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As of September 29, 2026, Reddit Inc. (RDDT) trades at $143.08. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $143.08, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $210.00 across 34 analysts. RSI at 44 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $158.75.
Reddit Inc. (RDDT)
Reddit Inc. NYSE
$143.08
-6.760 (-4.51%)
At close: Sep 28, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
70 / 100
Reddit Inc. (RDDT) is currently trading at $143.08, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($158.75 and $170.20), indicating short-term technical weakness. However, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a 49.00% year-over-year increase and current year estimates at 54.00%. This growth is supported by a strong profit margin of 31.35% and a healthy return on equity of 30.71%, significantly outperforming sector averages. The primary catalyst for potential upside lies in the strong analyst sentiment. The median analyst price target stands at $210.00, suggesting an attractive 46.8% upside from the current price. While insider activity shows net selling pressure totaling $408.6 million, this is largely attributed to heavy dispositions rather than a lack of confidence in the business model itself. The key risk remains the stock's current technical positioning below key moving averages, which could lead to further short-term price declines.
RDDT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$149.00
Day Range
$143.08 to $149.29
Prev Close
$149.84
Volume
4.31M
52-Week Range
$119.27 to $282.95
Market Cap
$27.53B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Communication Services)
Performance vs VOX
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+46%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
RDDT Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, RDDT beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RDDT Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+46.77% Upside
Median of 34 analysts (12-month)
$210.00
AI Technical Analysis
Reddit Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($158.75 and $170.20), signaling a bearish short-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 44.32, indicating neutral momentum, while the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -149.31 suggests it is in oversold territory, potentially hinting at a near-term bounce. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 4.31 million compared to an average of 5.23 million, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the limited trading history, but the current price of $143.08 is a critical level to watch for potential stabilization. The stock's recent performance shows a pattern of volatility, with significant price swings following earnings reports.
ProTips
- Monitor Reddit's ability to translate user engagement into sustained revenue growth, especially in light of its premium valuation.
- Given the stock's current position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($158.75 and $170.20), consider waiting for technical confirmation of a bottom before initiating or adding to a position.
- The significant insider selling warrants close attention; track any changes in insider transaction patterns for shifts in management sentiment.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong EPS Beats and Revenue Growth
Reddit Inc. has consistently beaten EPS estimates and is projected to achieve 54.00% revenue growth in the current year, supporting analyst optimism and a median price target of $210.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $408 million worth of stock versus $8.9 million in purchases, indicating significant disposition activity that could weigh on the stock price.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Technical Weakness Below Moving Averages
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($158.75 and $170.20), suggesting a bearish short-term trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
A majority of analysts rate Reddit as Buy or Strong Buy, with a median price target of $210.00, representing a 46.8% upside from the current price.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
Reddit Inc.'s base case outlook suggests potential for significant appreciation, with a median analyst target price of $210.00, implying a 46.8% upside from the current price. This optimism is driven by strong projected revenue growth of 54.00% for the current year and 26.2% for next year, coupled with healthy profit margins. The company's strong balance sheet, with a minimal debt-to-equity ratio, provides a stable foundation for future expansion. Upside catalysts could include continued strong execution on user engagement and monetization strategies, potentially leading to even higher revenue growth than currently forecasted. Conversely, a failure to meet aggressive growth expectations, increased competition in the digital advertising space, or a shift in market sentiment towards growth stocks could pressure the stock. The current technical weakness below key moving averages also presents a near-term risk that could delay upside realization.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 27.53B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.85 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.30 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 282.95 |
| 52 Week Low | 119.27 |
Reddit Inc. exhibits strong fundamental performance with a profit margin of 31.35% and a return on equity of 30.71%, significantly exceeding sector medians of 15.6% for ROE. Its price-to-sales ratio of 10.37 is high compared to the sector average of 2.4, indicating a premium valuation. However, the company's exceptional revenue growth rate of 61.1% and projected 54.00% growth for the current year justify this premium. The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating a strong balance sheet with minimal leverage. This financial health, combined with strong revenue and profit growth, provides a solid foundation for its current valuation. The market appears to be pricing in substantial future growth, as reflected in its higher-than-sector-average valuation multiples.