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As of September 11, 2026, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) trades at $113.30. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $113.30, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $145.00 across 5 analysts. RSI at 36 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $131.53.
Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS)
Axcelis Technologies Inc. NASDAQ
$113.30
-2.260 (-1.96%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
45 / 100
Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) is currently trading at $113.30, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($131.53 and $117.26), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company's recent earnings have shown mixed performance, with a notable EPS beat in the latest quarter (1.06 actual vs. 0.89 estimate, +19.1% surprise) but a previous quarter miss. Wall Street sentiment is divided, with a consensus rating of Hold and a median price target of $145.00, suggesting a potential 28.0% upside from current levels. However, significant insider selling totaling $6.5 million in the recent period, with no corresponding insider purchases, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence. The technology sector, particularly semiconductor equipment, is experiencing moderate revenue growth projections, with ACLS expected to grow revenue by 5.00% this year and 12.00% next year.
ACLS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$112.50
Day Range
$111.01 to $115.05
Prev Close
$115.56
Volume
173.9K
52-Week Range
$73.60 to $193.78
Market Cap
$3.50B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
ACLS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, ACLS beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
ACLS Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+27.98% Upside
Median of 5 analysts (12-month)
$145.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume on Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) has decreased by 45% compared to its average, indicating reduced trading interest. The stock's momentum has turned bearish, as evidenced by its RSI value of 36.34 and its position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($131.53 and $117.26). The MACD indicator is also negative at -6.16, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downward trend, while resistance can be observed at the aforementioned moving averages. The current technical setup suggests a potential for further downside pressure in the near term.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling totaling $6.5 million, investors should closely monitor future insider transactions for any signs of a shift in sentiment.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($131.53 and $117.26), suggesting caution for short-term traders until a clear bullish trend reversal is established.
- With a P/E ratio above the sector median, investors should ensure that Axcelis Technologies' future growth adequately justifies its current valuation to avoid potential downside risk.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong EPS Beat in Latest Quarter
Axcelis Technologies reported an EPS of $1.06 versus an estimate of $0.89 for the quarter ending August 6, 2026, a 19.1% surprise, indicating strong operational performance.
Source: Company Earnings ReportBearish
Significant Insider Selling
Insiders have sold a total of $6.5 million in stock with no reported purchases, signaling potential concerns about the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Transaction FilingsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($131.53 and $117.26), with a bearish RSI and MACD, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis DataBullish
Positive Analyst Price Target Upside
The median Wall Street price target of $145.00 suggests a potential 28.0% upside from the current stock price of $113.30.
Source: Wall Street Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) anticipates a potential move towards its median analyst target price of $145.00 over the next 6-12 months, representing an approximate 28.0% upside. This projection is supported by forward revenue growth estimates of 5.00% for the current year and 12.00% for the next. However, the current bearish technical momentum and significant insider selling present considerable headwinds that could impede this trajectory. Potential catalysts that could alter this outlook include stronger-than-expected earnings surprises, new contract wins in the semiconductor equipment space, or a broader market rotation into technology stocks. Conversely, a failure to meet revenue targets, increased competition, or continued insider divestitures could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing downside support levels around $53.99 as indicated by long-range projections.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 3.50B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.02 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.98 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 193.78 |
| 52 Week Low | 73.60 |
Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) trades at a P/E ratio of 38.02, which is above the technology sector median of 34.0, suggesting a premium valuation. While the company's revenue growth of 10.6% is solid, it falls below the sector median of 24.1%. The latest reported EPS was $2.98, but the forward revenue growth estimates for the current year are projected at 5.00% and 12.00% for next year, indicating a slowdown from historical performance. The company's balance sheet strength and profitability metrics are not detailed, but the current valuation appears stretched relative to its growth trajectory and sector averages.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) demonstrated strong earnings performance in its most recent quarter ending August 6, 2026, reporting an EPS of $1.06 against an estimate of $0.89, a positive surprise of 19.1%, which was accompanied by a 2.64% price increase. However, the prior quarter (July 23, 2026) saw an EPS of $3.52 versus an estimate of $3.32, a smaller surprise of 6.02%, and the stock reacted negatively, falling 5.24%. The company has a history of significant EPS surprises, including a substantial beat in the quarter ending June 11, 2026, where actual EPS of -0.09 beat the estimate of -0.33 by 72.73%.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) is the significant insider selling totaling $6.5 million, indicating a lack of immediate confidence from management. The stock's current technical posture, trading below key moving averages with bearish momentum signals, presents a risk of further price depreciation. Additionally, the company's P/E ratio of 38.02 is elevated compared to the sector median, suggesting a potential valuation risk if growth expectations are not met.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 36.34 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.16 |
| SMA 50 | 131.53 |
| SMA 200 | 117.26 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($131.53) above the 200-day SMA ($117.26), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.61
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
ACLS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$112.17
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$113.30
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$106.04
MAX LOSS
-5.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (36.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$115.53
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$117.78
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$121.14
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
ACLS is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.48%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ACLS in September 2016 would be worth about $93,636 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ACLS today could grow to about $38,610 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $292,923 and a bear case around $5,089. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ACLS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $194 for ACLS by 2030 in the base case, from $113 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $53.99. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ACLS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $68.33 | $130 | $246 |
| 2028 | $59.98 | $148 | $367 |
| 2029 | $56.00 | $170 | $516 |
| 2030 | $53.99 | $194 | $701 |
| 2031 | $53.12 | $223 | $933 |
| 2032 | $53.04 | $255 | $1,224 |
| 2033 | $53.53 | $292 | $1,589 |
| 2034 | $54.51 | $334 | $2,045 |
| 2035 | $55.90 | $382 | $2,613 |
| 2036 | $57.66 | $437 | $3,319 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ACLS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. ACLS is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ACLS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$6.5M
23 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$283.5K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2023 | PUMA MARY G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 21.7K | $3.8M |
| Feb 13, 2023 | PUMA MARY G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 24.8K | $3.1M |
| May 25, 2023 | PUMA MARY G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 19.7K | $3.0M |
| Mar 11, 2021 | PUMA MARY G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $3.0M |
| Nov 8, 2017 | ALDEBORGH JOHN E
Officer
|
Sell | 87.5K | $2.9M |
| May 11, 2023 | PUMA MARY G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 21.7K | $2.7M |
| Nov 20, 2019 | PUMA MARY G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 106.8K | $2.4M |
| Jun 12, 2023 | PUMA MARY G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 11.8K | $2.1M |
| May 8, 2020 | PUMA MARY G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $2.0M |
| May 16, 2023 | CHIU TZU YIN
Director
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Axcelis Technologies' stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Axcelis Technologies' stock price is projected to be $194.50 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $53.99, while the upside projection reaches $700.65. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) stock a buy right now?
Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) is currently rated a Hold by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $145.00, suggesting a 28.0% upside from the current price of $113.30. However, technical indicators are bearish, and significant insider selling has been reported.
What are the biggest risks facing Axcelis Technologies?
The primary risks for Axcelis Technologies include substantial insider selling, a bearish technical outlook with the stock trading below key moving averages, and a valuation that appears premium relative to sector peers and its projected growth.
How has Axcelis Technologies performed in recent earnings reports?
Axcelis Technologies recently reported a strong EPS beat of 19.1% for the quarter ending August 6, 2026. However, the prior quarter showed a smaller beat and a negative stock reaction, indicating some volatility in earnings performance.
What is the revenue growth outlook for Axcelis Technologies?
Axcelis Technologies is projected to achieve revenue growth of 5.00% for the current year and 12.00% for next year. This growth rate is below the technology sector median of 24.1%.
How does Axcelis Technologies' valuation compare to its peers?
Axcelis Technologies' P/E ratio of 38.02 is higher than the technology sector median of 34.0, indicating that the stock is trading at a premium valuation compared to its peers.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Axcelis Technologies stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Axcelis Technologies is currently 'Hold', with a score of 45 out of 100. This reflects a mixed analyst sentiment, with 3 out of 5 analysts rating the stock as Hold.