Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
TJX Cos Inc (TJX)
- Market cap
- $158.07B
- P/E
- 26.61
- Dividend yield
- 1.26%
- Street target
- $175.00median of 22 analysts
- 52-week range
- $122.78 $170.00
TJX stock forecast today
Where TJX stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
TJX at a glance
TJX Cos Inc (TJX): Hold, 57/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($136.22 and $151.53).
- Earnings TJX beat estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 5 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $41.8M and bought $4K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 26.6 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a premium to peers (+28%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
TJX Cos Inc (TJX) carries a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 57/100.
The analysts' outlook is the biggest lift, since 18 of 22 analysts rate the stock a buy and the median target is 21.8% above the price. Valuation weighs on it most. The P/E of 26.61 is 27.9% above the sector median, a premium to peers, and the P/S of 2.56 is 34.7% above the sector median. The trend is mixed: the stock trades 5.49% above its 50-day average of $136.22 but 5.17% below its 200-day average of $151.53. Over the past year the price rose 1.26%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from TJX's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
TJX stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $143.70 is 5.5% above the 50-day simple moving average of $136.22.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 5.2% below the 200-day simple moving average of $151.53.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($136.22) is 10.1% below the 200-day average ($151.53), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 44% of its 52-week range, between $122.78 and $170.00.
TJX share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far TJX has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where TJX sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
TJX fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 26.61 is 27.9% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.56 is 34.7% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $6.1B on revenue of $62.4B, a net margin of 9.7%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
TJX beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.26%, or $1.81 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for TJX.
As of October 26, 2026, TJX trades at $143.70, with a market value of $158.07B, a P/E ratio of 26.61 and a dividend yield of 1.26%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of TJX's valuation, growth and risks.
TJX's trailing P/E of 26.61 is 29.1% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8, and the peer comparison on this page labels that a premium to peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.56 is 34.7% above the sector median of 1.9. With a market capitalisation of $158.1B, the company reports trailing earnings of $5.40 per share.
The company keeps 9.73% of each sales dollar as net profit and posts an operating margin of 10.91%. Its return on equity of 62.17% sits above the sector median of 12.4%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 1.34, and the trailing dividend yield of 1.26% works out to $1.81 a share each year.
TJX's latest report, released on August 19, 2026, beat the estimate by 14.29%, coming in at $1.36 a share versus a $1.19 forecast. Despite the beat, the shares dropped 2.64% in the next session.
TJX has beaten the EPS estimate in all 8 of its recent reports; even so, 5 of those 8 beats were followed by a lower share price the next session. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $5.25, which would be growth of 10.9%, and $5.77 for next year (growth of 10.0%).
At a P/E of 26.61, which is 27.9% above the sector median, TJX is a premium to peers, so any weaker results would face a higher bar. TJX's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 1.30%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.56. The price sits 15.47% below the 52-week high of $170.00. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $41.8M and bought $4K. Insider sales of this kind are often arranged ahead of time, so they tell less than open-market purchases would.
TJX against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How TJX compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: TJX trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+28%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, TJX has gained 9.5% against a gain of 30.3% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
TJX and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much TJX sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to April 30, 2026); TJX reported again on August 19, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 7.1% in FY2026 to $60.4B, from $56.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 9.1% in FY2026, up from 8.6% the year before.
Profitable: TJX earned $5.5B in FY2026.
Earnings reality check
Did TJX beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: TJX beat the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 5 of those 8 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026after close | $1.19 | $1.36 | +14.29% | -2.64% | -5.31% |
| May 20, 2026after close | $1.01 | $1.19 | +17.82% | -1.10% | -2.71% |
| Feb 25, 2026after close | $1.38 | $1.58 | +14.49% | +1.84% | +3.79% |
| Nov 19, 2025after close | $1.22 | $1.28 | +4.92% | +1.55% | +5.02% |
| Aug 20, 2025after close | $1.01 | $1.10 | +8.91% | -0.55% | -0.75% |
| May 21, 2025after close | $0.91 | $0.92 | +1.10% | -1.11% | -3.02% |
| Feb 26, 2025after close | $1.17 | $1.23 | +5.13% | -1.12% | -1.48% |
| Nov 20, 2024after close | $1.10 | $1.14 | +3.64% | +0.03% | +5.53% |
As of October 26, 2026, TJX has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 5 of those beats; its latest report, on August 19, 2026, came in 14.29% above the estimate and the stock moved -2.64% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
TJX AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 58.5, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 58.5 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of TJX
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
TJX Cos Inc (TJX) shows a mixed trend. The stock is priced at $143.70, which is 5.49% above its 50-day average of $136.22, yet it sits 5.17% below its 200-day average of $151.53. Because the 50-day average is 10.11% below the 200-day, the recovery has not yet pushed through the longer-run averages. Over the past year, the price is 17.04% above the 52-week low of $122.78 and 15.47% below the 52-week high of $170.00.
