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As of October 11, 2026, Kohl's Corporation (KSS) trades at $20.35. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $18.00, 11.5% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $18.00 across 14 analysts. RSI at 76 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $18.42.
Kohl's Corporation (KSS)
Kohl's Corporation NYSE
$20.35
0.2400 (1.19%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
41 / 100
Kohl's Corporation is trading at $20.35, a level that has pushed its Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory at 75.98. The company's recent earnings have shown positive surprises, notably beating estimates by 124.56% in the quarter ending September 2026 with EPS of $1.28 versus an estimate of $0.57. However, this positive earnings momentum is counterbalanced by significant insider selling, with over $2 million in sales reported and no insider purchases. The department store sector, represented by the XLY ETF, is experiencing a median revenue growth of 7.2%, while Kohl's itself has seen a slight revenue decline of -0.9%. Despite this, the stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($18.42 and $16.83), indicating a current bullish technical trend. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 1.75% and a return on equity of 6.67%, which are below sector medians. The significant insider selling and overbought technicals present key risks to the current stock price.
KSS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$20.23
Day Range
$19.80 to $20.56
Prev Close
$20.11
Volume
3.29M
52-Week Range
$11.38 to $25.22
Market Cap
$2.31B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-58%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
KSS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, KSS beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
KSS Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-11.55% Downside
Median of 14 analysts (12-month)
$18.00
AI Technical Analysis
Kohl's Corporation is currently trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $18.42 and its 200-day SMA of $16.83, indicating a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.98, signaling an overbought condition that could precede a pullback. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 0.58, suggesting positive momentum. The nearest support level is the 50-day SMA at $18.42, while resistance may be found near the recent highs. Volume on the latest trading day was 3.29 million, which is 22.1% below the average volume of 4.22 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the recent price action. The stochastic oscillator is at 94.28, also indicating overbought conditions.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction trends closely; the current moderate sell signal warrants attention.
- Given the overbought RSI, consider the risk of a short-term pullback and manage position sizing accordingly.
- Kohl's Corporation's dividend yield is 2.46%, providing some income, but investors should assess its sustainability given the company's profitability and insider selling.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $2 million in stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Overbought Technical Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.98, signaling that the stock is overextended and may be due for a price correction.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Earnings Beat in Latest Quarter
Kohl's reported EPS of $1.28 for the quarter ending September 2026, significantly exceeding estimates by 124.56% and driving a positive stock reaction.
Source: Earnings ReportNeutral
Flat Revenue Growth Projections
Forward revenue estimates indicate minimal growth of around 1.00% for the upcoming quarters, suggesting a stable but not rapidly expanding top line.
Source: Analyst EstimatesMarket Outlook
The base case for Kohl's Corporation over the next 6-12 months suggests a challenging environment, with the median analyst price target of $18.00 indicating a potential downside from the current price of $20.35. While the stock is trading above key moving averages, the overbought RSI and moderate insider selling present significant headwinds. The company's ability to improve profitability and navigate competitive pressures will be critical for any upside. Potential catalysts for upside could include stronger-than-anticipated holiday sales or successful inventory management leading to improved margins. Conversely, a failure to meet forward revenue estimates or a continuation of insider selling could push the stock lower, potentially testing the $16.83 200-day SMA support level. The company's forward EPS estimates for the current year are $2.08, but next year's estimates decline to $1.56, signaling potential future earnings contraction.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.31B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 8.76 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.33 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
| 52 Week High | 25.22 |
| 52 Week Low | 11.38 |
Kohl's Corporation exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.76, which is significantly lower than the sector median of 20.8, suggesting potential undervaluation on an earnings basis. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 0.15, considerably below the sector median of 1.9. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is 6.67%, and its Net Profit Margin is 1.75%, both trailing the sector medians of 12.4% and an unspecified sector margin respectively. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.54, which is higher than the sector median of 1.54, indicating a comparable level of leverage. While valuation metrics appear attractive relative to the sector, the lower profitability and higher debt levels warrant caution. The current stock price does not appear to be fully supported by its fundamental performance, especially considering the moderate sell signal from insider transactions.