Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)
- Market cap
- $117.32B
- P/E
- 9.21
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $114.98median of 37 analysts
- 52-week range
- $71.94 $139.41
The short version
Where PDD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
PDD at a glance
PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($82.21 and $92.97).
- Insiders Insiders sold $348K and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 9.2 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a discount to peers (-56%).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
PDD Holdings Inc. is currently trading at $81.40, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($82.21 and $92.97), signaling potential near-term weakness.
Despite this, the company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 20.43% and a return on equity of 22.75%. The current valuation, with a P/E ratio of 9.21, appears attractive relative to its sector averages, particularly given its strong margins and revenue growth of 8.1%. However, recent analyst sentiment has shifted, with several downgrades from Buy to Hold or Underperform, contributing to a mixed Wall Street consensus. Also, insider activity shows a moderate sell signal, with $348,347 in sales across five transactions and no reported purchases. This combination of technical weakness and insider selling tempers the bullish outlook suggested by its valuation and profitability.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from PDD's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $81.40 is 1.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of $82.21.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 12.4% below the 200-day simple moving average of $92.97.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($82.21) is 11.6% below the 200-day average ($92.97), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 14% of its 52-week range, between $71.94 and $139.41.
PDD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far PDD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where PDD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/3P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 9.21 is 55.7% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 1.74 is 8.3% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $13.8B on revenue of $67.4B, a net margin of 20.4%.
Key statistics
The headline figures for PDD.
As of October 16, 2026, PDD trades at $81.40, with a market value of $117.32B and a P/E ratio of 9.21.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of PDD's valuation, growth and risks.
PDD Holdings Inc. presents a compelling valuation with a P/E ratio of 9.21, significantly lower than the sector average of 20.8, and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.74 compared to the sector's 1.9.
The company's profitability metrics are strong, with a net profit margin of 20.43% and a return on equity of 22.75%, both exceeding sector averages. Revenue growth stands at 8.1%, slightly above the sector median of 7.2%. Despite these favorable fundamental indicators, the company's forward growth estimates show a contraction for the current year (-5.3%) and next year (20.4%), which may be contributing to the mixed analyst sentiment. The balance sheet appears healthy, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating minimal financial leverage.
PDD against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How PDD compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: PDD trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-56%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLY: Since May 5, 2025, PDD has lost 25.7% against a gain of 13.8% for XLY.
Performance against XLY
PDD and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much PDD sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 9.7% in FY2025 to $432B, from $394B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 22.7% in FY2025, down from 28.5% the year before.
Profitable: PDD earned $97.8B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did PDD beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: PDD did not beat the analyst estimate in the last 2 quarters.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026after close | $16.37 | $9.51 | -41.91% | -4.13% | -1.40% |
| May 27, 2025after close | $18.96 | $11.41 | -39.82% | -4.95% | -4.52% |
The August 24, 2026 report is not shown: the figures our data provider supplied for it failed our checks.
As of October 16, 2026, PDD has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 2 reported quarters; its most recent report with reliable figures, on May 27, 2026, came in 41.91% below the estimate and the stock moved -4.13% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 54.3, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 54.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of PDD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
PDD Holdings Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $82.21 and its 200-day SMA of $92.97, indicating a bearish trend in the medium to long term.
The price is trading above its 20-day EMA of $80.06, suggesting some short-term support, but the overall picture is one of downward pressure. The 14-day RSI is at 54.31, reflecting neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The 20-day EMA at $80.06 is acting as immediate resistance.
Attractive Valuation Metrics ›
PDD Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.21 and P/S of 1.74, significantly below sector averages, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its peers.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisStrong Profitability and Revenue Growth ›
The company demonstrates strong net profit margin (20.43%) and ROE (22.75%), coupled with revenue growth of 8.1%, exceeding sector averages.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisPositive Analyst Price Target Upside ›
The median Wall Street price target of $114.98 implies a 41.3% upside potential from the current stock price, indicating that analysts see room for appreciation.
Source: Wall Street Summary
Moderate Insider Selling Signal ›
Insiders have sold $348,347 worth of stock across recent filings, indicating a moderate sell signal and potentially signaling a lack of strong conviction at current price levels.
Source: Insider TransactionsAnalyst Downgrades and Mixed Sentiment ›
Several analysts have recently downgraded PDD Holdings Inc. from Buy to Hold or Underperform, contributing to a mixed Wall Street consensus and potentially pressuring the stock price.
Source: Wall Street Ratings
- The stock's current position below key moving averages suggests caution, with the 20-day EMA at $80.06 acting as an immediate level to watch.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for PDD, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with PDD at $81.40, its 14-day RSI is 54.3 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $82.21 and its 200-day is $92.97.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What PDD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, PDD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.24 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.23 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.19 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.13 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
21 of 37 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 2 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $114.98 is 41.3% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
21 of 37 rate it a buy now, against 22 of 37 three months ago.
PDD Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $81.40, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Daiwa Capital | Downgrade | Hold |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Daiwa Capital | Downgrade | Hold |
| Jun 16, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Initiates | Underperform |
| May 28, 2026 | Barclays | Downgrade | Equal-Weight |
As of October 16, 2026, 37 Wall Street analysts cover PDD: 21 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $85.36 to $150.59, with a median of $114.98, 41.3% above the price of $81.40.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
PDD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from PDD's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much PDD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
PDD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.57% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 86.3%, from February 2021 to March 2022; the price is still 59.2% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
63% of 1-year holding periods in the last 8 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in July 2018 is now worth $30,869, against $30,827 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
PDD Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, PDD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 8 years with dividends reinvested was -86.3% (February 2021 to March 2022); it is still 59.2% below that peak, and 63% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into PDD in July 2018 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: PDD beat the S&P 500 over this period: $30,869 against $30,827.
A $10,000 investment in PDD in July 2018 would be worth about $30,869 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $30,827 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to PDD, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +14.57%, up in 4 of 8 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -11.25%, up in 1 of 8 years.
This month, October: has averaged +3.73%, up in 6 of 8 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 9 years, PDD's strongest calendar month has been November (average +14.57%, up in 4 of 8 years) and its weakest March (average -11.25%, up in 1 of 8 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 9 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in PDD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PDD today could grow to about $24,013 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $182,178 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,165. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PDD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $116 for PDD by 2030 in the base case, from $81.40 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $32.08. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PDD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $46.81 | $88.85 | $169 | |
| 2028 | $39.19 | $96.99 | $240 | |
| 2029 | $34.89 | $106 | $321 | |
| 2030 | $32.08 | $116 | $416 | |
| 2031 | $30.10 | $126 | $529 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of PDD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. PDD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
PDD insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought PDD shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 16, 2026, PDD insiders reported 3 open-market sales worth $348K and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Anthony Ping Leung Kam
Director
|
Sell | 1.7K | $140.2K |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Anthony Ping Leung Kam
Director
|
Grant | 1.7K | - |
| Jul 31, 2026 | George Yong-Boon Yeo
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Anthony Ping Leung Kam
Director
|
Sell | 1.5K | $152.4K |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ivonne M.c.m. Rietjens
Director
|
Sell | 560 | $55.8K |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.