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As of September 27, 2026, Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) trades at $189.53. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $276.00, 45.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $276.00 across 4 analysts. RSI at 58 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $198.82.
Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL)
Powell Industries, Inc. NASDAQ
$189.53
-2.090 (-1.09%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Powell Industries (POWL) is currently trading at $189.53, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($198.82 and $205.80), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The company's recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a miss in the quarter to June 2026 (-3.4% surprise) following a beat in the prior quarter. Significant insider selling, totaling $85.4 million in dispositions versus no reported purchases, contributes to a 'Heavy Sell Signal' verdict, raising concerns about management's near-term confidence. Despite these headwinds, the stock is valued attractively relative to its sector, with a P/E ratio of 36.64 compared to the sector median of 34, and a strong profit margin of 16.49%. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $276, implying a 45.6% upside potential. The company also pays a modest dividend yield of 0.38%. The combination of technical weakness and insider selling pressure tempers the upside potential suggested by analyst targets.
POWL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$193.00
Day Range
$186.15 to $193.46
Prev Close
$191.62
Volume
575.4K
52-Week Range
$92.30 to $328.00
Market Cap
$6.90B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (8% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
POWL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, POWL beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
POWL Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Powell Industries (POWL) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($198.82 and $205.80), signaling a bearish trend. The stock is trading above its 20-day EMA ($186.46), indicating some short-term upward momentum. The RSI is at 58.15, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the recent price action, but the 20-day EMA at $186.46 could act as immediate support. Volume has been slightly above average recently, but not exceptionally high. The current chart structure suggests a potential for continued choppiness until a clear break above the key moving averages occurs.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the recent 'Heavy Sell Signal' warrants attention and could indicate management's reduced confidence in near-term prospects.
- Watch for a sustained break above the 50-day ($198.82) and 200-day ($205.80) moving averages as a key indicator of a potential trend reversal.
- Given the mixed earnings and technical weakness, consider employing risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders below recent support levels to mitigate potential downside.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $85.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, resulting in a 'Heavy Sell Signal' verdict, which may indicate a lack of confidence in future performance.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
POWL is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($198.82 and $205.80), suggesting bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis DataBearish
Recent EPS Miss
The company missed earnings estimates for the quarter to June 2026, reporting $1.42 versus an expected $1.47, which led to a 3.8% drop in stock price.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Substantial Analyst Upside Potential
The median analyst price target of $276 implies a 45.6% upside from the current stock price, indicating Wall Street's belief in future appreciation.
Source: Wall Street Analyst DataBullish
Strong Profitability and Debt-Free Balance Sheet
Powell Industries boasts a strong profit margin of 16.49% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00, providing financial resilience.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Powell Industries (POWL) faces a mixed outlook, with a 'Hold' consensus rating and a median analyst price target of $276, suggesting a 45.6% upside from the current price. The company's strong profitability and debt-free balance sheet provide a solid fundamental base. However, the current technical setup, with the stock trading below key moving averages, and significant insider selling pressure, temper immediate bullish conviction. The path forward hinges on the company's ability to regain upward technical momentum and address concerns raised by insider dispositions. Positive catalysts could include a strong earnings beat in upcoming quarters or a clear shift in insider sentiment. Conversely, continued technical weakness or further negative earnings surprises could pressure the stock towards its support levels, potentially validating the bearish signals from insider activity.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 6.90B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.64 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.23 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.38% |
| 52 Week High | 328.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 92.30 |
