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As of October 11, 2026, Rheinmetall AG (RHM) trades at €939.10. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of €939.10, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is €1,600.00 across 21 analysts. RSI at 35 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of €1,070.33.
Rheinmetall AG (RHM)
Rheinmetall AG XETR
€939.10
4.200 (0.45%)
At close: Oct 9, 3:00 AM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
76 / 100
At €939.10, Rheinmetall AG (RHM) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (€1,070.33 and €1,329.83), indicating a bearish short-term trend. However, the company is experiencing significant revenue growth, with current year estimates showing a 40.00% increase year-over-year, and next year projected at 33.00%. This growth is supported by strong analyst conviction, with 21 analysts covering the stock and a consensus rating of Buy. The company's fundamentals show a healthy return on equity of 25.69% and a profit margin of 6.26%, though its P/E ratio of 36.31 is above the sector median of 34. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.52, which is in line with the sector average. Despite the current technical weakness, the strong forward-looking estimates and analyst support present a compelling case for potential upside.
RHM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
€926.60
Day Range
€920.80 to €939.90
Prev Close
€934.90
Volume
160.8K
52-Week Range
€909.00 to €2,008.00
Market Cap
$43.83B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (7% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
RHM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, RHM beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RHM Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+70.38% Upside
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
€1,600.00
AI Technical Analysis
With an RSI of 34.68, Rheinmetall AG exhibits bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day SMA (€1070.33) and 200-day SMA (€1329.83). The MACD indicator is also negative at -34.32, reinforcing the current downtrend. The stock's recent trading volume has been below its average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from buyers at current levels. Key support levels are being tested, and a break below the current price could lead to further downside. Investors should monitor the 50-day SMA as a potential resistance level on any upward price movement. The current technical setup indicates caution, with a risk of further declines before any potential reversal.
ProTips
- Monitor RHM's ability to break above its 50-day SMA (€1070.33) as a key indicator of a potential trend reversal.
- Given the current bearish technical momentum, consider risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders below recent lows.
- The company's strong revenue growth projections are a key driver; watch for any signs of deceleration in future earnings reports or guidance.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat
Rheinmetall AG exceeded Q2 2026 EPS estimates by 13.94% (€7.52 actual vs €6.60 estimate), indicating operational strength.
Source: Company PRBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analysts project current year revenue growth of 40.00% and next year growth of 33.00%, signaling significant market expansion.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
High Analyst Conviction
A 'Buy' consensus from 21 analysts with a median price target of €1600 suggests strong institutional belief in the company's future performance.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (€1,070.33 and €1,329.83), indicating bearish technical momentum.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Mixed Earnings History
While the latest quarter was a beat, a significant EPS miss in Q3 2025 highlights potential earnings volatility.
Source: Earnings AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Rheinmetall AG (RHM) anticipates a potential recovery driven by strong forward-looking estimates and continued analyst support, targeting a median price of €1600. The company's projected revenue growth of 40.00% for the current year and 33.00% for the next, coupled with a strong EPS outlook, provides a solid foundation for this optimism. However, the current technical setup presents a near-term headwind, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing bearish momentum. A catalyst for a sustained upward move would likely require a clear break above the 50-day SMA and confirmation of continued strong earnings performance. Failure to overcome current technical resistance or any significant slowdown in growth could lead to the downside projection of €636.72 materializing.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 43.83B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.31 |
| EPS (TTM) | 25.75 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.22% |
| 52 Week High | 2,008.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 909.00 |
Rheinmetall AG's P/E ratio of 36.31 is slightly above the Industrials sector median of 34, suggesting a modest premium valuation. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 3.82 is in line with the sector average of 4. The company demonstrates strong profitability with a return on equity of 25.69% and an operating margin of 14.44%, outpacing the sector average ROE of 17.8%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52 is manageable and aligns with the sector. While current valuation metrics suggest a premium, the strong revenue growth projections (40.00% for the current year and 33.00% for the next) and strong EPS estimates provide a fundamental basis for this valuation. The market appears to be pricing in significant future expansion.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Rheinmetall AG most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, beating analyst estimates with an actual EPS of €7.52 compared to an estimate of €6.60, a surprise of 13.94%. This beat was accompanied by a minor price decline of 1.09%. Prior quarters show mixed performance, including a significant miss in the quarter ending September 2025, where EPS was €3.30 against an estimate of €4.40 (-25% surprise). The company's forward EPS estimates are strong, with current year projections at €37.19 and next year at €53.39.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Rheinmetall AG is its current technical weakness, with the stock trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. Valuation, while supported by growth, is also a consideration, as the P/E ratio is above the sector median. Also, the mixed earnings surprise history, including a notable miss in late 2025, indicates potential volatility in performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 34.68 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -34.32 |
| SMA 50 | 1,070.33 |
| SMA 200 | 1,329.83 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: €1,070.33, 200-day: €1,329.83), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.04
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RHM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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RHM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
€920.32
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
€939.10
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
€891.70
MAX LOSS
-3.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (34.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
€966.33
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
€1,012.35
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
€1,058.37
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for RHM is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RHM in October 2016 would be worth about $151,614 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RHM today could grow to about $43,834 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $206,333 and a bear case around $9,312. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RHM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,696 for RHM by 2030 in the base case, from $939 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $637. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RHM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $667 | $1,089 | $1,777 |
| 2028 | $631 | $1,262 | $2,523 |
| 2029 | $626 | $1,463 | $3,418 |
| 2030 | $637 | $1,696 | $4,518 |
| 2031 | $658 | $1,966 | $5,879 |
| 2032 | $687 | $2,279 | $7,567 |
| 2033 | $723 | $2,642 | $9,657 |
| 2034 | $766 | $3,063 | $12,243 |
| 2035 | $817 | $3,551 | $15,437 |
| 2036 | $875 | $4,116 | $19,377 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RHM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Rheinmetall AG's current stock price and consensus rating?
Rheinmetall AG (RHM) is currently trading at €939.10. The consensus rating among 21 analysts is Buy, with a Wall Street score of 76 out of 100.
What is the median Wall Street price target for RHM stock?
The median Wall Street price target for Rheinmetall AG is €1600.00, suggesting a potential upside of 70.4% from the current price of €939.10.
How has Rheinmetall AG performed in recent earnings reports?
Rheinmetall AG recently beat earnings expectations for the quarter ending June 2026, reporting an EPS of €7.52 against an estimate of €6.60. However, prior quarters have shown mixed results, including a significant miss.
What are the key technical indicators for RHM stock?
RHM exhibits bearish technical momentum with an RSI at 34.7 and is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (€1,070.33 and €1,329.83). The MACD is also negative, indicating a downtrend.
How does Rheinmetall AG's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Rheinmetall AG's P/E ratio of 36.31 is slightly above the Industrials sector median of 34. However, its strong return on equity of 25.69% and strong growth prospects justify this premium for many analysts.
What are the revenue growth projections for Rheinmetall AG?
Analysts project strong revenue growth for Rheinmetall AG, with current year estimates at 40.00% year-over-year and next year projected at 33.00%. Next quarter revenue is expected to grow by an impressive 130.00%.
What is RHM stock's forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Rheinmetall AG's stock price forecast for 2030 has a base case of €1696.04 and a downside projection of €636.72. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.