Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)
- Market cap
- $162.06B
- P/E
- 26.53
- Dividend yield
- 1.23%
- Street target
- $175.00median of 22 analysts
- 52-week range
- $122.78 $170.00
The short version
Where TJX stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
TJX at a glance
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX): Buy, 61/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($137.39 and $151.79).
- Earnings TJX beat estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 5 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $41.8M and bought $4K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 26.5 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a premium to peers (+28%).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) a Buy, with a model score of 61/100.
Analysts lift that score the most: 18 of 22 rate the stock a buy, and the median target is 18.8% above the price. Valuation pulls it down the most, with a P/E of 26.53 that sits 27.5% above the sector median P/E (a premium to peers) and a P/S of 2.55 that is 34.2% above the sector median P/S. The trend is mixed. TJX trades 7.24% above its 50-day average of $137.39 but 2.94% below its 200-day average of $151.79. Over the past year, the price climbed 3.35%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from TJX's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
2/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $147.33 is 7.2% above the 50-day simple moving average of $137.39.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 2.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $151.79.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($137.39) is 9.5% below the 200-day average ($151.79), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 52% of its 52-week range, between $122.78 and $170.00.
TJX share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far TJX has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where TJX sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 26.53 is 27.5% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.55 is 34.2% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $6.1B on revenue of $62.4B, a net margin of 9.7%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
TJX beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.23%, or $1.81 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for TJX.
As of October 17, 2026, TJX trades at $147.33, with a market value of $162.06B, a P/E ratio of 26.53 and a dividend yield of 1.23%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of TJX's valuation, growth and risks.
At a trailing P/E of 26.53, TJX is valued against a Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8, a gap of 27.5% above the sector median P/E. The peer comparison on this page gives the P/E verdict as a premium to peers. The price-to-sales ratio of 2.55 is 34.2% above the sector median P/S of 1.9. TJX has a market capitalisation of $162.1B and trailing earnings of $5.45 per share.
TJX is growing more slowly than its sector: revenue rose 5.40% in the latest year, while the sector median is 7.2%. The company converts sales into profit at a net margin of 9.73% and an operating margin of 10.91%. Its return on equity of 62.17% is above the sector median of 12.4%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity stands at 1.34, and the trailing dividend yield is 1.23%, equal to $1.81 paid per share each year.
TJX's latest report, dated August 19, 2026, beat the estimate by 14.29%: adjusted EPS came in at $1.36 against a $1.19 estimate. Even so, the stock fell 2.64% in the following session.
TJX has beaten the EPS estimate in all 8 of its recent reports; even so, 5 of those 8 beats were followed by a lower share price the next session. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $5.25, which would be growth of 11.0%, and $5.77 for next year (growth of 10.0%).
TJX's P/E of 26.53 sits 27.5% above the sector median, which places the stock at a premium to peers and means that weaker results would face a higher bar. The 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns is 1.41%. Insiders sold $41.8M over the last 18 months and bought $4K. Sales of this kind are often planned in advance, so they carry less weight than purchases would.
TJX against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How TJX compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: TJX trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+28%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs SPY: Since May 6, 2025, TJX has gained 14.7% against a gain of 36.6% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
TJX and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much TJX sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 7.1% in FY2026 to $60.4B, from $56.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 9.1% in FY2026, up from 8.6% the year before.
Profitable: TJX earned $5.5B in FY2026.
Earnings reality check
Did TJX beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: TJX beat the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 5 of those 8 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026after close | $1.19 | $1.36 | +14.29% | -2.64% | -5.31% |
| May 20, 2026after close | $1.01 | $1.19 | +17.82% | -1.10% | -2.71% |
| Feb 25, 2026after close | $1.38 | $1.58 | +14.49% | +1.84% | +3.79% |
| Nov 19, 2025after close | $1.22 | $1.28 | +4.92% | +1.55% | +5.02% |
| Aug 20, 2025after close | $1.01 | $1.10 | +8.91% | -0.55% | -0.75% |
| May 21, 2025after close | $0.91 | $0.92 | +1.10% | -1.11% | -3.02% |
| Feb 26, 2025after close | $1.17 | $1.23 | +5.13% | -1.12% | -1.48% |
| Nov 20, 2024after close | $1.10 | $1.14 | +3.64% | +0.03% | +5.53% |
As of October 17, 2026, TJX has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 5 of those beats; its latest report, on August 19, 2026, came in 14.29% above the estimate and the stock moved -2.64% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 74.8, in overbought territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 74.8 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of TJX
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
TJX, The TJX Companies, Inc., shows a mixed trend: at $147.33 the stock is 7.24% above its 50-day average of $137.39, yet 2.94% below its 200-day average of $151.79. The 50-day average is 9.49% below the 200-day, a sign that the recent recovery has yet to reach the longer-run averages. Over the past year, the price sits 20.00% above the 52-week low of $122.78 and 13.34% below the 52-week high of $170.00.
