Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR)
- Market cap
- $10.26B
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $12.50median of 13 analysts
- 52-week range
- $3.60 $8.57
AUR stock forecast today
Where AUR stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
AUR at a glance
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR): Hold, 49/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.63).
- Earnings AUR beat estimates in 5 of the 7 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $1.2B and bought $2.5M over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) Hold, with a model score of 49/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 8 of 13 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 144.1% above the price. Valuation holds it back most: the company has no meaningful P/E because it lost money. The trend is down: AUR trades 11.53% below its 50-day average of $5.79 and 9.07% below its 200-day average of $5.63. Over the past year the price fell 2.85%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from AUR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
AUR stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $5.12 is 11.5% below the 50-day simple moving average of $5.79.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 9.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $5.63.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($5.79) is 2.8% above the 200-day average ($5.63), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 31% of its 52-week range, between $3.60 and $8.57.
AUR share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far AUR has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where AUR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
AUR fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/2Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$900.0M on revenue of $5.0M, a net margin of -18,000.0%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
AUR beat the EPS estimate in 5 of the 7 reports in our data.
Key statistics
The headline figures for AUR.
As of October 27, 2026, AUR trades at $5.12, with a market value of $10.26B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of AUR's valuation, growth and risks.
AUR has no meaningful P/E, since its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative. Its market capitalisation stands at $10.3B, and trailing earnings come to -$0.46 a share.
AUR is unprofitable right now. Its net margin stands at -18,000.00%, its operating margin at -13,300.00%, and its return on equity of -45.64% is below the sector median of 12.4%. Revenue growth of 100.00% puts it 92.8 percentage points faster than the sector median of 7.2%. Debt-to-equity of 0.04 describes a lightly indebted balance sheet.
AUR's most recent available report in our data, dated May 6, 2026, showed EPS of -$0.11, which beat the estimate of -$0.12. Even so, the share price fell 1.79% in the following session.
Over the 7 reports in our data, AUR topped the estimate 5 times; even so, 3 of those 5 beats were followed by a lower share price the next session. The consensus EPS estimate stands at -$0.49 for this fiscal year and -$0.45 for next.
Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: AUR has moved 4.04% on an average session; measured against the S&P 500, its beta is 2.70. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 40.22% below its 52-week high of $8.57.
AUR against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How AUR compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Return vs SPY: Since May 15, 2025, AUR has lost 24.9% against a gain of 30.4% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
AUR and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much AUR sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Loss-making: AUR lost $816M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did AUR beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: AUR beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the 7 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026after close | -$0.12 | -$0.11 | +8.33% | -1.79% | +15.54% |
| Feb 11, 2026after close | -$0.12 | -$0.08 | +33.33% | -3.21% | +11.47% |
| Oct 28, 2025after close | -$0.12 | -$0.08 | +33.33% | -1.92% | -13.75% |
| Jul 30, 2025after close | -$0.12 | -$0.08 | +33.33% | +0.35% | +4.32% |
| May 8, 2025after close | -$0.11 | -$0.12 | -9.09% | -6.06% | -12.00% |
| Feb 12, 2025after close | -$0.12 | -$0.09 | +25.00% | +46.05% | +28.84% |
| Oct 30, 2024after close | -$0.11 | -$0.13 | -18.18% | -21.76% | -14.01% |
Reports after May 6, 2026 are not yet in our data.
As of October 27, 2026, AUR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of the 7 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its most recent report in our data, on May 6, 2026, came in 8.33% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.79% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AUR AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 42.9, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 42.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of AUR
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is in a downtrend: the price of $5.12 sits 9.07% below its 200-day average of $5.63 and 11.53% below its 50-day average of $5.79. The stock trades at 31% of its 52-week range, which runs from $3.60 to $8.57, so it is 40.22% below the high.
The price is down over each of these periods: 15.23% over the past month, 17.55% over the past three months and 2.85% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 38.3% below its average, on a day the price rose 5.13%. The 14-day RSI of 42.9 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Oppenheimer kept its Outperform rating on October 8, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Oppenheimer, October 8, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The May 6, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 8.33%, and the share price fell 1.79% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, May 6, 2026
- The two closest levels matter most: the 20-day EMA at $5.28 sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $3.60 sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 42.9 falls in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price fell 1.79% in the first session after the May 6, 2026 report. Across the 7 reports in our data, AUR beat estimates in 5 of them.
AUR sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.63), and that keeps the trend down. A move back above the 200-day would be the first real sign of repair. The closest level overhead is the 20-day EMA at $5.28.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $3.60. The 14-day RSI reads 42.9, which is neutral, sitting between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for AUR, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with AUR at $5.12, its 14-day RSI is 42.9 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $5.79 and its 200-day is $5.63.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What AUR moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, AUR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.52 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.52 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.34 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU).
AUR price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
8 of 13 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $12.50 is 144.1% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
8 of 13 rate it a buy now, against 8 of 13 three months ago.
