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As of September 11, 2026, lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) trades at $96.88. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $105.00, 8.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $105.00 across 35 analysts. RSI at 34 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $117.48.
lululemon athletica inc. (LULU)
lululemon athletica inc. NASDAQ
$96.88
-2.840 (-2.85%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
46 / 100
At $96.88, Lululemon Athletica Inc. is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($117.48 and $151.80), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's revenue growth has turned negative at -4.3%, and recent earnings reports show significant price drops following EPS beats, suggesting market skepticism despite operational performance. Insiders have been net sellers, offloading $9.9 million in stock versus $2 million in purchases, further contributing to a cautious sentiment. The stock's current valuation, with a P/E ratio of 7.97, is below the sector median of 20.8, but this is overshadowed by the negative growth outlook and insider activity. Key risks include intensifying competition in the athletic apparel market and potential shifts in consumer spending habits, which could further pressure sales and profitability. LULU competes with Nike (NKE) and Adidas (ADS) in the global sportswear market.
LULU Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$98.71
Day Range
$95.67 to $99.62
Prev Close
$99.72
Volume
7.86M
52-Week Range
$95.67 to $225.98
Market Cap
$10.73B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-62%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LULU Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, LULU beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LULU Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+8.38% Upside
Median of 35 analysts (12-month)
$105.00
AI Technical Analysis
With an RSI of 33.59, Lululemon Athletica Inc. exhibits bearish momentum, indicating a potential for further downside. The stock is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing a bearish trend. Current price action shows the stock below its 50-day SMA of $117.48 and its 200-day SMA of $151.80. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 7.86 million compared to an average of 11.12 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind current price movements. The MACD is also negative, further supporting the bearish technical outlook. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the downward trend, but the current price action suggests a lack of immediate upward momentum.
ProTips
- Given the negative revenue growth and insider selling, consider a more conservative position size or waiting for clearer signs of a turnaround before increasing exposure to Lululemon.
- The stock's RSI is below 40, indicating bearish momentum. Monitor for any signs of a bullish divergence or a break above key resistance levels like the 50-day SMA ($117.48) before considering long positions.
- With a P/E ratio significantly below the sector average, Lululemon might appeal to value investors. However, the negative revenue growth and insider selling warrant a significant dive into the company's long-term strategy and competitive positioning.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $9.9 million in stock versus $2 million in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Negative Revenue Growth
Lululemon reported a -4.3% revenue growth, and current estimates project further declines for upcoming quarters, signaling significant business headwinds.
Source: Company Filings & Analyst EstimatesBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock's RSI is 33.59, and it is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($117.48 and $151.80), suggesting continued downward price pressure.
Source: Technical Analysis DataNeutral
Mixed Earnings Performance
While the latest quarter beat EPS estimates significantly, the stock price declined sharply, highlighting investor focus on revenue and future guidance over past performance.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
The base case for Lululemon Athletica Inc. over the next 6-12 months suggests continued pressure, with its median analyst price target at $105.00, implying limited upside from the current $96.88. The company's negative revenue growth and bearish technical indicators point towards a challenging period ahead. Forward-looking revenue estimates indicate continued contraction, with the current year projected to see a -6.00% growth and next year flat at +0.00%. Upside catalysts would require a significant turnaround in consumer demand, successful product innovation, or a shift in market sentiment towards value stocks. Downside risks include persistent negative sales trends, increased competition from brands like Nike (NKE) and Adidas (ADS), and potential further insider selling.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 10.73B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 7.97 |
| EPS (TTM) | 12.15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 225.98 |
| 52 Week Low | 95.67 |
Lululemon Athletica Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 7.97, significantly below the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation on earnings. However, this is tempered by a reported revenue growth of -4.3%, contrasting with the sector's median revenue growth of 6.7%. The company's net profit margin, implied by its EPS of $12.15 on a price of $96.88, is positive but the negative revenue growth raises concerns about future profitability. While the P/E ratio appears low, it may reflect market concerns about the company's growth prospects rather than a significant value opportunity. Competitors like Nike (NKE) and Adidas (ADS) also face market pressures, but LULU's recent performance warrants careful consideration of its fundamental trajectory.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lululemon Athletica Inc. recently reported an EPS of $2.92 for the quarter ending September 3, 2026, significantly beating the estimate of $1.79 by 63.13%. Despite this strong earnings beat, the stock experienced a sharp decline of 17.38%, indicating that market sentiment may be more focused on forward guidance and revenue trends than past performance. Prior quarters show mixed results, with a beat in March 2026 ($0.07 vs $0.05) followed by a significant miss in March 2026 (-$0.97 vs -$3.78), and a slight beat in June 2026 ($1.69 vs $1.68). The recent negative revenue growth of -4.3% and projected further declines in upcoming quarters suggest that the company is facing headwinds that outweigh its ability to meet earnings expectations.
