As of September 26, 2026, Airbnb Inc. (ABNB) trades at $157.47. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $185.00, 17.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $185.00 across 45 analysts. RSI at 25 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $168.00.
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB)
Airbnb, Inc. NASDAQ
ABNB Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
ABNB Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
ABNB Analysis
- Monitor insider transactions closely; while current selling is dominated by parent divestitures, any shift to significant officer selling could signal a bearish turn.
- Given the oversold RSI of 24.55, consider the potential for a short-term technical bounce, but be cautious of the elevated valuation and resistance levels.
- The company's strong revenue growth and profitability metrics are attractive, but ensure that future earnings reports continue to meet or exceed expectations to justify the premium valuation.
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) reported EPS of $1.37 for the quarter to June 2026, beating estimates by 9.6% and driving a 17.43% stock price increase, indicating positive market reception to strong operational performance.
Source: Company PRInsiders are net sellers with $0 in total purchases vs $1.6B in total sales across 218 transactions. However, 86% of total selling ($1.4B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by GEBBIA JOSEPH, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $221M.
Source: Insider FilingsProjected 16.00% revenue growth for 2026 and 12.00% for 2027 suggests continued expansion in Airbnb's core business and market penetration.
Source: Analyst EstimatesAirbnb's P/E ratio of 35.95 and P/S ratio of 7.17 are substantially higher than sector averages, posing a risk of valuation compression if growth expectations are not met.
Source: Financial DataThe current RSI of 24.55 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting potential for further short-term price weakness or a reversal that could test lower support levels.
Source: Technical AnalysisKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 94.29B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 35.95 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.38 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 193.45 |
| 52 Week Low | 110.81 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 24.55 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -4.79 |
| SMA 50 | 168.00 |
| SMA 200 | 142.71 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with ABNB? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
ABNB Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ABNB in December 2020 would be worth about $10,882 today, compared with about $21,033 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ABNB today could grow to about $14,844 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $95,422 and a bear case around $2,309. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ABNB Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $184 for ABNB by 2030 in the base case, from $157 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $56.85. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ABNB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $90.95 | $164 | $295 |
| 2028 | $74.15 | $170 | $392 |
| 2029 | $63.98 | $177 | $491 |
| 2030 | $56.85 | $184 | $598 |
| 2031 | $51.47 | $192 | $715 |
| 2032 | $47.23 | $200 | $843 |
| 2033 | $43.77 | $208 | $985 |
| 2034 | $40.89 | $216 | $1,141 |
| 2035 | $38.46 | $225 | $1,313 |
| 2036 | $36.36 | $234 | $1,503 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ABNB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ABNB Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | GEBBIA JOSEPH
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.1M | $315.9M |
| Jun 1, 2021 | GEBBIA JOSEPH
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 1.7M | $249.0M |
| Feb 28, 2023 | GEBBIA JOSEPH
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.4M | $170.3M |
| Feb 23, 2023 | GEBBIA JOSEPH
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.3M | $155.1M |
| Jun 14, 2021 | BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 875.0K | $129.8M |
| Aug 16, 2021 | BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 874.9K | $129.4M |
| Jul 15, 2021 | BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 752.7K | $106.1M |
| Jun 25, 2024 | GEBBIA JOSEPH
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 669.0K | $100.7M |
| Nov 5, 2021 | BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 499.9K | $100.1M |
| Aug 7, 2026 | BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 531.0K | $92.6M |