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As of September 11, 2026, Ford Motor Co. (F) trades at $13.97. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $13.97, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $15.92 across 21 analysts. RSI at 43 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $14.11.
Ford Motor Co. (F)
Ford Motor Co. NYSE
$13.97
0.0850 (0.61%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Ford Motor Co. (F) is currently trading at $13.965, below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, indicating mixed short-term and positive long-term technical signals. The company's recent earnings have shown a pattern of beating analyst estimates, with the latest quarter reporting an EPS of $0.42 against an estimate of $0.35, leading to a 2.14% price increase. However, revenue growth has been slightly negative year-over-year for the current quarter, with modest growth expected for the next quarter and year. Insider activity shows a moderate insider buying with net selling of $22.4M million versus $675,000 in sales, primarily driven by purchases from an insider. This insider conviction, coupled with a 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street analysts, suggests a balanced outlook. The median analyst price target of $15.92 implies a 14% upside from the current price, but the overall analyst score of 62 out of 100 indicates a cautious sentiment.
F Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$14.10
Day Range
$13.96 to $14.12
Prev Close
$13.88
Volume
1.64M
52-Week Range
$11.11 to $17.78
Market Cap
$55.35B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-20%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
F Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, F beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
F Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+14.00% Upside
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
$15.92
AI Technical Analysis
Ford Motor Co. is trading below its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages at $14.04 and $14.11 respectively, suggesting near-term downward pressure. However, the stock remains above its 200-day simple moving average of $13.52, indicating a positive long-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.25, falling within the neutral momentum range, and the MACD is slightly negative at -0.059, signaling a lack of strong directional momentum. Key support is observed around the 200-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA. Trading volume has been significantly below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction from market participants. The current technical setup suggests a period of consolidation or a potential retest of support levels before any significant upward movement.
ProTips
- Ford Motor Co. offers a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but ensure this is sustainable given the company's negative EPS.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting caution for short-term traders. Monitor for a break above the $14.11 level for potential upward momentum.
- Given the intense competition and rapid technological shifts in the automotive industry, particularly towards EVs, maintaining a diversified portfolio is advisable.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Insider Buying Signal
Insiders have demonstrated a moderate insider buying with net purchases totaling $2.2 million versus $675,000 in sales, indicating confidence from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Consistent EPS Beats
Ford has recently exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its latest earnings report, posting $0.42 against expectations of $0.35, which historically has supported positive price action.
Source: Earnings ReportsNeutral
Analyst Target Price Upside
The median analyst price target for Ford stands at $15.92, suggesting a potential upside of 14% from the current trading price of $13.965.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Negative Revenue Growth and EPS
Ford's revenue growth has contracted by 3.8% and the company reports a negative EPS of -1.87, raising concerns about profitability and the sustainability of its dividend.
Source: Financial StatementsBearish
Mixed Technical Indicators
The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average and has seen significantly below-average trading volume, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Ford Motor Co.'s outlook is cautiously neutral, with a base case projection of $16.15 by 2030, reflecting a modest upside from current levels. The company's ability to consistently beat EPS estimates provides a foundation, but the slow revenue growth and negative EPS are significant headwinds. The current 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street and a moderate insider buying signal suggest that significant catalysts would be needed to drive substantial price appreciation. Upside potential could be realized through stronger-than-expected EV adoption and profitability, successful cost-saving initiatives, or a broader market rally favoring cyclical stocks. Conversely, increased competition, persistent supply chain issues, or a downturn in consumer spending could push the stock towards its downside projection of $6.16. Investors should monitor EV sales performance and profitability margins closely.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 55.35B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.29% |
| 52 Week High | 17.78 |
| 52 Week Low | 11.11 |
Ford Motor Co. presents a mixed fundamental picture, with its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio not applicable due to negative EPS of -1.87. The company's revenue growth has contracted by 3.8% over the last reported period, and current quarter revenue estimates show a slight year-over-year decline of 1.00%. While forward revenue growth is projected to be around 2.00% for both the current and next year, this indicates a slow recovery. The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, which is relatively attractive. However, the negative EPS and recent revenue contraction raise concerns about profitability and growth sustainability. The sector averages for P/E and revenue growth are 15.0 and 5.0% respectively, suggesting Ford is not trading at a premium valuation but is underperforming on growth metrics compared to its peers.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Ford Motor Co. has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest reported EPS of $0.42 exceeding the $0.35 estimate by 20%. This positive earnings surprise was accompanied by a 2.14% stock price increase. However, the company missed EPS estimates in February 2026 and showed a significant beat in April 2026, indicating some volatility in performance relative to expectations.
