Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)
- Market cap
- $11.57B
- P/E
- 11.48
- Dividend yield
- No dividend
- Street target
- $95.00median of 27 analysts
- 52-week range
- $77.20 $122.29
DECK stock forecast today
Where DECK stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
DECK at a glance
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK): Buy, 61/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($82.34 and $98.90).
- Earnings DECK beat estimates in 7 of the 7 reports in our data, yet fell in the first session after 4 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $1.9M and bought $200K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 11.5 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a discount to peers (-45%).
Figures as of November 6, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 61/100.
The biggest contributor is valuation, with the P/E of 11.48 sitting 44.8% below the sector median, a discount to peers. The trend pulls the score down most: the price is 12.33% below its 200-day average and the 50-day average is 16.74% below the 200-day. The 50-day average is $82.34 and the 200-day is $98.90. Across the past year, the price climbed 8.65%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from DECK's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
DECK stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $86.71 is 5.3% above the 50-day simple moving average of $82.34.Price below its 200-day average ›
The price is 12.3% below the 200-day simple moving average of $98.90.50-day average below the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($82.34) is 16.7% below the 200-day average ($98.90), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 21% of its 52-week range, between $77.20 and $122.29.
DECK share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far DECK has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where DECK sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
DECK fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 11.48 is 44.8% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S above the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.08 is 9.2% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $1.1B on revenue of $5.6B, a net margin of 19.0%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
DECK beat the EPS estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.
Key statistics
The headline figures for DECK.
As of November 6, 2026, DECK trades at $86.71, with a market value of $11.57B and a P/E ratio of 11.48.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of DECK's valuation, growth and risks.
DECK trades at a trailing P/E of 11.48, 44.8% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8, which the peer comparison on this page rates as a discount to peers. On sales, the P/S of 2.08 compares with a sector median of 1.9, 9.5% above it. DECK has a market value of $11.6B and trailing earnings of $7.55 a share.
Margins stand at a net margin of 19.00% and an operating margin of 26.30%. Its return on equity is 44.27%, above the sector median of 12.4%. Debt-to-equity of 0.23 rounds out the fundamentals.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) beat expectations in its October 22, 2026 report by 29.05%, posting EPS of $2.31 against the $1.79 analysts had projected. The share price nevertheless dropped 4.91% in the first session after the release.
DECK has topped the EPS estimate in each of the 7 reports in our data, yet the share price fell in the first session after 4 of those 7 beats. The January 29, 2026 report is the standout among the few before the latest: EPS beat the estimate by 20.65%, and the stock then rose 19.46%. For this fiscal year, analysts average an EPS estimate of $7.86, a 12.0% increase, and expect $8.11 next year, which is growth of 3.2%.
DECK's price typically shifts 2.17% on a given day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.11. The stock is 29.09% below its 52-week high of $122.29. Insider activity over the last 18 months shows $1.9M of sales against $200K of open-market purchases. Sales are often planned in advance or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than buying does.
DECK against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How DECK compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: DECK trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-45% against the sector median P/E). Investors are paying less for each dollar of earnings than for the typical stock in the sector.
Return vs SPY: Since May 28, 2025, DECK has lost 16.9% against a gain of 25.1% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
DECK and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much DECK sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to June 30, 2026); DECK reported again on October 22, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 9.8% in FY2026 to $5.5B, from $5.0B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 18.7% in FY2026, down from 19.4% the year before.
Profitable: DECK earned $1.0B in FY2026.
