Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of September 23, 2026, Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) trades at $195.96. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $302.00, 54.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $302.00 across 8 analysts. RSI at 60 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $200.64.
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)
Modine Manufacturing Company NYSE
$195.96
-1.660 (-0.84%)
At close: Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is currently trading at $195.96, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($200.64 and $212.44). Despite this, the stock exhibits bullish momentum, indicated by its RSI of 60.33 and trading above its 20-day EMA. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a 31.00% year-over-year increase. Wall Street analysts maintain a largely positive outlook, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $302, suggesting a 54.1% upside potential. Fundamental analysis reveals a P/E ratio of 73.74, which is significantly higher than the sector average of 20.8. However, the company's profit margin of 4.28% and return on equity of 13.09% are respectable. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.55, aligning with the sector average. The primary risk appears to be the elevated valuation relative to sector peers, alongside significant insider selling activity.
MOD Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$197.74
Day Range
$192.82 to $203.23
Prev Close
$197.62
Volume
1.64M
52-Week Range
$111.18 to $323.25
Market Cap
$10.41B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+255%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
MOD Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, MOD beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
MOD Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+54.11% Upside
Median of 8 analysts (12-month)
$302.00
AI Technical Analysis
At $195.96, Modine Manufacturing Company is trading below its 50-day SMA of $200.64 and its 200-day SMA of $212.44, indicating a bearish trend in the medium to long term. However, the stock is trading above its 20-day EMA of $189.42, suggesting some short-term support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60.33, which is in the bullish territory, signaling positive momentum. The MACD is currently at -2.84, indicating a bearish divergence. Volume has been above average recently, with the latest volume at 1.64 million, 36.9% above the average of 1.2 million, suggesting increased investor interest. Key support levels are near the 20-day EMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as significant dispositions could signal a lack of short-term confidence from management.
- Given the stock's position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($200.64 and $212.44), consider waiting for a confirmed break above these levels before initiating new long positions.
- The company's dividend yield is 0.24%, which is relatively low. Investors seeking income may find other opportunities more attractive.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current year revenue growth is estimated at 28.00%, significantly outpacing sector averages, indicating strong market demand for Modine's products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Earnings Surprises
Modine has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 20.47% in the quarter to June 2026, leading to positive stock price reactions.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
High Analyst Price Target
The median analyst price target of $302 suggests a potential upside of 54.1% from the current stock price, reflecting strong analyst conviction.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Significant Insider Selling
Insiders have sold $71.4 million worth of stock, indicating potential concerns about short-term stock performance despite positive long-term outlooks.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Elevated Valuation Multiples
The P/E ratio of 73.74 and P/S ratio of 3.11 are substantially higher than sector averages, posing a risk of valuation contraction.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Modine Manufacturing Company is expected to see continued growth, with analysts projecting revenue to increase by 28.00% in the current year and 23.00% in the next. The company's strong earnings surprise history and bullish momentum suggest potential for upside, with a median analyst price target of $302 representing a 54.1% increase from current levels. Key catalysts for future performance include continued execution on revenue growth initiatives and potential positive impacts from analyst upgrades. However, investors should monitor the significant insider selling and the high valuation multiples relative to the sector, which could act as headwinds or trigger a valuation reset if growth expectations are not met.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 10.41B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 73.74 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.68 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.24% |
| 52 Week High | 323.25 |
| 52 Week Low | 111.18 |
