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As of September 11, 2026, Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) trades at $6.42. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $6.42, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $11.50 across 11 analysts. RSI at 22 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $7.50.
Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY)
Joby Aviation, Inc. NYSE
$6.42
0.1050 (1.66%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
50 / 100
Joby Aviation (JOBY) is currently trading at $6.415, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company has reported negative EPS for the trailing twelve months at -0.98, with revenue growth showing exceptional figures of 257493.3% due to its early-stage development. Despite recent price weakness, there has been substantial insider buying, with Toyota Motor Corp. leading purchases totaling $330 million against $100.5 million in sales, signaling moderate buy conviction from management and key stakeholders. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $11.50, suggesting an upside of 79.3% from the current price. However, the company has missed recent earnings estimates, with the latest quarter showing an EPS miss of 8.7%. Revenue growth is projected to be strong year-over-year for the current year at 124.00%, but is expected to decline in the next quarter. The significant insider accumulation, led by a major corporate investor, provides a degree of support, but the ongoing technical weakness and earnings misses present considerable near-term risk.
JOBY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$6.31
Day Range
$6.24 to $6.47
Prev Close
$6.31
Volume
1.21M
52-Week Range
$6.24 to $19.98
Market Cap
$6.24B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, JOBY trades at 54.60x, far above the sector average of 4.20x.
JOBY Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, JOBY beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
JOBY Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Joby Aviation (JOBY) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 21.63, signaling that the stock is oversold and potentially due for a bounce. The MACD is also negative at -0.37, further confirming bearish momentum. Key support levels are being tested, with the current price of $6.415 representing a critical juncture. Volume has been significantly below average, suggesting a lack of conviction from the broader market. The oversold RSI, coupled with substantial insider buying, could provide a floor for the stock, but a sustained move above the 50-day SMA would be required to signal a shift in the technical picture.
ProTips
- Insider accumulation, led by Toyota Motor Corp., suggests strong conviction in an insider's long-term eVTOL strategy, warranting close monitoring of operational milestones.
- The stock is technically oversold with an RSI of 21.63, presenting a potential short-term buying opportunity, but a move above the 50-day SMA is needed to confirm a trend reversal.
- Given the early-stage nature of Joby Aviation's business, investors should maintain a long-term perspective and be prepared for significant volatility, aligning position sizing with risk tolerance.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Significant Insider Buying Led by Toyota
Toyota Motor Corp. has invested $330 million in Joby Aviation, signaling strong confidence in the company's eVTOL technology and future commercialization. This substantial backing provides financial stability and strategic support.
Source: Insider Transactions DataBullish
Positive Price Reaction to Recent Earnings
Despite missing EPS estimates, Joby Aviation's stock saw a 5.51% price increase following its August 5, 2026, earnings report, suggesting the market is prioritizing future growth prospects over short-term profitability.
Source: Earnings DataBullish
Strong Projected Revenue Growth
Joby Aviation is projected to achieve 124.00% revenue growth for the current year and 83.00% for the next year, indicating significant expansion potential as commercial operations scale.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBearish
Missed Earnings Estimates
The company missed its EPS estimate in the most recent quarter (August 5, 2026) by 8.7%, continuing a pattern of mixed earnings performance that could weigh on investor sentiment.
Source: Earnings DataBearish
Bearish Technical Trend
Joby Aviation is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21), with a negative MACD and oversold RSI, indicating a prevailing bearish trend that may persist in the short term.
Source: Technical Analysis DataMarket Outlook
Joby Aviation (JOBY) is expected to continue its development phase, with significant revenue growth anticipated over the next year, projected at 83.00%. The company's focus remains on achieving commercial certification and scaling its electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft operations. The substantial insider buying, particularly from Toyota, provides a strong vote of confidence in the long-term vision. The base case scenario for Joby Aviation projects a price of $5.96 by 2030, with potential upside to $21.47 based on Monte Carlo simulations. Key catalysts for upside include successful regulatory approvals, securing major airline partnerships, and demonstrating operational efficiency in early deployments. Conversely, risks such as execution challenges, increased competition, and funding shortfalls could push the stock towards the downside projection of $1.65.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 6.24B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.9800 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 19.98 |
| 52 Week Low | 6.24 |
Joby Aviation (JOBY) exhibits a negative P/E ratio of N/A due to its negative EPS of -0.98, making traditional valuation metrics difficult to apply. The company's revenue growth is exceptionally high at 257493.3%, reflecting its early-stage commercialization efforts rather than mature operational performance. Its market capitalization stands at $6.24 billion. While the company is not yet profitable, the significant revenue growth projections for the current year (+124.00%) and next year (+83.00%) indicate strong anticipated expansion. However, the projected revenue growth for the next quarter is negative (-36.00%), suggesting potential near-term volatility. The substantial insider buying, particularly from Toyota Motor Corp., suggests confidence in the long-term business model despite current unprofitability and negative EPS.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Joby Aviation (JOBY) has recently missed earnings expectations, with the latest reported quarter on August 5, 2026, showing an EPS of -0.25 against an estimate of -0.23, a surprise of -8.7%. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings performance, including a significant beat in May 2026 (-0.12 actual vs. -0.21 estimate) but misses in November 2025 and February 2026. The stock experienced a positive price reaction of 5.51% following the most recent earnings report, despite the miss, indicating that the market may be looking past short-term EPS figures towards future revenue potential.
