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As of September 11, 2026, Crocs, Inc. (CROX) trades at $112.50. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $112.50, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $150.00 across 15 analysts. RSI at 35 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $127.71.
Crocs, Inc. (CROX)
Crocs, Inc. NASDAQ
$112.50
3.670 (3.37%)
At close: Sep 11, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) is currently trading at $112.50, below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $127.71, indicating near-term technical weakness. The company's consensus rating is 'Hold' with a score of 63, supported by a median Wall Street price target of $150.00, suggesting a potential upside of 33.3%. Recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with the latest quarter beating estimates by 4.6% and resulting in a 3.52% price increase. Despite the positive earnings surprises, insider activity shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with total sales significantly outweighing purchases. The company's revenue growth has been modest at 2.6%, and its P/E ratio of 10.14 is below the sector median of 20.8, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. However, the bearish RSI momentum and the net selling by insiders warrant caution.
CROX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$111.20
Day Range
$110.17 to $113.06
Prev Close
$108.83
Volume
49.0K
52-Week Range
$73.21 to $141.28
Market Cap
$5.39B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-51%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
CROX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, CROX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
CROX Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+33.33% Upside
Median of 15 analysts (12-month)
$150.00
AI Technical Analysis
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $127.71 and its 20-day EMA of $119.37, indicating bearish short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 34.74, signaling 'Bearish' momentum and suggesting potential for further downside. The MACD is also negative at -4.79, reinforcing the bearish technical picture. While the stock is trading above its 200-day SMA of $103.95, which acts as a support level, the current price action suggests a downward trend. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly below average, indicating a lack of strong conviction behind the current price movement. Key resistance is seen at the 50-day SMA, while support lies near the 200-day SMA.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; recent moderate selling signals caution, and any shift to net buying would be a significant bullish indicator.
- Pay attention to the 50-day SMA ($127.71) as a key resistance level; a sustained move above this could signal a technical trend reversal.
- Given the current bearish technical momentum and insider selling, consider risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders below the 200-day SMA support level.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Crocs, Inc. has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, as seen in the Q3 2026 report with a 4.6% surprise, which historically supports stock price appreciation.
Source: Earnings ReportBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $11.6 million worth of shares against $626.7 thousand in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that could weigh on investor sentiment.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Attractive Valuation Relative to Sector
Crocs' P/E ratio of 10.14 is well below the sector median of 20.8, presenting a potential value opportunity if the company can reignite growth.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisNeutral
Below 50-Day SMA
The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA, indicating short-term technical weakness and potential resistance at the $127.71 level.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Crocs, Inc. (CROX) suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst price target of $150.00, implying a 33.3% upside from the current price. This scenario assumes the company can leverage its attractive valuation and consistent earnings beats to regain positive technical momentum and address insider selling concerns. However, the path forward is not without challenges. A significant downside risk exists if the bearish technical indicators persist, coupled with slower-than-expected revenue growth and continued insider selling. Any failure to meet forward revenue estimates, which project only modest 1-2% growth for the current and next year, could further pressure the stock and challenge the upside thesis.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 5.39B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 10.14 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.96 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 141.28 |
| 52 Week Low | 73.21 |
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 10.14, which is notably lower than the sector median of 20.8, indicating a potentially attractive valuation. The company's revenue growth stands at 2.6%, below the sector average of 6.7%, suggesting slower expansion compared to peers like Deckers Outdoor (DECK) or Nike (NKE). Profitability metrics are solid, with an EPS of $10.96. However, the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions, with sales significantly outpacing purchases, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence. While the valuation appears cheap relative to the sector, the subdued revenue growth and insider selling temper the bullish case.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters. The latest reported earnings on July 30, 2026, showed an EPS of $4.55 against an estimate of $4.35, a 4.6% surprise, leading to a 3.52% stock price increase. Prior to this, the Q4 2026 earnings also beat expectations by 7.17%. However, the Q2 2026 earnings report on February 27, 2026, resulted in a -4.26% price change despite a 16.67% EPS surprise.
