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As of October 11, 2026, Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) trades at $20.33. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $10.00, 50.8% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $41.50 across 16 analysts. RSI at 18 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $23.01.
Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY)
Galaxy Digital Inc. NASDAQ
$20.33
0.2450 (1.22%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) is currently trading at $20.33, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($23.01 and $24.82), signaling a bearish trend. The company's fundamental picture is concerning, with a negative EPS of -0.85 and a reported net profit margin of -0.42%, indicating losses. Despite a generally positive sentiment from Wall Street analysts, who collectively rate the stock a 'Buy' with a median price target of $41.50, the overwhelming insider selling activity presents a substantial risk. The company's revenue growth has also contracted by 3.8% year-over-year, further dimming the near-term outlook.
GLXY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$20.83
Day Range
$19.81 to $20.95
Prev Close
$20.08
Volume
3.85M
52-Week Range
$16.43 to $45.92
Market Cap
$11.98B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+186%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
GLXY Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, GLXY beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
GLXY Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Volume behavior for Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) has been below average, with the latest volume at 3.85 million compared to an average of 4.87 million, a decrease of 20.9%. The stock's momentum has turned bearish, as indicated by its RSI value of 18.36, which is in oversold territory and suggests potential for further declines. GLXY is trading below its key moving averages, including the 50-day SMA ($23.01) and the 200-day SMA ($24.82), reinforcing the current downtrend. Key support levels are being tested, and a break below them could lead to further price depreciation.
ProTips
- Given the heavy insider selling totaling over $569 million, investors should exercise extreme caution and monitor future insider transactions closely.
- The stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($23.01 and $24.82) with an oversold RSI, suggesting potential for further downside pressure in the short term.
- Consider the company's high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.87 and negative profit margins when assessing its financial stability and risk profile.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $569.3 million worth of stock, significantly outweighing total purchases of $1.9 million, indicating a strong lack of confidence from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Negative Earnings and Profitability
Galaxy Digital reported a negative EPS of -0.85 for the trailing twelve months and a net profit margin of -0.42%, signaling ongoing losses and financial strain.
Source: Company FinancialsBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $41.50, suggesting a potential upside of over 100% from the current price.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Projected Revenue Growth
Analysts forecast significant revenue growth for Galaxy Digital, with an estimated 58.8% increase for next year, potentially signaling a recovery from recent sales contractions.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesMarket Outlook
The outlook for Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) is cautiously bearish in the near term, despite a strong 'Buy' consensus from Wall Street analysts. The median price target of $41.50 suggests significant upside potential, but this is heavily contradicted by the company's ongoing losses, negative EPS, and substantial insider selling. A potential catalyst for a turnaround could be the projected revenue growth of 58.8% for next year, but this hinges on the company's ability to improve its profitability and manage its debt. The current oversold technical conditions might offer a short-term bounce, but the fundamental and insider selling headwinds present a significant barrier to sustained recovery.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 3.96B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.8500 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 45.92 |
| 52 Week Low | 16.43 |
Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) exhibits a concerning fundamental profile, with a negative EPS of -0.85 and a net profit margin of -0.42%, indicating the company is currently loss-making. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at a low 0.21, which, while seemingly attractive, is overshadowed by the negative profitability. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.87, suggesting significant leverage. While the sector median P/E is 16.50, GLXY's P/E is not applicable due to its negative earnings, highlighting a valuation disconnect if profitability does not improve.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) reported mixed earnings results in its most recent quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS of -0.09, significantly beating the estimated -0.28 and resulting in a 67.86% surprise, which led to a 2.49% price increase. However, prior quarters showed a pattern of misses or smaller beats, with the March 2026 quarter reporting an EPS of -0.48 against an estimate of -0.94. The current year's estimated EPS is -0.82714, indicating continued losses.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) is the heavy insider selling, with over $569 million in sales versus only $1.9 million in purchases, signaling a lack of confidence from management. The company's negative EPS and profit margin, coupled with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.87, present considerable financial risk. Also, the stock is trading significantly below its key moving averages, with an oversold RSI, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 18.36 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.79 |