Modine Manufacturing Company's valuation metrics present a mixed picture, with a P/E ratio of 73.74 significantly exceeding the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.11 is also higher than the sector average of 1.9. Despite the high P/E, the company's fundamentals show strength in growth and profitability. Revenue growth is projected at 28% for the current year, far surpassing the sector average of 7.2%. The profit margin stands at 4.28%, and the return on equity is 13.09%, both indicating healthy operational performance. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55 is in line with the sector average, suggesting a manageable debt load.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Modine Manufacturing Company has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates. In the quarter to June 2026, actual EPS was $1.53 against an estimate of $1.27, a 20.47% surprise, leading to an 8.91% price increase. The previous quarter also saw a beat, though the stock reacted negatively. Overall, the company has consistently delivered positive EPS surprises, indicating reliable earnings performance and management's ability to meet or exceed expectations.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Modine Manufacturing Company is its elevated valuation, with a P/E ratio significantly higher than its sector peers, suggesting potential for a valuation correction. Additionally, substantial insider selling, totaling $71.4 million in the recent period, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence in the stock price. The stock is also trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating potential near-term headwinds.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 60.33 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.84 |
| SMA 50 | 200.64 |
| SMA 200 | 212.44 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $200.64, 200-day: $212.44), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.57
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.60
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.03
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MOD? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
MOD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$192.04
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$195.96
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$176.50
MAX LOSS
-8.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (60.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$201.64
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$211.24
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$220.85
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
MOD is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.19%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 23, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MOD in September 2016 would be worth about $168,640 today, compared with about $35,806 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MOD today could grow to about $45,301 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $343,681 and a bear case around $5,971. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MOD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $359 for MOD by 2030 in the base case, from $196 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $99.54. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MOD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $120 | $228 | $433 |
| 2028 | $107 | $265 | $656 |
| 2029 | $102 | $308 | $935 |
| 2030 | $99.54 | $359 | $1,292 |
| 2031 | $99.53 | $417 | $1,748 |
| 2032 | $101 | $485 | $2,331 |
| 2033 | $104 | $564 | $3,074 |
| 2034 | $107 | $656 | $4,020 |
| 2035 | $112 | $763 | $5,219 |
| 2036 | $117 | $888 | $6,735 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MOD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MOD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MOD Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$71.4M
18 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$4.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | AGEN BRIAN JON
Officer
|
Sell | 38.3K | $11.3M |
| Jun 1, 2026 | MCGINNIS ERIC S
Officer
|
Sell | 38.1K | $10.9M |
| Jul 31, 2025 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 80.7K | $10.4M |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 82.3K | $7.4M |
| Aug 5, 2025 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 40.4K | $5.7M |
| Nov 8, 2024 | MCGINNIS ERIC S
Officer
|
Sell | 44.0K | $5.6M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | AGEN BRIAN JON
Officer
|
Sell | 47.9K | $5.3M |
| Dec 2, 2025 | BRINKER NEIL DAVID
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 31.9K | $5.1M |
| Jun 16, 2026 | ASHLEMAN ERIC D
Director
|
Sell | 15.0K | $4.3M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 19.6K | $4.3M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Modine Manufacturing Company's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Modine Manufacturing Company's stock is projected to trade between $99.54 and $1291.82 by 2030, with a base case of $358.6. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Modine Manufacturing Company stock a buy right now?
Modine Manufacturing Company is rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 78 out of 100. The median analyst price target of $302 suggests a 54.1% upside from the current price of $195.96.
What are the biggest risks facing Modine Manufacturing Company?
The primary risks include a high P/E ratio compared to sector averages and significant insider selling totaling $71.4 million. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($200.64 and $212.44).
How has Modine Manufacturing Company performed in recent earnings reports?
Modine Manufacturing Company has a history of beating earnings estimates, most recently reporting $1.53 EPS against an estimate of $1.27 for the quarter ending June 2026, a 20.47% surprise. This beat led to an 8.91% stock price increase.
What is Modine Manufacturing Company's revenue growth outlook?
Revenue growth is strong, with current quarter estimates projecting a 31.00% year-over-year increase. The company is expected to achieve 28.00% revenue growth for the current year and 23.00% for the next year.
How does Modine Manufacturing Company's valuation compare to its sector?
Modine Manufacturing Company's P/E ratio of 73.74 and price-to-sales ratio of 3.11 are significantly higher than the Consumer Cyclical sector medians of 20.8 and 1.9, respectively, indicating a premium valuation.
What is the technical outlook for Modine Manufacturing Company stock?
While trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($200.64 and $212.44), the stock exhibits bullish momentum with an RSI at 60.3 and trading above its 20-day EMA. However, the MACD indicates a bearish divergence.