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Head-to-head · Stock vs Stock
ConocoPhillips vs Occidental Petroleum
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COP vs OXY: the verdict
How COP and OXY compare today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
The verdict
CleaRank Financial AI favours
OXY
COP
OXY
76/100
AI score
82/100
+72.0%
1-year change
+50.5%
22.3%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
25.6%
77.3
RSI (14-day)
67.8
20.0x
P/E ratio
N/A
2.22%
Dividend yield
1.62%
The verdict
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) comes out ahead on CleaRank's model, scoring 82/100 (Strong Buy) against 76/100 (Buy) for ConocoPhillips (COP). The scores are close, and no single factor separates them by much.
Key difference
Size is the plainest contrast here. COP carries a market value of $181.8B, while OXY's is $64.0B.
Outlook
COP's uptrend holds while it stays above its 50-day average at $134.56 and its 200-day at $120.25. OXY's uptrend holds while it stays above its 50-day average at $59.94 and its 200-day at $55.67.
Price, side by side
Both prices start at 0% on the first day of the period you pick, so the moves compare directly.
Rebased price
-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+19%+13%
Oct '26
0%+10%+20%+30%+31%+17%
Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
-10%0%+10%+20%+24%+12%
May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
0%+20%+40%+60%+72%+51%
Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
-40%-20%0%+20%+40%+36%+11%
Sep '24Feb '25Jul '25Dec '25May '26Oct '26
Over 1 year: COP gained 72.0% and OXY gained 50.5%, a gap of 21.4 points in COP's favour.
Valuation and profitability
What each costs relative to its earnings and sales, and how much of its revenue it keeps.
Side by side
Valuation
Lower multiples mean you pay less for each dollar of earnings or sales.
COP
OXY
$181.8B
Market cap
$64.0B
20.0x
P/E ratio
N/A
2.8x
Price / sales
3.0x
2.8x
Price / book
1.9x
7.3x
EV / EBITDA
6.1x
Profitability
How much of each dollar of revenue becomes profit, and how hard the capital works.
COP
OXY
+36.8%
Revenue growth (quarter, y/y)
+25.7%
14.4%
Net margin
33.7%
14.2%
Return on equity
10.6%
7.5%
Return on assets
4.7%
0.36
Debt / equity
0.35
On valuation
COP's P/E is broadly in line with peers, against an Energy median of 18.4. On sales, OXY is valued higher, at 2.96 times against 2.81. COP is the larger company, worth $181.8B against $64.0B.
On profitability
OXY keeps more of its sales as profit, with a net margin of 33.74% against 14.40%. COP earns the higher return on equity, 14.18% against 10.63%. In the latest quarter, year on year, revenue grew 36.83% at COP and grew 25.74% at OXY. COP has a trailing dividend yield of 2.22%. OXY has a trailing dividend yield of 1.62%.
Earnings reality check
COP
COP beat the estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports (latest Aug '26); the shares fell the next session after 4 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Feb '25Aug '25Feb '26Aug '26
OXY
OXY beat the estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports (latest May '26); the shares fell the next session after 1 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Nov '24May '25Nov '25May '26
Momentum and sentiment
The indicators behind each AI score, side by side.
Indicators side by side
COP
OXY
76/100
AI score
82/100
77.3
RSI (14-day)
67.8
+12.5%
Price against 50-day average
+6.9%
+25.9%
Price against 200-day average
+15.1%
Technicals
COP is in an uptrend, trading 12.49% above its 50-day average and 25.88% above its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 77.3, in the overbought zone, with the MACD line positive. OXY is in an uptrend, trading 6.89% above its 50-day average and 15.09% above its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 67.8, in the bullish zone, with the MACD line positive. COP sits higher in its 52-week range, at 98% against 88% for OXY.