| SMA 50 | 23.01 |
| SMA 200 | 24.82 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $23.01, 200-day: $24.82), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 18.4 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.51
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.55
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.68
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with GLXY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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GLXY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$20.74
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$20.33
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$22.71
MAX LOSS
-9.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (18.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$19.70
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$18.66
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$17.63
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
GLXY is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.52%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in GLXY in May 2025 would be worth about $8,917 today, compared with about $13,103 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GLXY today could grow to about $16,625 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $126,130 and a bear case around $2,191. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GLXY Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $24.91 for GLXY by 2030 in the base case, from $20.33 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $6.92. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GLXY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $11.27 | $21.39 | $40.60 |
| 2028 | $9.09 | $22.51 | $55.70 |
| 2029 | $7.80 | $23.68 | $71.84 |
| 2030 | $6.92 | $24.91 | $89.75 |
| 2031 | $6.26 | $26.21 | $110 |
| 2032 | $5.74 | $27.58 | $133 |
| 2033 | $5.33 | $29.02 | $158 |
| 2034 | $4.98 | $30.53 | $187 |
| 2035 | $4.70 | $32.12 | $220 |
| 2036 | $4.46 | $33.80 | $256 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GLXY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
GLXY Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.9M
5 Transactions
Sold
$569.3M
21 Transactions
Insiders
15
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$22.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | NOVOGRATZ MICHAEL E
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.0M | $108.0M |
| Oct 10, 2025 | GALAXY GROUP INVESTMENTS LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.5M | $89.2M |
| Jun 9, 2025 | GALAXY GROUP INVESTMENTS LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.4M | $79.3M |
| Jun 9, 2025 | NOVOGRATZ MICHAEL E
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 4.4M | $79.3M |
| May 29, 2025 | GALAXY GROUP INVESTMENTS LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.4M | $61.0M |
| May 29, 2025 | NOVOGRATZ MICHAEL E
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.4M | $61.0M |
| Oct 10, 2025 | FERRARO CHRISTOPHER CHARLES
President
|
Sell | 750.0K | $27.0M |
| May 29, 2025 | FERRARO CHRISTOPHER CHARLES
President
|
Sell | 1.3M | $22.6M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | BROWN ERIN ELIZABETH
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 350.0K | $9.4M |
| May 22, 2026 | DAFFEY MICHAEL DAVID
Director
|
Sell | 250.0K | $7.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Galaxy Digital Inc. stock a buy right now?
Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) is currently rated a 'Sell' with a consensus score of 21 out of 100. Despite a 'Buy' rating from Wall Street analysts and a median price target of $41.50, heavy insider selling and negative fundamental metrics suggest significant downside risk.
What is Galaxy Digital Inc.'s price target for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Galaxy Digital Inc.'s (GLXY) projected base case price for 2030 is $24.91, with a downside projection of $6.92. These figures are statistical outcomes and not guarantees.
How did Galaxy Digital Inc. perform in its latest earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) reported an EPS of -0.09, beating the estimated -0.28 by 67.86% and leading to a 2.49% stock price increase. However, the company continues to post negative earnings.
What are the main risks facing Galaxy Digital Inc.?
Key risks for Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) include substantial insider selling totaling over $569 million, negative EPS and profit margins, and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.87. The stock is also trading below critical moving averages, indicating a bearish technical outlook.
How does Galaxy Digital Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) operates in the Financial Services sector. While its price-to-sales ratio of 0.21 is lower than the sector median of 3.80, its negative EPS and profit margin contrast sharply with the sector's positive median ROE of 13.80% and revenue growth of 11.70%.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Galaxy Digital Inc. stock?
Wall Street analysts have a consensus rating of 'Buy' for Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY), with 5 Strong Buys, 9 Buys, and 2 Holds among 16 analysts. The median price target is $41.50, suggesting over 100% upside from the current price.
What is the outlook for Galaxy Digital Inc.'s revenue growth?
Galaxy Digital Inc.'s (GLXY) revenue growth has contracted by 3.8% year-over-year. Analysts project revenue to grow by 95.9% in the next quarter and 58.8% in the next year, indicating an expected turnaround from recent declines.