Stock·NASDAQ·Technology
Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AAOI)
- Market cap
- $6.11B
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $178.00median of 6 analysts
- 52-week range
- $18.50 $233.67
AAOI stock forecast today
Where AAOI stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
AAOI at a glance
Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AAOI): Sell, 34/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($103.36 and $113.33).
- Insiders Insiders sold $127.1M and bought $1.7M over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AAOI) Sell, with a model score of 34/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 3 of 6 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 147.4% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 36.52% below its 200-day average and 30.40% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 8.79% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $103.36 and the 200-day at $113.33. Over the past year the price rose 111.53%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from AAOI's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
AAOI stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $71.94 is 30.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $103.36.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 36.5% below the 200-day simple moving average of $113.33.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($103.36) is 8.8% below the 200-day average ($113.33), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 25% of its 52-week range, between $18.50 and $233.67.
AAOI share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far AAOI has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where AAOI sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
AAOI fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
0/2P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 10.25 is 34.9% above the sector median of 7.6.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$57.0M on revenue of $596.0M, a net margin of -9.6%.
Key statistics
The headline figures for AAOI.
As of October 26, 2026, AAOI trades at $71.94, with a market value of $6.11B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of AAOI's valuation, growth and risks.
AAOI's P/E ratio cannot be interpreted, since its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative, which makes the ratio not meaningful. On sales, the stock changes hands at 9.62 times, a level 26.6% above the sector median of 7.6. Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AAOI) has a market capitalisation of $6.1B and trailing earnings of -$0.75 per share.
The company is losing money, with a net margin of -9.57% and an operating margin of -12.88%, and a return on equity of -5.45%, below the sector median of 13.4%. With revenue growth of 86.40%, AAOI is 62.2 percentage points faster than the sector median of 24.2%. The balance sheet rounds out the picture, with debt-to-equity of 0.18.
AAOI's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 6.09%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 3.84. The trend will keep working against holders until the price climbs back above its moving averages. The price is 69.21% below the 52-week high of $233.67. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $127.1M of stock and bought $1.7M. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market purchases.
AAOI against the Technology sector
How AAOI compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, AAOI trades at 10.25x, +35% versus the sector average of 7.60x.
Return vs XLK: Since May 14, 2025, AAOI has gained 276.5% against a gain of 59.2% for XLK.
Performance against XLK
AAOI and the Technology sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much AAOI sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 82.8% in FY2025 to $456M, from $249M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -8.4% in FY2025, up from -74.9% the year before.
Loss-making: AAOI lost $38.2M in FY2025.
AAOI AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 34.7, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 34.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of AAOI
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AAOI) is in a downtrend. At $71.94, the stock is 36.52% below its 200-day average of $113.33 and 30.40% below its 50-day average of $103.36. Even so, the price sits close to the bottom of its 52-week range: it is 288.86% above the low of $18.50 and 69.21% below the high of $233.67.
The stock's recent pullback sits within a longer record of gains. Over the past month the price fell 29.05%, over the past three months it fell 26.46%, yet over the past year it rose 111.53%. The 14-day RSI of 34.7 places it in the bearish zone without reaching oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative.
Rating reaffirmed ›
B. Riley Securities kept its Neutral rating on October 15, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, B. Riley Securities, October 15, 2026
- Two levels deserve attention: the 20-day EMA at $88.26, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $18.50, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 34.7, in the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
AAOI trades under its 50-day ($103.36) and 200-day ($113.33) averages, which is what makes the trend down; regaining the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. The nearest level above the price is the 20-day EMA at $88.26.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $18.50.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for AAOI, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with AAOI at $71.94, its 14-day RSI is 34.7 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $103.36 and its 200-day is $113.33.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What AAOI moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, AAOI's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.49 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.54 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.21 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
AAOI price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
3 of 6 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $178.00 is 147.4% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
3 of 6 rate it a buy now, against 3 of 6 three months ago.
AAOI Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $71.94, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy |
| May 8, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 26, 2026, 6 Wall Street analysts cover AAOI: 3 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $92.00 to $220.00. The median AAOI price target is $178.00, 147.4% above the price of $71.94.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
AAOI trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
AAOI trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
AAOI moves about 6.1% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much AAOI tends to move, against the market and on its own.
AAOI price history and drawdowns
AAOI's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 6.09% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 98.5%, from August 2017 to July 2022, regained by March 2026.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
44% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $35,988, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
AAOI Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, AAOI's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -98.5% (August 2017 to July 2022); it regained that peak by March 2026, 44 months after the low, and 44% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into AAOI in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: AAOI trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $35,988 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in AAOI in October 2016 would be worth about $35,988 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to AAOI, and which have not.
Strongest month, June: an average of +22.58%, up in 6 of 10 years.
Weakest month, October: an average of -10.36%, up in 3 of 9 years.
