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As of September 11, 2026, D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) trades at $137.98. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $157.50, 14.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $157.50 across 18 analysts. RSI at 33 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $147.33.
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)
D.R. Horton, Inc. NYSE
$137.98
2.410 (1.78%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
53 / 100
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) is currently trading at $137.98, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's consensus rating is Hold, supported by a Wall Street score of 53 and a median analyst price target of $157.50, implying an upside of 14.1%. However, recent earnings have shown mixed results with a slight miss in Q4 2025 and a revenue decline of 6.00% in the current quarter, signaling potential headwinds. Insider activity reveals a net seller position, with $6.4 million in sales versus no reported purchases, contributing to a moderate sell signal. While the company offers a dividend yield of 1.30%, the overall sentiment is tempered by these factors. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and housing market trends closely.
DHI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$138.31
Day Range
$135.58 to $138.60
Prev Close
$135.57
Volume
156.5K
52-Week Range
$131.75 to $184.55
Market Cap
$37.92B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XHB
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
DHI Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, DHI beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
DHI Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+14.15% Upside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$157.50
AI Technical Analysis
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) is exhibiting bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), and its 20-day EMA ($143.45). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 33.44 further confirms this bearish sentiment, indicating weakening price action. The stock's recent volume has been significantly below its average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from buyers. Key support levels will be critical to watch, especially given the current downward trend. The current price action implies potential for further downside if these support levels are breached.
ProTips
- Monitor housing market indicators and interest rate movements closely, as these are critical drivers for D.R. Horton's performance.
- The stock's current trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79) suggests a cautious approach to new long positions until a clear upward trend is established.
- Given the moderate insider selling, investors should pay close attention to any future insider transactions for further clues on management's confidence in the company's outlook.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold $6.4 million worth of DHI stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management and potentially signaling further downside pressure.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Projected Revenue Decline
Current quarter revenue is estimated to decrease by 6.00% year-over-year, and next quarter is projected to grow only 6.00%, indicating a slowdown in the company's top-line growth compared to historical performance and sector averages.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
DHI is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), with a bearish RSI reading, suggesting a continuation of the current downward price trend.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Dividend Yield
The company offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.30%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, although it is currently overshadowed by bearish sentiment.
Source: Dividend DataNeutral
Mixed Earnings Performance
While recent earnings have shown slight EPS beats, the company experienced a significant miss in Q4 2025, and revenue growth is currently negative, presenting a mixed picture of operational performance.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
The base case for D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) over the next 6-12 months anticipates continued pressure, reflecting its current bearish technicals and projected revenue declines. The median analyst target price of $157.50 suggests limited upside from the current $137.98 level, with a consensus rating of Hold. The company's ability to navigate a potentially slowing housing market and reverse its revenue trajectory will be key. Upside catalysts could emerge from a stronger-than-expected housing market recovery or significant cost-saving measures that boost profitability. Conversely, persistent interest rate hikes, a sharp downturn in housing demand, or continued insider selling could push the stock towards its downside projection of $84.05. Investors should remain cautious given the current headwinds.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 37.92B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.21 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.52 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.30% |
| 52 Week High | 184.55 |
| 52 Week Low | 131.75 |
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 13.21, which appears attractive compared to the sector average of 15.00. However, the company is experiencing a revenue contraction, with current quarter estimates showing a 6.00% year-over-year decline, contrasting with the sector's average revenue growth of 12.00%. Profitability metrics are solid, with an EPS of $10.52, but the forward revenue outlook suggests challenges ahead. The company's balance sheet strength should be considered in light of the current market conditions. While the P/E ratio is lower than the sector average, the negative revenue growth trend warrants caution. Investors should weigh the valuation against the company's ability to navigate a potentially slowing housing market.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) most recently reported Q3 2026 earnings with an EPS of $3.20, beating the estimate of $2.99 by 7.02%, though the stock saw a minor decline of 0.70%. Prior quarters showed similar patterns of slight EPS beats, except for a 7.03% miss in Q4 2025. Revenue for the current quarter is projected to decrease by 6.00% year-over-year, indicating a shift from the positive growth seen in previous periods.
Key Risks
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) faces significant risks from a deteriorating technical outlook, with the stock trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. The moderate insider sell signal, involving $6.4 million in sales, suggests a lack of confidence from management in the near term. Also, projected revenue declines in the current and upcoming quarters indicate potential challenges in the housing market, which could impact future earnings and stock performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.44 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.83 |
| SMA 50 | 147.33 |
| SMA 200 | 149.79 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $147.33, 200-day: $149.79), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.05
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
DHI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$136.60
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$137.98
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$131.98
MAX LOSS
-3.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$140.70
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$143.43
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$147.53
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for DHI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in DHI in September 2016 would be worth about $44,347 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DHI today could grow to about $29,283 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $126,508 and a bear case around $6,778. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DHI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $212 for DHI by 2030 in the base case, from $138 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $84.05. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DHI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $96.72 | $154 | $244 |
| 2028 | $88.91 | $171 | $329 |
| 2029 | $85.45 | $190 | $425 |
| 2030 | $84.05 | $212 | $535 |
| 2031 | $83.90 | $236 | $664 |
| 2032 | $84.63 | $263 | $817 |
| 2033 | $86.05 | $293 | $996 |
| 2034 | $88.04 | $326 | $1,206 |
| 2035 | $90.55 | $363 | $1,454 |
| 2036 | $93.52 | $404 | $1,746 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DHI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
DHI Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$6.4M
6 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2023 | MURRAY MICHAEL JOHN
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 54.0K | $6.0M |
| Sep 5, 2025 | AULD DAVID V
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 30.0K | $5.5M |
| May 17, 2023 | ROMANOWSKI PAUL J.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $4.5M |
| Aug 17, 2020 | MURRAY MICHAEL JOHN
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 54.4K | $3.9M |
| Mar 20, 2024 | AULD DAVID V
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 25.0K | $3.9M |
| Dec 10, 2021 | WHEAT BILL W
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $3.8M |
| Jun 20, 2023 | WHEAT BILL W
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 32.0K | $3.8M |
| Dec 10, 2021 | MURRAY MICHAEL JOHN
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 34.0K | $3.7M |
| Dec 9, 2021 | AULD DAVID V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 32.0K | $3.5M |
| Dec 21, 2022 | ROMANOWSKI PAUL J.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $2.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is D.R. Horton's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, D.R. Horton's stock price is projected to be $212.06 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $84.05, and the upside projection is $535.04. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is D.R. Horton stock a buy right now?
D.R. Horton (DHI) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum, and faces headwinds from declining revenue projections and insider selling.
What are the biggest risks facing D.R. Horton?
The primary risks for D.R. Horton include a bearish technical trend, with the stock below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), and a moderate insider sell signal. Additionally, projected revenue declines in the current and upcoming quarters signal potential challenges in the housing market.
How does D.R. Horton's revenue growth compare to its sector?
D.R. Horton's projected revenue growth for the current quarter is -6.00%, significantly below the Consumer Cyclical sector's average revenue growth of 12.00%. This indicates the company is currently underperforming its peers in terms of top-line expansion.
What is D.R. Horton's dividend yield?
D.R. Horton, Inc. offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.30%, providing a modest income stream to shareholders.
What is the RSI status for D.R. Horton stock?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for D.R. Horton is currently 33.44, which is categorized as 'BEARISH', indicating weakening momentum and suggesting potential for further price declines.
How does D.R. Horton's valuation compare to its sector averages?
D.R. Horton's P/E ratio of 13.21 is slightly lower than the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 15.00, suggesting a potentially more attractive valuation. However, this is tempered by negative revenue growth projections.