | $222 | $369 |
| 2029 | $130 | $243 | $452 |
| 2030 | $129 | $266 | $545 |
| 2031 | $130 | $290 | $648 |
| 2032 | $132 | $317 | $765 |
| 2033 | $134 | $347 | $897 |
| 2034 | $137 | $379 | $1,047 |
| 2035 | $141 | $414 | $1,217 |
| 2036 | $145 | $453 | $1,410 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RTX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
RTX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$23.6K
1 Transactions
Sold
$53.6M
21 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2024 | HAYES GREGORY J
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 134.9K | $15.9M |
| Feb 12, 2020 | HAYES GREGORY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 92.9K | $14.3M |
| Feb 19, 2026 | CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 63.6K | $13.0M |
| Feb 19, 2025 | HAYES GREGORY J
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 101.7K | $12.7M |
| Apr 25, 2024 | HAYES GREGORY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 89.8K | $9.1M |
| Feb 12, 2020 | GITLIN DAVID L
Officer
|
Sell | 51.5K | $7.9M |
| Feb 19, 2026 | MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 35.8K | $7.3M |
| Jul 15, 2021 | ORTBERG ROBERT KELLY
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $5.1M |
| Nov 4, 2019 | LEDUC ROBERT F
Officer
|
Sell | 33.2K | $4.9M |
| Sep 11, 2019 | GILL CHARLES D JR
General Counsel
|
Sell | 33.8K | $4.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is RTX Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?
RTX Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $265.50, with a downside scenario of $129.45 and an upside scenario of $544.53. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is RTX Corporation stock a buy right now?
RTX Corporation is currently rated a 'Hold' with a consensus score of 59. While analysts have a median price target of $240.00, suggesting a 29.1% upside, the stock is trading below its key moving averages and exhibits bearish momentum.
What are the recent earnings results for RTX Corporation?
RTX Corporation most recently reported for the quarter to June 2026, with an EPS of $1.89, beating the estimate of $1.66 by 13.86%. This positive earnings surprise contributed to a 1.74% stock price increase.
How does RTX Corporation compare to its sector peers?
RTX Corporation operates in the Industrials sector. Its P/E ratio of 32.81 is slightly below the sector median of 34, and its revenue growth of 14.5% exceeds the sector's median growth of 11.7%. However, its ROE of 12.27% is below the sector median of 17.80%.
What are the main risks facing RTX Corporation?
Significant insider selling, with over $53.6 million in dispositions, poses a key risk. Additionally, the stock's bearish technical trend, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($203.30 and $194.99), and intense competition in the aerospace and defense industry are notable risks.
What is the Wall Street consensus on RTX Corporation?
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus for RTX Corporation, with a score of 73 out of 100. This is based on 16 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy' ratings versus 7 'Hold' ratings, and no 'Sell' ratings.
What is RTX Corporation's dividend yield?
RTX Corporation currently offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.52%, with a dividend rate of $2.82.