Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
Ford Motor Co. (F)
- Market cap
- $49.57B
- Dividend yield
- 4.83%
- Street target
- $15.00median of 20 analysts
- 52-week range
- $11.11 $17.78
The short version
Where F stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
F at a glance
Ford Motor Co. (F): Sell, 35/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($13.32 and $13.43).
- Earnings F beat estimates in 6 of its last 7 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $675K and bought $2.2M over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Ford Motor Co. (F) carries a CleaRank rating of Sell and a model score of 35/100.
Analysts' outlook is the factor that lifts the score most, with the median target 20.7% above the price. Trend pulls it down most: the price is 7.48% below the 200-day average and 6.66% below the 50-day, and the 50-day sits 0.88% below the 200-day. Those averages are $13.32 for the 50-day and $13.43 for the 200-day. In the past year, the price has risen 5.88%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from F's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $12.43 is 6.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $13.32.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 7.5% below the 200-day simple moving average of $13.43.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($13.32) is 0.9% below the 200-day average ($13.43), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 20% of its 52-week range, between $11.11 and $17.78.
F share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far F has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where F sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/4P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.26 is 86.3% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $-7.4B on revenue of $188.0B, a net margin of -3.9%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
F beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 7 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 4.83%, or $0.6 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for F.
As of October 17, 2026, F trades at $12.43, with a market value of $49.57B, no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative) and a dividend yield of 4.83%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of F's valuation, growth and risks.
F cannot be valued on earnings: its P/E is not meaningful, because the company lost money over the last 12 months. On sales, the price-to-sales ratio of 0.26 is 86.3% below the sector median of 1.9. Market capitalisation stands at $49.6B, and trailing earnings are -$1.88 a share.
The company is losing money, with a net margin of -3.94% and an operating margin of 1.88%. Growth trails the sector: revenue fell 3.80% in the latest year, against a sector median of 7.2%. It generates a return on equity of -18.25%, below the sector median of 12.4%. Rounding out the fundamentals, F reports debt-to-equity of 4.57 and a trailing dividend yield of 4.83% ($0.6 a share a year).
F's most recent earnings report, released on July 28, 2026, came in 20.00% above the estimate, at $0.42 a share versus a forecast of $0.35. The stock followed with a 2.14% gain in the next session.
Across the last 7 reports, the company beat estimates in 6 of them, but the stock still fell in the first session after 3 of those 6 beats. For this fiscal year, analysts average an EPS estimate of $1.86, a change of 70.6%, and next year they expect $1.95, growth of 4.9%.
Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: F has moved 1.81% on an average session. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 30.09% below its 52-week high of $17.78. Insiders sold $675K over the last 18 months and bought $2.2M, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
F against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How F compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, F trades at 0.2611x, far below the sector average of 1.90x.
Return vs SPY: Since May 6, 2025, F has gained 19.1% against a gain of 36.6% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
F and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much F sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 1.2% in FY2025 to $187B, from $185B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -4.4% in FY2025, down from 3.2% the year before.
Loss-making: F lost $8.2B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did F beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: F beat the analyst estimate in 6 of the last 7 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 6 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026after close | $0.35 | $0.42 | +20.00% | +2.14% | -4.81% |
| Apr 29, 2026after close | $0.19 | $0.66 | +247.37% | -1.31% | -0.57% |
| Feb 10, 2026after close | $0.19 | $0.13 | -31.58% | +2.06% | +2.06% |
| Jul 30, 2025after close | $0.33 | $0.37 | +12.12% | +1.84% | +3.13% |
| May 5, 2025after close | $0.02 | $0.14 | +600.00% | +2.65% | +3.74% |
| Feb 5, 2025after close | $0.32 | $0.39 | +21.88% | -7.49% | -7.79% |
| Oct 28, 2024after close | $0.47 | $0.49 | +4.26% | -8.44% | -8.88% |
As of October 17, 2026, F has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 6 of its last 7 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on July 28, 2026, came in 20.00% above the estimate and the stock moved +2.14% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 45.1, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 45.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of F
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Ford Motor Co. (F) is trading in a downtrend. At $12.43, the price is 6.66% below its 50-day average of $13.32 and 7.48% below its 200-day average of $13.43. It sits near the bottom of its 52-week range: the price is 11.88% above the low of $11.11 and 30.09% below the high of $17.78. The 50-day average is 0.88% below the 200-day average, which means the shorter-term trend is weaker than the longer one.
Ford's recent weakness sits within a longer record that is mixed. Over the past month the price fell 6.89%, and over the past three months it fell 12.65%, yet across the past year it rose 5.88%. Last session's volume was 30.0% above its average, on a day when the price climbed 0.97%. The 14-day RSI stands at 45.1, which is neutral, and the MACD line is negative.
Earnings beat ›
The July 28, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 20.00%, and the share price rose 2.14% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 28, 2026Analyst upgrade ›
Citigroup upgraded it to Buy from Neutral on July 29, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Citigroup, July 29, 2026
Rating reaffirmed ›
UBS kept its Buy rating on October 7, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, UBS, October 7, 2026
- Two levels deserve attention: the 20-day EMA at $12.48, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $11.11, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 45.1, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- The share price rose 2.14% in the first session after the July 28, 2026 report. Across the last 7 reports, F beat estimates in 6.
F sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($13.32 and $13.43), and that placement is why the trend reads as down. A recovery would first need to reclaim the 50-day average. The closest level overhead is the 20-day EMA, at $12.48.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $11.11.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for F, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with F at $12.43, its 14-day RSI is 45.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $13.32 and its 200-day is $13.43.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What F moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, F's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.43 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.35 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.16 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
8 of 20 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $15.00 is 20.7% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
8 of 20 rate it a buy now, against 8 of 22 three months ago.
F Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $12.43, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jul 30, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy |
| Jul 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
| Jul 29, 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold |
As of October 17, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover F: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $12.80 to $20.00, with a median of $15.00, 20.7% above the price of $12.43.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
F trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from F's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much F tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
F's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.81% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 61.7%, from January 2018 to April 2020, regained by February 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
52% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $16,483, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
F Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, F's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -61.7% (January 2018 to April 2020); it regained that peak by February 2021, 10 months after the low, and 52% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into F in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: F trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $16,483 against $42,055.
A $10,000 investment in F in October 2016 would be worth about $16,483 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to F, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +7.21%, up in 10 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -4.59%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +3.36%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, F's strongest calendar month has been November (average +7.21%, up in 10 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -4.59%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in F, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in F today could grow to about $13,942 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $64,052 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,035. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.83% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
F Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $14.20 for F by 2030 in the base case, from $12.43 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $5.41. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on F's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $7.93 | $12.85 | $20.81 | |
| 2028 | $6.72 | $13.28 | $26.27 | |
| 2029 | $5.96 | $13.73 | $31.66 | |
| 2030 | $5.41 | $14.20 | $37.24 | |
| 2031 | $4.99 | $14.68 | $43.14 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of F's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
F insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: Insiders bought $2.2M on the open market and sold $675K.
As of October 17, 2026, F insiders reported 1 open-market sale worth $675K and 3 open-market purchases worth $2.2M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Buy | 10.6K | $148.9K |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Kyle Crockett
Officer
|
Grant | 74.1K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Alexandra Ford English
Director
|
Grant | 23.0K | $304.6K |
| May 21, 2026 | Henry Ford III
Director
|
Grant | 15.7K | $207.9K |
| May 21, 2026 | William W Helman IV
Director
|
Grant | 15.7K | $207.9K |
| May 21, 2026 | John C. May II
Director
|
Grant | 23.0K | $304.6K |
| May 21, 2026 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Grant | 15.7K | $207.9K |
| May 20, 2026 | John B. Veihmeyer
Director
|
Grant | 36.8K | - |
| May 20, 2026 | John S. Weinberg
Director
|
Grant | 33.6K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Jennifer Waldo
Officer
|
Grant | 185.2K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Michael Aragon
Officer
|
Grant | 282.2K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Michael R Amend
Officer
|
Grant | 126.4K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Steven P Croley
General Counsel
|
Grant | 208.1K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | James D Farley Jr
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 1.0M | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | John Douglas Field
Officer
|
Grant | 610.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | William Clay Ford Jr
Chairman of the Board
|
Grant | 811.9K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Andrew Frick
Officer
|
Grant | 97.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ashwani Kumar Galhotra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 286.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Sherry Ann House
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 132.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | John T Lawler
Officer
|
Grant | 308.6K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Jennifer Waldo
Officer
|
Grant | 155.2K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Shengpo Wu
Officer
|
Grant | 115.3K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | William Clay Ford Jr
Officer and Director
|
Buy | 140.0K | $1.9M |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Michael R Amend
Officer
|
Grant | 79.9K | - |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Steven P Croley
General Counsel
|
Grant | 118.9K | - |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Ashwani Kumar Galhotra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 51.0K | - |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Alexandra Ford English
Director
|
Grant | 5.6K | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Henry Ford III
Director
|
Grant | 9.0K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | John Douglas Field
Officer
|
Grant | 201.4K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Andrew Frick
Officer
|
Grant | 51.1K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Ashwani Kumar Galhotra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 35.7K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | John T Lawler
Officer
|
Grant | 23.8K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Buy | 7.5K | $99.2K |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Shengpo Wu
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 94.9K | - |
| Oct 30, 2025 | John B. Veihmeyer
Director
|
Grant | 19.8K | - |
| Oct 30, 2025 | John S. Weinberg
Director
|
Grant | 16.9K | - |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Andrew Frick
Officer
|
Sell | 60.0K | $675.0K |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Sherry Ann House
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 132.4K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | John B. Veihmeyer
Director
|
Grant | 48.4K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | John S. Weinberg
Director
|
Grant | 48.4K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Alexandra Ford English
Director
|
Grant | 29.3K | $315.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | Henry Ford III
Director
|
Grant | 20.0K | $215.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | William W Helman IV
Director
|
Grant | 20.0K | $215.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | Jon M Huntsman Jr
Director
|
Grant | 62.7K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | John C. May II
Director
|
Grant | 29.3K | $315.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Grant | 20.0K | $215.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | Jennifer Waldo
Officer
|
Grant | 223.0K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.