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Kohl's Corporation recently reported a substantial earnings beat for the quarter ending September 2026, with actual EPS of $1.28 significantly exceeding the analyst estimate of $0.57, a surprise of 124.56%. This positive surprise was accompanied by a 1.17% stock price increase. However, prior quarters showed mixed results, including a loss in the quarter ending June 2026 and a beat in the quarter ending March 2026 that was followed by a price decline. The company's revenue growth has been slightly negative at -0.9%, and forward estimates suggest a continued flat to slightly positive revenue growth trajectory.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Kohl's Corporation is the moderate insider selling signal, with over $2 million in sales and no reported purchases, indicating potential concerns among management regarding future performance. Additionally, the stock is currently in overbought territory according to its RSI of 75.98, suggesting a potential for a price correction. Competition within the department store sector remains intense, and the company's below-sector-median profitability metrics pose a challenge to sustained growth.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 75.98 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.58 |
| SMA 50 | 18.42 |
| SMA 200 | 16.83 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($18.42) above the 200-day SMA ($16.83), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 76.0 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.36
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with KSS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
KSS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$20.15
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$20.35
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$18.75
MAX LOSS
-6.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (76.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$20.75
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$21.15
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$21.76
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
KSS is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.23%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in KSS in October 2016 would be worth about $4,434 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KSS today could grow to about $8,600 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $65,246 and a bear case around $1,134. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
KSS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $19.16 for KSS by 2030 in the base case, from $20.35 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $5.32. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KSS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $10.56 | $20.05 | $38.05 |
| 2028 | $7.98 | $19.75 | $48.87 |
| 2029 | $6.41 | $19.45 | $59.01 |
| 2030 | $5.32 | $19.16 | $69.02 |
| 2031 | $4.50 | $18.87 | $79.09 |
| 2032 | $3.87 | $18.59 | $89.32 |
| 2033 | $3.36 | $18.31 | $99.77 |
| 2034 | $2.94 | $18.04 | $110 |
| 2035 | $2.60 | $17.77 | $121 |
| 2036 | $2.31 | $17.50 | $133 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using KSS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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KSS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$2.0M
12 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$167.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | TIMM JILL
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $568.8K |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KENT JENNIFER J
Officer
|
Sell | 22.9K | $458.8K |
| Jul 22, 2025 | RAYMOND CHRISTIE
Officer
|
Sell | 26.5K | $380.0K |
| Oct 3, 2024 | MC FEENEY SIOBHAN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 16.4K | $315.4K |
| Aug 3, 2026 | RAYMOND CHRISTIE
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $300.0K |
| Dec 10, 2025 | TIMM JILL
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $240.0K |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MC FEENEY SIOBHAN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 3.8K | $53.8K |
| Apr 1, 2026 | STEINMETZ MARISSA
Officer
|
Sell | 2.0K | $25.4K |
| Mar 20, 2026 | STEINMETZ MARISSA
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6K | $20.3K |
| Mar 30, 2026 | STEINMETZ MARISSA
Officer
|
Sell | 606 | $7.5K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Kohl's Corporation stock a buy right now?
Kohl's Corporation (KSS) is currently rated a Hold by Wall Street analysts and has a consensus score of 41. While the stock is trading above key moving averages, its RSI is overbought, and there has been moderate insider selling, suggesting caution is warranted.
What is Kohl's Corporation's price target?
The median analyst price target for Kohl's Corporation is $18.00, which implies an upside of -11.5% from the current price of $20.35. The price targets range from a low of $9.00 to a high of $41.50.
How did Kohl's Corporation perform in its latest earnings report?
In the quarter ending September 2026, Kohl's Corporation reported EPS of $1.28, significantly beating the analyst estimate of $0.57 by 124.56%. This positive earnings surprise led to a 1.17% increase in the stock price.
What are the main risks facing Kohl's Corporation?
Key risks include moderate insider selling totaling over $2 million, an overbought technical condition indicated by an RSI at 76.0, and below-sector-median profitability metrics. Intense competition in the department store sector also presents a challenge.
How does Kohl's Corporation's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Kohl's Corporation's P/E ratio of 8.76 and P/S ratio of 0.15 are considerably lower than the sector medians of 20.8 and 1.9, respectively. However, its ROE of 6.67% and profit margin of 1.75% lag behind sector averages.
What is the outlook for Kohl's Corporation's revenue growth?
Kohl's Corporation has experienced a slight revenue decline of -0.9%. Forward estimates suggest a modest revenue growth of approximately 1.00% for the current and next quarters, with flat growth projected for the next fiscal year.
What is the consensus rating for Kohl's Corporation stock?
The consensus rating for Kohl's Corporation stock is Hold, with a consensus score of 41 out of 100. This reflects a mixed sentiment among analysts, with a significant number of Hold ratings alongside Sell and Buy recommendations.