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As of October 11, 2026, Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) trades at $309.36. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $309.36, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $372.00 across 30 analysts. RSI at 68 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $326.69.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ)
Domino's Pizza, Inc. NASDAQ
$309.36
0.7100 (0.23%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is currently trading at $309.36, aligning with its fair value. The stock's technical indicators show bullish momentum with the RSI at 67.8 and trading above its 20-day EMA, though it remains below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($326.69 and $350.58). Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $372, suggesting a 20.2% upside potential. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 11.86% and a debt-to-equity ratio of -0.01, indicating a strong balance sheet. However, recent insider activity shows a net selling trend with $15.5 million in sales, signaling moderate caution from management. Despite a slight miss on the latest quarterly EPS estimate (-2.4%), the company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with next quarter's revenue expected to increase by 9.00% year-over-year. The forward EPS estimates for the current year and next year are $19.04 and $20.89, respectively. The company's dividend yield stands at approximately 2.49%. Key risks include increasing competition and potential shifts in consumer spending habits, while continued international expansion and operational efficiencies present upside opportunities.
DPZ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$309.25
Day Range
$305.73 to $310.15
Prev Close
$308.65
Volume
613.5K
52-Week Range
$282.00 to $442.35
Market Cap
$10.23B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-16% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
DPZ Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, DPZ beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
DPZ Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+20.25% Upside
Median of 30 analysts (12-month)
$372.00
AI Technical Analysis
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($326.69 and $350.58), indicating a bearish trend in the longer term, with the 50-day SMA at $326.69 and the 200-day SMA at $350.58. However, the stock is trading above its 20-day EMA at $305.70, suggesting some near-term upward momentum. The RSI is at 67.8, signaling bullish momentum, and the MACD is currently negative at -5.43, indicating a potential downtrend. Volume was 15.6% below its average on the latest trading day, suggesting lower conviction behind recent price action. Key support levels are around the current price and the 20-day EMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA. The stochastic indicator is in overbought territory at 93.93, which could signal a potential pullback.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling trend, with $15.5 million in sales, as a signal for caution when evaluating new positions.
- Monitor the stock's position relative to its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, as breaking above these levels could signal a shift to a more bullish technical trend.
- Given the competition, focus on Domino's ability to maintain market share and pricing power through innovation and operational efficiency.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Next quarter revenue is estimated to grow by 9.00% year-over-year, indicating continued business expansion and market demand.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
International Expansion Success
Continued successful expansion into international markets can drive significant revenue growth and diversify the company's income streams.
Source: Company StrategyBearish
Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold $15.5 million worth of shares, indicating a moderate level of caution or profit-taking among management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($326.69 and $350.58), suggesting potential downward pressure or a bearish technical trend.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is expected to maintain a steady performance over the next 6-12 months, with a base case scenario targeting a price around its current fair value and analyst median target of $372. The company's strong brand recognition, ongoing international expansion, and focus on operational efficiency are expected to support revenue growth, projected at 5.00% for the current year and 9.00% for the next quarter. Upside potential could be realized through successful new product launches or accelerated international market penetration. Conversely, a significant increase in competition, rising ingredient costs, or a slowdown in consumer discretionary spending could pressure margins and impact the stock's trajectory. The moderate insider selling also warrants close monitoring for any shifts in management sentiment.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 10.23B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.54 |
| EPS (TTM) | 17.64 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.49% |
| 52 Week High | 442.35 |
| 52 Week Low | 282.00 |
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) exhibits a P/E ratio of 17.54, which is below the sector average of 20.8, suggesting it is trading at a discount relative to its peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.04 is slightly above the sector average of 1.9. The company's return on equity is negative at -15.42%, which is a concern when compared to the sector average of 12.4%. However, its profit margin of 11.86% and operating margin of 19.08% are strong, and its debt-to-equity ratio of -0.01 indicates minimal leverage. The company's valuation appears reasonable given its profitability metrics, despite the negative ROE. The strong profit and operating margins, coupled with low debt, provide a solid financial foundation. The current price-to-sales ratio suggests that investors are valuing its revenue effectively, but the negative ROE warrants further investigation into operational efficiency or specific accounting practices.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) reported an EPS of $4.07 for the quarter ending June 2026, which missed the estimate of $4.17 by 2.4%, leading to a 0.8% price decrease. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings surprises, with the previous quarter also missing estimates slightly. Revenue growth for the next quarter is projected at +9.00% year-over-year, indicating continued expansion. The company's current year EPS estimate is $19.04, with next year's estimate at $20.89.
