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As of September 27, 2026, Lennar Corp. (LEN) trades at $82.15. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $78.00, 5.1% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $78.00 across 19 analysts. RSI at 47 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $83.81.
Lennar Corp. (LEN)
Lennar Corp. NYSE
$82.15
0.6800 (0.83%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
41 / 100
Lennar Corp. (LEN) is currently trading at $82.15, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($83.81 and $95.20), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's recent revenue growth has been negative at -8.7%, and forward estimates suggest continued contraction in the current year. Analysts maintain a mixed outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Hold' and a median price target of $78.00, implying a 4.95% downside from the current price. The company's fundamental valuation metrics, such as a P/E ratio of 14.64 and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.62, appear reasonable when compared to sector averages, but the negative revenue growth and analyst sentiment temper enthusiasm. Despite the current technical weakness and analyst caution, Lennar Corp. operates within the Residential Construction sector, which is influenced by interest rate environments and housing demand. The company's profit margin of 4.09% and return on equity of 5.96% are modest, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 is healthy. However, the recent earnings reports show volatility, with a significant EPS beat in the quarter to December 2025 but misses in other recent quarters. The forward-looking growth estimates also indicate a slowdown. Investors should monitor housing market indicators and interest rate policy for potential shifts in the sector's outlook.
LEN Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$82.00
Day Range
$80.37 to $82.27
Prev Close
$81.47
Volume
3.89M
52-Week Range
$75.70 to $139.44
Market Cap
$19.79B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XHB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-30%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LEN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, LEN beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LEN Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-5.05% Downside
Median of 19 analysts (12-month)
$78.00
AI Technical Analysis
Lennar Corp. (LEN) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $83.81 and its 200-day SMA of $95.20, signaling a bearish trend. The RSI is at 47, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -1.06, further supporting a cautious technical stance. The stock is trading above its 20-day EMA of $81.51, offering some short-term support, but the broader trend remains downward. Key support levels are near the current price, with the 20-day EMA acting as immediate resistance. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. The current chart structure implies potential for further downside if the stock cannot reclaim its longer-term moving averages, especially given the recent negative revenue growth and mixed earnings performance.
ProTips
- Monitor housing market indicators and interest rate movements closely, as these are critical drivers for Lennar Corp.'s business.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($83.81 and $95.20), suggesting caution for short-term traders until these levels are reclaimed.
- Given the mixed earnings and negative revenue growth, consider position sizing carefully and avoid over-exposure until a clear upward trend emerges.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Continued Decline in Housing Starts
A sustained drop in new housing starts due to high interest rates or economic uncertainty could further depress Lennar's sales and profitability.
Source: Economic IndicatorsBearish
Missed Earnings Estimates
Further misses on EPS estimates in upcoming quarters could lead to negative analyst revisions and stock price declines.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsBullish
Potential Interest Rate Cuts
A pivot by the Federal Reserve towards interest rate cuts could stimulate housing demand and improve Lennar's sales outlook.
Source: Monetary Policy AnnouncementsNeutral
Stock Grants as Compensation
Insider activity consists solely of stock grants, indicating compensation rather than open-market investment, providing no directional signal.
Source: Insider FilingsMarket Outlook
Lennar Corp. (LEN) faces a challenging near-term outlook, with its stock price below key moving averages and negative revenue growth trends. The median analyst price target of $78.00 suggests a potential downside from the current $82.15 level, and forward estimates indicate continued revenue contraction in the current year. The company's operational performance has been inconsistent, as evidenced by mixed earnings surprises. Potential upside catalysts could include a significant improvement in housing market conditions, a decrease in interest rates, or a strong rebound in consumer confidence. Conversely, persistent high interest rates, increased competition, or further deterioration in the housing market could exacerbate current headwinds and push the stock lower. The company's healthy debt-to-equity ratio provides some financial flexibility, but sustained negative revenue growth remains a primary concern.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 19.79B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.64 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.44% |
| 52 Week High | 139.44 |
| 52 Week Low | 75.70 |
Lennar Corp. (LEN) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 14.64, which is below the sector average of 20.8, suggesting a potential valuation discount. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.62 is also below the sector median of 1.9. However, the company's revenue growth has been negative at -8.7%, contrasting with the sector's average revenue growth of 7.2%. The company's profit margin stands at 4.09% and its return on equity is 5.96%, both below the sector averages of 12.4% for ROE. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 is healthy and below the sector average. While the valuation multiples appear attractive relative to the sector, the declining revenue and below-average profitability metrics raise concerns about the company's growth prospects and efficiency.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lennar Corp. (LEN) has shown inconsistent earnings performance recently. In the quarter to September 2026, the company reported an EPS of $1.23 against an estimate of $1.29, missing expectations by 4.65%. This follows a beat in the prior quarter to June 2026, where EPS was $1.31 versus an estimate of $1.23. The company also missed estimates in the quarter to March 2026. However, it significantly beat estimates in the quarter to December 2025, reporting an EPS of -0.32 against an estimate of -2.13.