The short and long run tell different stories for TJX. Over the past month the price rose 10.49%, yet over the past three months it fell 8.11%, and over the past year it rose 1.26%. The 14-day RSI sits at 58.5, in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
Analyst downgrade ›
Jefferies downgraded it to Hold from Buy on August 26, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Jefferies, August 26, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The August 19, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 14.29%, and the share price fell 2.64% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 19, 2026New analyst coverage ›
Wolfe Research started coverage at Peer Perform on October 22, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Wolfe Research, October 22, 2026
- The two levels closest to the price matter most: the 200-day SMA at $151.53 overhead and the 20-day EMA at $141.56 underneath.
- The 14-day RSI stands at 58.5, in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price fell 2.64% in the first session after the August 19, 2026 report. Across the last 8 reports, TJX beat estimates every time.
The trend is mixed: TJX is above its 50-day average at $136.22 but below its 200-day average at $151.53. A close above the 200-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 50-day would turn both down. The nearest levels are the 20-day EMA at $141.56 below and the 200-day SMA at $151.53 above.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for TJX, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with TJX at $143.70, its 14-day RSI is 58.5 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $136.22 and its 200-day is $151.53.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What TJX moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, TJX's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.17 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.08 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.04 with gold (XAU).
TJX price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
18 of 22 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $175.00 is 21.8% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
18 of 22 rate it a buy now, against 19 of 21 three months ago.
TJX Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 20, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 20, 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy |
As of October 26, 2026, 22 Wall Street analysts cover TJX: 18 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $136.00 to $198.00. The median TJX price target is $175.00, 21.8% above the price of $143.70.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
TJX trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
TJX trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from TJX's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much TJX tends to move, against the market and on its own.
TJX price history and drawdowns
TJX's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.30% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 35.3%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by December 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
84% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $45,142, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
TJX Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, TJX's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -35.3% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by December 2020, 9 months after the low, and 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into TJX in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: TJX beat the S&P 500 over this period: $45,142 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in TJX in October 2016 would be worth about $45,142 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to TJX, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +6.39%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -3.71%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.03%, up in 2 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, TJX's strongest calendar month has been November (average +6.39%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -3.71%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
TJX stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in TJX, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in TJX today could grow to about $14,194 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $27,904 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,220. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.26% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TJX Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $204 for TJX by 2030 in the base case, from $144 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $104. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TJX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $112 | $157 | $220 | |
| 2028 | $106 | $171 | $276 | |
| 2029 | $104 | $187 | $336 | |
| 2030 | $104 | $204 | $401 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of TJX's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
TJX insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
TJX insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $4K on the open market and sold $41.8M.
As of October 26, 2026, TJX insiders reported 13 open-market sales worth $41.8M and 2 open-market purchases worth $4K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Sell | 957 | $161.3K |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Sell | 10.9K | $1.8M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Carol M Meyrowitz
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 55.6K | $9.1M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Rosemary T Berkery
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | David T Ching
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | C Kim Goodwin
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 67.6K | $10.7M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | John Klinger
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.2K | $1.0M |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Grant | 34.1K | - |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Kenneth D Canestrari
Officer
|
Sell | 31.4K | $5.0M |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Grant | 30.5K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Kenneth D Canestrari
Officer
|
Grant | 53.9K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 212.1K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | John Klinger
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 32.6K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Carol M Meyrowitz
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 94.1K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Douglas W Mizzi
Officer
|
Grant | 56.2K | - |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Kenneth D Canestrari
Officer
|
Grant | 6.3K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Jose B Alvarez
Director
|
Buy | 4 | $734 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $4.8M |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Jose B Alvarez
Director
|
Buy | 26 | $3.5K |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 54.4K | $8.2M |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Sell | 500 | $75.7K |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Sell | 1.5K | $208.8K |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Sell | 1.2K | $164.5K |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Rosemary T Berkery
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | David T Ching
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | C Kim Goodwin
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Sell | 950 | $121.7K |
| May 22, 2025 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Sell | 4.1K | $535.0K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
TJX stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.