Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of October 11, 2026, Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) trades at $181.56. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $302.00, 66.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $302.00 across 8 analysts. RSI at 40 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $190.31.
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)
Modine Manufacturing Company NYSE
$181.56
-0.3300 (-0.18%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is currently trading at $181.56, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($190.31 and $215.01), indicating short-term technical weakness. However, the company has a history of beating earnings estimates, most recently with a 20.47% EPS surprise in the quarter ending June 2026. Analyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with 8 analysts covering the stock, all recommending a Buy or Outperform rating, and a median price target of $302.00 suggesting significant upside potential. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 4.28% and a return on equity of 13.09%, which are above the sector median for Consumer Cyclical companies. Despite a heavy insider selling signal totaling $71.4 million, the overall analyst consensus and forward growth estimates, particularly for next year's revenue growth of 21.00%, support a bullish outlook.
MOD Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$183.60
Day Range
$179.45 to $185.50
Prev Close
$181.89
Volume
714.6K
52-Week Range
$111.18 to $323.25
Market Cap
$9.64B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+229%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
MOD Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, MOD beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
MOD Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+66.34% Upside
Median of 8 analysts (12-month)
$302.00
AI Technical Analysis
Modine Manufacturing Company's RSI is at 39.67, indicating bearish momentum, and the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($190.31 and $215.01). The MACD is also negative at -2.35, reinforcing the current bearish technical trend. Key support levels are being tested, and the current price action suggests a potential for further downside in the short term if these levels do not hold. Volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current price movement. Investors should monitor the stock's ability to reclaim its key moving averages for signs of a trend reversal.
ProTips
- Monitor insider activity closely; the recent heavy selling, while concerning, should be weighed against the strong analyst consensus and growth projections.
- Given the current technical weakness, consider waiting for the stock to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages before initiating or adding to a position.
- The company's reported revenue growth of 28% is exceptional; verify this figure against official company filings to ensure its sustainability.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Modine Manufacturing Company has a strong track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 20.47% in Q2 2026, which has historically driven positive price action.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Forward Growth Estimates
Analysts project significant acceleration in revenue and EPS growth for the next fiscal year, with revenue expected to grow 21.00% and EPS projected to increase substantially.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
Heavy Insider Selling
Insiders have sold a significant amount totaling $71.4 million, indicating potential concerns about short-term valuation or future performance from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($190.31 and $215.01), suggesting bearish momentum and potential for further price declines if support levels are breached.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Modine Manufacturing Company's base case outlook is positive, supported by strong analyst conviction and projected earnings growth. The median analyst price target of $302.00 suggests a potential upside of 66.3% from the current price, driven by strong revenue growth estimates of 21.00% for next year and a 5-year average annual growth rate of 41.8%. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling and a premium valuation that could pose a risk if growth falters. A sustained break below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages could signal a shift in momentum, while continued earnings beats and successful execution of growth strategies would validate the bullish analyst targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 9.64B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 68.47 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.66 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.26% |
| 52 Week High | 323.25 |
| 52 Week Low | 111.18 |
Modine Manufacturing Company trades at a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 68.47, significantly above the sector average of 20.8, and its Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.87 is also higher than the sector median of 1.9. This suggests the stock is trading at a premium valuation relative to its peers. Despite the premium valuation, the company demonstrates strong operational efficiency with an operating margin of 9.00% and a return on equity of 13.09%, exceeding the sector average ROE of 12.4%. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.55, which is in line with the sector average. The company's reported revenue growth of 28% is exceptional and warrants verification against company filings.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Modine Manufacturing Company has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS of $1.53 for the quarter ending June 2026, which was 20.47% above the estimate of $1.27, leading to an 8.91% price increase. This follows a pattern of positive surprises, including a 10.32% beat in the prior quarter and a 20.2% beat in the quarter ending December 2025. Forward earnings estimates are strong, with current year EPS projected at $6.50 and next year's at $10.15, indicating substantial growth. Revenue growth is also projected to accelerate, with next year's revenue expected to increase by 21.00%.