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As of September 9, 2026, Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) trades at $142.24. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $142.24, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $215.00 across 16 analysts. RSI at 33 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $161.78.
Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE)
Guidewire Software Inc. NYSE
$142.24
-7.470 (-4.99%)
At close: Sep 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is currently trading at $142.24, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), signaling a bearish trend. The company has reported positive revenue growth of 15.3%, but this is overshadowed by significant insider selling, with over $72 million in dispositions and no reported purchases. The RSI is at 33.15, indicating bearish momentum. Despite a strong consensus from Wall Street analysts with a median price target of $215, implying a 51.2% upside, the heavy insider selling and bearish technicals present considerable risks. Guidewire's fundamental valuation appears stretched with a P/E ratio of 80.06, significantly above the sector average of 25.5. While revenue growth is strong, the lack of insider buying and the current technical downtrend suggest caution. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in insider activity for further directional cues. The current price action and insider behavior point towards potential near-term weakness.
GWRE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$147.85
Day Range
$142.07 to $148.33
Prev Close
$149.71
Volume
2.05M
52-Week Range
$102.30 to $272.60
Market Cap
$11.84B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+214%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
GWRE Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is exhibiting bearish momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 33.15. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), indicating a downtrend. The MACD is at 1.37, suggesting some underlying positive momentum, but this is contradicted by the RSI and moving average positions. Key support levels are being tested, and the current price action suggests a potential for further declines. Volume on the latest trading day was slightly above average at 2.05 million shares, but this has not been enough to break the bearish trend. The stock's position below its 20-day EMA of $177.28 further reinforces the bearish technical outlook.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy selling pressure is a significant bearish signal for Guidewire Software Inc.
- Given the bearish technicals, consider waiting for a confirmed break above the 50-day or 200-day moving averages before considering a long position.
- The high P/E ratio of 80.06 suggests that Guidewire Software Inc. is priced for perfection; any deviation from expected growth could lead to significant price corrections.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $72 Million
Insiders have sold over $72.5 million worth of Guidewire Software Inc. stock with no reported purchases, indicating a strong lack of confidence from management and a significant bearish signal.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
Guidewire Software Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), signaling a bearish trend and potential for further downside.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Negative RSI Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.15, indicating bearish momentum and suggesting that selling pressure may continue.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Revenue Growth
Guidewire Software Inc. has reported a strong revenue growth of 15.3%, indicating continued demand for its products and services.
Source: Fundamental DataBullish
Wall Street Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target for Guidewire Software Inc. is $215, representing a potential upside of 51.2% from the current price, suggesting analyst optimism.
Source: Wall Street SummaryMarket Outlook
The near-term outlook for Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is bearish, driven by heavy insider selling and a negative technical setup. The stock is trading below key moving averages, and the RSI indicates bearish momentum. Despite positive revenue growth and a Wall Street consensus rating of 'Buy' with a median price target of $215, the current market sentiment and insider activity suggest that the stock may face further downward pressure. Potential catalysts for a turnaround would require a significant shift in insider behavior, a break above key resistance levels, or a substantial improvement in market sentiment towards growth stocks. Conversely, continued insider selling, failure to break key technical levels, or a miss on future earnings expectations could lead to a retest of lower price levels, potentially towards the downside projection of $75.03 by 2030.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 11.84B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 80.06 |
| EPS (TTM) | 1.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 272.60 |
| 52 Week Low | 102.30 |
Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) trades at a P/E ratio of 80.06, which is considerably higher than the technology sector average of 25.5. This valuation suggests that the market has high growth expectations priced into the stock. While the company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 15.3%, its earnings per share (EPS) of $1.87 may not fully justify the current P/E multiple when compared to sector peers. The company's balance sheet strength and profitability metrics are not detailed, making a comprehensive fundamental assessment challenging. However, the high P/E ratio, coupled with significant insider selling, raises concerns about the stock's current valuation and potential downside risk if growth expectations are not met.