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As of October 11, 2026, PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) trades at $15.48. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $15.48, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $25.00 across 20 analysts. RSI at 42 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $17.35.
PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN)
PENN Entertainment, Inc. NASDAQ
$15.48
-0.2800 (-1.78%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) is currently trading at $15.48, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($17.35 and $16.77), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The company's recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a significant EPS beat in the quarter to June 2026 but a pattern of misses in prior periods. Despite a negative EPS of -6.43 and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.97, the stock is showing signs of insider selling activity, with net buying activity totaling $2.1 million in the recent past. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $25.00, implying a 61.5% upside from the current price. This target is supported by positive revenue growth estimates for the next quarter and year, alongside projected earnings growth. However, the company's negative profit margin of -12.66% and return on equity of -37.58% present significant fundamental challenges that temper the bullish outlook.
PENN Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$15.92
Day Range
$15.40 to $15.97
Prev Close
$15.76
Volume
2.77M
52-Week Range
$11.65 to $22.36
Market Cap
$2.08B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XHB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-79%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
PENN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, PENN beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
PENN Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
PENN Entertainment is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($17.35 and $16.77), signaling a bearish trend in the medium to long term. The current price of $15.48 is also below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average, reinforcing the short-term downward pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 41.69, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current trend, but the 50-day SMA at $17.35 and the 200-day SMA at $16.77 now act as resistance. Volume has been below its average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. The overall technical picture suggests caution, with the price action indicating weakness against key averages.
ProTips
- Insider buying activity totaling $2.1 million suggests a degree of confidence from management, which could be a leading indicator for future performance.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($17.35 and $16.77), indicating bearish momentum; consider waiting for a technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating new positions.
- Given the high debt-to-equity ratio, monitor the company's cash flow and its ability to service its debt obligations, especially if interest rates remain elevated.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Moderate Insider Buying Signal
Insiders have recently purchased $2.1 million worth of PENN Entertainment stock, indicating a positive sentiment and potential belief in future value appreciation.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Substantial Analyst Upside Potential
The median analyst price target for PENN Entertainment is $25.00, representing a 61.5% upside from the current price, suggesting Wall Street sees significant room for growth.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast continued revenue growth for PENN Entertainment, with an estimated 8.00% increase in the next quarter and 7.00% for the current year.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Negative Earnings and Profitability
PENN Entertainment continues to report negative EPS (-6.43) and a negative profit margin (-12.66%), posing a significant risk to its financial health and ability to generate shareholder value.
Source: Company FinancialsBearish
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 5.97, indicating substantial financial leverage and potential risk related to debt servicing, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
Source: Company FinancialsMarket Outlook
PENN Entertainment's outlook is cautiously optimistic, driven by analyst expectations of continued revenue growth and a significant upside potential to the median price target of $25.00. The company is expected to see revenue growth of 8.00% in the next quarter and 7.00% for the current year, with projected earnings growth for both the current and next year. However, the path forward is fraught with challenges. The company's negative EPS and profit margins, coupled with a high debt load, present considerable risks. A turnaround in profitability and effective debt management will be critical to realizing the projected growth and achieving the analyst price targets. Failure to improve financial performance could lead to a re-evaluation of the current 'Hold' consensus.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.08B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -6.43 |
| Dividend Yield | 8.01% |
| 52 Week High | 22.36 |
| 52 Week Low | 11.65 |
PENN Entertainment's valuation is currently challenged by negative earnings, with a reported EPS of -6.43 and a negative profit margin of -12.66%. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at a low 0.29, which is significantly below the sector median of 1.9, suggesting the market is not valuing its sales highly. Its debt-to-equity ratio is high at 5.97, exceeding the sector average of 5.97, indicating substantial financial leverage. Despite these concerns, the company has reported positive revenue growth of 5.2% and analysts project continued revenue increases. The return on equity is a negative -37.58%, indicating inefficiency in generating profits from shareholder equity. The current price of $15.48 is well below the sector median P/E of 20.8, reflecting the market's concerns about profitability, but also potentially offering a value opportunity if earnings can be turned around.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
PENN Entertainment delivered a strong earnings surprise in the quarter to June 2026, reporting an EPS of $0.44 against an estimate of $0.26, a beat of 69.23%, which resulted in a positive 0.25% price change. However, this follows a pattern of mixed performance, including a significant miss in the quarter to September 2025 where EPS was -0.22 against an estimate of -0.03. The company's earnings trajectory shows inconsistency, making future performance difficult to predict with certainty.
