Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
Ford Motor Co. (F)
- Market cap
- $46.69B
- Dividend yield
- 5.12%
- Street target
- $15.00median of 20 analysts
- 52-week range
- $11.11 $17.78
F stock forecast today
Where F stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
F at a glance
Ford Motor Co. (F): Sell, 29/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($13.02 and $13.37).
- Earnings F beat estimates in 6 of the 7 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $675K and bought $2.2M over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Ford Motor Co. (F) Sell, with a model score of 29/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: the median target is 28.1% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 12.41% below its 200-day average and 10.03% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 2.65% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $13.02 and the 200-day at $13.37. Over the past year the price fell 11.69%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from F's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
F stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $11.71 is 10.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of $13.02.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 12.4% below the 200-day simple moving average of $13.37.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($13.02) is 2.6% below the 200-day average ($13.37), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 9% of its 52-week range, between $11.11 and $17.78.
F share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far F has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where F sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
F fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/4P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.25 is 87.0% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$7.4B on revenue of $188.0B, a net margin of -3.9%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
F beat the EPS estimate in 6 of the 7 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 5.12%, or $0.6 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for F.
As of October 27, 2026, F trades at $11.71, with a market value of $46.69B, no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative) and a dividend yield of 5.12%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of F's valuation, growth and risks.
F cannot be valued on a P/E basis, because its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative, which makes the ratio not meaningful. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.25 is 86.8% below the sector median of 1.9. Market capitalisation stands at $46.7B, and trailing earnings are -$1.88 a share.
The company is losing money, with a net margin of -3.94% and an operating margin of 1.88%. Growth trails the sector: revenue fell 3.80% in the latest quarter year on year, against a sector median of 7.2%. It generates a return on equity of -18.25%, below the sector median of 12.4%. Rounding out the fundamentals, F reports debt-to-equity of 4.57 and a trailing dividend yield of 5.12% ($0.60 a share a year).
F's last earnings report, on July 28, 2026, beat the estimate by 20.00%, with $0.42 a share against a $0.35 estimate. The market agreed: the stock rose 2.14% the following session.
The earnings record shows 6 beats in 7 reports, though the stock still fell in the first session after 3 of those 6 beats. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $1.84, which would be growth of 69.0%, and $1.92 for next year (growth of 4.1%).
Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: F has moved 1.48% on an average session, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.94. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 34.14% below its 52-week high of $17.78. Insiders sold $675K over the last 18 months and bought $2.2M, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
F against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How F compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, F trades at 0.2461x, far below the sector average of 1.90x.
Return vs SPY: Since May 15, 2025, F has gained 8.9% against a gain of 30.4% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
F and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much F sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 1.2% in FY2025 to $187B, from $185B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -4.4% in FY2025, down from 3.2% the year before.
Loss-making: F lost $8.2B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did F beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: F beat the analyst estimate in 6 of the 7 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 6 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026after close | $0.35 | $0.42 | +20.00% | +2.14% | -4.81% |
| Apr 29, 2026after close | $0.19 | $0.66 | +247.37% | -1.31% | -0.57% |
| Feb 10, 2026after close | $0.19 | $0.13 | -31.58% | +2.06% | +2.06% |
| Jul 30, 2025after close | $0.33 | $0.37 | +12.12% | +1.84% | +3.13% |
| May 5, 2025after close | $0.02 | $0.14 | +600.00% | +2.65% | +3.74% |
| Feb 5, 2025after close | $0.32 | $0.39 | +21.88% | -7.49% | -7.79% |
| Oct 28, 2024after close | $0.47 | $0.49 | +4.26% | -8.44% | -8.88% |
As of October 27, 2026, F has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 6 of the 7 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on July 28, 2026, came in 20.00% above the estimate and the stock moved +2.14% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
F AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 35.6, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 35.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of F
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Ford Motor Co. (F) is trading in a downtrend. At $11.71, the stock sits 10.03% below its 50-day average of $13.02 and 12.41% below its 200-day average of $13.37. Near the bottom of its 52-week range, the price is 5.40% above the low of $11.11 and 34.14% below the high of $17.78. The 50-day average is 2.65% below the 200-day average, which shows the shorter trend is weaker than the longer one.
The 14-day RSI of 35.6 is in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, and the MACD line is negative. The recent returns are all negative: the price fell 21.72% over the past three months, fell 5.56% over the past six months and fell 11.69% over the past year.
Earnings beat ›
The July 28, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 20.00%, and the share price rose 2.14% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 28, 2026Analyst upgrade ›
Citigroup upgraded it to Buy from Neutral on July 29, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Citigroup, July 29, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
JP Morgan kept its Overweight rating on October 12, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, October 12, 2026
- Two levels matter most: the 20-day EMA at $12.15, just above the price, and the 52-week low at $11.11, just below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 35.6, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- In the first session after the July 28, 2026 report, the share price rose 2.14%. Over the 7 reports in our data, F beat estimates in 6.