Key Risks
Lennar Corp. faces significant risks including a bearish technical trend with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative revenue growth. The company's forward earnings and revenue estimates also point to a slowdown, and the median analyst price target suggests limited upside. Also, the mixed earnings surprises in recent quarters indicate potential operational inconsistencies.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 47.00 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.06 |
| SMA 50 | 83.81 |
| SMA 200 | 95.20 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $83.81, 200-day: $95.20), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LEN? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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LEN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$81.33
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$82.15
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$78.44
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (47.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$83.77
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$85.39
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$87.83
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for LEN is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LEN in September 2016 would be worth about $20,202 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LEN today could grow to about $20,117 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $92,470 and a bear case around $4,377. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LEN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $109 for LEN by 2030 in the base case, from $82.15 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $41.41. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LEN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $54.39 | $88.10 | $143 |
| 2028 | $47.76 | $94.48 | $187 |
| 2029 | $43.94 | $101 | $234 |
| 2030 | $41.41 | $109 | $285 |
| 2031 | $39.63 | $117 | $343 |
| 2032 | $38.34 | $125 | $407 |
| 2033 | $37.40 | $134 | $480 |
| 2034 | $36.73 | $144 | $562 |
| 2035 | $36.26 | $154 | $655 |
| 2036 | $35.95 | $165 | $760 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LEN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LEN Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
N/A
Values not reported
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2020 | STOWELL SCOTT D
Director
|
Sell | 300.0K | $20.2M |
| Sep 24, 2020 | STOWELL SCOTT D
Director
|
Sell | 120.0K | $9.3M |
| Dec 21, 2023 | SUSTANA MARK
General Counsel
|
Sell | 37.3K | $5.5M |
| Aug 17, 2020 | SUSTANA MARK
General Counsel
|
Sell | 40.0K | $3.1M |
| Oct 28, 2024 | SONNENFELD JEFFREY ALAN
Director
|
Sell | 17.5K | $3.1M |
| May 9, 2018 | MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH
Officer
|
Sell | 50.9K | $2.7M |
| Jul 8, 2020 | COLLINS DAVID M
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $2.6M |
| May 23, 2018 | MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH
Officer
|
Sell | 50.9K | $2.6M |
| Jul 1, 2020 | JAFFE JONATHAN M
President
|
Sell | 40.0K | $2.5M |
| May 15, 2024 | MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $1.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Lennar Corp.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Lennar Corp.'s stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $108.65, with a downside scenario of $41.41 and an upside scenario of $285.10. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Lennar Corp. stock a buy right now?
Lennar Corp. stock is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 41. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($83.81 and $95.20), and the median analyst price target of $78.00 suggests limited upside from the current price of $82.15.
What is Lennar Corp.'s current technical momentum?
Lennar Corp.'s technical momentum is currently neutral, with an RSI at 47.0. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($83.81 and $95.20), indicating a bearish trend, although it is above its 20-day EMA.
How does Lennar Corp.'s valuation compare to its sector?
Lennar Corp.'s P/E ratio of 14.64 and price-to-sales ratio of 0.62 are below the sector averages of 20.8 and 1.9, respectively. However, its revenue growth of -8.7% lags the sector's 7.2% average.
What are the recent earnings trends for Lennar Corp.?
Lennar Corp. has shown mixed earnings results, with a significant EPS beat in the quarter to December 2025 but misses in other recent quarters, including the most recent quarter to September 2026.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Lennar Corp.?
All reported insider transactions for Lennar Corp. are stock grants or awards, totaling $240,500. There have been no open-market purchases or sales by insiders, indicating that these transactions are related to compensation rather than investment conviction.
What is the outlook for Lennar Corp.'s revenue growth?
Lennar Corp. has experienced negative revenue growth of -8.7% recently. Current year revenue estimates project a further contraction of 8.00%, with modest growth of 4.00% expected in the next year.