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As of October 10, 2026, Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) trades at $38.05. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $75.50, 98.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $75.50 across 26 analysts. RSI at 43 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $46.50.
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS)
Dutch Bros Inc. NYSE
$38.05
-1.730 (-4.35%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
76 / 100
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is currently trading at $38.05, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.50 and $54.94), indicating a bearish technical trend. However, the company's fundamentals remain strong, with revenue growth of 32.5% and a net profit margin of 4.91%. The recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 2026 showed an EPS of $0.33, beating estimates by 10%, though the stock reacted negatively with a 18.79% price drop. This suggests market sentiment may be overlooking fundamental strength in favor of short-term technicals or broader market concerns. Wall Street analysts maintain a strong Buy consensus, with a median price target of $75.50, implying an upside of 98.4% from the current price. Forward estimates are positive, with next year's revenue growth projected at 24% and EPS growth at 36%. The company's significant cash position, relative to its market cap, provides a substantial runway for continued expansion and operational flexibility, mitigating some of the near-term risks associated with its current technical setup. Competitors in the restaurant space include Starbucks (SBUX) and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG).
BROS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$39.57
Day Range
$37.88 to $39.80
Prev Close
$39.78
Volume
4.19M
52-Week Range
$37.40 to $74.02
Market Cap
$6.67B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+154%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
BROS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, BROS beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
BROS Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+98.42% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$75.50
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has been slightly below average, with the latest volume at 4.19 million compared to an average of 4.29 million, a decrease of 2.4%. Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.50 and $54.94), signaling a bearish trend. The RSI is at 43.11, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is at -2.34, suggesting downward pressure. The stock is also below its 20-day exponential moving average. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current trend, but resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA of $46.50 and the 20-day EMA of $40.17. The chart structure indicates a period of consolidation or potential further downside before a significant upward move can be sustained. Investors should monitor for a decisive break above the 50-day SMA with increased volume to signal a potential trend reversal.
ProTips
- Monitor Dutch Bros Inc.'s ability to translate its strong revenue growth into sustained profitability and positive cash flow, especially given its premium valuation.
- The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.50 and $54.94), indicating bearish technical momentum. A break above the 50-day SMA ($46.50) with increased volume would be a key signal for a potential trend reversal.
- Given the significant institutional selling, it is important to distinguish between corporate restructuring and genuine management concerns. Focus on operational performance and forward guidance for a clearer picture.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Conviction and Price Targets
26 Wall Street analysts maintain a Buy rating with a median price target of $75.50, indicating strong conviction in the company's future growth and potential for significant upside.
Source: Wall Street ResearchBullish
Positive Forward Growth Estimates
Analysts project next year's revenue growth at 24% and EPS growth at 36%, suggesting continued expansion and profitability improvements.
Source: Wall Street ResearchBullish
Recent Earnings Beat
The company beat EPS estimates for the quarter ending June 2026 by 10%, demonstrating operational execution despite a negative stock reaction.
Source: Company Earnings ReportNeutral
Parent Company Stake Reduction
Significant insider selling is attributed to parent/institutional stake reductions by BOERSMA TRAVIS, indicating corporate restructuring rather than a bearish signal from management.
Source: Insider Trading FilingsBearish
Bearish Technical Indicators
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.50 and $54.94), with neutral RSI and negative MACD, suggesting potential for short-term price weakness.