Earnings reality check
Did DECK beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: DECK beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 4 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026after close | $1.79 | $2.31 | +29.05% | -4.91% | -2.95% |
| Jul 23, 2026after close | $0.87 | $0.94 | +8.05% | -0.20% | +3.60% |
| May 21, 2026after close | $0.83 | $0.96 | +15.66% | +3.95% | +10.94% |
| Jan 29, 2026after close | $2.76 | $3.33 | +20.65% | +19.46% | +11.28% |
| Jul 24, 2025after close | $0.68 | $0.93 | +36.76% | +11.35% | +1.17% |
| May 22, 2025after close | $0.61 | $1.00 | +63.93% | -19.86% | -16.31% |
| Jan 30, 2025after close | $2.61 | $3.00 | +14.94% | -20.51% | -22.82% |
As of November 6, 2026, DECK has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 4 of those beats; its latest report, on October 22, 2026, came in 29.05% above the estimate and the stock moved -4.91% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
DECK AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 56.8, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 56.8 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of DECK
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
The price of Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) sits between its two moving averages: at $86.71, it is 12.33% below the 200-day average ($98.90) and 5.30% above the 50-day average ($82.34). At 21% of its 52-week range, the price is 12.32% above the 52-week low of $77.20. The averages lag the price: the 50-day is 16.74% below the 200-day.
The three-month move runs against the others: the price rose 7.88% over the past month, fell 11.03% over the past three months and rose 8.65% over the past year. The price fell 1.17% in the last session on volume 28.1% below its average. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 56.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Barclays kept its Overweight rating on October 26, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Barclays, October 26, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The October 22, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 29.05%, and the share price fell 4.91% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, October 22, 2026
- The two closest levels matter most: the 200-day SMA at $98.90 overhead and the 20-day EMA at $84.24 underneath.
- The 14-day RSI reads 56.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- The share price dropped 4.91% in the first session after the October 22, 2026 report, even though DECK beat estimates in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.
The trend is mixed: DECK is above its 50-day average at $82.34 but below its 200-day average at $98.90. A close above the 200-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 50-day would turn both down. In the meantime the price sits between the 20-day EMA ($84.24) underneath and the 200-day SMA ($98.90) overhead.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for DECK, from its daily closes.
As of November 6, 2026, with DECK at $86.71, its 14-day RSI is 56.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $82.34 and its 200-day is $98.90.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of November 6, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What DECK moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of November 6, 2026, DECK's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.41 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.33 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.02 with gold (XAU).
DECK price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Half or fewer of analysts rate it a buy ›
12 of 27 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 11 a hold and 4 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $95.00 is 9.6% above the price.Buy share not up from three months ago ›
12 of 27 rate it a buy now, against 13 of 26 three months ago.
DECK Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Market Perform |
| Oct 23, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 23, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line |
As of November 6, 2026, 27 Wall Street analysts cover DECK: 12 rate it a buy or strong buy, 11 a hold and 4 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $70.00 to $137.00. The median DECK price target is $95.00, 9.6% above the price of $86.71.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
DECK risk and volatility
How much it moves day to day, and how it stacks up against similar assets.
Risk profile
How much DECK tends to move, against the market and on its own.
DECK price history and drawdowns
DECK's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Typical daily move of 2% or more ›
A typical daily move is 2.17% (the standard deviation of the last 30 daily returns).Not yet recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 65.3%, from January 2025 to September 2026; the price is still 61.1% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
71% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since December 2016 ›
$10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $86,065, against $39,188 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
DECK Drawdowns & Recovery
As of November 6, 2026, DECK's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -65.3% (January 2025 to September 2026); it is still 61.1% below that peak, and 71% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into DECK in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: DECK beat the S&P 500 over this period: $86,065 against $39,188.
A $10,000 investment in DECK in December 2016 would be worth about $86,065 today, compared with about $39,188 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark with its dividends reinvested.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to DECK, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +10.77%, up in 9 of 9 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -4.66%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, November: has averaged +10.77%, up in 9 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Across 10 calendar years of history, DECK's strongest calendar month has been November (average +10.77%, up in 9 of 9 years) and its weakest September (average -4.66%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month across 10 calendar years of history, from weekly closing prices.
DECK stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in DECK, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in DECK today could grow to about $15,159 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $45,288 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,074. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DECK Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $131 for DECK by 2030 in the base case, from $86.71 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $44.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DECK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $55.67 | $96.21 | $166 | |
| 2028 | $49.24 | $107 | $231 | |
| 2029 | $45.91 | $118 | $306 | |
| 2030 | $44.00 | $131 | $393 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of DECK's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
DECK insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
DECK insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $200K on the open market and sold $1.9M.