Key Risks
Ford Motor Co. faces risks related to its slow revenue growth and negative EPS, which could pressure its valuation and dividend sustainability. The stock's technicals are mixed, trading below key short-term moving averages, and recent trading volume has been notably low, suggesting a lack of investor enthusiasm. Competition within the automotive sector remains intense, with ongoing shifts towards electric vehicles posing a significant strategic challenge.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.25 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.06 |
| SMA 50 | 14.11 |
| SMA 200 | 13.52 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($14.11) above the 200-day SMA ($13.52), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
F Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$13.83
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$13.97
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$13.38
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$14.24
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$14.52
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$14.93
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for F is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in F in September 2016 would be worth about $10,929 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in F today could grow to about $14,373 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $65,931 and a bear case around $3,133. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
F Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $16.15 for F by 2030 in the base case, from $13.97 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $6.16. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on F's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $8.95 | $14.48 | $23.44 |
| 2028 | $7.60 | $15.02 | $29.68 |
| 2029 | $6.76 | $15.57 | $35.86 |
| 2030 | $6.16 | $16.15 | $42.31 |
| 2031 | $5.70 | $16.74 | $49.16 |
| 2032 | $5.33 | $17.36 | $56.49 |
| 2033 | $5.03 | $18.00 | $64.39 |
| 2034 | $4.78 | $18.67 | $72.91 |
| 2035 | $4.56 | $19.36 | $82.12 |
| 2036 | $4.38 | $20.07 | $92.07 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using F's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
F Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.2M
3 Transactions
Sold
$675.0K
1 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$714.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 454.3K | $4.7M |
| Mar 3, 2022 | FARLEY JAMES D JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 185.3K | $3.3M |
| Dec 3, 2021 | O'CALLAGHAN CATHERINE A
Officer
|
Sell | 73.0K | $1.5M |
| Mar 10, 2021 | THAI-TANG HAU N
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 90.0K | $1.2M |
| Mar 3, 2023 | FARLEY JAMES D JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 79.9K | $1.0M |
| May 24, 2024 | HUNTSMAN JON M JR
Director
|
Sell | 81.2K | $982.2K |
| Jun 4, 2021 | ROBINSON KIERSTEN
Officer
|
Sell | 60.0K | $972.0K |
| Jun 21, 2021 | ROWLEY STUART JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 52.4K | $773.8K |
| Jul 2, 2025 | FRICK ANDREW
Officer
|
Sell | 60.0K | $675.0K |
| Apr 29, 2019 | O'CALLAGHAN CATHERINE A
Officer
|
Sell | 53.0K | $547.6K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Ford Motor Co.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Ford Motor Co.'s stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $16.15, with a downside scenario of $6.16 and an upside scenario of $42.31. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Ford Motor Co. stock a buy right now?
Ford Motor Co. is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 62 out of 100. While insider transactions show a moderate buying signal, the stock is trading below its short-term moving averages and faces challenges with revenue growth, suggesting a cautious approach is warranted.
What is Ford's current dividend yield?
Ford Motor Co. offers a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, providing a notable income stream for investors.
What are the main risks facing Ford Motor Co.?
Key risks for Ford include intense competition in the automotive market, the ongoing transition to electric vehicles which requires significant investment, and the company's current negative EPS and slow revenue growth, which could impact future profitability and stock performance.
How has Ford Motor Co. performed in recent earnings reports?
Ford has recently shown a tendency to beat analyst EPS estimates, with the latest quarter's actual EPS of $0.42 surpassing the estimated $0.35 by 20%. This pattern suggests operational efficiency in meeting earnings expectations, although revenue growth remains a point of concern.
What is the outlook for Ford's revenue growth?
Revenue growth for Ford is projected to be slightly negative at -1.00% for the current quarter year-over-year, with modest positive growth of around 2.00% anticipated for both the next quarter and the full current year. Growth for the next year is also estimated at 2.00%.
What is the consensus among Wall Street analysts for Ford Motor Co. stock?
The consensus among 21 Wall Street analysts for Ford Motor Co. is 'Hold', with a median price target of $15.92, implying a 14% upside from the current price. The overall analyst score is 62 out of 100, reflecting a neutral to cautiously optimistic view.