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Reddit Inc. has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat EPS estimates in recent quarters, with a notable 30.21% surprise in the quarter to June 2026 and an 80.36% surprise in the quarter to March 2026. Despite these positive earnings surprises, the stock experienced significant price drops following these reports, particularly a -20.99% decline after the June 2026 earnings release. This suggests that market expectations or forward guidance may be influencing price action more than historical EPS beats alone. Forward-looking estimates remain strong, with current year EPS projected at $5.38 and next year at $7.07, alongside strong revenue growth forecasts of 54.00% for the current year and 32.00% for the next. This indicates continued expansion expectations from analysts.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Reddit Inc. is the significant insider selling, with over $408 million in sales compared to $8.9 million in purchases, indicating heavy disposition pressure. Additionally, the stock is trading below key technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting potential for further downside in the short term. The high price-to-sales ratio of 10.37, while supported by growth, also presents a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 44.32 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.48 |
| SMA 50 | 158.75 |
| SMA 200 | 170.20 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $158.75, 200-day: $170.20), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.43
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RDDT? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
RDDT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$140.22
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$143.08
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$130.40
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (44.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$147.23
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$154.24
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$161.25
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
RDDT is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.41%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 29, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RDDT in March 2024 would be worth about $31,104 today, compared with about $14,689 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RDDT today could grow to about $45,253 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $343,318 and a bear case around $5,965. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RDDT Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $262 for RDDT by 2030 in the base case, from $143 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $72.65. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RDDT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $87.67 | $166 | $316 |
| 2028 | $78.19 | $194 | $479 |
| 2029 | $74.17 | $225 | $683 |
| 2030 | $72.65 | $262 | $943 |
| 2031 | $72.63 | $304 | $1,276 |
| 2032 | $73.67 | $354 | $1,701 |
| 2033 | $75.55 | $412 | $2,243 |
| 2034 | $78.16 | $479 | $2,932 |
| 2035 | $81.43 | $557 | $3,807 |
| 2036 | $85.35 | $647 | $4,912 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RDDT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. RDDT is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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RDDT Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$8.9M
2 Transactions
Sold
$408.6M
95 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$4.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | TENCENT HOLDINGS, LTD.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.5M | $197.6M |
| Nov 18, 2024 | TENCENT HOLDINGS, LTD.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 882.6K | $114.0M |
| Nov 19, 2024 | TENCENT HOLDINGS, LTD.
Unknown
|
Sell | 655.0K | $88.5M |
| Mar 25, 2024 | WONG JENNIFER L
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 514.0K | $30.7M |
| Mar 25, 2024 | HUFFMAN STEVE LADD
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 500.0K | $29.9M |
| Mar 25, 2025 | VOLLERO ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $24.8M |
| Feb 18, 2025 | HUFFMAN STEVE LADD
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 124.4K | $23.4M |
| Dec 16, 2024 | HUFFMAN STEVE LADD
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 124.4K | $21.9M |
| Jan 15, 2025 | HUFFMAN STEVE LADD
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 124.4K | $21.5M |
| Nov 24, 2025 | WONG JENNIFER L
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 104.4K | $20.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Reddit's stock price forecast for 2030?
Reddit's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $261.72, with a downside scenario at $72.65 and an upside scenario at $942.82. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Reddit Inc. stock a buy right now?
Reddit Inc. is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 70. Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $210.00, suggesting a 46.8% upside from the current price of $143.08. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating short-term technical weakness.
What are Reddit's recent earnings results?
Reddit Inc. recently reported an EPS of $1.25 for the quarter ending June 2026, beating estimates by 30.21%, though the stock fell 20.99%. Prior quarters also showed EPS beats, including an 80.36% surprise in the March 2026 quarter.
How does Reddit's valuation compare to its sector?
Reddit's price-to-sales ratio of 10.37 is significantly higher than the sector average of 2.4. However, its profit margin of 31.35% and return on equity of 30.71% are also substantially higher than sector medians, suggesting the premium valuation may be justified by its strong profitability and growth.
What is the outlook for Reddit's revenue growth?
Reddit is expected to continue its strong revenue growth trajectory, with current quarter estimates at +49.00% year-over-year and current year estimates at +54.00%. Next year's revenue growth is projected at 32.00%.
What are the main risks facing Reddit Inc. stock?
Key risks include heavy insider selling totaling over $408 million, the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($158.75 and $170.20), and a high price-to-sales ratio of 10.37 which could be challenged if growth falters.
What are the analyst ratings for Reddit Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Reddit Inc. is predominantly positive, with 34 analysts covering the stock. The breakdown includes 6 Strong Buys, 16 Buys, 11 Holds, and 1 Sell, resulting in a Wall Street score of 70 out of 100.