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As of September 11, 2026, Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) trades at $6.46. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $6.46, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $12.00 across 13 analysts. RSI at 54 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $6.32.
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR)
Aurora Innovation Inc. NASDAQ
$6.46
0.1250 (1.97%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
71 / 100
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is currently trading at $6.455, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($6.32 and $5.40), signaling positive short-term momentum. The company's revenue growth has been exceptional, projected to increase by over 400% this year and over 1100% next year, driven by advancements in autonomous driving technology. Despite these impressive top-line projections, AUR is not yet profitable, with a negative EPS of -0.45 and a negative net profit margin. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus, with a median price target of $12, suggesting substantial upside potential. A significant factor influencing the stock's insider activity is the a parent-company divestiture verdict, where Uber Technologies, Inc. has been systematically reducing its stake. The company's focus on developing and deploying autonomous vehicle technology positions it in a rapidly evolving market, but the path to profitability remains a critical hurdle. Insiders are net sellers with $1,171.1M in total sales versus $2.5M in total purchases in recent filings. However, 91% of total selling ($950.9M) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by UBER TECHNOLOGIES, INC, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $99.7M.
AUR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$6.49
Day Range
$6.38 to $6.71
Prev Close
$6.33
Volume
2.22M
52-Week Range
$3.60 to $8.57
Market Cap
$12.69B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs RXI
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, AUR trades at 2,537.26x, far above the sector average of 4.20x.
AUR Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+85.90% Upside
Median of 13 analysts (12-month)
$12.00
AI Technical Analysis
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) exhibits neutral momentum with an RSI of 54.17, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($6.32 and $5.40). The stock is also positioned above its 20-day EMA ($6.23), indicating a generally positive short-term trend. MACD is currently at -0.01, suggesting a lack of strong directional conviction. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be found near recent highs. Trading volume has been significantly below average recently, down 91.5%, which may limit the potential for sharp price movements in the immediate term. The overall chart structure suggests a consolidation phase following recent upward movement, with investors awaiting clearer signals on profitability and sustained revenue expansion.
ProTips
- Given the significant parent company divestiture by Uber Technologies, Inc., investors should closely monitor any further strategic shifts or capital allocation decisions impacting Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR).
- With trading volume significantly below average, investors should be aware that price movements may be less liquid and potentially more volatile on lower volume days.
- The company's substantial revenue growth projections require careful scrutiny against its ability to achieve profitability. Investors should focus on cash burn rate and capital expenditure plans.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is expected to see revenue growth of over 400% this year and over 1100% next year, driven by advancements in autonomous driving technology.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Positive Analyst Consensus and Price Target
The median analyst price target for AUR is $12, representing an 85.9% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus rating from 13 analysts.
Source: Wall Street SummaryNeutral
Parent Company Stake Reduction
Uber Technologies, Inc. is systematically reducing its stake in AUR as part of a corporate restructuring, which accounts for the majority of insider selling.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Continued Net Losses
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) continues to report negative EPS across all recent quarters, indicating ongoing profitability challenges despite strong revenue growth.
Source: Earnings RecentMarket Outlook
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is positioned for significant revenue expansion over the next 1-2 years, with projections indicating growth exceeding 400% and 1100% respectively. The company's 'Buy' consensus rating and a median analyst price target of $12 suggest a bullish outlook, implying an 85.9% upside from the current price. This optimism is driven by the potential of its autonomous driving technology to capture a substantial share of a rapidly growing market. However, the path to profitability remains the most significant hurdle. Investors will closely monitor AUR's ability to scale its operations efficiently and reduce its net loss. Key catalysts for upside include successful commercial deployments of its technology and strategic partnerships that accelerate market penetration. Conversely, a failure to demonstrate a clear path to positive earnings, increased competition, or regulatory setbacks could challenge the current bullish sentiment and lead to a re-evaluation of its valuation.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 12.69B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.4500 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 8.57 |
| 52 Week Low | 3.60 |
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is currently valued with a negative EPS of -0.45, making traditional P/E ratio analysis inapplicable. The company's revenue growth is exceptionally high, with current year estimates at $15 million, representing a 400% increase year-over-year, and next year's estimates soaring to $22.5 million, a projected 1130% growth. This rapid top-line expansion, however, comes at the cost of profitability, as indicated by the negative EPS. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the substantial revenue growth suggests significant investment in its autonomous driving technology. Compared to sector averages, AUR's revenue growth is vastly superior to the sector's 10.0% average. However, its profitability metrics are far below the sector's average ROE of 15.0% and a positive PE ratio. The current valuation, while supported by high growth expectations, carries significant risk due to the lack of current profitability and the substantial capital required to scale autonomous vehicle technology.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) most recently reported an EPS of -0.14 for the quarter ending July 29, 2026, missing the analyst estimate of -0.12 by 16.67%, which resulted in a 4.35% price increase. Prior to this, the company had a mixed earnings performance, with a beat in the May 2026 quarter (-0.11 actual vs. -0.12 estimate) and consistent beats in the prior two quarters of 2025. Despite these recent earnings results, the company continues to operate at a loss, with negative EPS across all reported quarters.
