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As of October 10, 2026, Lennar Corp. (LEN) trades at $76.69. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $75.00, 2.2% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $75.00 across 20 analysts. RSI at 47 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $82.85.
Lennar Corp. (LEN)
Lennar Corp. NYSE
$76.69
-0.9100 (-1.17%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
41 / 100
Lennar Corp. (LEN) is trading at $76.69, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($82.85 and $93.41), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company's recent earnings report for the quarter ending September 2026 showed a slight EPS miss of -4.65% against estimates, with the stock reacting positively with a 1.71% gain. However, forward-looking estimates indicate a challenging period ahead, with projected revenue growth for the current year at -8.00% and next year at +3.00%, alongside a significant decline in earnings per share for the current year (-38.7%). Despite these fundamental challenges, Lennar Corp. is experiencing strong insider accumulation, with $260.3 million in purchases and no reported sales. The company's own fundamentals show a profit margin of 4.09% and a return on equity of 5.96%, which are below sector averages. Insiders are net buyers with $260.9M in total purchases versus $91.5M in total sales in recent filings. This represents significant institutional accumulation with a buy/sell ratio of 9.2233720368548E+18x. The largest buyer is BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC ($206.7M).
LEN Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$76.87
Day Range
$75.50 to $77.24
Prev Close
$77.60
Volume
3.81M
52-Week Range
$73.75 to $133.76
Market Cap
$18.24B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XHB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-29%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LEN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, LEN beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LEN Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-2.20% Downside
Median of 20 analysts (12-month)
$75.00
AI Technical Analysis
Lennar Corp. (LEN) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $82.85 and its 200-day SMA of $93.41, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 47.17, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD is at -1.54, suggesting downward pressure. Volume on the latest trading day was 3.81 million, significantly below the average of 6.70 million, indicating a lack of conviction from traders. The stock's current price of $76.69 is below its 20-day EMA of $79.57, reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment. Key support levels are not clearly defined by long-term averages due to the current price positioning, and resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA. The lack of strong volume accompanying recent price action suggests caution is warranted.
ProTips
- Significant insider buying, suggests strong conviction from major investors despite current market headwinds.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($82.85 and $93.41), indicating a bearish technical trend that may persist in the short term.
- Given the projected decline in revenue and earnings, investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports and management guidance for signs of stabilization or further deterioration.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Significant Insider Accumulation by some insiders
Berkshire Hathaway has made substantial purchases totaling over $206 million, indicating strong confidence in Lennar Corp.'s long-term prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Projected Decline in Revenue and Earnings
Current year revenue is expected to decrease by 8.00% and EPS by 38.7%, signaling potential headwinds for the company's financial performance.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Majority of Analysts Rate Stock as Hold or Sell
With 9 Holds, 4 Sells, and 5 Strong Sells out of 20 analysts, the Wall Street consensus leans bearish, with a median price target suggesting limited upside.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusNeutral
Mixed Earnings Performance
Lennar Corp. has shown a mixed pattern in recent earnings reports, with two misses and two beats in the last four quarters, making future earnings trajectory uncertain.
Source: Earnings DataMarket Outlook
Lennar Corp. (LEN) faces a challenging outlook, with current year revenue expected to decline 8.00% and EPS projected to fall 38.7%. The median analyst price target of $75.00 suggests limited upside from the current price of $76.69, and the overall Wall Street consensus leans towards Hold. The company's technicals are also bearish, trading below key moving averages with neutral RSI momentum. Potential catalysts for a turnaround could include a stronger-than-expected housing market recovery or successful cost-management initiatives. However, downside risks are significant, including persistent macroeconomic headwinds impacting housing demand, rising interest rates increasing borrowing costs, and intense competition within the residential construction sector. The company's below-average profit margins and ROE also present challenges.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 18.24B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.81 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.13 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.61% |
| 52 Week High | 133.76 |
| 52 Week Low | 73.75 |
Lennar Corp. (LEN) exhibits a P/E ratio of 14.81, which is below the sector median of 20.8, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.57, also lower than the sector median of 1.9. However, its return on equity at 5.96% and profit margin of 4.09% lag behind the sector averages of 12.4% and 4.09% respectively. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.28, which is in line with the sector average. Forward-looking estimates paint a challenging picture, with projected revenue growth for the current year at -8.00% and next year at +3.00%. Earnings per share are expected to decline significantly this year by 38.7%, although a modest recovery is projected for next year with 6.1% growth. This valuation appears somewhat stretched given the negative growth outlook.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lennar Corp. (LEN) reported an EPS of $1.23 for the quarter ending September 2026, missing the estimate of $1.29 by 4.65%, though the stock saw a 1.71% gain on the news. The prior quarter ending June 2026 also saw an EPS miss of 6.50% against estimates, with a price reaction of -4.9%. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history over the last four reported quarters, with two misses and two beats, including a significant beat in the quarter ending December 2025 where actual EPS was $0.32 against an estimate of -$2.13.
