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As of September 27, 2026, Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) trades at $4.070. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $7.000, 72.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $7.000 across 11 analysts. RSI at 31 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $5.694.
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID)
Lucid Group Inc. NASDAQ
$4.07
-0.0800 (-1.93%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
41 / 100
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) is currently trading at $4.07, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.69 and $7.86), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's financial health is challenged by substantial net losses, with a profit margin of -249.21% and a negative EPS of -13.72. Despite these fundamental weaknesses, revenue growth has been reported at 56.2%, and Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $7.00, suggesting a potential 72% upside from the current price. However, insider transactions reveal a moderate sell signal, with $18.6K in total sales and no reported purchases, indicating a lack of insider confidence. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 1.03 is below the sector median of 1.9, but this is overshadowed by its significant unprofitability. The primary risk remains the company's ability to achieve profitability and manage its substantial debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98 against a challenging automotive market.
LCID Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$4.19
Day Range
$4.01 to $4.25
Prev Close
$4.15
Volume
8.34M
52-Week Range
$2.37 to $25.23
Market Cap
$1.60B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, LCID trades at 1.03x, -46% versus the sector average of 1.90x.
LCID Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, LCID beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LCID Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) is exhibiting a bearish technical trend, trading below its 50-day SMA of $5.69 and its 200-day SMA of $7.86. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 31.29 is in bearish territory, signaling weak momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also negative at -0.399, further reinforcing the downward pressure. Key support levels are being tested, with the current price of $4.07 vulnerable to further declines if these levels break. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at current levels. The overall chart structure points to continued weakness unless a significant catalyst emerges to reverse the trend.
ProTips
- Monitor Lucid Group Inc.'s progress towards achieving profitability and managing its substantial debt load, especially given the moderate insider sell signal.
- The current technical setup for LCID is bearish, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing weak momentum; consider waiting for a confirmed trend reversal before initiating new positions.
- Given the company's ongoing losses, investors should maintain a cautious position size and be prepared for continued volatility.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprise in Recent Quarter
Lucid Group Inc. reported an EPS of -0.08 for the quarter to June 2026, beating the estimate of -0.20 by 60%, indicating potential operational improvements.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast significant revenue acceleration for Lucid Group Inc., with next year's revenue growth estimated at +121.00%, driven by new model introductions and market expansion.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Sell Signal
Insider transactions show a net seller position with $18.6K in total sales and no reported purchases, suggesting a lack of insider confidence in the near-term stock performance.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
Lucid Group Inc. is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.69 and $7.86), with a bearish RSI and MACD, indicating sustained downward pressure on the stock price.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) faces a challenging outlook characterized by persistent losses and a bearish technical setup. The company's ability to achieve profitability and scale production efficiently remains a key hurdle. While revenue growth is projected to accelerate significantly, reaching an estimated $2.5 billion next year, the path to positive earnings is still distant, with next year's EPS estimate at -5.00. The median analyst price target of $7.00 suggests potential upside, but this is tempered by insider selling and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98. Key catalysts for a turnaround would include demonstrated progress towards profitability, successful new model launches, and favorable shifts in consumer demand for luxury EVs. Conversely, failure to meet production targets, increased competition, or further dilution could exacerbate current challenges.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 1.60B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -13.72 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 25.23 |
| 52 Week Low | 2.37 |
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) presents a challenging fundamental picture, characterized by significant unprofitability despite revenue growth. Its profit margin stands at a concerning -249.21%, and its return on equity is a negative -125.99%, significantly underperforming the sector median ROE of 12.4%. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 1.03 is below the sector average of 1.9, but this valuation metric is rendered less meaningful by the company's substantial losses. The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98, indicating a high level of leverage. While revenue growth of 56.2% is a positive sign, it has not translated into profitability. The company's ability to generate positive earnings and cash flow remains a primary concern for investors, especially given the capital-intensive nature of the automotive manufacturing industry.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) has shown mixed results in its recent earnings reports. For the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an actual EPS of -0.08, which beat the estimated -0.20 by 60%, leading to a -3.73% price change. However, in the prior quarter to June 2026, the actual EPS of -0.21 missed the estimate of -0.30 by 30%, resulting in a -0.39% price change. This pattern suggests inconsistency in meeting earnings expectations, despite occasional positive surprises.