Key Risks
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales significantly exceeding purchases, signaling potential caution from management. The stock's current technical setup is bearish, trading below key moving averages like the 50-day SMA and exhibiting bearish RSI momentum. Additionally, the company's revenue growth of 2.6% lags behind the sector average, indicating potential competitive pressures or market saturation.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 34.74 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -4.79 |
| SMA 50 | 127.71 |
| SMA 200 | 103.95 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($127.71) above the 200-day SMA ($103.95), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
CROX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$111.38
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$112.50
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$107.00
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (34.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$114.72
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$116.94
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$120.29
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for CROX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CROX in September 2016 would be worth about $124,805 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CROX today could grow to about $41,997 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $318,613 and a bear case around $5,536. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CROX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $200 for CROX by 2030 in the base case, from $113 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $55.44. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CROX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $68.42 | $130 | $246 |
| 2028 | $60.57 | $150 | $371 |
| 2029 | $57.03 | $173 | $525 |
| 2030 | $55.44 | $200 | $719 |
| 2031 | $55.01 | $231 | $966 |
| 2032 | $55.39 | $266 | $1,279 |
| 2033 | $56.38 | $307 | $1,674 |
| 2034 | $57.89 | $355 | $2,172 |
| 2035 | $59.86 | $409 | $2,799 |
| 2036 | $62.28 | $472 | $3,584 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CROX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. CROX is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CROX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$626.7K
3 Transactions
Sold
$11.6M
7 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2019 | BLACKSTONE HOLDINGS III L P
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 6.9M | $244.0M |
| Apr 27, 2021 | REES ANDREW
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 80.0K | $7.8M |
| Sep 15, 2021 | FRASCH RONALD L
Director
|
Sell | 33.0K | $5.1M |
| Aug 10, 2026 | REES ANDREW VIVIAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $4.2M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | REES ANDREW VIVIAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 32.7K | $3.9M |
| Feb 9, 2021 | REES ANDREW
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $3.2M |
| Jan 11, 2021 | REES ANDREW
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $2.9M |
| Apr 18, 2023 | REES ANDREW VIVIAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $2.8M |
| Oct 30, 2020 | REES ANDREW
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $2.7M |
| Feb 17, 2023 | REES ANDREW
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $2.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Crocs, Inc. stock a buy right now?
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 63. While the stock trades below its 50-day SMA and shows bearish momentum, its P/E ratio is below the sector average, and recent earnings have beaten estimates. However, moderate insider selling and slower revenue growth present risks.
What is Crocs, Inc.'s price target?
The median analyst price target for Crocs, Inc. (CROX) is $150.00, suggesting a potential upside of 33.3% from its current price of $112.50. The highest target is $163.00, while the lowest is $95.00.
What are the biggest risks for Crocs, Inc. stock?
Key risks for Crocs, Inc. (CROX) include moderate insider selling, bearish technical momentum indicated by RSI and moving averages, and revenue growth that lags the footwear sector average. Competitive pressures and potential shifts in consumer fashion trends also pose risks.
How has Crocs, Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) has a history of beating earnings estimates. The most recent report on July 30, 2026, showed an EPS beat of 4.6% and a positive stock price reaction. This follows a pattern of positive surprises, though not all beats have translated into sustained stock gains.
What is Crocs, Inc.'s valuation compared to its sector?
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) trades at a P/E ratio of 10.14, which is significantly lower than the sector median of 20.8. This suggests that the stock may be undervalued relative to its peers in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What is the long-term outlook for Crocs, Inc. stock?
The long-term outlook for Crocs, Inc. (CROX) based on Monte Carlo simulations projects a base case price of $199.73 by 2030, with a downside scenario at $55.44 and an upside scenario at $719.50. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What is Crocs, Inc.'s revenue growth rate?
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) reported a revenue growth rate of 2.6% in the latest period. This is below the median revenue growth of 6.7% for companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector.