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As of September 10, 2026, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) trades at $126.04. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $140.00, 11.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $175.00 across 22 analysts. RSI at 9 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $149.02.
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)
The TJX Companies, Inc. NYSE
$126.04
-0.0850 (-0.07%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is currently trading at $126.12, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($149.02 and $154.53), indicating a bearish short-term trend. Despite this, the stock exhibits an extremely oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 8.79, suggesting a potential for a technical bounce. Wall Street sentiment remains positive with a consensus 'Buy' rating from 22 analysts, a score of 76, and a median price target of $175.00, implying an upside of 38.8%. The company has a history of beating earnings estimates, with the most recent quarter showing a 14.29% EPS surprise. However, insider activity shows a 'NET SELLER' stance with $215.1M in total sales versus $380K in total purchases, signaling moderate insider selling pressure.
TJX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$126.37
Day Range
$125.55 to $126.87
Prev Close
$126.12
Volume
29.8K
52-Week Range
$125.81 to $170.00
Market Cap
$139.33B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XRT
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-6% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
TJX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, TJX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
TJX Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+38.85% Upside
Median of 22 analysts (12-month)
$175.00
AI Technical Analysis
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $149.02 and its 200-day SMA of $154.53, indicating a bearish trend over the medium to long term. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at an extremely oversold 8.79, suggesting a potential for a short-term reversal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -6.63, further reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume has been slightly below its average, with the latest volume at 8.37 million compared to an average of 8.51 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current trend, but the oversold RSI could provide a floor for a near-term bounce.
ProTips
- Consider the significant insider selling of over $43.9 million as a cautionary signal, despite the oversold technical conditions.
- The stock's extremely oversold RSI of 8.79 suggests a potential for a short-term technical bounce, but confirmation from price action above key moving averages is needed.
- With a dividend yield of 1.44%, TJX may appeal to income-focused investors, though the current price action and insider selling warrant careful consideration of entry points.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) exhibits an extremely oversold RSI of 8.79, indicating a high probability of a short-term technical bounce and potential reversal from current price levels.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Analyst Price Targets
The median analyst price target for TJX is $175.00, representing an upside of 38.8% from the current price of $126.12, suggesting Wall Street sees significant value appreciation potential.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold a net of approximately $43.9 million in TJX stock, indicating a lack of strong conviction from management and potentially signaling headwinds.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Bearish Technical Trend
TJX is trading below its 50-day SMA ($149.02) and 200-day SMA ($154.53), indicating a bearish trend and potential for further price declines if support levels are breached.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) faces a mixed outlook, with a current price of $126.12 suggesting potential for a rebound from oversold conditions, supported by a median Wall Street price target of $175.00. The company's consistent earnings beats and a positive analyst consensus provide a foundation for recovery. However, the bearish technical trend, with prices below key moving averages, and significant insider selling present headwinds. Future performance will likely depend on the company's ability to translate its operational successes into renewed price momentum and overcome the current negative technical signals.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 139.33B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.04 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.40 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.44% |
| 52 Week High | 170.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 125.81 |
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 24.04, which is slightly below the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting a relatively fair valuation compared to peers. The company's reported revenue growth of 5.4% is below the sector average of 10.0%, indicating a slower growth trajectory. While the P/E ratio is not excessively high, the below-average revenue growth and the current price action below key moving averages suggest that the market may be pricing in slower future growth or increased competition. The company's profitability, as indicated by its EPS of $5.4, appears solid, but the current valuation does not offer a significant discount given the growth profile.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat earnings per share (EPS) estimates. In the most recent quarter ending August 19, 2026, the company reported an EPS of $1.36, exceeding the estimate of $1.19 by 14.29%, although the stock experienced a 2.64% decline. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, with EPS actuals exceeding estimates by 4.38% and 17.82% respectively, though these also coincided with minor stock price pullbacks. This pattern suggests that while the company is operationally sound, market reactions to earnings may be mixed or influenced by broader market sentiment.
Key Risks
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with over $43.9 million in sales against minimal purchases, indicating a lack of strong internal conviction. The stock's current trading position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($149.02 and $154.53) signals a bearish technical trend, potentially exposing it to further downside if momentum continues. Additionally, the company's revenue growth of 5.4% lags behind the sector average of 10.0%, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining market share or expanding at a faster pace.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 8.79 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.63 |
| SMA 50 | 149.02 |
| SMA 200 | 154.53 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $149.02, 200-day: $154.53), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 8.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.17
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
TJX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$124.77
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$126.04
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$120.66
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (8.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$128.52
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$131.01
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$134.76
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for TJX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TJX in September 2016 would be worth about $33,383 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TJX today could grow to about $25,808 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $74,973 and a bear case around $8,884. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TJX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $184 for TJX by 2030 in the base case, from $126 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $93.81. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TJX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $98.90 | $139 | $194 |
| 2028 | $94.56 | $152 | $245 |
| 2029 | $93.40 | $168 | $300 |
| 2030 | $93.81 | $184 | $362 |
| 2031 | $95.25 | $202 | $430 |
| 2032 | $97.45 | $223 | $509 |
| 2033 | $100 | $245 | $597 |
| 2034 | $104 | $269 | $698 |
| 2035 | $108 | $296 | $814 |
| 2036 | $112 | $325 | $945 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TJX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TJX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$4.2K
2 Transactions
Sold
$43.9M
14 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | MEYROWITZ CAROL M
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 216.6K | $11.3M |
| Mar 2, 2018 | MEYROWITZ CAROL M
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 132.3K | $11.1M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 67.6K | $10.7M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | MEYROWITZ CAROL M
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 55.6K | $9.1M |
| Nov 21, 2025 | HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 54.4K | $8.2M |
| Dec 28, 2020 | CANESTRARI KENNETH D
Officer
|
Sell | 116.6K | $7.9M |
| Nov 26, 2019 | HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 127.3K | $7.7M |
| Aug 29, 2023 | MEYROWITZ CAROL M
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 64.8K | $5.9M |
| Aug 20, 2021 | MEYROWITZ CAROL M
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 72.5K | $5.4M |
| Jun 3, 2026 | CANESTRARI KENNETH D
Officer
|
Sell | 31.4K | $5.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) stock a buy right now?
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is currently rated as a Hold. While the stock is oversold with a very low RSI at 8.8 and analysts have a median price target of $175.00 suggesting significant upside, the price is trading below key moving averages and insiders have been net sellers.
What is TJX's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has a base case price projection of $184.28 for 2030, with a downside price of $93.88 and an upside price of $361.75. These are statistical outcomes, not definitive price targets.
What is the dividend yield for TJX stock?
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.44%, with a dividend rate of $1.81.
How does TJX's valuation compare to its sector averages?
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has a P/E ratio of approximately 24.04, which is slightly below the sector average P/E of 25.5. However, its revenue growth of 5.4% is below the sector average of 10.0%.
What is the current analyst consensus for TJX stock?
The current Wall Street consensus for TJX is 'Buy', with 22 analysts covering the stock. This includes 5 Strong Buys, 13 Buys, and 4 Holds, resulting in a Wall Street score of 76 out of 100.
What are the key risks facing The TJX Companies, Inc.?
Key risks for TJX include moderate insider selling totaling over $43.9 million, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below key moving averages, and revenue growth that lags the sector average.
Has TJX beaten earnings estimates recently?
Yes, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters. The latest quarter showed a 14.29% EPS surprise, though the stock saw a minor pullback.