Lennar Corporation (LEN)

Lennar closed at $86.65 on November 10, 2026, down 5.38% in the session, after a stretch of weak analyst action: Morgan Stanley kept its Underweight rating on November 3, and Wells Fargo kept its Equal-Weight rating on November 2. The stock is up 12.99% over one month and 1.03% lower over three months, but it is still down 29.67% over the past year. CleaRank rates the stock Hold with a score of 47 out of 100, and the reading is driven by a low valuation offset by slowing revenue and a weak earnings record. For a homebuilder whose fortunes depend on housing demand and mortgage conditions, the gap between a discounted valuation and a shrinking top line is the central question.

The latest analyst actions have leaned toward caution. Morgan Stanley kept its Underweight rating on November 3, 2026, Wells Fargo kept its Equal-Weight rating on November 2, 2026, and Melius Research started coverage at Sell on October 6, 2026. Of 21 analysts with a current rating, 2 rate the stock buy or strong buy, 9 hold it, and 10 rate it sell or strong sell. Three months ago, 2 of 18 ratings were buy. The consensus is Sell, and the median 12-month target of $73.00 sits below the current price.

The trailing P/E of 16.41 is at a discount to peers, 21.1% below the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8, and the price-to-sales ratio of 0.64 is 66.3% below the sector median of 1.9. Those figures are why the valuation factor is the strongest support in CleaRank's score. Return on equity of 5.96% is below the sector median of 12.4%, so the cheap multiple is not matched by strong returns on capital.

Lennar's September 16, 2026 report showed EPS of $1.23 on an adjusted basis, a miss of 4.65% against the $1.29 estimate, and the stock rose 1.71% in the first session after it. Of the last seven reports, only two beat the EPS estimate, and in both of those cases the share price fell in the first session. The June 11, 2026 report beat by 6.50%, with the stock down 4.90% the next session. Reported EPS over the last twelve months is $5.28, which the valuation calculation uses.

The stock fell 5.38% in the latest session, on volume 27.0% below its average. Over one month it is up 12.99%, but over one year it is down 29.67%, and its 14-day RSI of 53.2 is in the neutral zone with the MACD line positive. The price is 6.28% above its 50-day average but 4.06% below its 200-day average, which is why the trend reads as mixed. The stock's beta of 1.38 means it has tended to move more than the broad market.

The base case is that Lennar trades in a range set by its moving averages while the market weighs slowing revenue against a cheap valuation. The stock sits above its 50-day average of $81.53 but below its 200-day average of $90.32, so a sustained move above $90.32 would be the first sign that the longer trend is repairing. Analysts' estimates point to EPS shrinking 38.8% this fiscal year to $4.94, then growing 5.8% next fiscal year to $5.22, and revenue is expected to shrink 7.9% this year. The median 12-month analyst target is $73.00, 15.8% below the price, with a range from $58.00 to $120.00. Conditions that would improve the outlook are a return to revenue growth and a beat on EPS; conditions that would worsen it are another miss and a break below the 50-day average. A simulation based on past volatility is not a forecast, but the stock's 3.59% typical daily move gives a sense of how wide swings can be.

Support sits first at the 20-day exponential moving average of $85.56, the level a fall would meet first, followed by the 50-day simple moving average of $81.53, and then the 52-week low of $71.78. Resistance sits first at the 200-day simple moving average of $90.32, which a rise would meet first, and then the 52-week high of $133.76. The 200-day average is the level that matters most for the longer trend, because the stock has not closed above it in this reading.