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As of September 26, 2026, Rheinmetall AG (RHM) trades at €982.40. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of €1,600.00, 62.9% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is €1,600.00 across 21 analysts. RSI at 39 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of €1,089.20.
Rheinmetall AG (RHM)
Rheinmetall AG XETR
€982.40
-7.600 (-0.77%)
At close: Sep 25, 3:00 AM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
76 / 100
Rheinmetall AG (RHM) is trading at €982.40, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (€1,089.20 and €1,360.87), reflecting current technical weakness. However, the company is positioned for substantial growth, with analysts projecting a 41.5% compound annual growth rate over the next five years. The defense sector, where RHM operates, is experiencing increased demand due to geopolitical factors, providing a favorable backdrop for the company's expansion. The company's fundamental profile shows a strong return on equity of 25.69% and a healthy profit margin of 6.26%, though its price-to-sales ratio of 4.02 is slightly above the sector median of 4.0. Despite the current price being below key moving averages, the strong forward-looking estimates and analyst conviction suggest potential for a rebound.
RHM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
€990.00
Day Range
€969.70 to €994.60
Prev Close
€990.00
Volume
199.3K
52-Week Range
€928.80 to €2,008.00
Market Cap
$45.85B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (11% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
RHM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, RHM beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RHM Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+62.87% Upside
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
€1,600.00
AI Technical Analysis
At €982.40, Rheinmetall AG exhibits bearish momentum with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 39.46, indicating it is not overbought and has room for potential upside. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (€1,089.20 and €1,360.87), signaling a downtrend. MACD is at -31.85, suggesting bearish momentum, and the CCI is at -168.37, further reinforcing the negative sentiment. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with the latest volume at 199,296 compared to an average of 171,960. The current price action suggests a challenging near-term outlook until it can reclaim its key moving averages.
ProTips
- Given the current technical weakness, consider waiting for confirmation of a trend reversal or a break above key resistance levels before initiating new positions.
- Rheinmetall AG's strong revenue growth of 68.8% and projected 40.00% for the current year, coupled with a sector ETF (ITA) that tracks the aerospace and defense industry, suggests a favorable industry tailwind.
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely, particularly the revenue growth figures and management's guidance, as they will be critical in validating the aggressive growth estimates.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Consensus and Price Targets
21 analysts cover Rheinmetall AG with a median price target of €1600.00, representing a 62.9% upside from the current price, indicating strong conviction in future performance.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Strong Forward Growth Estimates
Next year's EPS is estimated at €53.51, and revenue growth is projected at 34.00%, with a 5-year compound annual growth rate estimate of 41.5%, signaling significant expansion potential.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Positive Sector Tailwinds in Aerospace & Defense
Increased global geopolitical tensions are driving higher defense spending, benefiting companies like Rheinmetall AG within the Industrials sector.
Source: Sector AnalysisBullish
Recent Earnings Beat in June 2026 Quarter
Rheinmetall AG exceeded EPS estimates by 13.94% in its latest reported quarter, demonstrating operational execution capabilities.
Source: Earnings ReportBearish
Current Technical Weakness
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (€1,089.20 and €1,360.87), with bearish RSI and MACD indicators, suggesting potential for further short-term price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Rheinmetall AG anticipates a recovery and upward trajectory, driven by strong demand in the aerospace and defense sector and strong growth estimates. Analysts project a median price target of €1600.00, implying a 62.9% upside from the current price, and forward EPS estimates for the current year are €37.21. The company's strong revenue growth and profitability metrics support this optimistic outlook. Potential catalysts include continued geopolitical tensions that strengthen defense spending, successful new contract wins, and a general market rotation into industrial and defense stocks. Downside risks include a failure to meet aggressive growth expectations, increased competition, or a significant shift in global defense policy. The stock's current technical weakness needs to be overcome for this bullish outlook to materialize.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 45.85B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 37.73 |
| EPS (TTM) | 26.04 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.17% |
| 52 Week High | 2,008.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 928.80 |
Rheinmetall AG's current valuation, with a P/E ratio of 37.73, trades at a premium compared to the sector median of 34.0. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 4.02 is in line with the sector average, and its return on equity at 25.69% significantly surpasses the sector's 17.8%. The company demonstrates strong operational efficiency with an operating margin of 14.44% and a profit margin of 6.26%. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52 is slightly above the sector average, but manageable given its profitability. The strong revenue growth of 68.8% indicates strong market demand for its products, supporting the premium valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Rheinmetall AG most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of €7.52, beating the estimated €6.60 by 13.94%, though the stock saw a slight price decrease of 1.09%. Prior to this, the company missed earnings estimates for the quarter ending September 2025, reporting €3.30 against an estimate of €4.40, a 25% miss, with a slight positive price reaction of 0.06% on that date. Overall, the company has shown a mixed but generally positive earnings surprise trend in recent quarters, with the latest quarter demonstrating a solid beat. Forward estimates for the current year project EPS of €37.21 and revenue growth of 40.00%, indicating strong expected performance.
