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As of September 11, 2026, Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) trades at $43.97. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $24.25, 44.8% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $79.00 across 26 analysts. RSI at 31 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $57.16.
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS)
Dutch Bros Inc. NYSE
$43.97
0.5250 (1.21%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is currently trading at $43.965, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($57.16 and $57.05) of $57.16 and $57.05 respectively. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to 31.24, indicating significantly oversold conditions and bearish momentum. This technical weakness is occurring despite a generally positive outlook from Wall Street analysts, who collectively rate the stock a 'Buy' with a median price target of $79.00, implying a substantial upside potential of 79.7%. However, the current price action suggests these targets may be challenged in the near term. Nevertheless, the sheer volume of these sales, coupled with the stock's technical deterioration, warrants caution. The company's revenue growth has been strong, with current year estimates projecting a 30.00% increase, but the current market sentiment and technical indicators point towards immediate downward pressure. Insiders are net sellers with $3,943.2M in total sales versus $399K in total purchases in recent filings. However, 100% of total selling ($1.3B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by BOERSMA TRAVIS, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $2.5M.
BROS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$43.77
Day Range
$43.32 to $44.57
Prev Close
$43.44
Volume
80.8K
52-Week Range
$43.29 to $74.23
Market Cap
$7.62B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+147%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
BROS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, BROS beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
BROS Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Volume behavior for Dutch Bros Inc. has been extremely subdued, with the latest volume of 80,770 representing a stark 97.8% decrease compared to its average daily volume of 3,716,957. This low volume accompanies a sharp decline in price, as the stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($57.16), 200-day SMA ($57.05), and 20-day EMA ($48.79). The RSI is significantly oversold at 31.24, signaling bearish momentum, and the MACD is also negative, further reinforcing the bearish trend. The chart structure indicates significant overhead resistance at the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which now act as formidable barriers. The current price of $43.965 is well below these levels, and the oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains decidedly bearish. Investors should monitor for any signs of volume picking up on upward price movements to confirm a potential reversal, but currently, the technical picture points to continued weakness.
ProTips
- Monitor Dutch Bros Inc.'s volume and RSI for signs of a technical reversal, as the stock is currently significantly oversold and trading below key moving averages.
- Given the high P/E ratio and recent mixed earnings, consider the company's ability to meet aggressive revenue growth targets to justify its current valuation.
- The significant insider divestiture by parent entities, while not a bearish signal from management, represents a large volume of shares potentially entering the market, which could exert downward pressure on the stock price.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Parent Entity Divestiture
BOERSMA TRAVIS and other parent entities have divested $1.3 billion in shares, representing 99.8% of total insider selling. While classified as corporate restructuring, this large volume of shares could impact market supply.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is at 31.24, indicating significantly oversold conditions, and it is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($57.16 and $57.05), suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current year revenue estimates project a 30.00% increase, with next year expected to grow by 24.00%, indicating continued expansion and market penetration.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Positive Wall Street Consensus and Price Target
26 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $79.00, suggesting a potential upside of 79.7% from the current price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Recent EPS Beat
The latest earnings report (August 5, 2026) showed an EPS of $0.33, beating estimates by 10%, indicating operational improvements.
