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As of September 10, 2026, Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) trades at $329.07. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $393.00, 19.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $393.00 across 28 analysts. RSI at 22 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $360.07.
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR)
Marriott International, Inc. NASDAQ
$329.07
-2.450 (-0.74%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) is currently trading at $331.52, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($360.07 and $345.22), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The stock's RSI is at 21.6, signaling oversold conditions, while MACD remains negative. Despite these technical headwinds, the median analyst price target stands at $393.00, suggesting an 18.5% upside from current levels. Revenue growth is projected to be around 6.00% to 7.00% for the upcoming quarters and the current year, reflecting steady expansion within the lodging sector. However, significant insider selling, with over $67 million in dispositions versus no reported purchases, presents a notable risk, alongside a 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street analysts.
MAR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$330.50
Day Range
$328.60 to $334.08
Prev Close
$331.52
Volume
1.51M
52-Week Range
$256.76 to $410.98
Market Cap
$86.45B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XHB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+34%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
MAR Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+19.43% Upside
Median of 28 analysts (12-month)
$393.00
AI Technical Analysis
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $360.07 and its 200-day SMA of $345.22, indicating a bearish trend over the past quarter. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 21.6, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -8.26, reinforcing the current downward momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the oversold condition, but the current price of $331.52 is approaching previous lows. Volume has been above average recently, with 2.23 million shares traded compared to a 1.58 million average, suggesting increased investor interest but not yet confirming a trend reversal.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the recent heavy selling warrants caution, and any shift towards buying could signal renewed confidence.
- Given the oversold RSI of 21.6, traders may look for a short-term bounce, but the trend remains bearish as the stock is below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
- As an MLP, Marriott International, Inc. issues Schedule K-1 tax forms instead of standard 1099-DIV forms, which may create complex tax obligations-especially if held in a retirement account (IRA/401k). Consult a tax advisor.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $67 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the near-term outlook.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Technical Downtrend Confirmation
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($360.07 and $345.22), confirming a bearish trend and suggesting further downside potential.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Oversold RSI Conditions
The RSI is at 21.6, indicating the stock is oversold and may be due for a short-term technical bounce.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Analyst Price Target Suggests Upside
The median analyst price target of $393.00 implies an 18.5% upside from the current price, suggesting analysts see value despite current headwinds.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Recent Earnings Beat
The company recently beat EPS estimates for the quarter ending August 3, 2026, by 3.57%, indicating operational performance resilience.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) faces a challenging near-term outlook, with current price action below key technical levels and significant insider selling. The 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street and a median price target of $393.00 suggest a neutral to slightly positive sentiment, implying potential for recovery if the company can demonstrate sustained growth and positive insider sentiment. The company's ability to maintain its premium valuation and achieve projected revenue growth of around 6.00% to 7.00% will be critical in the coming quarters. Potential catalysts for upside include a strong earnings beat in the next reporting cycle or a reversal in insider transaction trends. Conversely, continued insider selling, a failure to meet revenue targets, or increased competition could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the $280 low end of the analyst target range.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 86.45B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.22 |
| EPS (TTM) | 9.66 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8444% |
| 52 Week High | 410.98 |
| 52 Week Low | 256.76 |
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) exhibits a P/E ratio of 34.22, which is above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its peers. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) stands at $9.66. While revenue growth is projected at approximately 6.00% to 7.00% for the coming periods, this growth rate is slightly below the sector average of 10.0%. The balance sheet strength is not explicitly detailed, but the current valuation may not be fully supported by its growth and profitability metrics when compared to industry averages. The median analyst target price of $393.00 implies an 18.5% upside, indicating that analysts see value despite the current premium valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) most recently reported an EPS of $3.19 for the quarter ending August 3, 2026, beating the estimate of $3.08 by 3.57%, though the stock saw a minor decline of 0.47%. Prior quarters show a mixed performance, with a beat in the previous quarter (May 6, 2026) of 6.67% but a miss in the quarter before that (February 10, 2026). The pattern suggests inconsistent earnings beats, with the stock reacting negatively to the most recent earnings release despite the EPS beat.
