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As of September 10, 2026, Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) trades at $317.88. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $321.46, 1.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $375.00 across 30 analysts. RSI at 42 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $334.98.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ)
Domino's Pizza, Inc. NASDAQ
$317.88
-3.585 (-1.12%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is currently trading at $321.46, aligning with its fair value and indicating no immediate upside from current levels. The stock's technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, with the RSI at 42.1 and trading below key moving averages (50-day SMA at $334.98, 200-day SMA at $363.91). Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $375.00, implying a 16.7% upside. Recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a slight miss in the most recent quarter's EPS (-2.4%). Insider activity indicates a net selling stance, with $20.1 million in sales versus no reported purchases, contributing to a moderate sell signal.
DPZ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$323.02
Day Range
$316.44 to $323.02
Prev Close
$321.46
Volume
10.7K
52-Week Range
$282.00 to $469.00
Market Cap
$10.63B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-28%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
DPZ Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, DPZ beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
DPZ Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+17.97% Upside
Median of 30 analysts (12-month)
$375.00
AI Technical Analysis
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is experiencing a shift in momentum, with its latest trading volume at 789,900, representing a 14.7% decrease compared to its average volume. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $334.98 and its 200-day SMA of $363.91, suggesting a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The RSI is at 42.1, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is at -1.08, also pointing towards a lack of strong directional conviction. Key support levels are not clearly defined by recent price action relative to moving averages, and resistance appears to be forming around the 50-day SMA.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling signal for Domino's Pizza (DPZ) as a sign of caution among management regarding significant near-term price appreciation.
- Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($334.98 and $363.91), suggesting that current price levels may face resistance from these technical levels.
- With a dividend yield of approximately 2.40%, investors seeking income should monitor the company's ability to maintain or grow its dividend, especially given the mixed earnings performance.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Stronger-than-expected Q3 Earnings Beat
A significant beat on EPS estimates for the quarter ending September 30, 2026, could reverse the neutral momentum and attract positive analyst revisions.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
Continued Insider Selling Trend
Sustained or increased insider selling without corresponding insider purchases could signal a lack of confidence in future growth prospects, potentially pressuring the stock price.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Revenue Growth Below Sector Average
If Domino's Pizza's revenue growth continues to lag behind the sector average of 10.0%, it may limit the stock's valuation multiple expansion potential.
Source: Company FilingsBullish
Positive Analyst Rating Changes
Upgrades from key analysts could signal a shift in sentiment and potentially drive the stock towards its median price target of $375.00.
Source: Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with its fair value at $321.46. The median analyst target price of $375.00 suggests a potential upside of 16.7%, but this is contingent on the company overcoming its neutral technical momentum and mixed earnings performance. Revenue growth is projected to be around 5.00% for the current year and 2.00% for the next year, indicating a mature growth phase. Potential catalysts for upside include stronger-than-expected earnings beats or successful new product launches that drive revenue growth beyond current estimates. Conversely, continued insider selling, persistent below-average revenue growth compared to the sector, or increased competition could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing support levels below its current trading price.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 10.63B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.24 |
| EPS (TTM) | 17.64 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.40% |
| 52 Week High | 469.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 282.00 |
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) exhibits a P/E ratio of 18.24, which is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to its peers. However, its revenue growth of 4.3% is also below the sector average of 10.0%. Net profit margins are not explicitly provided, but the EPS of $17.64 indicates profitability. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the moderate insider selling suggests caution among management regarding future price appreciation. The current price of $321.46 is at its fair value, with limited upside indicated by analyst targets.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) reported mixed earnings results in its most recent quarters. The latest quarter ending July 20, 2026, saw an EPS of $4.07 against an estimate of $4.17, a miss of 2.4%, leading to a 0.8% price decrease. Prior to this, the company had a slight miss in April 2026 (-3.28%) but a beat in February 2026 (-0.56%). The overall trend suggests a pattern of slight misses or near-breakeven performance on earnings estimates, which may be contributing to the neutral analyst sentiment.
Key Risks
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with $20.1 million in sales and no reported purchases, signaling a lack of strong internal conviction. The stock is trading below key moving averages, indicating potential downside risk. Also, recent earnings have shown a tendency to slightly miss analyst expectations, which could limit upside potential.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 42.10 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.08 |
| SMA 50 | 334.98 |
| SMA 200 | 363.91 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $334.98, 200-day: $363.91), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
DPZ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$314.70
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$317.88
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$304.15
MAX LOSS
-3.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (42.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$324.14
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$330.43
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$339.87
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for DPZ is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in DPZ in September 2016 would be worth about $21,401 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DPZ today could grow to about $20,733 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $70,554 and a bear case around $6,093. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DPZ Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $426 for DPZ by 2030 in the base case, from $318 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $196. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DPZ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $232 | $342 | $504 |
| 2028 | $213 | $368 | $636 |
| 2029 | $202 | $396 | $774 |
| 2030 | $196 | $426 | $923 |
| 2031 | $193 | $458 | $1,088 |
| 2032 | $191 | $492 | $1,271 |
| 2033 | $190 | $530 | $1,475 |
| 2034 | $190 | $570 | $1,703 |
| 2035 | $192 | $613 | $1,958 |
| 2036 | $194 | $659 | $2,243 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DPZ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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DPZ Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$18.7M
22 Transactions
Insiders
24
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$848.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2021 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Officer
|
Sell | 54.1K | $29.1M |
| Jul 26, 2021 | ALLISON RICHARD E JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 29.4K | $15.6M |
| May 10, 2018 | DOYLE JOSEPH PATRICK
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 60.0K | $15.1M |
| Feb 24, 2020 | ALLISON RICHARD E JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $10.8M |
| Aug 30, 2018 | DOYLE JOSEPH PATRICK
Former
|
Sell | 25.6K | $7.7M |
| Jul 26, 2021 | ALLISON RICHARD E JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.5K | $7.7M |
| Feb 19, 2020 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $7.5M |
| Feb 20, 2024 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $6.7M |
| Apr 29, 2024 | WEINER RUSSELL J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 11.8K | $6.2M |
| Jun 5, 2018 | DOYLE JOSEPH PATRICK
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.8K | $5.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Domino's Pizza (DPZ) stock a buy right now?
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is currently trading at $321.46, which aligns with its fair value. While Wall Street analysts have a 'Hold' consensus and a median price target of $375.00, implying some upside, the stock's technicals are neutral and insider selling suggests caution.
What is Domino's Pizza's (DPZ) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Domino's Pizza's (DPZ) stock price forecast for 2030 shows a base case of $430.32, with a downside projection of $198.34 and an upside projection of $933.62. These are simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What is the dividend yield for Domino's Pizza (DPZ)?
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.40%, with a dividend rate of $7.71.
How does Domino's Pizza (DPZ) compare to its sector averages?
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) has a P/E ratio of 18.24, which is lower than the sector average of 25.5. However, its revenue growth of 4.3% is below the sector average of 10.0%.
What are the recent earnings trends for Domino's Pizza (DPZ)?
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) has shown mixed earnings results recently, with a slight EPS miss in the latest quarter ending July 20, 2026. The company has a pattern of slight misses or near-breakeven performance against analyst estimates.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Domino's Pizza (DPZ) stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is 'Hold', with 30 analysts providing ratings. The consensus score is 62 out of 100, with a median price target of $375.00.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Domino's Pizza (DPZ)?
Insider activity for Domino's Pizza (DPZ) shows a net selling stance, with $20.1 million in total sales and no reported purchases in recent filings. This results in a moderate sell signal.