Key Risks
Joby Aviation (JOBY) faces significant risks related to its early-stage commercialization and path to profitability. The company's negative EPS and reliance on future revenue growth create inherent volatility. Also, the 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street analysts and the current bearish technical trend suggest caution among institutional investors regarding near-term performance. Competition within the advanced air mobility sector also presents a substantial challenge.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.63 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.37 |
| SMA 50 | 7.50 |
| SMA 200 | 10.21 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $7.504, 200-day: $10.21), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 21.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.48
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
JOBY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$6.351
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$6.415
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$5.973
MAX LOSS
-6.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (21.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$6.541
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$6.668
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$6.859
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
JOBY is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.33%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in JOBY in November 2020 would be worth about $6,010 today, compared with about $21,374 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in JOBY today could grow to about $8,316 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $63,091 and a bear case around $1,096. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
JOBY Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.96 for JOBY by 2030 in the base case, from $6.42 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.65. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on JOBY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.32 | $6.30 | $11.95 |
| 2028 | $2.50 | $6.18 | $15.30 |
| 2029 | $2.00 | $6.07 | $18.42 |
| 2030 | $1.65 | $5.96 | $21.47 |
| 2031 | $1.40 | $5.85 | $24.52 |
| 2032 | $1.20 | $5.74 | $27.60 |
| 2033 | $1.03 | $5.64 | $30.72 |
| 2034 | $0.9036 | $5.54 | $33.91 |
| 2035 | $0.7948 | $5.43 | $37.15 |
| 2036 | $0.7032 | $5.33 | $40.47 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using JOBY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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JOBY Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$330.0M
2 Transactions
Sold
$100.5M
138 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2023 | BEVIRT JOEBEN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.2M | $16.3M |
| Jun 29, 2023 | BEVIRT JOEBEN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.2M | $12.3M |
| Oct 2, 2025 | BEVIRT JOEBEN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 458.3K | $7.5M |
| Aug 25, 2025 | SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL
Director
|
Sell | 500.0K | $7.2M |
| Sep 15, 2025 | SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL
Director
|
Sell | 500.0K | $7.2M |
| Jul 14, 2025 | SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL
Director
|
Sell | 500.0K | $6.2M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | BEVIRT JOEBEN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 585.3K | $5.8M |
| Feb 10, 2026 | BEVIRT JOEBEN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 508.8K | $5.4M |
| May 28, 2026 | SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL
Director
|
Sell | 416.7K | $5.0M |
| Jul 2, 2025 | BEVIRT JOEBEN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 504.3K | $5.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Joby Aviation's stock price prediction for 2030?
Joby Aviation's long-range projection for 2030 estimates a base case price of $5.96, with a downside scenario at $1.65 and an upside scenario at $21.47, based on Monte Carlo simulations. These figures are statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets.
Is Joby Aviation stock a buy right now?
Joby Aviation (JOBY) is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a median price target of $11.50, suggesting potential upside. However, the stock is trading below key moving averages and has recently missed earnings estimates, indicating near-term caution is warranted.
What are the biggest risks for Joby Aviation?
The primary risks for Joby Aviation include its unproven path to profitability, intense competition in the advanced air mobility sector, and potential delays in regulatory approvals or commercial deployment. The stock's current bearish technical trend and recent earnings misses also present near-term headwinds.
How is Joby Aviation's revenue growth trending?
Joby Aviation has reported exceptionally high revenue growth, exceeding 257,000% in the trailing twelve months, reflecting its early-stage development. Projections indicate strong year-over-year growth of 124.00% for the current year, though a decline is expected in the next quarter.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Joby Aviation?
The Wall Street consensus for Joby Aviation (JOBY) is 'Hold', with 11 analysts covering the stock. The median price target is $11.50, indicating a potential upside of 79.3% from the current price.
Are insiders buying Joby Aviation stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Joby Aviation (JOBY) stock, with total purchases of $330 million against $100.5 million in sales. Toyota Motor Corp. is the largest buyer, signaling moderate buy conviction.
What is Joby Aviation's current technical standing?
Joby Aviation (JOBY) is currently in a bearish technical trend, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21). The RSI is at 21.63, indicating the stock is oversold, which could suggest a potential for a short-term bounce.