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As of September 11, 2026, W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) trades at $1,290.43. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $1,352.50, 4.8% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $1,352.50 across 19 analysts. RSI at 45 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $1,333.92.
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW)
W.W. Grainger Inc. NYSE
$1,290.43
18.94 (1.49%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
49 / 100
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) is currently trading at $1290.43, below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating a near-term bearish technical bias. The stock's consensus rating is Hold, supported by a Wall Street score of 49, with a median analyst price target of $1352.50, suggesting limited upside potential of 4.8%. Insiders have been net sellers, offloading $36.3 million in stock over 30 transactions, signaling a moderate sell signal from management. Despite these headwinds, the company operates in the Industrial Distribution sector, which has a median P/E of 34 and revenue growth of 11.7%. GWW's reported revenue growth of 10.3% for the current year aligns with sector averages, and its most recent earnings beat estimates by 6.28%. However, the stock's current price action and insider selling warrant caution.
GWW Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$1,288.51
Day Range
$1,279.42 to $1,293.85
Prev Close
$1,271.49
Volume
3.3K
52-Week Range
$906.52 to $1,419.91
Market Cap
$59.89B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-4% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
GWW Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+4.81% Upside
Median of 19 analysts (12-month)
$1,352.50
AI Technical Analysis
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) is currently trading below its 50-day ($1333.92) and 20-day ($1304.63) moving averages, suggesting a bearish short-term trend. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average ($1184.60), indicating a longer-term bullish trend remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.3, indicating neutral momentum. Volume has been significantly below average recently, with the latest volume at 3324 compared to a 219592 average, suggesting a lack of conviction from traders. Key support is seen around the 200-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day and 20-day SMAs. The current technical setup points to potential consolidation or further downside pressure in the near term.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; a shift towards net buying could signal renewed confidence.
- Watch for GWW to reclaim its 50-day and 20-day moving averages as a sign of improving technical momentum.
- Given the moderate sell signal from insiders, consider position sizing carefully and ensure risk management strategies are in place.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
W.W. Grainger Inc. has a track record of beating analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 6.28% in August 2026. This suggests operational efficiency and strong demand for its products.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $36.3 million worth of GWW stock across 30 transactions, indicating a moderate sell signal and potentially reduced confidence in near-term stock performance.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
GWW is currently trading below its 50-day ($1333.92) and 20-day ($1304.63) moving averages, suggesting bearish short-term technical momentum.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Sector Alignment in Revenue Growth
GWW's reported revenue growth of 10.3% aligns with the Industrial Distribution sector's median growth of 11.7%, indicating it is keeping pace with industry trends.
Source: Company Filings & Sector DataMarket Outlook
The base case for W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) suggests a period of consolidation or limited upside, given the current trading below key moving averages and moderate insider selling. The median analyst price target of $1352.50 indicates a modest 4.8% upside from the current price, aligning with a neutral outlook from Wall Street. Continued revenue growth in line with sector averages and consistent earnings beats provide a foundation, but the technicals and insider activity suggest caution. Potential catalysts for a bullish shift would require a decisive move above the 50-day and 20-day SMAs, accompanied by a change in insider sentiment. Conversely, a failure to hold the 200-day SMA support level could signal a deeper correction, especially if broader industrial sector headwinds emerge or if insider selling accelerates. The company's ability to translate earnings beats into sustained stock price appreciation will be critical.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 59.89B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 32.58 |
| EPS (TTM) | 39.19 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7362% |
| 52 Week High | 1,419.91 |
| 52 Week Low | 906.52 |
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 32.58, which is slightly below the sector median of 34. The company's revenue growth of 10.3% for the current year is in line with the sector's median growth of 11.7%. Its Return on Equity (ROE) is 15.0%, below the sector median of 17.8%, suggesting less efficient profit generation compared to peers. While GWW's valuation appears reasonable relative to its sector, the moderate insider selling and neutral technicals temper enthusiasm. The company's earnings have consistently beaten estimates, but the stock's price action and the significant sell-off by insiders suggest potential underlying concerns that outweigh the current growth trajectory.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) most recently reported earnings on August 4, 2026, beating the analyst estimate of $11.30 by 6.28% with an actual EPS of $12.01, though the stock saw a 1.18% decline on the news. Prior to this, the company beat estimates by 14.1% in May 2026 and 11.11% in April 2026. This consistent pattern of earnings beats suggests strong operational performance, but the market's reaction indicates that these beats may not be sufficient to drive significant stock appreciation given current market conditions or other prevailing factors.