Sentiment
Of the 28 analysts covering COP, 19 rate it buy, 8 hold and 1 sell; their median target is $150.00, 0.9% below the price. Of the 27 analysts covering OXY, 12 rate it buy, 15 hold and 0 sell; their median target is $70.00, 9.3% above the price.
Risk and practical tips
How much each moves, how much return each has paid for that risk, and what to watch if you hold either.
Risk measures
COP
OXY
22.3%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
25.6%
0.24
Beta against the S&P 500
0.25
0.46
Sharpe ratio
0.19
Risk
They move about the same on an average day, 2.00% for COP and 2.07% for OXY. Against the S&P 500, COP has a beta of 0.24 and OXY 0.25. Their worst falls in the price history were 65.8% for COP (October 2018 to March 2020) and 87.6% for OXY (June 2018 to October 2020). OXY has had the deeper worst fall; on the other measures we track the two are close.
ProTips
- For COP, watch the 52-week high at $152.77 above the price and the 20-day EMA at $140.70 below it.
- For OXY, watch the 52-week high at $67.45 above the price and the 20-day EMA at $61.29 below it.
COP vs OXY: long-term scenarios
Simulated paths from each price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Simulated growth of $10,000
$20K$40K$60K$80K$100K$107K$95.5K$23.1K$12.6K
202620282030203220342036
COP
OXY
$5,021
Downside, 2036 (10th)
$1,659
$23,130
Base case, 2036 (median)
$12,585
$106,564
Upside, 2036 (90th)
$95,479
In the median simulated path, $10,000 in COP grows to about $23,100 and $10,000 in OXY to about $12,600 by 2036. The paths come from each asset's own historical volatility and trend; they are statistical outcomes, not forecasts.
Trade plans for both
Entry, stop and target levels from each moving average and its volatility. Educational, not advice.
Actionable Trade Plans
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
3%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
COP
Current: $151.37
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$143.80
Aggressive
$151.37
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$139.49
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$158.94
+10% from current
$166.51
+15% from current
$174.08
OXY
Current: $64.07
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$60.87
Aggressive
$64.07
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$59.04
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$67.27
+10% from current
$70.48
+15% from current
$73.68
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
The content is for educational purposes only. The verdict weighs trend, valuation and risk together. Trading involves risk of loss. Note: The AI favored OXY based on price momentum, on today's data.
COP vs OXY: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which is better, COP or OXY?+
On CleaRank's model OXY scores higher, 82/100 (Strong Buy) against 76/100 (Buy) for COP. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
Which has performed better over the past year, COP or OXY?+
COP has done better: its price rose 71.95% over the past year, while OXY rose 50.51%.
Which pays more income, COP or OXY?+
COP offers the higher dividend yield, 2.22% against 1.62% for OXY. Yield is the annual payout divided by the share price, so it moves whenever either of those moves.
Which is riskier, COP or OXY?+
OXY has had the deeper worst fall; on the other measures we track the two are close. Average daily move: 2.00% for COP, 2.07% for OXY. Beta against the S&P 500: 0.24 for COP, 0.25 for OXY. Worst fall in the price history: 65.8% for COP, 87.6% for OXY.
Which has stronger momentum right now, COP or OXY?+
COP has the higher 14-day RSI, 77.3 (overbought) against 67.8 (bullish) for OXY. Both MACD lines are positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
Which is the bigger company, COP or OXY?+
COP is the bigger company by market value, at $181.8B against $64.0B for OXY.
What do analysts say about COP and OXY?+
COP has 19 buy ratings out of 28 analysts, and its median target sits 0.9% below the price. OXY has 12 buy ratings out of 27, with a median target 9.3% above the price.
How would $10,000 have grown in COP or OXY?+
Invested in October 2016, $10,000 would be worth $45,793 today in COP and $11,364 in OXY.
Which is closer to its 52-week high, COP or OXY?+
COP is nearer its high: it trades 0.92% below its 52-week high of $152.77. OXY sits 5.01% below its own high of $67.45.