Source: Earnings DataMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is cautious, given its current technical weakness and valuation concerns. Potential catalysts for a turnaround include stronger-than-expected earnings reports in upcoming quarters, a successful execution of growth strategies, or a general market rotation into growth stocks. Insiders are net sellers with $3,943.2M in total sales versus $399K in total purchases in recent filings. However, 100% of total selling ($1.3B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by BOERSMA TRAVIS, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $2.5M.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.62B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 62.95 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.7200 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 74.23 |
| 52 Week Low | 43.29 |
Dutch Bros Inc.'s valuation appears stretched given its current price action, with a P/E ratio of 62.95, significantly higher than the sector average of 25.5. While the company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current year estimates at 30.00%, its profitability metrics, as indicated by the P/E ratio, suggest investors are paying a premium for this growth. The current price of $43.965 is trading well below its historical moving averages, indicating a disconnect between its fundamental growth prospects and its current market valuation. The company's earnings have been mixed, with a recent Q2 2026 EPS of -$1.36 missing estimates significantly, contributing to the stock's recent decline. Despite this, forward revenue estimates remain strong, with the next year projected to grow by 24.00%. However, the high P/E ratio and the recent negative earnings surprise raise concerns about the sustainability of its current valuation, especially when compared to sector averages. The market seems to be pricing in substantial future growth, but the current technical weakness and mixed earnings results present a risk to this outlook.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Dutch Bros Inc. reported mixed earnings results, with the most recent quarter ending August 5, 2026, showing an EPS of $0.33, beating the estimate of $0.30 by 10%, but the stock reacted negatively, falling 18.79%. Prior to this, the company experienced a significant miss in the quarter ending June 10, 2026, with an EPS of -$1.36 against an estimate of -$0.77, a -76.62% surprise, which led to a price increase of 7.88%. The pattern of earnings surprises has been inconsistent, highlighting potential volatility in its profitability.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Dutch Bros Inc. is its significant technical deterioration, with the stock trading well below key moving averages and exhibiting significantly oversold conditions, suggesting potential for further price declines. Valuation remains a concern, as the P/E ratio is substantially higher than sector averages, indicating that the stock is priced for perfection. Additionally, the recent mixed earnings performance, including a significant miss in Q2 2026, coupled with a large negative reaction to a recent EPS beat, highlights investor sensitivity and potential for volatility.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 31.24 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -3.44 |
| SMA 50 | 57.16 |
| SMA 200 | 57.05 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
BROS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$44.84
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$43.97
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$47.98
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (31.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$42.60
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$40.36
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$38.12
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
BROS is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.14%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in BROS in September 2021 would be worth about $11,843 today, compared with about $16,920 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BROS today could grow to about $16,562 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $125,652 and a bear case around $2,183. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BROS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $53.80 for BROS by 2030 in the base case, from $43.97 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $14.93. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BROS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $24.36 | $46.24 | $87.76 |
| 2028 | $19.65 | $48.63 | $120 |
| 2029 | $16.86 | $51.15 | $155 |
| 2030 | $14.93 | $53.80 | $194 |
| 2031 | $13.50 | $56.58 | $237 |
| 2032 | $12.38 | $59.51 | $286 |
| 2033 | $11.49 | $62.59 | $341 |
| 2034 | $10.75 | $65.83 | $403 |
| 2035 | $10.13 | $69.23 | $473 |
| 2036 | $9.60 | $72.82 | $552 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BROS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
BROS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$205.5K
2 Transactions
Sold
$1.3B
25 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$48.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.2M | $456.2M |
| Mar 26, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.0M | $271.0M |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.0M | $257.4M |
| Aug 15, 2022 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 6.0M | $255.9M |
| Mar 1, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.0M | $231.2M |
| Nov 15, 2023 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.6M | $158.9M |
| Nov 25, 2025 | BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 2.5M | $136.9M |
| May 29, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.4M | $122.0M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 1.7M | $110.6M |
| Feb 24, 2025 | BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 1.4M | $109.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Dutch Bros Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Dutch Bros Inc.'s long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $53.80, with a downside scenario at $14.93 and an upside scenario at $193.80, based on Monte Carlo simulations. These figures are statistical outcomes and not definitive price targets.
Is Dutch Bros Inc. stock a buy right now?
Currently, Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is trading at $43.965, well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($57.16 and $57.05), with a significantly oversold RSI at 31.2. While Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $79.00, the current technical weakness suggests caution is warranted.
What are the biggest risks facing Dutch Bros Inc.?
The primary risks include significant technical weakness with the stock trading below key moving averages and an oversold RSI, a high P/E ratio compared to sector averages, and inconsistent recent earnings performance. The stock's negative reaction to a recent EPS beat also highlights investor sensitivity.
How is Dutch Bros Inc. performing technically?
Technically, Dutch Bros Inc. is exhibiting strong bearish momentum. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($57.16 and $57.05), its RSI is significantly oversold at 31.24, and volume has been exceptionally low, indicating a lack of buying interest.
What is the revenue growth outlook for Dutch Bros Inc.?
The revenue growth outlook for Dutch Bros Inc. remains positive. Current year estimates project a 30.00% increase, with the next quarter expected to grow by 28.00% and the next year by 24.00%. This indicates continued expansion plans for the company.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for Dutch Bros Inc.?
Insider activity shows a net seller position, but this is dominated by parent entity divestitures totaling $1.3 billion, identified as a corporate restructuring. Actual officer and director selling is significantly lower, totaling $2.5 million, and is not considered a bearish signal from management.
How does Dutch Bros Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Dutch Bros Inc. has a P/E ratio of 62.95, which is substantially higher than the sector average of 25.5. While its revenue growth is strong at 32.5%, its valuation metrics suggest it trades at a significant premium compared to its peers.