Key Risks
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) faces key risks including moderate insider selling, with $36.3 million in stock sold by insiders, indicating a potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting bearish technical momentum. Also, the limited upside to the median analyst price target of $1352.50 suggests that Wall Street sees little room for significant gains in the near term.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 45.30 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -10.96 |
| SMA 50 | 1,333.92 |
| SMA 200 | 1,184.60 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($1,333.92) above the 200-day SMA ($1,184.60), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
GWW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$1,277.53
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$1,290.43
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$1,239.20
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (45.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$1,315.85
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$1,341.40
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$1,379.73
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for GWW is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in GWW in September 2016 would be worth about $56,700 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GWW today could grow to about $32,368 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $102,708 and a bear case around $10,200. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GWW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $2,064 for GWW by 2030 in the base case, from $1,290 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $995. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GWW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1,007 | $1,451 | $2,091 |
| 2028 | $974 | $1,632 | $2,735 |
| 2029 | $975 | $1,836 | $3,455 |
| 2030 | $995 | $2,064 | $4,285 |
| 2031 | $1,026 | $2,322 | $5,253 |
| 2032 | $1,067 | $2,611 | $6,386 |
| 2033 | $1,117 | $2,936 | $7,716 |
| 2034 | $1,176 | $3,302 | $9,276 |
| 2035 | $1,242 | $3,714 | $11,107 |
| 2036 | $1,316 | $4,177 | $13,254 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GWW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
GWW Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$36.3M
11 Transactions
Insiders
7
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | MACPHERSON DONALD G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.1K | $34.1M |
| Aug 25, 2020 | WILLIAMS SUSAN SLAVIK
Director
|
Sell | 87.0K | $30.4M |
| Sep 16, 2024 | MACPHERSON DONALD G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $27.5M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | MACPHERSON DONALD G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 26.7K | $26.0M |
| Sep 4, 2015 | RYAN JAMES T
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 69.1K | $15.3M |
| Jan 3, 2017 | RYAN JAMES T
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 65.0K | $15.2M |
| Sep 30, 2024 | MACPHERSON DONALD G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 13.0K | $13.5M |
| Nov 5, 2024 | ROBBINS PAIGE K
Officer
|
Sell | 9.6K | $10.7M |
| Dec 2, 2022 | MACPHERSON DONALD G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.4K | $8.6M |
| Apr 24, 2018 | JADIN RONALD L
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 29.0K | $8.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is W.W. Grainger Inc.'s consensus rating?
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) currently holds a consensus rating of Hold. This rating is based on a Wall Street score of 49 out of 100, with 19 analysts covering the stock.
What is the median analyst price target for GWW stock?
The median analyst price target for W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) is $1352.50, with a range from a low of $1100 to a high of $1500. This suggests an upside potential of 4.8% from the current price of $1290.43.
Are W.W. Grainger Inc. insiders buying or selling stock?
Insiders at W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) are net sellers of the stock. There have been no reported insider purchases, while total sales amount to $36.3 million in recent filings, indicating a moderate sell signal.
How is GWW performing technically?
Technically, W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) is showing bearish near-term momentum, trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages. However, it remains above its 200-day moving average, indicating a longer-term bullish trend is still in place. The RSI is neutral at 45.3.
What is the revenue growth outlook for W.W. Grainger Inc.?
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) is projected to achieve approximately 9.00% revenue growth for the current quarter and next quarter. For the full current year, revenue growth is estimated at 10.00%, and for the next year, it is expected to be around 7.00%.
What are the biggest risks facing W.W. Grainger Inc.?
The primary risks for W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) include significant insider selling, a bearish technical outlook with the stock below key moving averages, and limited upside potential according to Wall Street price targets. These factors suggest potential headwinds for the stock in the near to medium term.
How does W.W. Grainger Inc. compare to its sector averages?
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) operates in the Industrial Distribution sector. Its P/E ratio of 32.58 is slightly below the sector median of 34, and its revenue growth of 10.3% is comparable to the sector median of 11.7%. However, its ROE of 15.0% is below the sector median of 17.8%.
What is W.W. Grainger Inc.'s long-range projection for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) has a projected base price of $2064.33 for 2030, with a downside projection of $994.51 and an upside projection of $4285. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.