Key Risks
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) faces significant risks including its persistent unprofitability and negative profit margins, which are substantially worse than sector averages. The moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with notable sales and no purchases, suggests a lack of confidence from management. Also, the company's high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98 indicates considerable financial leverage, increasing vulnerability to market downturns or operational challenges.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 31.29 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.40 |
| SMA 50 | 5.69 |
| SMA 200 | 7.86 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $5.694, 200-day: $7.861), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LCID? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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LCID Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$4.029
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$4.070
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$3.667
MAX LOSS
-9.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (31.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$4.150
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$4.231
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$4.352
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
LCID is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.66%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LCID in July 2021 would be worth about $152 today, compared with about $17,490 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LCID today could grow to about $1,352 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $10,258 and a bear case around $178. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LCID Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1.83 for LCID by 2030 in the base case, from $4.07 today (0.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.5075. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LCID's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1.76 | $3.33 | $6.32 |
| 2028 | $1.10 | $2.73 | $6.75 |
| 2029 | $0.736 | $2.23 | $6.78 |
| 2030 | $0.5075 | $1.83 | $6.59 |
| 2031 | $0.3571 | $1.50 | $6.27 |
| 2032 | $0.255 | $1.23 | $5.89 |
| 2033 | $0.1841 | $1.00 | $5.47 |
| 2034 | $0.134 | $0.8211 | $5.03 |
| 2035 | $0.09831 | $0.6722 | $4.60 |
| 2036 | $0.07254 | $0.5503 | $4.17 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LCID's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LCID Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$18.6K
3 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$6.2K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2021 | RAWLINSON PETER DORE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 178.8K | $4.3M |
| Aug 16, 2024 | BACH ERIC
Officer
|
Sell | 90.0K | $282.5K |
| Sep 14, 2023 | BELL MICHAEL A
Officer
|
Sell | 46.7K | $280.9K |
| Dec 7, 2022 | BELL MICHAEL A
Officer
|
Sell | 12.6K | $107.7K |
| Aug 3, 2026 | WINITZER ORI
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $7.5K |
| Jun 1, 2026 | WINITZER ORI
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $6.4K |
| Sep 1, 2026 | WINITZER ORI
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $4.8K |
| Aug 5, 2026 | DE BOCK ALEXANDER
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 501.6K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | ALNOWAISER TURQI A
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 45.2K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | GRIMM DOUGLAS J
Director
|
Grant | 43.9K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Lucid Group Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Lucid Group Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $1.83, a downside projection of $0.51, and an upside projection of $6.59. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is Lucid Group Inc. stock a buy right now?
Lucid Group Inc. is currently rated as Hold by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 41 out of 100. While the median analyst price target suggests a 72% upside, the company's persistent losses and moderate insider selling signal caution.
What are the key technical levels for Lucid Group Inc. stock?
Lucid Group Inc. is trading below its key technical levels, with its current price of $4.07 below the 50-day SMA of $5.69 and the 200-day SMA of $7.86. The RSI is at 31.29, indicating bearish momentum.
How does Lucid Group Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Lucid Group Inc. shows revenue growth of 56.2%, significantly higher than the sector median of 7.2%. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 1.03 is lower than the sector median of 1.9, and its profitability metrics like ROE and profit margin are substantially worse than sector averages.
What is the insider sentiment for Lucid Group Inc. stock?
Insider sentiment for Lucid Group Inc. is currently a moderate sell signal, with $18.6K in total sales and no reported insider purchases in recent filings. This indicates a net selling pressure from insiders.
What are the recent earnings results for Lucid Group Inc.?
In the quarter to June 2026, Lucid Group Inc. reported an EPS of -0.08, beating estimates by 60%. However, the prior quarter to June 2026 showed an EPS of -0.21, missing estimates by 30%. This suggests inconsistent earnings performance.
What is the outlook for Lucid Group Inc. based on analyst estimates?
Analyst estimates project revenue growth for Lucid Group Inc. to accelerate significantly, with next year's revenue growth estimated at +121.00%. EPS estimates also show improvement, moving from -9.81 for the current year to -5.00 for next year, though still indicating losses.