Source: Technical Analysis DataMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) anticipates continued growth driven by expansion and strong consumer demand, with Wall Street's median price target of $75.50 suggesting substantial upside over the next 6-12 months. The company's ability to consistently grow revenue at over 30% and maintain a healthy profit margin provides a solid foundation for this outlook. Positive analyst sentiment and forward growth estimates further support this optimistic view. Potential catalysts for upside include successful new store openings, effective marketing campaigns, and continued positive earnings surprises that could shift market sentiment. Conversely, a failure to meet aggressive growth expectations, increased competition leading to margin compression, or a broader market downturn could pressure the stock. The current bearish technical setup also presents a risk if the stock fails to break above key resistance levels, potentially leading to further price declines.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 6.67B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 52.85 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.7200 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 74.02 |
| 52 Week Low | 37.40 |
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) exhibits a Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.55, which is considerably higher than the sector median of 1.9, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its revenue growth of 32.5% significantly outpaces the sector average of 7.2%, justifying some of this premium. The company's return on equity stands at 14.56%, above the sector average of 12.4%, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity. The net profit margin is 4.91%, and the operating margin is 12.88%, demonstrating solid profitability. While the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24 is slightly above the sector average, it is manageable given the company's growth trajectory. The current valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, but the strong growth metrics and improving profitability suggest potential for future earnings expansion to support the current price. Peers like McDonald's (MCD) and Restaurant Brands International (RBI) operate in a similar space.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.33, surpassing the estimate of $0.30 by 10%. Despite this positive surprise, the stock experienced a significant price decline of 18.79%. Prior to this, the company reported a substantial EPS miss in the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS of -1.36 against an estimate of -0.77, a surprise of -76.62%, which was followed by a 7.88% price increase. The company has shown a mixed pattern of earnings beats and misses, but the market reaction to the latest beat was notably negative, highlighting sensitivity to forward guidance or broader market sentiment.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) lies in its current valuation, which appears high relative to sector averages, as indicated by its Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.55. Additionally, the stock is trading below key moving averages, suggesting potential for further downside pressure in the short term. Competitive pressures within the rapidly evolving restaurant industry also pose a risk, as new entrants and established players vie for market share.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.11 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.34 |
| SMA 50 | 46.50 |
| SMA 200 | 54.94 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $46.50, 200-day: $54.94), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.39
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.36
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with BROS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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BROS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$37.29
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$38.05
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$34.46
MAX LOSS
-7.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$39.15
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$41.02
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$42.88
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for BROS is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in BROS in September 2021 would be worth about $10,374 today, compared with about $17,383 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BROS today could grow to about $14,240 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $108,030 and a bear case around $1,877. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BROS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $43.83 for BROS by 2030 in the base case, from $38.05 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $12.17. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BROS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $20.77 | $39.42 | $74.82 |
| 2028 | $16.50 | $40.84 | $101 |
| 2029 | $13.94 | $42.31 | $128 |
| 2030 | $12.17 | $43.83 | $158 |
| 2031 | $10.83 | $45.40 | $190 |
| 2032 | $9.79 | $47.04 | $226 |
| 2033 | $8.94 | $48.73 | $266 |
| 2034 | $8.24 | $50.48 | $309 |
| 2035 | $7.65 | $52.30 | $358 |
| 2036 | $7.14 | $54.18 | $411 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BROS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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BROS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$205.5K
2 Transactions
Sold
$1.3B
25 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$48.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.2M | $456.2M |
| Mar 26, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.0M | $271.0M |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.0M | $257.4M |
| Aug 15, 2022 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 6.0M | $255.9M |
| Mar 1, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.0M | $231.2M |
| Nov 15, 2023 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.6M | $158.9M |
| Nov 25, 2025 | BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 2.5M | $136.9M |
| May 29, 2024 | TSG7 A MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.4M | $122.0M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 1.7M | $110.6M |
| Feb 24, 2025 | BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 1.4M | $109.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Dutch Bros Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Dutch Bros Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $43.83, with a downside scenario at $12.17 and an upside scenario at $157.89. These are statistical outcomes and not guarantees.
Is Dutch Bros Inc. stock a buy right now?
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $75.50, suggesting significant upside from the current price of $38.05. While technically bearish, strong growth prospects and analyst conviction support a potential buy.
What are the key risks for Dutch Bros Inc.?
Key risks include its premium valuation relative to sector peers, current bearish technical indicators, and intense competition within the restaurant industry. The stock's negative reaction to a recent earnings beat also warrants caution.
How does Dutch Bros Inc. compare to its sector peers?
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) shows higher revenue growth (32.5%) and return on equity (14.56%) compared to sector averages (7.2% and 12.4% respectively). However, its Price-to-Sales ratio (3.55) is significantly higher than the sector median (1.9).
What was the recent insider trading activity for Dutch Bros Inc.?
Insider activity shows a net seller position, with significant sales totaling $1.3 billion versus purchases of $205.5 thousand. However, this selling is dominated by parent/institutional stake reductions by BOERSMA TRAVIS, indicating corporate restructuring rather than a lack of confidence from management.
What is the outlook for Dutch Bros Inc.'s revenue and earnings?
Forward estimates are positive, with Wall Street projecting next year's revenue growth at 24% and EPS growth at 36%. The next quarter's revenue is expected to grow by 28.00% year-over-year, indicating continued expansion.
How did Dutch Bros Inc. perform in its latest earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Dutch Bros Inc. reported an EPS of $0.33, beating estimates by 10%. Despite this beat, the stock price declined by 18.79%, suggesting market concerns may outweigh the positive earnings surprise.