This month, October: has averaged -10.36%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, AAOI's strongest calendar month has been June (average +22.58%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest October (average -10.36%, up in 3 of 9 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
AAOI stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in AAOI, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in AAOI today could grow to about $14,057 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $50,638 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,902. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AAOI Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $101 for AAOI by 2030 in the base case, from $71.94 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $28.07. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AAOI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $41.27 | $78.33 | $149 | |
| 2028 | $34.46 | $85.29 | $211 | |
| 2029 | $30.61 | $92.87 | $282 | |
| 2030 | $28.07 | $101 | $364 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of AAOI's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. AAOI is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. How the simulation works
AAOI insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
AAOI insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $1.7M on the open market and sold $127.1M.
As of October 26, 2026, AAOI insiders reported 54 open-market sales worth $127.1M and 6 open-market purchases worth $1.7M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $411.5K |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $720.2K |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Richard B Black
Director
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $421.3K |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 32.2K | $3.5M |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $886.4K |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $579.2K |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 4.7K | $596.4K |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 9.3K | - |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 1.3K | $154.2K |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $488.4K |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $1.0M |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 40.3K | $6.9M |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 59.0K | $9.8M |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 34.0K | $5.7M |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 33.0K | $5.5M |
| Jun 12, 2026 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 29.2K | $4.9M |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 28.8K | $4.8M |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $685.8K |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Richard B Black
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Min-Chu Mike Chen
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Cynthia Delaney
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Robert James Flanagan
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | William H Yeh
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $800.3K |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $2.1M |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Min-Chu Mike Chen
Director
|
Sell | 8.2K | $1.7M |
| May 28, 2026 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 85.8K | - |
| May 26, 2026 | Cynthia Delaney
Director
|
Sell | 56.6K | $10.7M |
| May 19, 2026 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 58.0K | $10.0M |
| May 19, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 39.2K | $6.8M |
| May 19, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 33.6K | $5.8M |
| May 19, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 33.0K | $5.7M |
| May 19, 2026 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 19.2K | $3.3M |
| May 15, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Grant | 224.2K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Grant | 156.6K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 711.7K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 249.1K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Grant | 192.2K | - |
| May 11, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $638.1K |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $546.0K |
| Mar 19, 2026 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 29.0K | $2.9M |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 36.4K | $3.6M |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $451.0K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $4.9M |
| Mar 9, 2026 | William H Yeh
Director
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.6M |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Min-Chu Mike Chen
Director
|
Sell | 11.3K | $1.2M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Richard B Black
Director
|
Sell | 3.2K | $306.9K |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Cynthia Delaney
Director
|
Sell | 21.0K | $2.1M |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Elizabeth G Loboa
Director
|
Sell | 102.3K | $9.8M |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $299.9K |
| Feb 11, 2026 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.0M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 18.0K | $898.7K |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Grant | 25.8K | - |
| Feb 9, 2026 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Grant | 17.0K | - |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 82.6K | - |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 32.2K | - |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Grant | 25.8K | - |
| Jan 28, 2026 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $540.7K |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 66 | $2.3K |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.9K | $133.9K |
| Dec 23, 2025 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 12.5K | $501.9K |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Elizabeth G Loboa
Director
|
Sell | 4.1K | $124.6K |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $126.2K |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Richard B Black
Director
|
Grant | 600 | - |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Richard B Black
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $268.4K |
| Aug 15, 2025 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 2.0K | $44.7K |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Che-Wei Lin
Director
|
Buy | 4.6K | $99.7K |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 8.1K | $174.1K |
| Aug 14, 2025 | William H Yeh
Director
|
Buy | 18.0K | $405.7K |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 15.8K | $358.3K |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Min-Chu Mike Chen
Director
|
Buy | 7.5K | $171.8K |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 18.6K | $423.4K |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $82.4K |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.0K | $32.1K |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Richard B Black
Director
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Min-Chu Mike Chen
Director
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Cynthia Delaney
Director
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Che-Wei Lin
Director
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Elizabeth G Loboa
Director
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| Jun 13, 2025 | William H Yeh
Director
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| May 16, 2025 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.0K | $38.7K |
| May 14, 2025 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Sell | 11.4K | $218.2K |
| May 13, 2025 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Sell | 23.8K | $454.3K |
| May 13, 2025 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 21.2K | $386.2K |
| May 9, 2025 | Hung-Lun Fred Chang
Officer
|
Grant | 142.9K | - |
| May 9, 2025 | David C. Kuo
Officer
|
Grant | 89.3K | - |
| May 9, 2025 | Chih-Hsiang Thompson Lin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 446.4K | - |
| May 9, 2025 | Stefan J Murry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 156.3K | - |
| May 9, 2025 | Shu-Hua Joshua Yeh
Officer
|
Grant | 142.9K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
AAOI stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.