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Modine Manufacturing Company is its elevated valuation, with a P/E ratio significantly higher than the sector average, suggesting potential for a valuation reset. Also, a heavy insider selling signal totaling $71.4 million indicates a lack of confidence from management in the short to medium term. The stock is also trading below key technical indicators, including its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling potential near-term price weakness.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 39.67 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.35 |
| SMA 50 | 190.31 |
| SMA 200 | 215.01 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $190.31, 200-day: $215.01), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.55
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.58
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MOD? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
MOD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$177.93
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$181.56
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$168.20
MAX LOSS
-5.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (39.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$186.83
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$195.72
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$204.62
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
MOD is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.65%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MOD in October 2016 would be worth about $156,517 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MOD today could grow to about $44,501 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $337,615 and a bear case around $5,866. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MOD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $330 for MOD by 2030 in the base case, from $182 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $91.58. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MOD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $111 | $211 | $400 |
| 2028 | $98.88 | $245 | $606 |
| 2029 | $93.65 | $284 | $862 |
| 2030 | $91.58 | $330 | $1,188 |
| 2031 | $91.39 | $383 | $1,605 |
| 2032 | $92.55 | $445 | $2,137 |
| 2033 | $94.75 | $516 | $2,813 |
| 2034 | $97.85 | $599 | $3,672 |
| 2035 | $102 | $696 | $4,758 |
| 2036 | $106 | $808 | $6,130 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MOD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MOD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MOD Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$71.4M
18 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$4.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | AGEN BRIAN JON
Officer
|
Sell | 38.3K | $11.3M |
| Jun 1, 2026 | MCGINNIS ERIC S
Officer
|
Sell | 38.1K | $10.9M |
| Jul 31, 2025 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 80.7K | $10.4M |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 82.3K | $7.4M |
| Aug 5, 2025 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 40.4K | $5.7M |
| Nov 8, 2024 | MCGINNIS ERIC S
Officer
|
Sell | 44.0K | $5.6M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | AGEN BRIAN JON
Officer
|
Sell | 47.9K | $5.3M |
| Dec 2, 2025 | BRINKER NEIL DAVID
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 31.9K | $5.1M |
| Jun 16, 2026 | ASHLEMAN ERIC D
Director
|
Sell | 15.0K | $4.3M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 19.6K | $4.3M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Modine Manufacturing Company's stock price forecast for 2030?
Modine Manufacturing Company's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $329.89, with a downside scenario of $91.58 and an upside scenario of $1188.4. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Modine Manufacturing Company stock a buy right now?
Modine Manufacturing Company is currently rated a Buy by analysts, with a median price target of $302.00 suggesting 66.3% upside from the current price of $181.56. Despite current technical headwinds, the strong earnings track record and positive forward estimates support this rating.
What are Modine Manufacturing Company's recent earnings results?
Modine Manufacturing Company recently reported an EPS of $1.53 for the quarter ending June 2026, beating estimates by 20.47% and driving the stock price up by 8.91%. The company has a consistent history of earnings beats.
How does Modine Manufacturing Company compare to its sector peers?
Modine Manufacturing Company's P/E ratio of 68.47 and P/S ratio of 2.87 are higher than the sector averages of 20.8 and 1.9, respectively. However, its ROE of 13.09% is above the sector median of 12.4%.
What is the technical outlook for Modine Manufacturing Company stock?
The technical outlook for Modine Manufacturing Company is currently bearish, with the RSI at 39.7 and the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($190.31 and $215.01). Investors should watch for a reclaim of these key levels to signal a potential trend reversal.
What are the main risks facing Modine Manufacturing Company?
Key risks include its high valuation relative to sector peers, significant insider selling totaling $71.4 million, and current bearish technical indicators. The stock's premium valuation may be vulnerable to correction if growth expectations are not met.
What are the growth prospects for Modine Manufacturing Company?
Growth prospects appear strong, with current year EPS estimated at $6.50 and next year's at $10.15. Revenue growth is projected to accelerate to 21.00% next year, and the company has a strong long-term growth estimate of 41.8% annually over the next five years.