CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Michelle Sofia, Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) is currently trading at $1330.62, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($1,290.49 and $1,217.29), indicating positive short-to-medium term momentum. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 10.3% and a strong profit margin of 9.92%, contributing to a healthy return on equity of 46.09%. This performance is reflected in its bullish 14-day RSI of 63.51 and a MACD value of 5.36, suggesting continued upward pressure. Moderate insider selling, with total sales of $35.1 million versus no reported purchases, warrants attention. Wall Street analysts are largely neutral, with a consensus 'Hold' rating and a median price target of $1352.5, implying only a modest 1.6% upside.
GWW at a glance
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW): Hold, 51/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendUp: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($1,290.49 and $1,217.29).
EarningsGWW beat estimates in 2 of its last 3 quarters, yet fell the next day after every one of them.
InsidersInsiders sold $35.1M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 33.9 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: broadly in line with peers (0%).
As of October 15, 2026, W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) trades at $1,330.62. Wall Street's consensus target is $1,352.50 across 19 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 64, showing bullish momentum without being overbought, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $1,290.49.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from GWW's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
GWW Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 3 quarters, GWW beat the analyst estimate 2 times; the stock fell in the first session after 2 of those beats.
GWW earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Aug 4, 2026
$11.30
$12.01
+6.28%
-1.18%
+0.11%
May 7, 2026
$10.21
$11.65
+14.10%
-0.03%
+4.06%
Feb 3, 2026
$9.46
$9.44
-0.21%
+3.46%
+2.86%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, GWW has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 3 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on August 4, 2026, came in 6.28% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.18% in the first session.
GWW Analysis
Company's Health4/5
12-Month Analyst Target+1.64% above price
Median of 19 analysts (12-month)
$1,352.50
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
W.W. Grainger Inc. is exhibiting bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day SMA of $1290.49 and its 200-day SMA of $1217.29. The 14-day RSI is at 63.51, indicating strong bullish momentum without being overbought. The MACD is positive at 5.36, further supporting an upward trend. The stock's price is also above its 20-day EMA of $1287.14. Volume has been significantly above average, with the latest volume at 440,900 compared to an average of 260,340, representing a 69.4% increase, which suggests strong investor interest. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be found near previous highs or psychological price points.
Key Catalysts
BullishContinued Earnings Beats
W.W. Grainger Inc. has a recent history of beating EPS estimates, including a 6.28% beat in its latest report. Continued positive earnings surprises could drive further upside.
Source: Earnings Reports
BearishModerate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold over $35 million worth of stock with no reported purchases.
Source: Insider Transactions
NeutralWall Street Consensus Shift
The current 'Hold' consensus from 19 analysts, with a median target price of $1352.5, suggests limited conviction for significant upside, leaving the stock vulnerable to rating downgrades.
Source: Analyst Ratings
BullishStrong Revenue Growth
The company reported 10.3% revenue growth, aligning with projected growth rates for the current and next year, which supports its current valuation.
Source: Company Filings
Market Outlook
The base case outlook for W.W. Grainger Inc. anticipates continued stability and moderate growth, supported by its strong market position in industrial distribution and consistent revenue generation. The company's ability to maintain its current valuation multiples, despite moderate insider selling, suggests underlying business strength. Analysts project a 5-year average annual growth rate of approximately 14.3%, which could support the stock's current valuation. Potential upside catalysts include stronger-than-expected earnings beats, which have been a recent trend, and continued positive momentum in the industrials sector. Conversely, a significant slowdown in revenue growth, increased competitive pressure, or a shift in analyst sentiment from 'Hold' to 'Sell' could pressure the stock. The current median analyst target of $1352.5 suggests limited immediate upside, making the risk-reward profile balanced at current levels.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
62.67B
P/E Ratio
33.94
EPS (TTM)
39.21
Dividend Yield
0.71%
52 Week High
1,419.91
52 Week Low
906.52
As of October 15, 2026, GWW trades at $1,330.62, with a market value of $62.67B, a P/E ratio of 33.94 and a dividend yield of 0.71%.
W.W. Grainger Inc. demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 9.92% and an operating margin of 16.07%, contributing to an impressive return on equity of 46.09%. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.33, which is slightly below the sector median of 4.0. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.62, which is in line with the sector average. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 33.94, is currently in line with the Industrials sector median of 34. While revenue growth of 10.3% is strong and slightly below the sector average of 11.7%, the current valuation suggests that much of this growth may already be priced in. The strong ROE indicates efficient use of shareholder capital.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
W.W. Grainger Inc. most recently reported earnings on August 4, 2026, with an EPS of $12.01, beating the estimate of $11.30 by 6.28%. This followed a strong beat in the prior quarter where EPS of $11.65 exceeded estimates by 14.1%. While the company has a history of beating analyst expectations, the stock experienced a slight decline of -1.18% following the latest earnings report. Forward estimates indicate continued growth, with the current year's EPS expected to reach $46.45 and next year's at $51.00. Revenue growth is projected at 10.00% for the current year and 7.00% for the next.
