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As of September 11, 2026, The Gap, Inc. (GAP) trades at $20.91. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $27.00, 29.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $27.00 across 21 analysts. RSI at 58 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $20.39.
The Gap, Inc. (GAP)
The Gap, Inc. NYSE
$20.91
-0.4500 (-2.11%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is currently trading at $20.91, below its 200-day moving average of $23.90, indicating a bearish technical trend. Despite this, the company has demonstrated impressive earnings beats in recent quarters, notably exceeding estimates by 181.63% in August 2026. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $27.00, suggesting a 29.1% upside from current levels. However, significant insider selling, totaling $88.4 million against zero purchases, raises concerns about management's confidence in the near-term outlook. The company operates within the Apparel Retail industry, a sector with a median P/E of 20.8 and revenue growth of 6.7%. GAP's current P/E of 6.41 is substantially lower than the sector average, suggesting a potential valuation discount. Revenue growth has been negative at -2% year-over-year, but forward estimates project modest growth of 1.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next. The substantial insider selling, dominated by the Fisher family, warrants close attention as a potential indicator of future headwinds.
GAP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$21.26
Day Range
$20.71 to $21.26
Prev Close
$21.36
Volume
6.77M
52-Week Range
$18.11 to $29.36
Market Cap
$7.35B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XRT
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-69%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
GAP Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+29.12% Upside
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
$27.00
AI Technical Analysis
The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($20.39) but below its 200-day SMA ($23.90), signaling a bearish trend. The RSI is at 57.5, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD at 0.397 suggests a lack of strong directional conviction. Volume has been below average, down 39.9%, which could imply waning investor interest at current levels. Key support is found near the 50-day moving average, while resistance lies at the 200-day moving average. The stochastic indicator is at 19.17, suggesting the stock is in a healthy range territory, which could precede a short-term bounce. However, the overall chart structure, with prices below key moving averages, points to continued caution.
ProTips
- Significant insider selling totaling $88.4 million warrants close monitoring as it may signal concerns about future performance.
- The stock's current position above its 50-day SMA ($20.39) but below its 200-day SMA ($23.90) suggests a bearish technical trend; consider waiting for a confirmed trend reversal before initiating new positions.
- Given the negative revenue growth, investors should closely watch upcoming earnings reports for signs of a turnaround in sales trends and compare performance against sector peers.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Earnings Beat Exceeds Expectations
The Gap, Inc. reported an EPS of $1.38 versus an estimate of $0.49 in August 2026, a 181.63% surprise, leading to a 12.94% stock price increase. This demonstrates strong operational execution and potential for profitability.
Source: Company Earnings ReportBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold a total of $88.4 million in stock with no reported purchases, indicating a significant lack of confidence from management and major shareholders in the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Transaction FilingsBearish
Negative Revenue Growth Trend
The company reported a -2% year-over-year revenue growth, lagging behind the sector median of 6.7%. This trend suggests challenges in sales generation and market demand for its products.
Source: Company FinancialsNeutral
Wall Street Maintains 'Hold' Consensus
With 21 analysts covering the stock, the consensus remains 'Hold', reflecting a balanced view of the company's strengths and weaknesses, with a median price target of $27.00.
Source: Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for The Gap, Inc. (GAP) suggests a potential for modest recovery, supported by its attractive valuation and strong recent earnings performance. Wall Street's median price target of $27.00 implies a 29.1% upside, reflecting an expectation that the company can leverage its profitability to overcome current headwinds. The company's P/E ratio of 6.41 is significantly lower than the sector average, indicating room for multiple expansion if revenue growth can stabilize and turn positive. However, the outlook is tempered by significant risks. The heavy insider selling, totaling $88.4 million, raises concerns about management's conviction. Also, negative revenue growth and a bearish technical setup below key moving averages suggest that a sustained recovery may be challenging in the near term. Upside catalysts would likely involve a clear strategy to reignite revenue growth and a halt to insider selling, while downside risks include continued market share erosion and failure to meet forward revenue estimates.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.35B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 6.41 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.32 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.25% |
| 52 Week High | 29.36 |
| 52 Week Low | 18.11 |
The Gap, Inc. (GAP) presents a compelling valuation with a P/E ratio of 6.41, significantly below the sector median of 20.8, and a price-to-sales ratio that is also likely discounted given its revenue growth. The company's return on equity (ROE) is not explicitly provided, but its earnings per share (EPS) of $3.32 is strong relative to its current price. Revenue growth has been negative at -2%, which is a concern when compared to the sector's median revenue growth of 6.7%. Despite the negative revenue growth, the company has demonstrated strong profitability in its recent earnings reports. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the market capitalization of $7.35 billion suggests a significant enterprise value. The low P/E ratio, coupled with strong EPS performance, indicates that the market may be undervaluing GAP's current profitability, potentially due to concerns about future revenue growth or the significant insider selling.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
