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Head-to-head · Stock vs Stock
Northrop Grumman vs Lockheed Martin
vs
The short version
How NOC and LMT compare today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
The verdict
CleaRank Financial AI favours
LMT
NOC
LMT
64/100
AI score
67/100
-9.6%
1-year change
+13.2%
34.8%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
25.2%
64.4
RSI (14-day)
63.6
16.2x
P/E ratio
20.2x
1.77%
Dividend yield
2.50%
The verdict
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) comes out ahead on CleaRank's model, scoring 67/100 (Buy) against 64/100 (Buy) for Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC). The widest gap is the trend, where NOC is weaker: the price is 9.07% below its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 11.76% below the 200-day.
Outlook
NOC sits between its 50-day average at $523.35 and its 200-day at $593.12. LMT sits between its 50-day average at $540.35 and its 200-day at $565.41.
Price, side by side
Both prices start at 0% on the first day of the period you pick, so the moves compare directly.
Rebased price
-10%-5%0%+3%+2.4%
Oct '26
-10%0%+10%+20%+7.2%+2.7%
Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
-20%-10%0%+10%-0.7%-8.5%
May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
-20%0%+20%+40%+13%-10%
Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
-20%0%+20%+40%+7.3%-1.4%
Sep '24Feb '25Jul '25Dec '25May '26Oct '26
Over 1 year: NOC lost 10.0% and LMT gained 12.7%, a gap of 22.7 points in LMT's favour.
Valuation and profitability
What each costs relative to its earnings and sales, and how much of its revenue it keeps.
Side by side
Valuation
Lower multiples mean you pay less for each dollar of earnings or sales.
NOC
LMT
$76.6B
Market cap
$127.3B
16.2x
P/E ratio
20.2x
1.7x
Price / sales
1.6x
4.1x
Price / book
14.4x
12.0x
EV / EBITDA
14.8x
Profitability
How much of each dollar of revenue becomes profit, and how hard the capital works.
NOC
LMT
+5.1%
Revenue growth (quarter, y/y)
+10.5%
10.5%
Net margin
8.2%
27.0%
Return on equity
89.2%
7.1%
Return on assets
8.6%
0.95
Debt / equity
2.34
On valuation
LMT trades on the higher trailing P/E, 20.18 against 16.23 for NOC. Both P/Es are at a discount to peers, against an Industrials median of 34.0. On sales, NOC is valued higher, at 1.69 times against 1.64. LMT is the larger company, worth $127.3B against $76.6B.
On profitability
NOC turns more of its sales into profit, posting a net margin of 10.48% to LMT's 8.16%. LMT's return on equity is higher, at 89.17% against 26.96% for NOC. Year on year, revenue in the latest quarter grew 5.10% at NOC and 10.50% at LMT. On dividends, NOC yields 1.77% on a trailing basis, while LMT yields 2.50%.
Earnings reality check
NOC
NOC beat the estimate in 6 of its last 7 reports (latest Jul '26); the shares fell the next session after 2 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Oct '24Apr '25Jan '26Jul '26
LMT
LMT beat the estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports (latest Jul '26); the shares fell the next session after 2 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Oct '24Apr '25Oct '25Jul '26
Momentum and sentiment
The indicators behind each AI score, side by side.
Indicators side by side
NOC
LMT
64/100
AI score
67/100
64.4
RSI (14-day)
63.6
+3.0%
Price against 50-day average
+2.1%
-9.1%
Price against 200-day average
-2.5%
Technicals
NOC is in a mixed trend, trading 3.05% above its 50-day average and 9.07% below its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 64.4, in the bullish zone, with the MACD line positive. LMT is in a mixed trend, trading 2.07% above its 50-day average and 2.46% below its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 63.6, in the bullish zone, with the MACD line positive. LMT sits higher in its 52-week range, at 45% against 23% for NOC.
Sentiment
Of the 26 analysts covering NOC, 14 rate it buy, 11 hold and 1 sell; their median target is $602.50, 11.7% above the price. Of the 23 analysts covering LMT, 10 rate it buy, 12 hold and 1 sell; their median target is $600.00, 8.8% above the price.
Risk and practical tips
How much each moves, how much return each has paid for that risk, and what to watch if you hold either.
Risk measures
NOC
LMT
34.8%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
25.2%
N/A
Beta against the S&P 500
0.10
0.09
Sharpe ratio
-0.06
Risk
On an average day NOC moves more than LMT, 1.86% against 1.37%. Over the price history, NOC's worst fall was 36.0%, running from March 2026 to October 2026. LMT's worst fall was 30.4%, from October 2024 to February 2025. Taken together, these measures make NOC the riskier of the two.
ProTips
- For NOC, watch the 200-day SMA at $593.12 above the price and the 50-day SMA at $523.35 below it.
- For LMT, watch the 200-day SMA at $565.41 above the price and the 50-day SMA at $540.35 below it.
Long-term scenarios
Simulated paths from each price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Simulated growth of $10,000
$10K$20K$30K$40K$50K$60K$59.6K$55.3K$20.8K$20.4K
202620282030203220342036
NOC
LMT
$7,257
Downside, 2036 (10th)
$7,561
$20,792
Base case, 2036 (median)
$20,441
$59,574
Upside, 2036 (90th)
$55,262
In the median simulated path, $10,000 in NOC grows to about $20,800 and $10,000 in LMT to about $20,400 by 2036. The paths come from each asset's own historical volatility and trend; they are statistical outcomes, not forecasts.
Trade plans for both
Entry, stop and target levels from each moving average and its volatility. Educational, not advice.
Actionable Trade Plans
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
3%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
NOC
Current: $539.31
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$512.34
Aggressive
$539.31
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$496.97
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$566.28
+10% from current
$593.24
+15% from current
$620.21
LMT
Current: $551.51
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$523.93
Aggressive
$551.51
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$508.22
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$579.09
+10% from current
$606.66
+15% from current
$634.24
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
The content is for educational purposes only. The verdict weighs trend, valuation and risk together. Trading involves risk of loss. Note: The AI favored LMT based on its price trend, on today's data.
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which is better, NOC or LMT?+
On CleaRank's model LMT scores higher, 67/100 (Buy) against 64/100 (Buy) for NOC. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
Which has performed better over the past year, NOC or LMT?+
LMT has done better: its price rose 12.67% over the past year, while NOC fell 10.02%.
Which is cheaper on earnings, NOC or LMT?+
NOC has the lower trailing P/E, at 16.23 against 20.18 for LMT.
Which pays more income, NOC or LMT?+
LMT yields more, 2.50% against 1.77% for NOC. Yield is the payout divided by the price, which means it moves whenever either of those moves.
Which is riskier, NOC or LMT?+
NOC is the riskier of the two on the measures we track. Average daily move: 1.86% for NOC, 1.37% for LMT. Worst fall in the price history: 36.0% for NOC, 30.4% for LMT.
Which has stronger momentum right now, NOC or LMT?+
NOC has the higher 14-day RSI, 64.4 (bullish) against 63.6 (bullish) for LMT. Both MACD lines are positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
Which is the bigger company, NOC or LMT?+
LMT is the larger company, with a market value of $127.3B versus $76.6B for NOC.
What do analysts say about NOC and LMT?+
NOC has 14 buy ratings out of 26 analysts, and its median target sits 11.7% above the price. LMT has 10 buy ratings out of 23, and its median target is 8.8% above the price.
How would $10,000 have grown in NOC or LMT?+
Invested in October 2016, $10,000 would be worth $29,239 today in NOC and $30,938 in LMT.