Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID)
- Market cap
- $1.23B
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $7.00median of 11 analysts
- 52-week range
- $2.37 $20.31
The short version
Where LCID stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
LCID at a glance
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID): Sell, 33/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($4.67 and $7.26).
- Insiders Insiders sold $23K and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) Sell, with a model score of 33/100.
Revenue growth lifts the score most: revenue grew 56.20%, 49.0 percentage points faster than the sector median. The trend holds it back most: the price is 56.87% below its 200-day average and 32.91% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 35.71% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $4.67 and the 200-day at $7.26. Over the past year the price fell 84.75%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from LCID's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $3.13 is 32.9% below the 50-day simple moving average of $4.67.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 56.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $7.26.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($4.67) is 35.7% below the 200-day average ($7.26), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 4% of its 52-week range, between $2.37 and $20.31.
LCID share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far LCID has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where LCID sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/2P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.88 is 53.8% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $-4.6B on revenue of $1.5B, a net margin of -297.6%.
Key statistics
The headline figures for LCID.
As of October 17, 2026, LCID trades at $3.13, with a market value of $1.23B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of LCID's valuation, growth and risks.
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) cannot be valued on a P/E basis, since that measure is not meaningful when the company lost money over the last 12 months. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.88 is 53.7% below the sector median of 1.9. To put the size in context, the market capitalisation is $1.2B, and trailing earnings come to -$13.71 a share.
Lucid Group Inc. is still losing money, posting a net margin of -297.64% and an operating margin of -261.01%. Revenue grew 56.20% in the latest year, well ahead of the sector median of 7.2%. Return on equity stands at -125.99%, below the sector median of 12.4%. Our data reports no dividend.
LCID reported its latest quarter on August 4, 2026, and the result fell short: EPS of -$2.78 a share compared with an estimate of -$2.41, a miss of 15.35%. Investors reacted accordingly, and the stock dropped 13.88% in the next session.
Analysts expect LCID to keep losing money. Their consensus EPS estimate is -$9.81 for this fiscal year and -$5.00 for the next.
The 30-day standard deviation of LCID's daily returns is 4.02%. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 84.59% below its 52-week high of $20.31. Insiders sold $23K over the last 18 months and bought none on the open market, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
LCID against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How LCID compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, LCID trades at 0.8775x, -54% versus the sector average of 1.90x.
Return vs SPY: Since May 6, 2025, LCID has lost 86.6% against a gain of 36.6% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
LCID and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much LCID sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 67.6% in FY2025 to $1.4B, from $808M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -199.3% in FY2025, up from -336.0% the year before.
Loss-making: LCID lost $2.7B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did LCID beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: LCID did not beat the analyst estimate in the last quarter.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026after close | -$2.41 | -$2.78 | -15.35% | -13.88% | -13.88% |
As of October 17, 2026, LCID has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 reported quarters; its latest report, on August 4, 2026, came in 15.35% below the estimate and the stock moved -13.88% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
0/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 27.4, in oversold territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 27.4 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of LCID
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) is trading in a downtrend. The price of $3.13 sits 32.91% below its 50-day average of $4.67 and 56.87% below its 200-day average of $7.26. It is also near the floor of its 52-week range: 32.07% above the low of $2.37, while 84.59% below the high of $20.31. Because the 50-day average is 35.71% below the 200-day average, the short-term trend is weaker than the longer one.
The 14-day RSI of 27.4 is in oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. The record is negative across every period shown: the price fell 57.47% over the past three months, fell 57.12% over the past six months and fell 84.75% over the past year.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Citigroup kept its Buy rating on August 19, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Citigroup, August 19, 2026
Earnings miss ›
The August 4, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 15.35%, and the share price fell 13.88% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 4, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
Benchmark downgraded it to Hold from Buy on May 6, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Benchmark, May 6, 2026
- Two levels deserve attention: the 20-day EMA at $3.84, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $2.37, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 27.4, which places it in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 flag stretched momentum.
- Following the August 4, 2026 report, the share price dropped 13.88% in the first trading session.
LCID is in a downtrend because it sits beneath both its 50-day ($4.67) and 200-day ($7.26) averages. A recovery back above the 50-day would be the first real sign of repair. Above the price, the closest level is the 20-day EMA at $3.84.