Key Risks
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with $15.5 million in sales reported, indicating potential caution among management. Competition within the fast-casual dining sector remains intense, potentially impacting market share and pricing power. Also, the stock is trading below its key long-term moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), suggesting potential headwinds to sustained upward price momentum.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 67.80 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -5.43 |
| SMA 50 | 326.69 |
| SMA 200 | 350.58 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $326.69, 200-day: $350.58), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with DPZ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
DPZ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$306.27
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$309.36
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$297.08
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (67.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$315.45
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$321.58
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$330.77
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for DPZ is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in DPZ in October 2016 would be worth about $20,302 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DPZ today could grow to about $20,169 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $68,911 and a bear case around $5,903. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DPZ Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $410 for DPZ by 2030 in the base case, from $309 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $188. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DPZ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $225 | $332 | $489 |
| 2028 | $205 | $356 | $617 |
| 2029 | $195 | $382 | $748 |
| 2030 | $188 | $410 | $891 |
| 2031 | $184 | $439 | $1,047 |
| 2032 | $182 | $471 | $1,221 |
| 2033 | $181 | $506 | $1,413 |
| 2034 | $181 | $542 | $1,627 |
| 2035 | $181 | $582 | $1,866 |
| 2036 | $183 | $624 | $2,132 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DPZ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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DPZ Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$15.5M
17 Transactions
Insiders
23
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$912.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2021 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Officer
|
Sell | 54.1K | $29.1M |
| Jul 26, 2021 | ALLISON RICHARD E JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 29.4K | $15.6M |
| May 10, 2018 | DOYLE JOSEPH PATRICK
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 60.0K | $15.1M |
| Feb 24, 2020 | ALLISON RICHARD E JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $10.8M |
| Aug 30, 2018 | DOYLE JOSEPH PATRICK
Former
|
Sell | 25.6K | $7.7M |
| Jul 26, 2021 | ALLISON RICHARD E JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.5K | $7.7M |
| Feb 19, 2020 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $7.5M |
| Feb 20, 2024 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $6.7M |
| Apr 29, 2024 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 11.8K | $6.2M |
| Jun 5, 2018 | DOYLE JOSEPH PATRICK
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.8K | $5.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Domino's Pizza's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Domino's Pizza's stock (DPZ) has a base case forecast of $409.58 for 2030, with a downside projection of $188.30 and an upside projection of $890.88. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Domino's Pizza stock a buy right now?
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is currently rated 'Hold' with a consensus score of 59. While analysts see a 20.2% upside to a median price target of $372, insider selling and trading below key moving averages suggest a balanced risk-reward profile at current levels.
What are the recent earnings results for Domino's Pizza?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Domino's Pizza reported an EPS of $4.07, missing the estimate of $4.17 by 2.4%. This resulted in a slight price decrease. The company has shown mixed earnings surprises in recent quarters.
How does Domino's Pizza's valuation compare to its sector?
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) has a P/E ratio of 17.54, which is lower than the sector average of 20.8. Its price-to-sales ratio is 2.04, slightly above the sector average of 1.9. However, its ROE is negative at -15.42% compared to the sector's positive 12.4%.
What is the outlook for Domino's Pizza's revenue growth?
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is projected to see revenue growth of 9.00% for the next quarter and 5.00% for the current year. Long-term growth estimates suggest an average annual growth rate of approximately 8.4% over the next five years.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Domino's Pizza?
Yes, insiders at Domino's Pizza (DPZ) are net sellers, with total sales amounting to $15.5 million in recent filings. There have been no reported insider purchases. This moderate sell signal suggests caution.
What are the key risks facing Domino's Pizza?
Key risks for Domino's Pizza (DPZ) include intense competition in the restaurant industry, potential shifts in consumer spending, and insider selling activity. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($326.69 and $350.58), indicating potential technical challenges.