Key Risks
Lennar Corp. (LEN) faces significant headwinds from declining revenue and earnings projections, with current year revenue growth estimated at -8.00% and EPS expected to fall 38.7%. The majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a Hold or Sell rating, reflecting concerns about the company's near-term financial trajectory. Also, the stock is trading below key moving averages, indicating a bearish technical setup.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 47.17 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.54 |
| SMA 50 | 82.85 |
| SMA 200 | 93.41 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $82.85, 200-day: $93.41), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LEN? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
LEN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$75.92
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$76.69
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$72.96
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (47.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$78.20
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$79.72
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$82.00
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for LEN is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LEN in October 2016 would be worth about $19,311 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LEN today could grow to about $19,644 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $90,619 and a bear case around $4,258. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LEN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $100 for LEN by 2030 in the base case, from $76.69 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $38.20. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LEN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $50.59 | $82.05 | $133 |
| 2028 | $44.30 | $87.78 | $174 |
| 2029 | $40.65 | $93.91 | $217 |
| 2030 | $38.20 | $100 | $264 |
| 2031 | $36.46 | $107 | $317 |
| 2032 | $35.18 | $115 | $376 |
| 2033 | $34.23 | $123 | $442 |
| 2034 | $33.53 | $132 | $517 |
| 2035 | $33.02 | $141 | $601 |
| 2036 | $32.66 | $151 | $695 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LEN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LEN Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$260.3M
2 Transactions
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$130.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2020 | STOWELL SCOTT D
Director
|
Sell | 300.0K | $20.2M |
| Sep 24, 2020 | STOWELL SCOTT D
Director
|
Sell | 120.0K | $9.3M |
| Dec 21, 2023 | SUSTANA MARK
General Counsel
|
Sell | 37.3K | $5.5M |
| Aug 17, 2020 | SUSTANA MARK
General Counsel
|
Sell | 40.0K | $3.1M |
| Oct 28, 2024 | SONNENFELD JEFFREY ALAN
Director
|
Sell | 17.5K | $3.1M |
| May 9, 2018 | MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH
Officer
|
Sell | 50.9K | $2.7M |
| Jul 8, 2020 | COLLINS DAVID M
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $2.6M |
| May 23, 2018 | MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH
Officer
|
Sell | 50.9K | $2.6M |
| Jul 1, 2020 | JAFFE JONATHAN M
President
|
Sell | 40.0K | $2.5M |
| May 15, 2024 | MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $1.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Lennar Corp.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Lennar Corp.'s stock price projection for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, indicates a base case of $100.47, with a downside scenario of $38.20 and an upside scenario of $264.23. These are statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets.
Is Lennar Corp. stock a buy right now?
Lennar Corp. stock is currently rated a Hold by Wall Street, with a consensus score of 41 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $75.00, suggesting a slight downside from the current price of $76.69.
What are the key risks for Lennar Corp.?
Key risks for Lennar Corp. include projected declines in revenue and earnings for the current year, a majority of analysts rating the stock as Hold or Sell, and a bearish technical trend indicated by its positioning below key moving averages.
How does Lennar Corp. compare to its sector averages?
Lennar Corp.'s P/E ratio of 14.81 and price-to-sales of 0.57 are below the sector medians of 20.8 and 1.9, respectively. However, its return on equity (5.96%) and profit margin (4.09%) lag behind sector averages of 12.4% and 4.09%.
What is the recent insider activity for Lennar Corp.?
Insiders at Lennar Corp. have been net buyers, with $260.3 million in purchases and no reported sales, indicating strong accumulation. Berkshire Hathaway has been the largest buyer, investing significantly in the stock.
What is Lennar Corp.'s dividend yield?
Lennar Corp. currently offers a dividend yield of 2.61%, with a dividend rate of $2.00.
What are the forward-looking estimates for Lennar Corp.'s revenue and earnings?
Forward estimates for Lennar Corp. project current year revenue growth of -8.00% and next year growth of +3.00%. Earnings per share are expected to decrease by 38.7% this year, with a projected recovery of 6.1% next year.