Key Risks
Moderate insider selling, with over $35 million in sales and no reported purchases, suggests a potential lack of conviction from management regarding near-term upside. The stock's valuation, while in line with sector averages, is elevated, leaving it susceptible to pullbacks if growth expectations are not met. Also, the consensus 'Hold' rating from Wall Street analysts indicates a balanced view, with limited immediate upside potential.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
63.51
MACD (12, 26)
5.36
SMA (50-day)
1,290.49
SMA (200-day)
1,217.29
Technical RatingBullish
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($1,290.49) above the 200-day SMA ($1,217.29), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
As of October 15, 2026, with GWW at $1,330.62, its 14-day RSI is 63.5 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $1,290.49 and its 200-day is $1,217.29.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.33
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.04
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.03
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, GWW's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.44 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.33 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.04 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.03 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with GWW? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
As of October 15, 2026, 19 Wall Street analysts cover GWW: 4 rate it a buy or strong buy, 13 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $1,100.00 to $1,500.00, with a median of $1,352.50, 1.6% above the price of $1,330.62.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
GWW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$1,317.31
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$1,330.62
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$1,252.11
MAX LOSS
-5.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (63.5) and current market volatility
These levels come from GWW's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in GWW in October 2016 would be worth about $62,010 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
GWW Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-38.2%
January 2017 to August 2017
Recovery
5 months
back at the old peak by January 2018
From the 10-year high
-5.1%
highest close, July 2026
1-year holds that gained
84%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, GWW's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -38.2% (January 2017 to August 2017); it regained that peak by January 2018, 5 months after the low, and 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GWW today could grow to about $26,531 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $84,005 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,379. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.71% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GWW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,966 for GWW by 2030 in the base case, from $1,331 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $948. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GWW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
GWW simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$1,019
$1,467
$2,112
2028
$966
$1,617
$2,708
2029
$948
$1,783
$3,352
2030
$948
$1,966
$4,075
2031
$959
$2,167
$4,896
Method: a lognormal simulation of GWW's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 15, 2026, GWW insiders reported 10 open-market sales worth $35.1M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in GWW
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
May 12, 2026
ROBBINS PAIGE K
Officer
Sell
1.5K
$1.8M
May 12, 2026
LEROY JONATHAN MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
854
$1.1M
May 12, 2026
THOMSON LAURIE R.
Officer
Sell
313
$385.5K
Apr 2, 2026
MERRIWETHER DEIDRA C
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
1.5K
$1.7M
Apr 1, 2026
BERARDINELLI KRANTZ NANCY L
Officer
Grant
1.8K
-
Apr 1, 2026
LEROY JONATHAN MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
Grant
996
-
Apr 1, 2026
MACPHERSON DONALD G
Chief Executive Officer
Grant
8.8K
-
Apr 1, 2026
MERRIWETHER DEIDRA C
Chief Financial Officer
Grant
2.9K
-
Apr 1, 2026
ROBBINS PAIGE K
Officer
Grant
2.5K
-
Apr 1, 2026
THOMSON LAURIE R.
Officer
Grant
268
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is W.W. Grainger Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) is currently trading at $1330.62. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', based on 19 analysts covering the stock.
What are the key technical indicators for W.W. Grainger Inc. stock?
The stock shows bullish technical momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($1,290.49 and $1,217.29), with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 indicating strong bullish sentiment without being overbought. Volume has also been significantly above average.
How does W.W. Grainger Inc.'s valuation compare to its sector peers?
W.W. Grainger Inc.'s P/E ratio of 33.94 is in line with the Industrials sector median of 34. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.33 is slightly below the sector average of 4.0, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 is also comparable to the sector.
What is the outlook for W.W. Grainger Inc.'s earnings and revenue growth?
Analysts project current year EPS to reach $46.45 and next year's EPS to be $51.00. Revenue growth is estimated at 10.00% for the current year and 7.00% for the next, with a projected 5-year average annual growth rate of 14.3%.
Are there any significant insider transactions for W.W. Grainger Inc.?
Insiders have been net sellers, with total sales amounting to $35.1 million across recent filings and no reported purchases. This 'Moderate Sell Signal' warrants attention from investors.
What is the median analyst price target for W.W. Grainger Inc. stock?
The median analyst price target for W.W. Grainger Inc. is $1352.50, suggesting a modest upside potential of 1.6% from the current price of $1330.62.
Does GWW pay a dividend?
Yes. As of October 15, 2026, GWW's dividend yield is 0.71%, or about $9.50 per share a year at the current price of $1,330.62. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
What is GWW's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -38.2%, from January 2017 to August 2017. It regained that peak by January 2018, 5 months after the low. Over the same period, 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are GWW's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, November has been GWW's strongest month on average (+7.78%, rising in 9 of 10 years) and September its weakest (-1.09%, rising in 4 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does GWW move with the stock market?
Over the past year GWW's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.44). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.33; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.04; Gold (XAU): +0.03. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