Key Risks
Rheinmetall AG faces risks associated with its current technical positioning, trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum, which could lead to further short-term price declines. The company's P/E ratio of 37.73 is also elevated compared to the sector average, suggesting a potential valuation risk if growth expectations are not met. Also, while the defense sector is strong, geopolitical shifts or changes in government defense spending could impact future demand. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, while manageable, warrants monitoring in a rising interest rate environment.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 39.46 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -31.85 |
| SMA 50 | 1,089.20 |
| SMA 200 | 1,360.87 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: €1,089.20, 200-day: €1,360.87), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.04
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RHM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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RHM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
€962.75
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
€982.40
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
€925.69
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (39.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
€1,010.89
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
€1,059.03
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
€1,107.16
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for RHM is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RHM in September 2016 would be worth about $155,912 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RHM today could grow to about $44,134 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $207,603 and a bear case around $9,382. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RHM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,779 for RHM by 2030 in the base case, from $982 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $668. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RHM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $698 | $1,140 | $1,860 |
| 2028 | $661 | $1,322 | $2,642 |
| 2029 | $657 | $1,534 | $3,581 |
| 2030 | $668 | $1,779 | $4,737 |
| 2031 | $691 | $2,064 | $6,168 |
| 2032 | $722 | $2,394 | $7,944 |
| 2033 | $760 | $2,777 | $10,145 |
| 2034 | $807 | $3,222 | $12,870 |
| 2035 | $860 | $3,738 | $16,238 |
| 2036 | $922 | $4,336 | $20,395 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RHM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Rheinmetall AG stock a buy right now?
Rheinmetall AG (RHM) is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 76 out of 100. The median analyst price target is €1600.00, suggesting an upside of 62.9% from the current price of €982.40. Strong growth estimates and a positive sector outlook support this rating.
What is Rheinmetall AG's price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Rheinmetall AG's base case price projection for 2030 is €1779.09, with a downside scenario of €668.19 and an upside scenario of €4736.94. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
How did Rheinmetall AG perform in its latest earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Rheinmetall AG reported an EPS of €7.52, exceeding the estimate of €6.60 by 13.94%. Despite this earnings beat, the stock experienced a minor price decline of 1.09% on the reporting date.
What are the key risks facing Rheinmetall AG?
Key risks for Rheinmetall AG include its current technical weakness, trading below significant moving averages, and a premium P/E ratio of 37.73 compared to the sector median. Geopolitical shifts and potential changes in government defense spending also pose risks.
How does Rheinmetall AG's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Rheinmetall AG's P/E ratio of 37.73 is higher than the Industrials sector median of 34.0. However, its return on equity of 25.69% significantly outperforms the sector's 17.8%, and its price-to-sales ratio of 4.02 is in line with the sector average.
What is the revenue growth outlook for Rheinmetall AG?
Rheinmetall AG reported strong historical revenue growth of 68.8%. Forward estimates are also strong, with current year revenue growth projected at 40.00% and next year at 34.00%. The next quarter revenue estimate shows a significant increase of 130.00% year-over-year.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Rheinmetall AG stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Rheinmetall AG is predominantly 'Buy', with 4 Strong Buys, 14 Buys, and 3 Holds among 21 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 76 out of 100, indicating a positive sentiment from analysts.