Key Risks
A primary risk for PENN Entertainment is its significant financial leverage, evidenced by a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.97. The company's negative profit margin of -12.66% and negative EPS of -6.43 also pose substantial risks to its long-term viability and ability to service its debt. Also, the stock is trading below key moving averages, indicating potential for further downside if market sentiment does not improve.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 41.69 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.59 |
| SMA 50 | 17.35 |
| SMA 200 | 16.77 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($17.35) above the 200-day SMA ($16.77), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with PENN? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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PENN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$15.33
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$15.48
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$14.47
MAX LOSS
-5.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (41.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$15.78
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$16.09
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$16.55
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for PENN is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in PENN in October 2016 would be worth about $10,720 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PENN today could grow to about $14,217 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $107,856 and a bear case around $1,874. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PENN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $17.82 for PENN by 2030 in the base case, from $15.48 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $4.95. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PENN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $8.45 | $16.03 | $30.43 |
| 2028 | $6.71 | $16.61 | $41.11 |
| 2029 | $5.67 | $17.20 | $52.20 |
| 2030 | $4.95 | $17.82 | $64.19 |
| 2031 | $4.40 | $18.46 | $77.35 |
| 2032 | $3.98 | $19.12 | $91.86 |
| 2033 | $3.63 | $19.80 | $108 |
| 2034 | $3.35 | $20.51 | $126 |
| 2035 | $3.11 | $21.25 | $145 |
| 2036 | $2.90 | $22.01 | $167 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PENN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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PENN Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.1M
8 Transactions
Sold
$115.9K
1 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$240.7K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | CARLINO PETER M
Retired
|
Sell | 3.0M | $371.4M |
| Dec 1, 2020 | SNOWDEN JAY A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 205.4K | $14.3M |
| Oct 4, 2021 | SNOWDEN JAY A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 148.4K | $11.5M |
| Mar 15, 2021 | SNOWDEN JAY A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 71.5K | $10.1M |
| Nov 30, 2020 | SOTTOSANTI CARL
General Counsel
|
Sell | 93.1K | $6.7M |
| Dec 27, 2022 | SNOWDEN JAY A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 163.5K | $4.9M |
| Jul 15, 2020 | SOTTOSANTI CARL
General Counsel
|
Sell | 139.1K | $4.4M |
| Dec 26, 2023 | SNOWDEN JAY A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 172.9K | $4.4M |
| Aug 11, 2020 | SOTTOSANTI CARL
General Counsel
|
Sell | 92.3K | $4.3M |
| Dec 8, 2020 | HANDLER DAVID ALAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 55.0K | $4.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is PENN Entertainment stock a buy right now?
PENN Entertainment is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59. While the stock has a median price target of $25.00, implying significant upside from the current $15.48 price, its technicals are bearish and fundamentals show negative EPS and high debt.
What is PENN's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, PENN Entertainment's stock price is projected to be $17.82 in 2030 under a base-case scenario, with a downside projection of $4.95 and an upside projection of $64.19. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What are PENN Entertainment's recent earnings results?
In the quarter to June 2026, PENN Entertainment reported an EPS of $0.44, beating estimates by 69.23% and leading to a 0.25% stock price increase. However, prior quarters have shown mixed results, including a significant miss in the quarter to September 2025.
How does PENN Entertainment's valuation compare to its sector?
PENN Entertainment's price-to-sales ratio of 0.29 is considerably lower than the sector median of 1.9, indicating it is trading at a discount. However, its P/E ratio is not applicable due to negative EPS, and its debt-to-equity ratio is high at 5.97, matching the sector average.
What is the outlook for PENN Entertainment's revenue growth?
Analysts project positive revenue growth for PENN Entertainment. The next quarter is estimated to see an 8.00% year-over-year increase, reaching $1.9 billion, and the current year is projected to grow by 7.00% to $7.4 billion.
Are there any significant insider transactions for PENN Entertainment?
Yes, PENN Entertainment insiders are net sellers, with total purchases of $2.1 million versus $115.9 thousand in sales in recent filings. This moderate buying signal suggests some insider confidence in the company's future prospects.
What are the main risks facing PENN Entertainment?
Key risks include PENN Entertainment's high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.97, negative EPS of -6.43, and a negative profit margin of -12.66%. Additionally, the stock's current technical position below key moving averages suggests potential for further price declines.