F is trading under both its 50-day ($13.02) and 200-day ($13.37) averages, and that is why the trend reads down. A recovery would first need to reclaim the 50-day average. The closest level above the price is the 20-day EMA, at $12.15.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $11.11. With the RSI in the bearish zone, momentum still leans lower.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for F, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with F at $11.71, its 14-day RSI is 35.6 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $13.02 and its 200-day is $13.37.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What F moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, F's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.42 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.34 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.17 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.14 with gold (XAU).
F price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
8 of 20 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $15.00 is 28.1% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
8 of 20 rate it a buy now, against 8 of 22 three months ago.
F Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $11.71, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jul 30, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy |
| Jul 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 27, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover F: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $12.80 to $20.00. The median F price target is $15.00, 28.1% above the price of $11.71.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
F trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
F trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from F's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much F tends to move, against the market and on its own.
F price history and drawdowns
F's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.48% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 59.0%, from January 2018 to April 2020, regained by January 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
52% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $15,350, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
F Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, F's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -59.0% (January 2018 to April 2020); it regained that peak by January 2021, 9 months after the low, and 52% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into F in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: F trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $15,350 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in F in October 2016 would be worth about $15,350 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to F, and which have not.
Strongest month, October: an average of +6.03%, up in 6 of 9 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -4.62%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +6.03%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, F's strongest calendar month has been October (average +6.03%, up in 6 of 9 years) and its weakest March (average -4.62%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
F stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in F, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in F today could grow to about $11,277 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $29,596 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,297. The simulation models price only; at today's 5.12% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
F Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $13.20 for F by 2030 in the base case, from $11.71 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $5.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on F's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $7.45 | $12.07 | $19.55 | |
| 2028 | $6.29 | $12.44 | $24.60 | |
| 2029 | $5.56 | $12.81 | $29.55 | |
| 2030 | $5.03 | $13.20 | $34.66 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of F's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
F insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
F insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider buying: Insiders bought $2.2M on the open market and sold $675K.
As of October 27, 2026, F insiders reported 1 open-market sale worth $675K and 3 open-market purchases worth $2.2M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Buy | 10.6K | $148.9K |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Kyle Crockett
Officer
|
Grant | 74.1K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Alexandra Ford English
Director
|
Grant | 23.0K | $304.6K |
| May 21, 2026 | Henry Ford III
Director
|
Grant | 15.7K | $207.9K |
| May 21, 2026 | William W Helman IV
Director
|
Grant | 15.7K | $207.9K |
| May 21, 2026 | John C. May II
Director
|
Grant | 23.0K | $304.6K |
| May 21, 2026 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Grant | 15.7K | $207.9K |
| May 20, 2026 | John B. Veihmeyer
Director
|
Grant | 36.8K | - |
| May 20, 2026 | John S. Weinberg
Director
|
Grant | 33.6K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Jennifer Waldo
Officer
|
Grant | 185.2K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Michael Aragon
Officer
|
Grant | 282.2K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Michael R Amend
Officer
|
Grant | 126.4K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Steven P Croley
General Counsel
|
Grant | 208.1K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | James D Farley Jr
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 1.0M | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | John Douglas Field
Officer
|
Grant | 610.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | William Clay Ford Jr
Chairman of the Board
|
Grant | 811.9K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Andrew Frick
Officer
|
Grant | 97.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ashwani Kumar Galhotra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 286.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Sherry Ann House
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 132.7K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | John T Lawler
Officer
|
Grant | 308.6K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Jennifer Waldo
Officer
|
Grant | 155.2K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Shengpo Wu
Officer
|
Grant | 115.3K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | William Clay Ford Jr
Officer and Director
|
Buy | 140.0K | $1.9M |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Michael R Amend
Officer
|
Grant | 79.9K | - |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Steven P Croley
General Counsel
|
Grant | 118.9K | - |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Ashwani Kumar Galhotra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 51.0K | - |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Alexandra Ford English
Director
|
Grant | 5.6K | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Henry Ford III
Director
|
Grant | 9.0K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | John Douglas Field
Officer
|
Grant | 201.4K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Andrew Frick
Officer
|
Grant | 51.1K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Ashwani Kumar Galhotra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 35.7K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | John T Lawler
Officer
|
Grant | 23.8K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Buy | 7.5K | $99.2K |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Shengpo Wu
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 94.9K | - |
| Oct 30, 2025 | John B. Veihmeyer
Director
|
Grant | 19.8K | - |
| Oct 30, 2025 | John S. Weinberg
Director
|
Grant | 16.9K | - |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Andrew Frick
Officer
|
Sell | 60.0K | $675.0K |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Sherry Ann House
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 132.4K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | John B. Veihmeyer
Director
|
Grant | 48.4K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | John S. Weinberg
Director
|
Grant | 48.4K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Alexandra Ford English
Director
|
Grant | 29.3K | $315.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | Henry Ford III
Director
|
Grant | 20.0K | $215.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | William W Helman IV
Director
|
Grant | 20.0K | $215.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | Jon M Huntsman Jr
Director
|
Grant | 62.7K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | John C. May II
Director
|
Grant | 29.3K | $315.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | John L Thornton
Director
|
Grant | 20.0K | $215.0K |
| May 15, 2025 | Jennifer Waldo
Officer
|
Grant | 223.0K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
F stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.