AUR Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Amerx | Reiterates | Hold |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy |
As of October 27, 2026, 13 Wall Street analysts cover AUR: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $3.59 to $18.00. The median AUR price target is $12.50, 144.1% above the price of $5.12.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
AUR trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
AUR trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
AUR moves about 4.0% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much AUR tends to move, against the market and on its own.
AUR price history and drawdowns
AUR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.04% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 91.0%, from December 2021 to December 2022; the price is still 61.4% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
56% of 1-year holding periods in the last 5 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in May 2021 is now worth $4,870, against $19,702 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
AUR Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, AUR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since May 2021 with dividends reinvested was -91.0% (December 2021 to December 2022); it is still 61.4% below that peak, and 56% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into AUR in May 2021 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: AUR trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $4,870.00 against $19,702.
A $10,000 investment in AUR in May 2021 would be worth about $4,870 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $19,702 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to AUR, and which have not.
Strongest month, December: an average of +17.49%, up in 3 of 5 years.
Weakest month, October: an average of -7.69%, up in 2 of 5 years.
This month, October: has averaged -7.69%, up in 2 of 5 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 6 years, AUR's strongest calendar month has been December (average +17.49%, up in 3 of 5 years) and its weakest October (average -7.69%, up in 2 of 5 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 6 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
AUR stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in AUR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 5 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in AUR today could grow to about $8,474 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $30,525 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,352. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AUR Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $4.34 for AUR by 2030 in the base case, from $5.12 today (0.8x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $1.20. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AUR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $2.59 | $4.91 | $9.32 | |
| 2028 | $1.90 | $4.71 | $11.66 | |
| 2029 | $1.49 | $4.52 | $13.72 | |
| 2030 | $1.20 | $4.34 | $15.63 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of AUR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
AUR insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
AUR insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $2.5M on the open market and sold $1.2B.
As of October 27, 2026, AUR insiders reported 11 open-market sales worth $1.2B and 3 open-market purchases worth $2.5M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Brittany Bagley
Director
|
Grant | 3.4K | - |
| Oct 1, 2026 | David M Wehner
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Uber Technologies, Inc
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 29.4M | $182.2M |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Uber Technologies, Inc
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 72.0M | $471.6M |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Sell | 2.8M | $19.9M |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Grant | 2.8M | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $10.3M |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Grant | 1.5M | - |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Sell | 1.9M | $13.3M |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Grant | 1.6M | - |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Grant | 908.8K | - |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Michelangelo A Volpi
Director
|
Sell | 179.8K | $1.3M |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Brittany Bagley
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| Jun 11, 2026 | David M Wehner
Director
|
Buy | 82.5K | $498.3K |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Uber Technologies, Inc
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 67.5M | $479.3M |
| May 28, 2026 | Reid G Hoffman
Director
|
Sell | 1.2M | $8.7M |
| May 21, 2026 | Brittany Bagley
Director
|
Grant | 36.5K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Gloria R Boyland
Director
|
Grant | 36.5K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Lara L Caimi
Director
|
Grant | 73.1K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | John Joseph Donahoe II
Director
|
Grant | 36.5K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Reid G Hoffman
Director
|
Grant | 36.5K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | David M Wehner
Director
|
Grant | 36.5K | - |
| May 18, 2026 | Reid G Hoffman
Director
|
Sell | 5.8M | $45.5M |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Brittany Bagley
Director
|
Grant | 4.8K | - |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Ossa F Fisher
President
|
Grant | 436.9K | - |
| Mar 23, 2026 | David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 655.4K | - |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Shelley Webb
Officer
|
Grant | 436.9K | - |
| Mar 13, 2026 | David M Wehner
Director
|
Grant | 51.2K | - |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Brittany Bagley
Director
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 159.7K | - |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Christopher Urmson, PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 258.0K | - |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Christopher Urmson, PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 258.0K | $1.0M |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Reid G Hoffman
Director
|
Grant | 7.0M | - |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Brittany Bagley
Director
|
Sell | 50.0K | $269.7K |
| Aug 6, 2025 | John Joseph Donahoe II
Director
|
Buy | 162.3K | $989.5K |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Gloria R Boyland
Director
|
Sell | 46.1K | $272.7K |
| May 30, 2025 | John Joseph Donahoe II
Director
|
Grant | 63.8K | - |
| May 22, 2025 | Brittany Bagley
Director
|
Grant | 31.9K | - |
| May 22, 2025 | Shailen Bhatt
Director
|
Grant | 31.9K | - |
| May 22, 2025 | Gloria R Boyland
Director
|
Grant | 31.9K | - |
| May 22, 2025 | Reid G Hoffman
Director
|
Grant | 31.9K | - |
| May 22, 2025 | Claire D'Oyly-Hughes Johnson
Director
|
Grant | 31.9K | - |
| May 20, 2025 | Christopher Urmson, PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 12.6K | - |
| May 12, 2025 | Christopher Urmson, PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 5.0M | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
AUR stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.