Powell Industries (POWL) exhibits strong profitability with a net profit margin of 16.49% and an operating margin of 20.55%, significantly outperforming the sector median ROE of 17.8%. Its debt-to-equity ratio is a healthy 0.00, indicating a strong balance sheet with no leverage. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 6.03, which is higher than the sector median of 4.00, suggesting it may be trading at a premium on a sales basis. While the company demonstrates strong operational efficiency and financial health, its P/E ratio of 36.64 is slightly above the sector median of 34. The reported revenue growth of 8.9% is solid, though slightly below the sector median of 11.7%. The strong fundamentals provide a solid foundation, but the current valuation metrics warrant a balanced view against the backdrop of recent insider selling.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Powell Industries (POWL) reported mixed earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with EPS of $1.42 missing the estimate of $1.47 by 3.4%, leading to a 3.8% price decline. This follows a beat in the prior quarter (December 2025) where actual EPS of $4.67 exceeded estimates by 4.47%. The company has demonstrated a pattern of inconsistent earnings surprises, with two misses and two beats in the last four reported quarters. Forward-looking estimates suggest revenue growth of 11.00% for the current quarter and 20.00% for the next quarter, indicating an expectation of accelerating sales. However, the recent EPS miss highlights potential execution challenges that could impact future performance.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with over $85 million in dispositions and a 'Heavy Sell Signal' verdict, presents a primary risk, suggesting a lack of near-term confidence from management. The stock is also trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum and potential for further downside. Mixed recent earnings performance, including an EPS miss in the latest quarter, raises concerns about the company's ability to consistently meet expectations.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 58.15 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.72 |
| SMA 50 | 198.82 |
| SMA 200 | 205.80 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $198.82, 200-day: $205.80), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.49
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.53
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with POWL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
POWL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$187.63
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$189.53
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$176.58
MAX LOSS
-5.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (58.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$193.26
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$197.02
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$202.65
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for POWL is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in POWL in September 2016 would be worth about $146,998 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in POWL today could grow to about $43,824 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $332,474 and a bear case around $5,776. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
POWL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $342 for POWL by 2030 in the base case, from $190 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $95.01. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on POWL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $116 | $220 | $417 |
| 2028 | $103 | $255 | $630 |
| 2029 | $97.31 | $295 | $896 |
| 2030 | $95.01 | $342 | $1,233 |
| 2031 | $94.68 | $397 | $1,663 |
| 2032 | $95.72 | $460 | $2,210 |
| 2033 | $97.85 | $533 | $2,905 |
| 2034 | $101 | $618 | $3,786 |
| 2035 | $105 | $717 | $4,899 |
| 2036 | $109 | $831 | $6,301 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using POWL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. POWL is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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POWL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$85.4M
32 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 49.8K | $25.0M |
| Feb 13, 2026 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 25.3K | $15.1M |
| Jun 25, 2026 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 34.0K | $10.0M |
| Jul 1, 2026 | COPE BRETT ALAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 36.0K | $9.5M |
| Sep 25, 2024 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 25.0K | $5.3M |
| Oct 8, 2024 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 20.0K | $5.0M |
| Oct 9, 2024 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 17.5K | $4.5M |
| Feb 28, 2024 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 25.0K | $4.3M |
| May 31, 2024 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 20.3K | $4.2M |
| Feb 23, 2024 | POWELL THOMAS WALKER
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 25.0K | $3.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Powell Industries' stock forecast for 2030?
Powell Industries' stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $342.26. The downside scenario is $95.01, while the upside scenario reaches $1,232.97. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Powell Industries stock a buy right now?
Powell Industries (POWL) is currently rated a 'Hold' with a consensus score of 59. While analysts see a 45.6% upside to a median price target of $276, significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators suggest caution.
What are the key technical levels for Powell Industries stock?
Powell Industries (POWL) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($198.82 and $205.80), indicating bearish short-term trends. The 20-day EMA at $186.46 may serve as immediate support.
What is the insider activity for Powell Industries?
Insiders at Powell Industries have been net sellers, with $361K in total purchases versus $139.0M in total sales in recent filings. This 'Heavy Sell Signal' indicates significant selling pressure from insiders.
How does Powell Industries' valuation compare to its sector?
Powell Industries' P/E ratio of 36.64 is slightly higher than the sector median of 34, but its profit margin of 16.49% and debt-free balance sheet are strong points. Its price-to-sales ratio of 6.03 is also above the sector median of 4.00.
What was Powell Industries' most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter to June 2026, Powell Industries reported EPS of $1.42, missing the estimate of $1.47 by 3.4%, which led to a 3.8% stock price decline.
What is the outlook for Powell Industries' revenue growth?
Analysts project strong revenue growth for Powell Industries, with an estimated 11.00% increase for the current quarter and 20.00% for the next quarter. The current year is expected to see 8.00% growth, followed by a significant 25.00% growth next year.