Key Risks
Lululemon Athletica Inc. faces significant risks stemming from its negative revenue growth and a moderate insider selling signal, with insiders selling $9.9 million in stock. The stock's bearish technical momentum, evidenced by its RSI of 33.59 and trading below key moving averages, suggests potential for further price depreciation. Additionally, the sharp stock price drop following a recent earnings beat highlights market concerns about future performance and guidance, indicating that the company may struggle to regain investor confidence in the near term.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.59 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -4.47 |
| SMA 50 | 117.48 |
| SMA 200 | 151.80 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $117.48, 200-day: $151.80), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
LULU Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$95.91
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$96.88
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$89.20
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$98.79
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$100.71
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$103.58
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
LULU is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.01%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LULU in September 2016 would be worth about $14,679 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LULU today could grow to about $16,946 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $92,006 and a bear case around $3,121. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LULU Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $120 for LULU by 2030 in the base case, from $96.88 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $41.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LULU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $59.81 | $102 | $174 |
| 2028 | $50.52 | $108 | $229 |
| 2029 | $44.93 | $113 | $287 |
| 2030 | $41.03 | $120 | $349 |
| 2031 | $38.12 | $126 | $417 |
| 2032 | $35.85 | $133 | $493 |
| 2033 | $34.03 | $140 | $577 |
| 2034 | $32.53 | $148 | $671 |
| 2035 | $31.28 | $156 | $775 |
| 2036 | $30.24 | $164 | $891 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LULU's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LULU Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.0M
3 Transactions
Sold
$9.9M
5 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2018 | ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 10.0M | $1.2B |
| Jan 11, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.6M | $340.1M |
| Jan 30, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.9M | $272.2M |
| Feb 14, 2018 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.8M | $211.0M |
| Jan 15, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 444.4K | $62.4M |
| Apr 6, 2020 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 258.6K | $50.0M |
| Mar 28, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 288.9K | $45.0M |
| Aug 22, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 164.1K | $30.0M |
| Apr 20, 2020 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 135.8K | $30.0M |
| Sep 9, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 145.9K | $29.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Lululemon stock a buy right now?
Lululemon (LULU) is currently rated as a Hold by Wall Street consensus, with a median price target of $105.00, implying an 8.4% upside from the current price of $96.88. However, the stock exhibits bearish technical momentum and negative revenue growth, alongside insider selling, suggesting caution is warranted.
What is Lululemon's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Lululemon's stock price forecast for 2030 shows a base case of $119.63, with a downside projection of $41.03 and an upside projection of $348.79. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What are the biggest risks facing Lululemon?
The primary risks for Lululemon include negative revenue growth, a moderate insider selling signal indicating potential lack of confidence, and bearish technical momentum suggesting further price declines. Intensifying competition and shifts in consumer spending also pose significant threats.
How does Lululemon's valuation compare to its sector?
Lululemon's P/E ratio of 7.97 is significantly lower than the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8. However, this lower valuation is accompanied by negative revenue growth, contrasting with the sector's positive median revenue growth of 6.7%.
What is the current sentiment from Wall Street analysts on Lululemon?
Wall Street analysts hold a mixed view on Lululemon, with a consensus rating of Hold. Out of 35 analysts, 29 rate the stock as Hold, 4 as Sell, 1 as Strong Sell, 1 as Buy, and 0 as Strong Buy, reflecting a predominantly cautious outlook.
What was Lululemon's most recent earnings performance?
In its most recent report for the quarter ending September 3, 2026, Lululemon reported an EPS of $2.92, beating estimates by 63.13%. However, the stock price fell 17.38% on the news, suggesting that forward guidance and revenue trends are a greater concern for investors.
Are insiders buying or selling Lululemon stock?
Insiders are net sellers of Lululemon stock, with total sales of $9.9 million compared to total purchases of $2 million in recent filings. This moderate sell signal suggests a cautious sentiment among company management.