As of November 6, 2026, DECK insiders reported 7 open-market sales worth $1.9M and 1 open-market purchase worth $200K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | David A Burwick
Director
|
Grant | 535 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Nelson C Chan
Director
|
Grant | 535 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cindy L Davis
Director
|
Grant | 535 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Juan R Figuereo
Director
|
Grant | 535 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Patrick J Grismer
Director
|
Grant | 535 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Grant | 816 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Victor Luis
Director
|
Grant | 914 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Lauri M. Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 535 | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bonita C Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 535 | - |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Marco Ellerker
Officer
|
Grant | 21.7K | - |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Steven J Fasching
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 39.9K | - |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Thomas Garcia
Officer
|
Grant | 26.1K | - |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Angela Ogbechie
Officer
|
Grant | 21.7K | - |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Anne Spangenberg
Officer
|
Grant | 34.7K | - |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Robin Spring-Green
Officer
|
Grant | 28.7K | - |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Caroti Stefano
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 147.6K | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | David A Burwick
Director
|
Grant | 448 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Nelson C Chan
Director
|
Grant | 448 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Cindy L Davis
Director
|
Grant | 448 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Juan R Figuereo
Director
|
Grant | 448 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Patrick J Grismer
Director
|
Grant | 448 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Grant | 683 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Victor Luis
Director
|
Grant | 766 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lauri M. Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 448 | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Bonita C Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 448 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | David A Burwick
Director
|
Grant | 359 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Nelson C Chan
Director
|
Grant | 359 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Cindy L Davis
Director
|
Grant | 359 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Juan R Figuereo
Director
|
Grant | 359 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Patrick J Grismer
Director
|
Grant | 359 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Grant | 570 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Victor Luis
Director
|
Grant | 644 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Lauri M. Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 359 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Bonita C Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 359 | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Lauri M. Shanahan
Director
|
Sell | 4.7K | $537.7K |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Anne Spangenberg
Officer
|
Sell | 4.1K | $471.4K |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Robin Spring-Green
Officer
|
Sell | 347 | $39.5K |
| Nov 18, 2025 | David A Burwick
Director
|
Grant | 518 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Nelson C Chan
Director
|
Grant | 518 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Cindy L Davis
Director
|
Grant | 518 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Juan R Figuereo
Director
|
Grant | 518 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Patrick J Grismer
Director
|
Grant | 691 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Grant | 822 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Victor Luis
Director
|
Grant | 518 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Lauri M. Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 518 | - |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Bonita C Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 518 | - |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Angela Ogbechie
Officer
|
Sell | 1.5K | $118.9K |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Sell | 300 | $35.4K |
| Sep 2, 2025 | David A Burwick
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Nelson C Chan
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Cindy L Davis
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Juan R Figuereo
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Grant | 598 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Victor Luis
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | David A Powers
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Lauri M. Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Bonita C Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 377 | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Marco Ellerker
Officer
|
Grant | 15.4K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Steven J Fasching
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 35.5K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Thomas Garcia
Officer
|
Grant | 23.2K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Angela Ogbechie
Officer
|
Grant | 17.0K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Anne Spangenberg
Officer
|
Grant | 30.9K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Robin Spring-Green
Officer
|
Grant | 23.2K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Caroti Stefano
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 108.0K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Sell | 300 | $32.7K |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Cindy L Davis
Director
|
Buy | 1.8K | $200.3K |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Angela Ogbechie
Officer
|
Sell | 6.2K | $648.7K |
| Jun 2, 2025 | David A Burwick
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Nelson C Chan
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Cindy L Davis
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Juan R Figuereo
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Maha Saleh Ibrahim
Director
|
Grant | 593 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Victor Luis
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | David A Powers
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Lauri M. Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Bonita C Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 374 | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
DECK stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of November 6, 2026.