The 52-week low at $2.37 is the next level below. Momentum is washed out, with the RSI below the oversold line; a turn back above it would be an early sign of stabilising.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for LCID, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with LCID at $3.13, its 14-day RSI is 27.4 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $4.67 and its 200-day is $7.26.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What LCID moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, LCID's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.32 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.27 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.10 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
1 of 11 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 3 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $7.00 is 123.6% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
1 of 11 rate it a buy now, against 1 of 12 three months ago.
LCID Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $3.13, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
| Jul 13, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform |
| May 15, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
| May 6, 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold |
| May 6, 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold |
| May 4, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Neutral |
As of October 17, 2026, 11 Wall Street analysts cover LCID: 1 rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 3 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $3.50 to $17.00, with a median of $7.00, 123.6% above the price of $3.13.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
LCID trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
LCID moves about 4.0% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much LCID tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
LCID's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.02% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 99.4%, from November 2021 to October 2026; the price is still 99.4% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
1% of 1-year holding periods in the last 5 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in July 2021 is now worth $116.66, against $18,559 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
LCID Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, LCID's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 5 years with dividends reinvested was -99.4% (November 2021 to October 2026); it is still 99.4% below that peak, and 1% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into LCID in July 2021 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: LCID trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $116.66 against $18,559.
A $10,000 investment in LCID in July 2021 would be worth about $117 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $18,559 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to LCID, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +16.58%, up in 5 of 5 years.
Weakest month, April: an average of -19.33%, up in 1 of 5 years.
This month, October: has averaged -12.80%, up in 2 of 5 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 6 years, LCID's strongest calendar month has been July (average +16.58%, up in 5 of 5 years) and its weakest April (average -19.33%, up in 1 of 5 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 6 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in LCID, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LCID today could grow to about $2,827 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $21,445 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $373. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LCID Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1.89 for LCID by 2030 in the base case, from $3.13 today (0.6x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $0.5242. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LCID's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1.45 | $2.76 | $5.24 | |
| 2028 | $0.9823 | $2.43 | $6.02 | |
| 2029 | $0.7062 | $2.14 | $6.50 | |
| 2030 | $0.5242 | $1.89 | $6.80 | |
| 2031 | $0.3971 | $1.66 | $6.97 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of LCID's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
LCID insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought LCID shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 17, 2026, LCID insiders reported 4 open-market sales worth $23K and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Ori Winitzer
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $4.1K |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ori Winitzer
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $4.8K |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bock Alexander De
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 501.6K | - |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ori Winitzer
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $7.5K |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Turqi A Alnowaiser
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 45.2K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Douglas J Grimm
Director
|
Grant | 43.9K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Lisa Marie Lambert
Director
|
Grant | 46.8K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Andrew N Liveris
Director
|
Grant | 46.5K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Nichelle Maynard-Elliott
Director
|
Grant | 43.9K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Chabi Nouri
Director
|
Grant | 43.9K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ori Winitzer
Director
|
Grant | 43.9K | - |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Janet S Wong
Director
|
Grant | 2.9K | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Ori Winitzer
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $6.4K |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Silvio Napoli
Director
|
Grant | 402.1K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Taoufiq Boussaid
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 57.6K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Gagan Dhingra
Officer
|
Grant | 35.0K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Gagan Dhingra
Officer
|
Grant | 40.8K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Marc Winterhoff
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 90.0K | - |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Eric Bach
Officer
|
Grant | 600.0K | - |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Gagan Dhingra
Officer
|
Grant | 533.3K | - |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Marc Winterhoff
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 666.7K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Turqi A Alnowaiser
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 115.2K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Douglas J Grimm
Director
|
Grant | 151.0K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Lisa Marie Lambert
Director
|
Grant | 116.8K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Andrew N Liveris
Director
|
Grant | 113.5K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Nichelle Maynard-Elliott
Director
|
Grant | 108.7K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Chabi Nouri
Director
|
Grant | 108.7K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Ori Winitzer
Director
|
Grant | 108.7K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Janet S Wong
Director
|
Grant | 116.8K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.