As of September 10, 2026, Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) trades at $421.37. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $495.00, 17.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $495.00 across 28 analysts. RSI at 44 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $451.73.
Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK)
Rockwell Automation Inc. NYSE
Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) is currently trading at $426.08, below its 50-day moving average of $451.73, indicating a near-term bearish technical signal. The stock's price is above its 200-day moving average of $421.12, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend remains intact. However, a significant amount of insider selling, totaling $82.7 million, raises concerns about management's near-term confidence in the stock's performance. Despite these headwinds, the company is expected to grow revenue by approximately 9.00% for the current year, reaching $9.1 billion, with a projected 6.00% growth for the next year.
The company's fair value is estimated at $495.00, offering a potential upside of 16.13% from the current price. Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus rating of 'Hold' with a median price target of $495.00. The primary risk for ROK lies in the heavy insider selling and the stock's current positioning below key short-term moving averages, which could signal further downside pressure.
ROK Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
ROK Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
ROK Analysis
Volume behavior for Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) shows a recent volume of 600,900, which is 12.5% below its average volume of 686,390, suggesting subdued investor interest. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average ($451.73) and its 20-day exponential moving average ($433.82), indicating a shift in short-term momentum towards bearishness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.82, which falls into the neutral momentum category.
The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average ($421.12), which acts as a support level, but the proximity suggests this support may be tested. Key resistance levels are indicated by the 50-day and 20-day EMAs. The current technical setup, with price below shorter-term averages and neutral RSI, suggests a cautious stance is warranted, with potential for further downside if the 200-day moving average support fails.
- Consider the significant insider selling of over $82.7 million as a key indicator of potential near-term headwinds for Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK).
- Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) is trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting a bearish short-term trend; monitor for a reclaim of this level as a potential bullish signal.
- Given the premium valuation and insider selling, consider a more conservative position sizing for Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) until clearer bullish signals emerge.
Insiders have sold over $82.7 million worth of Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) stock, indicating a potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider Trading DataRockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $451.73, suggesting a bearish short-term technical trend.
Source: Technical AnalysisRockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) has exceeded EPS estimates in its last three reported quarters, demonstrating operational strength.
Source: Earnings ReportsMonte Carlo simulations project a base case price of $634.86 for Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) by 2030, indicating long-term growth potential.
Source: Long-Range Projection DataThe median analyst price target for Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) is $495.00, with a 'Hold' consensus rating from 28 analysts.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusThe base case scenario for Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) anticipates a potential move towards its median analyst target price of $495.00 within the next 6-12 months, representing an upside of approximately 16.13% from the current price. This outlook is supported by the company's consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth of 9.00% for the current year.
However, the thesis could be challenged by continued insider selling pressure and a failure to reclaim short-term moving averages, potentially leading to a retest of the 200-day moving average support at $421.12. Downside risks also include its premium valuation compared to sector averages, which could lead to a valuation reset if growth expectations are not met or if broader market sentiment shifts negatively.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 47.32B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 40.39 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.67 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.29% |
| 52 Week High | 497.36 |
| 52 Week Low | 332.71 |
Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 40.39, which is significantly higher than the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting the stock is trading at a premium valuation. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) stands at $10.67. While the current valuation appears stretched relative to the sector, the projected revenue growth of 9.00% for the current year and 6.00% for the next year indicates a solid growth trajectory that may justify some of this premium.
The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but its market capitalization is $47.32 billion. The dividend yield is approximately 1.29%, with a dividend rate of $5.52. The significant insider selling, despite a 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street, warrants careful consideration of the current valuation in light of management's actions.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) recently reported an EPS of $0.89 for its latest quarter, beating the estimated $0.87 by 2.3%, though the stock experienced a 2.5% decline following the announcement. The prior quarter showed a more substantial beat, with actual EPS of $3.30 exceeding estimates by 14.58%, leading to a 5.37% price increase. Overall, the company has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates, with positive surprises in the last three reported quarters, suggesting operational resilience.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) is the significant insider selling, with over $82.7 million in dispositions, signaling potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance. Additionally, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating a bearish short-term technical trend that could lead to further price depreciation.
The company's valuation also presents a risk, with a P/E ratio of 40.39 significantly exceeding the sector average of 25.5, suggesting it may be overvalued relative to its peers. While long-term projections are positive, the combination of heavy insider selling and a stretched valuation warrants caution.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.82 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.80 |
| SMA 50 | 451.73 |
| SMA 200 | 421.12 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
ROK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ROK in September 2016 would be worth about $37,141 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ROK today could grow to about $27,100 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $98,063 and a bear case around $7,489. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ROK Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $628 for ROK by 2030 in the base case, from $421 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $278. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ROK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $310 | $466 | $699 |
| 2028 | $289 | $514 | $914 |
| 2029 | $281 | $568 | $1,149 |
| 2030 | $278 | $628 | $1,416 |
| 2031 | $279 | $694 | $1,722 |
| 2032 | $283 | $766 | $2,075 |
| 2033 | $289 | $847 | $2,483 |
| 2034 | $296 | $935 | $2,955 |
| 2035 | $305 | $1,034 | $3,501 |
| 2036 | $316 | $1,142 | $4,132 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ROK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ROK Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | MORET BLAKE D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 61.7K | $24.2M |
| Sep 11, 2025 | MORET BLAKE D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 24.4K | $8.5M |
| Nov 25, 2024 | MORET BLAKE D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 26.7K | $8.0M |
| Jun 9, 2023 | MORET BLAKE D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 23.6K | $7.2M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | GENEREUX SCOTT A
Officer
|
Sell | 17.4K | $7.0M |
| Nov 13, 2020 | GORIS PATRICK P
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 26.3K | $6.3M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 14.5K | $5.9M |
| Nov 13, 2020 | MORET BLAKE D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.7K | $4.9M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM
Officer
|
Sell | 12.1K | $4.9M |
| Jan 21, 2021 | MORET BLAKE D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 16.9K | $4.5M |