Key Risks
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) faces significant risks related to its path to profitability, as evidenced by its consistent negative EPS and the substantial capital required for autonomous vehicle development. The company's high revenue growth is not yet translating into positive earnings, creating a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met or if capital becomes scarce. Also, the ongoing divestiture of a large stake by its parent company, Uber Technologies, Inc., while framed as a restructuring, introduces uncertainty regarding strategic alignment and potential future capital flows.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 54.17 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.01 |
| SMA 50 | 6.32 |
| SMA 200 | 5.40 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($6.316) above the 200-day SMA ($5.405), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
AUR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$6.326
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$6.455
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$5.835
MAX LOSS
-7.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (54.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$6.642
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$6.958
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$7.275
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
AUR is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.31%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AUR in May 2021 would be worth about $6,330 today, compared with about $18,133 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AUR today could grow to about $8,393 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $63,677 and a bear case around $1,106. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AUR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $6.02 for AUR by 2030 in the base case, from $6.46 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.67. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AUR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.34 | $6.34 | $12.04 |
| 2028 | $2.52 | $6.23 | $15.43 |
| 2029 | $2.02 | $6.12 | $18.58 |
| 2030 | $1.67 | $6.02 | $21.68 |
| 2031 | $1.41 | $5.91 | $24.78 |
| 2032 | $1.21 | $5.81 | $27.92 |
| 2033 | $1.05 | $5.71 | $31.11 |
| 2034 | $0.916 | $5.61 | $34.37 |
| 2035 | $0.8064 | $5.51 | $37.70 |
| 2036 | $0.7141 | $5.42 | $41.10 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AUR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
AUR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.5M
3 Transactions
Sold
$1.1B
10 Transactions
Insiders
15
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$81.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | UBER TECHNOLOGIES, INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 67.5M | $479.3M |
| Aug 17, 2026 | UBER TECHNOLOGIES, INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 72.0M | $471.6M |
| May 18, 2026 | HOFFMAN REID G
Director
|
Sell | 5.8M | $45.5M |
| Nov 8, 2024 | HOFFMAN REID G
Director
|
Sell | 4.9M | $27.5M |
| Aug 17, 2026 | VOLPI MICHELANGELO A
Director
|
Sell | 2.8M | $19.9M |
| Nov 5, 2024 | HOFFMAN REID G
Director
|
Sell | 3.7M | $19.5M |
| Nov 15, 2024 | HOFFMAN REID G
Director
|
Sell | 3.1M | $17.0M |
| Nov 12, 2024 | HOFFMAN REID G
Director
|
Sell | 2.5M | $13.7M |
| Aug 10, 2026 | VOLPI MICHELANGELO A
Director
|
Sell | 1.9M | $13.3M |
| Aug 13, 2026 | VOLPI MICHELANGELO A
Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $10.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Aurora Innovation Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is currently trading at $6.455 per share. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with a median price target of $12.
What is Aurora Innovation Inc.'s revenue growth outlook?
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is projected to experience substantial revenue growth, with current year estimates at $15 million (400% YoY) and next year's estimates reaching $22.5 million (1130% YoY).
Is Aurora Innovation Inc. profitable?
No, Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) is not currently profitable. The company reported a negative EPS of -0.45 for the latest period, indicating ongoing losses.
What is the significance of Uber Technologies' stake reduction in Aurora Innovation Inc.?
Uber Technologies, Inc. has been reducing its stake in Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) as part of a corporate restructuring. While this represents a significant divestiture of $950.9 million, it is characterized as a parent company divestiture rather than a bearish signal from AUR's management.
What are the key technical indicators for Aurora Innovation Inc. stock?
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) shows neutral momentum with an RSI at 54.2. The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($6.32 and $5.40), suggesting positive short-term trends, though recent trading volume has been notably low.
What are the main risks facing Aurora Innovation Inc.?
The primary risks for Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) include its lack of profitability, the high capital requirements for autonomous vehicle technology development, and potential valuation concerns if growth targets are not met. The ongoing parent company stake reduction also introduces a degree of uncertainty.
What is Aurora Innovation Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Aurora Innovation Inc.'s (AUR) stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $6.02, a downside projection of $1.67, and an upside projection of $21.68. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.