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As of September 26, 2026, Deere & Company (DE) trades at $690.46. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $728.00, 5.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $728.00 across 25 analysts. RSI at 49 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $640.85.
Deere & Company (DE)
Deere & Company NYSE
$690.46
-4.480 (-0.64%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Deere & Company (DE) is trading at $690.46, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($640.85 and $582.80), indicating a generally positive technical trend. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 38.32 and Price/Sales of 3.88, appears rich compared to sector medians of 34 and 4, respectively. Despite this, the stock holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from 25 analysts, with a median price target of $728.00, suggesting a modest 5.4% upside. Recent earnings have shown mixed performance, with a beat in the quarter to September 2026 but a miss in the quarter to June 2026. Significant insider selling, totaling $55.9 million, is a notable concern, contrasting with the overall analyst sentiment. The company operates in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry within the Industrials sector, which has a median revenue growth of 11.7%.
DE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$694.99
Day Range
$681.06 to $698.29
Prev Close
$694.94
Volume
1.11M
52-Week Range
$433.00 to $721.22
Market Cap
$186.17B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (13% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
DE Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, DE beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
DE Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+5.44% Upside
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$728.00
AI Technical Analysis
Deere & Company's stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($640.85 and $582.80), signaling an upward trend. The RSI is at 48.53, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD at 16.31 suggests positive momentum. The stock is also trading above its 20-day EMA ($677.92). Volume has been below its average, with the latest volume at 1.11 million compared to an average of 1.35 million, representing a 17.7% decrease. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be found near recent highs. The neutral RSI suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, offering room for potential movement in either direction based on catalysts.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; significant selling pressure from management could signal underlying concerns not yet reflected in analyst ratings.
- Given the stock's current trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), consider the 50-day SMA as a potential support level for short-term trading strategies.
- The company's premium valuation metrics, particularly its P/E ratio, warrant caution. Investors should assess whether future growth prospects justify the current price multiples.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling
Insiders have sold over $55.9 million in stock, indicating potential concerns about future performance or valuation among management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgrades
Several analysts have maintained or upgraded their ratings to 'Outperform' or 'Buy' in recent months, suggesting confidence in the company's long-term prospects.
Source: Analyst RatingsNeutral
Mixed Recent Earnings Performance
While the quarter ending September 2026 showed an EPS beat, the prior quarter's performance and stock reaction highlight volatility and potential unpredictability in earnings.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Projected Revenue Rebound
After a projected dip in revenue for the current year, estimates show a significant rebound with 8.00% growth expected next year, driven by anticipated market demand.
Source: Analyst EstimatesMarket Outlook
The outlook for Deere & Company suggests a period of consolidation and potential modest upside, with a median analyst price target of $728.00, implying a 5.4% increase from the current price. The company's strong operational efficiency, evidenced by an ROE of 18.24% that slightly surpasses the sector median, and positive analyst ratings provide a foundation for stability. However, the premium valuation and significant insider selling are headwinds that temper aggressive bullishness. The next 12 months are expected to see revenue growth rebound to 8.00% next year, following a projected dip in the current quarter and year. Upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected agricultural demand or successful new product launches, while downside risks involve a broader economic slowdown impacting farm equipment sales or increased competition.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 186.17B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.32 |
| EPS (TTM) | 18.02 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.94% |
| 52 Week High | 721.22 |
| 52 Week Low | 433.00 |