Momentum is running hot: the 14-day RSI sits at 74.8, in the overbought zone, and the MACD line is positive. The short and long views disagree, though. Over the past month the price climbed 19.94%, while over the past three months it slipped 4.62%. Across the past year it still managed to rise 3.35%.
Earnings beat ›
The August 19, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 14.29%, and the share price fell 2.64% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 19, 2026
Analyst downgrade ›
Jefferies downgraded it to Hold from Buy on August 26, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Jefferies, August 26, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
Citigroup downgraded it to Neutral from Buy on August 20, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Citigroup, August 20, 2026
- The two closest levels to watch are the 200-day SMA at $151.79, which sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $138.05, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 74.8 places the reading in the overbought zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- TJX fell 2.64% in the first session after its August 19, 2026 report, even though it has beaten estimates in 8 of the last 8 reports.
TJX presents a mixed trend. The price sits above its 50-day average of $137.39 but under its 200-day average of $151.79. Should the price close above the 200-day, both signals would point up; a close below the 50-day would flip both to down. Looking at nearby levels, the 20-day EMA at $138.05 lies beneath the price, and the 200-day SMA at $151.79 lies above it.
The RSI is stretched above the overbought line, so a cooling of momentum would not be unusual even inside the uptrend.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for TJX, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with TJX at $147.33, its 14-day RSI is 74.8 (overbought territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $137.39 and its 200-day is $151.79.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What TJX moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, TJX's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.30 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.19 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.08 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.01 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
18 of 22 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $175.00 is 18.8% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
18 of 22 rate it a buy now, against 19 of 21 three months ago.
TJX Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 20, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 20, 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 17, 2026, 22 Wall Street analysts cover TJX: 18 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $136.00 to $198.00, with a median of $175.00, 18.8% above the price of $147.33.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
TJX trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from TJX's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much TJX tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
TJX's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.41% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 34.8%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by December 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
84% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $46,194, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
TJX Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, TJX's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -34.8% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by December 2020, 9 months after the low, and 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into TJX in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: TJX beat the S&P 500 over this period: $46,194 against $42,055.
A $10,000 investment in TJX in October 2016 would be worth about $46,194 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to TJX, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +6.69%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -2.80%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.32%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, TJX's strongest calendar month has been November (average +6.69%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.80%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in TJX, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TJX today could grow to about $24,140 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $70,248 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,295. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.23% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TJX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $210 for TJX by 2030 in the base case, from $147 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $107. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TJX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $115 | $161 | $226 | |
| 2028 | $109 | $176 | $283 | |
| 2029 | $107 | $192 | $345 | |
| 2030 | $107 | $210 | $412 | |
| 2031 | $108 | $229 | $487 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of TJX's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
TJX insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: Insiders bought $4K on the open market and sold $41.8M.
As of October 17, 2026, TJX insiders reported 13 open-market sales worth $41.8M and 2 open-market purchases worth $4K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Sell | 957 | $161.3K |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Sell | 10.9K | $1.8M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Carol M Meyrowitz
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 55.6K | $9.1M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Rosemary T Berkery
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | David T Ching
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | C Kim Goodwin
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Grant | 802 | - |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 67.6K | $10.7M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | John Klinger
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.2K | $1.0M |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Grant | 34.1K | - |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Kenneth D Canestrari
Officer
|
Sell | 31.4K | $5.0M |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Grant | 30.5K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Kenneth D Canestrari
Officer
|
Grant | 53.9K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 212.1K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | John Klinger
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 32.6K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Carol M Meyrowitz
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 94.1K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Douglas W Mizzi
Officer
|
Grant | 56.2K | - |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Kenneth D Canestrari
Officer
|
Grant | 6.3K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Jose B Alvarez
Director
|
Buy | 4 | $734 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $4.8M |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Jose B Alvarez
Director
|
Buy | 26 | $3.5K |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Ernie L Herrman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 54.4K | $8.2M |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Sell | 500 | $75.7K |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Sell | 1.5K | $208.8K |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Sell | 1.2K | $164.5K |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Rosemary T Berkery
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | David T Ching
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | C Kim Goodwin
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Jackwyn L Nemerov
Director
|
Grant | 957 | - |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Amy Beth Lane
Director
|
Sell | 950 | $121.7K |
| May 22, 2025 | Peter Benjamin
Officer
|
Sell | 4.1K | $535.0K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.