The Gap, Inc. (GAP) delivered a remarkable earnings surprise in its most recent report on August 27, 2026, with actual EPS of $1.38 significantly beating the estimate of $0.49 by 181.63%, leading to a 12.94% stock price increase. Prior to this, the company had a mixed performance, with an on-estimate EPS in May 2026 and a slight miss in March 2026. The strong beat in the latest quarter suggests potential operational improvements or favorable market conditions impacting profitability.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with $88.4 million in dispositions versus no purchases, presents a key risk, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management and major shareholders like the Fisher family. The company's negative revenue growth of -2% also poses a risk, especially when compared to the sector's median growth of 6.7%, suggesting potential market share challenges or slowing consumer demand for its products. Also, the stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating a bearish technical trend that could persist.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 57.50 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.40 |
| SMA 50 | 20.39 |
| SMA 200 | 23.90 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $20.39, 200-day: $23.90), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.36
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
GAP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$20.70
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$20.91
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$19.67
MAX LOSS
-5.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (57.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$21.32
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$21.74
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$22.36
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
GAP is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.32%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in GAP in September 2016 would be worth about $8,771 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GAP today could grow to about $12,682 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $96,214 and a bear case around $1,672. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GAP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $22.99 for GAP by 2030 in the base case, from $20.91 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $6.38. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GAP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $11.28 | $21.41 | $40.64 |
| 2028 | $8.86 | $21.93 | $54.27 |
| 2029 | $7.40 | $22.45 | $68.13 |
| 2030 | $6.38 | $22.99 | $82.84 |
| 2031 | $5.62 | $23.55 | $98.68 |
| 2032 | $5.02 | $24.11 | $116 |
| 2033 | $4.53 | $24.69 | $135 |
| 2034 | $4.13 | $25.29 | $155 |
| 2035 | $3.79 | $25.90 | $177 |
| 2036 | $3.50 | $26.52 | $201 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GAP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
GAP Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$88.4M
41 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2023 | FISHER JOHN J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.5M | $32.4M |
| Dec 1, 2025 | FISHER ROBERT J.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 500.0K | $13.7M |
| Dec 4, 2024 | FISHER ROBERT J.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 500.0K | $12.9M |
| Sep 24, 2025 | FISHER ROBERT J.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 500.0K | $11.4M |
| Dec 3, 2025 | FISHER WILLIAM SYDNEY
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 400.0K | $10.8M |
| Dec 6, 2024 | FISHER WILLIAM SYDNEY
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 376.1K | $9.8M |
| Apr 8, 2026 | FISHER JOHN J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 300.0K | $7.6M |
| Nov 26, 2025 | FISHER JOHN J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 250.0K | $6.9M |
| Dec 13, 2024 | FISHER JOHN J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 250.0K | $6.0M |
| Sep 4, 2025 | FISHER WILLIAM SYDNEY
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 243.1K | $5.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is The Gap, Inc. stock a buy right now?
The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $27.00, suggesting a 29.1% upside. However, significant insider selling and negative revenue growth present considerable risks that temper a bullish outlook.
What is The Gap, Inc.'s current valuation compared to its sector?
The Gap, Inc. (GAP) trades at a P/E ratio of 6.41, which is substantially lower than the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8. This suggests that GAP may be undervalued relative to its peers, assuming its profitability can be sustained.
What are the biggest risks facing The Gap, Inc.?
The primary risks for The Gap, Inc. (GAP) include substantial insider selling totaling $88.4 million, indicating potential concerns from management, and negative revenue growth of -2% which lags the sector average.
How has The Gap, Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
The Gap, Inc. (GAP) recently reported a significant earnings beat in August 2026, exceeding estimates by 181.63% and driving a positive stock reaction. Prior quarters showed mixed results, including an on-estimate performance and a slight miss.
What is the technical outlook for The Gap, Inc. stock?
Technically, The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is in a bearish trend, trading above its 50-day SMA ($20.39) but below its 200-day SMA ($23.90). While the RSI is neutral, the overall chart structure suggests caution, with key support near the 50-day SMA and resistance at the 200-day SMA.
What are Wall Street analysts' price targets for The Gap, Inc.?
The median analyst price target for The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is $27.00, with a high of $42.00 and a low of $21.00. This median target implies an upside of 29.1% from the current stock price of $20.91.
What is the long-range projection for The Gap, Inc. stock?
Monte Carlo simulations project a base case price of $22.99 for The Gap, Inc. (GAP) by 2030, with a downside scenario of $6.38 and an upside scenario of $82.84. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.