Deere & Company's valuation metrics present a mixed picture when compared to sector averages. Its P/E ratio of 38.32 is higher than the sector median of 34, and its Price/Sales ratio of 3.88 is in line with the sector median of 4. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 18.24%, slightly above the sector median of 17.8%, indicating efficient profit generation. The profit margin is 10.17% and the operating margin is 13.37%. Debt-to-equity is 2.30, which is higher than the sector average, suggesting a more leveraged balance sheet. While the company demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, its current valuation appears to be trading at a premium, particularly when considering the higher debt levels.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Deere & Company reported an EPS of $5.10 for the quarter ending September 2026, beating the estimate of $4.71 by 8.28% and leading to a 4.27% price increase. However, the prior quarter, ending June 2026, saw an EPS of $3.09 against an estimate of $2.91, a 6.19% beat, but the stock price declined by 5.19%. The company's revenue growth for the current year is estimated at 6.00%, with a projected -2.2% growth for the current quarter. Forward-looking estimates suggest a rebound with 8.00% revenue growth expected next year and a 5-year average annual growth rate of 10.65%.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with over $55.9 million in dispositions, presents a key risk, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management despite a generally positive analyst outlook. The company's valuation is also a concern, trading at a premium to sector averages, which could limit upside potential. Also, the mixed recent earnings performance and a projected revenue decline for the current quarter introduce short-term uncertainty.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 48.53 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 16.31 |
| SMA 50 | 640.85 |
| SMA 200 | 582.80 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($640.85) above the 200-day SMA ($582.80), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with DE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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DE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$683.56
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$690.46
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$657.65
MAX LOSS
-3.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (48.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$704.06
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$717.73
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$738.24
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for DE is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in DE in September 2016 would be worth about $82,611 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DE today could grow to about $37,058 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $127,387 and a bear case around $10,780. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,166 for DE by 2030 in the base case, from $690 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $534. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $533 | $787 | $1,163 |
| 2028 | $517 | $897 | $1,559 |
| 2029 | $520 | $1,023 | $2,011 |
| 2030 | $534 | $1,166 | $2,546 |
| 2031 | $555 | $1,329 | $3,182 |
| 2032 | $582 | $1,515 | $3,943 |
| 2033 | $615 | $1,727 | $4,853 |
| 2034 | $653 | $1,969 | $5,941 |
| 2035 | $696 | $2,245 | $7,242 |
| 2036 | $744 | $2,559 | $8,796 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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DE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$55.9M
6 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$9.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2023 | MAY JOHN C II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 53.0K | $22.0M |
| Jan 8, 2026 | MAY JOHN C. II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 41.5K | $20.8M |
| Nov 4, 2019 | ALLEN SAMUEL R
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 114.3K | $20.4M |
| Jan 4, 2021 | JONES MARY K W
General Counsel
|
Sell | 59.2K | $15.9M |
| Aug 21, 2026 | CAMPBELL RYAN DAVID
Officer
|
Sell | 23.3K | $15.1M |
| Jun 2, 2021 | MAY JOHN C II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 39.3K | $14.1M |
| Mar 7, 2022 | KALATHUR RAJESH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 32.4K | $13.0M |
| Feb 18, 2025 | KALATHUR RAJESH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 24.6K | $12.3M |
| Dec 2, 2020 | KALATHUR RAJESH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 44.2K | $11.4M |
| Jun 7, 2023 | VON PENTZ MARKWART
Officer
|
Sell | 27.9K | $10.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Deere & Company's stock price forecast for 2030?
Deere & Company's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $1,165.98, with a downside scenario of $534 and an upside scenario of $2,545.91. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Deere & Company stock a buy right now?
Deere & Company (DE) is currently rated as 'Hold' by our consensus, with a consensus score of 59 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $728.00, suggesting a modest 5.4% upside from the current price of $690.46.
What is Deere & Company's current valuation compared to its sector?
Deere & Company's P/E ratio of 38.32, which is higher than the Industrials sector median of 34. Its Price/Sales ratio is 3.88, in line with the sector median of 4. The company's ROE of 18.24% slightly exceeds the sector median of 17.8%.
How has Deere & Company performed in recent earnings reports?
Deere & Company beat earnings estimates for the quarter ending September 2026, with actual EPS of $5.10 versus an estimate of $4.71, leading to a stock price increase. However, the prior quarter ending June 2026 also saw an EPS beat, but the stock price declined.
What are the main risks facing Deere & Company?
Key risks for Deere & Company include significant insider selling totaling $55.9 million, a premium valuation relative to its sector, and mixed recent earnings performance. A projected revenue decline for the current quarter also adds short-term uncertainty.
What is the analyst consensus for Deere & Company stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Deere & Company is 'Buy', with a score of 69 out of 100. This is based on 25 analysts, with 5 rating it a Strong Buy, 11 a Buy, and 8 a Hold.
How does Deere & Company's revenue growth compare to its peers?
Deere & Company's reported revenue growth is 4.9%. The Industrials sector median revenue growth is 11.7%. Current year revenue growth is estimated at 6.00%, with next year projected at 8.00%.