Key Risks
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) faces significant risks from heavy insider selling, with over $67 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, signaling potential lack of management confidence. The stock's current trading below key moving averages and an elevated P/E ratio of 34.22 compared to the sector average of 25.5 also present valuation and technical risks. Also, the recent negative price reaction to an earnings beat indicates investor sensitivity to any perceived weakness in performance or outlook.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.60 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -8.26 |
| SMA 50 | 360.07 |
| SMA 200 | 345.22 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($360.07) above the 200-day SMA ($345.22), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 21.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.57
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.47
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.11
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
MAR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$325.78
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$329.07
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$315.03
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (21.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$335.55
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$342.07
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$351.84
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MAR is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MAR in September 2016 would be worth about $48,172 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MAR today could grow to about $30,325 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $114,655 and a bear case around $8,021. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MAR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $513 for MAR by 2030 in the base case, from $329 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $221. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MAR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $241 | $368 | $560 |
| 2028 | $227 | $411 | $745 |
| 2029 | $222 | $459 | $951 |
| 2030 | $221 | $513 | $1,189 |
| 2031 | $224 | $573 | $1,468 |
| 2032 | $229 | $640 | $1,794 |
| 2033 | $235 | $715 | $2,177 |
| 2034 | $243 | $799 | $2,626 |
| 2035 | $253 | $893 | $3,154 |
| 2036 | $264 | $998 | $3,773 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MAR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MAR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$67.0M
20 Transactions
Insiders
26
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | CAPUANO ANTHONY G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 63.0K | $22.6M |
| Nov 11, 2025 | HARRISON DEBORAH MARRIOTT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 70.0K | $20.4M |
| Dec 28, 2020 | SORENSON ARNE M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $12.9M |
| Feb 20, 2024 | OBERG KATHLEEN K
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 47.1K | $11.4M |
| Dec 12, 2023 | CAPUANO ANTHONY G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 46.0K | $10.0M |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HARRISON DEBORAH MARRIOTT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 37.3K | $9.0M |
| Aug 8, 2023 | JULIANA B MARRIOTT MARITAL TRUST
Trustee
|
Sell | 35.0K | $7.1M |
| Aug 8, 2023 | MARRIOTT DAVID SHEETS
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 35.0K | $7.1M |
| Aug 8, 2023 | MARRIOTT JULIANA B
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 35.0K | $7.1M |
| Dec 11, 2019 | SORENSON ARNE M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 47.8K | $6.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Marriott International, Inc. stock a buy right now?
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) is currently rated as 'Hold' by our AI consensus and Wall Street analysts. While the median analyst target price of $393.00 suggests an 18.5% upside from the current price of $331.52, the stock is trading below its key moving averages and faces significant insider selling pressure.
What is Marriott International, Inc.'s dividend yield?
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) offers a dividend yield of approximately 0.84%, with a dividend rate of $2.80 per share.
What are the key risks for Marriott International, Inc.?
The primary risks for Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) include substantial insider selling totaling over $67 million, a P/E ratio above the sector average, and recent technical weakness indicated by trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($360.07 and $345.22).
What is the revenue growth outlook for Marriott International, Inc.?
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) is projected to experience revenue growth of approximately 7.00% for the current quarter and around 6.00% for the next quarter and the current year, indicating steady but moderate expansion.
How does Marriott International, Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) trades at a P/E ratio of 34.22, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5. Its projected revenue growth of 6.00% to 7.00% is also below the sector average of 10.00%.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Marriott International, Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) is 'Hold', with a score of 60 out of 100, based on ratings from 28 analysts. The median price target is $393.00.
What is Marriott International, Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Marriott International, Inc.'s (MAR) stock price is projected to reach a base case of $516.69 by 2030, with a downside projection of $222.81 and an upside projection of $1198.20. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.