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) recently reported earnings on September 3, 2026, with an EPS of $0.99, beating the estimate of $0.94 by 5.32%. However, this positive earnings surprise was met with a significant price drop of -19.93%. Prior to this, the company beat estimates on March 5, 2026, with a 51.95% surprise and saw a price increase of 4.99%. The earnings trajectory shows a pattern of beats, but the market reaction has been increasingly negative, suggesting that even positive results are not enough to sustain the stock price under current conditions.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is the significant insider selling, with over $72 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading below key technical indicators, including its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend and potential for further price declines. The high P/E ratio of 80.06 also presents a valuation risk, as it implies high growth expectations that may be difficult to meet.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.15 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.37 |
| SMA 50 | 161.78 |
| SMA 200 | 156.39 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($161.78) above the 200-day SMA ($156.39), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
GWRE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$145.08
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$142.24
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$156.44
MAX LOSS
-7.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$137.83
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$130.58
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$123.32
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
GWRE is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.22%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 9, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in GWRE in September 2016 would be worth about $24,375 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GWRE today could grow to about $22,158 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $100,755 and a bear case around $4,873. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GWRE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $196 for GWRE by 2030 in the base case, from $142 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $75.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GWRE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $95.41 | $154 | $249 |
| 2028 | $84.72 | $167 | $328 |
| 2029 | $78.78 | $181 | $414 |
| 2030 | $75.03 | $196 | $510 |
| 2031 | $72.56 | $212 | $618 |
| 2032 | $70.93 | $229 | $741 |
| 2033 | $69.92 | $248 | $881 |
| 2034 | $69.36 | $269 | $1,042 |
| 2035 | $69.18 | $291 | $1,225 |
| 2036 | $69.31 | $315 | $1,433 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GWRE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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GWRE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$72.5M
131 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$553.2K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.3K | $7.4M |
| Sep 20, 2021 | RYU MARCUS S
Director
|
Sell | 45.9K | $5.3M |
| Sep 17, 2024 | ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 23.4K | $4.0M |
| Sep 16, 2025 | MULLEN JOHN P
President
|
Sell | 15.9K | $3.9M |
| Sep 16, 2025 | COOPER JEFFREY ELLIOTT
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 14.1K | $3.4M |
| Aug 25, 2026 | MULLEN JOHN P
President
|
Sell | 18.0K | $3.3M |
| Aug 19, 2026 | MULLEN JOHN P
President
|
Sell | 14.4K | $2.7M |
| Dec 19, 2019 | RYU MARCUS S
Director
|
Sell | 25.1K | $2.6M |
| Sep 19, 2024 | COOPER JEFFREY ELLIOTT
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 15.3K | $2.6M |
| Sep 17, 2020 | RYU MARCUS S
Director
|
Sell | 23.4K | $2.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Guidewire Software Inc. stock a buy right now?
Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is currently rated as a Sell by our consensus score of 18. The stock is trading below its key moving averages and exhibits significant insider selling, suggesting potential downside risk despite a positive revenue growth rate.
What is Guidewire Software Inc.'s long-term outlook?
Guidewire Software Inc.'s long-term outlook is uncertain, with a Monte Carlo simulation projecting a base case price of $195.54 by 2030, but a downside scenario of $75.03. While revenue growth is positive, significant insider selling and bearish technicals pose considerable risks to long-term appreciation.
What are the key risks facing Guidewire Software Inc.?
The main risks for Guidewire Software Inc. include heavy insider selling totaling over $72 million, a bearish technical setup with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), and a high P/E ratio of 80.06 which suggests a stretched valuation.
How is Guidewire Software Inc. performing technically?
Technically, Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is showing bearish momentum with an RSI at 33.2 and trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39). This suggests a downtrend and potential for further price declines.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Guidewire Software Inc.?
Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive view, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' based on 16 analysts. The median price target is $215, suggesting a potential upside of 51.2% from the current price.
How does Guidewire Software Inc.'s revenue growth compare to its sector?
Guidewire Software Inc. reported revenue growth of 15.3%, which is higher than the technology sector average of 10.0%. However, this growth is not currently reflected in the stock's price action or insider sentiment.
What was Guidewire Software Inc.'s most recent earnings performance?
Guidewire Software Inc. recently reported an EPS of $0.99, beating estimates by 5.32%, but the stock price dropped by 19.93%. This follows a pattern where positive earnings surprises have not translated into sustained stock price gains.
What is Guidewire Software Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Guidewire Software Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $195.54 and a downside projection of $75.03. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.