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As of October 10, 2026, lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) trades at $94.50. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $94.50, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $100.00 across 35 analysts. RSI at 31 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $109.43.
lululemon athletica inc. (LULU)
lululemon athletica inc. NASDAQ
$94.50
1.820 (1.96%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
At $94.50, Lululemon Athletica Inc. is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($109.43 and $142.03), signaling a bearish trend. The stock's RSI is at 30.94, indicating bearish momentum and oversold conditions, which could precede a bounce but suggests underlying weakness. Recent earnings have shown EPS beats, notably a 63.13% surprise in the quarter to September 2026, but this has not translated into positive price action, with the stock falling 17.38% following that report. Forward revenue estimates also show a declining trend, with the current year projected to decrease by 6.00% and next year by 1.00%. Insider activity reveals a moderate sell signal, with total sales of $9.9 million versus $2 million in purchases, indicating a net seller stance. While the company has a strong profit margin of 12.78% and return on equity of 30.90%, its current valuation at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.98 is below the sector median of 1.9, suggesting it is trading at a discount. However, the negative revenue growth and bearish technicals present significant near-term risks, overshadowing the attractive valuation and strong profitability metrics.
LULU Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$92.88
Day Range
$91.67 to $94.63
Prev Close
$92.68
Volume
3.39M
52-Week Range
$90.38 to $225.98
Market Cap
$10.95B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-63%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LULU Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, LULU beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LULU Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+5.82% Upside
Median of 35 analysts (12-month)
$100.00
AI Technical Analysis
With an RSI of 30.94, Lululemon exhibits bearish momentum, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce but indicating overall weakness in the trend. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($109.43) and 200-day SMA ($142.03), confirming a bearish trend. MACD is also negative at -4.36, further supporting the bearish outlook. Key support levels are being tested, and the current price action suggests a downward trajectory. Volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction in the current move, but the overall technical picture points to further downside pressure. Investors should monitor the 50-day SMA as a potential resistance level on any upward movement.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for any signs of revenue stabilization or growth, as this is a key factor for Lululemon's future performance.
- Given the bearish technicals and insider selling, consider waiting for a confirmed bullish reversal pattern before initiating new long positions.
- As Lululemon's revenue growth is projected to decline, investors should assess the company's ability to maintain profitability and manage costs effectively in a challenging market.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $9.9 million worth of stock versus purchasing $2 million, indicating a net seller stance and a moderate sell signal, which could pressure the stock price.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($109.43 and $142.03), with a bearish RSI of 30.94, suggesting continued downward pressure.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Projected Revenue Contraction
Forward revenue estimates indicate a decline for the current year (-6.00%) and next year (-1.00%), posing a significant risk to future growth.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Strong EPS Beat in Latest Quarter
Lululemon reported a significant EPS beat of 63.13% in the quarter to September 2026, demonstrating operational efficiency despite broader revenue challenges.
Source: Earnings ReportNeutral
Median Analyst Target Price Suggests Modest Upside
The median analyst target price of $100.00 implies a 5.8% upside from the current price, indicating some analyst confidence in a potential recovery.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Lululemon anticipates a challenging period ahead, with the stock potentially trading around its current fair value of $94.50 in the short term, given the bearish technicals and insider selling. However, the median analyst target price of $100.00 suggests a modest upside of 5.8%, implying that some analysts see potential for a recovery. Upside catalysts could emerge if the company demonstrates a turnaround in revenue growth and reverses the negative trend in forward estimates. A significant shift in insider sentiment towards buying, or a strong positive reaction to upcoming earnings reports, could also alter the trajectory. Conversely, continued revenue contraction, further insider selling, or a failure to break the bearish technical pattern could push the stock towards its downside projection of $40.93.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 10.95B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 7.76 |
| EPS (TTM) | 12.15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 225.98 |
| 52 Week Low | 90.38 |
Lululemon trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.98, which is below the sector median of 1.9, indicating a potential valuation discount. Its profit margin stands at a strong 12.78% and return on equity at 30.90%, demonstrating efficient operations and profitability. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 is also within a reasonable range compared to the sector average of 0.45. Despite these favorable fundamental metrics, the company faces headwinds with a projected revenue decline of 6.00% for the current year and 1.00% for the next. This negative revenue growth, coupled with a moderate sell signal from insider transactions, raises concerns about future performance and may explain the current bearish sentiment despite attractive valuation multiples.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lululemon recently reported a significant EPS beat for the quarter to September 2026, with actual EPS of $2.92 exceeding estimates by 63.13%. However, this strong earnings performance was met with a sharp price decline of 17.38%, suggesting that the market is not rewarding the company's earnings beats. Prior quarters also showed mixed results, with a beat in the quarter to March 2026 and a slight beat in the quarter to June 2026, but the overall trend in EPS estimates for the current and next year is negative.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Lululemon is the declining revenue growth, with projections indicating a contraction for the current and next fiscal years. Additionally, insider selling activity, totaling $9.9 million in sales versus $2 million in purchases, signals a moderate sell-off from management, suggesting a lack of confidence in near-term prospects. The bearish technical indicators, including RSI below 40 and prices below key moving averages, also point to potential further downside.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 30.94 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -4.36 |
| SMA 50 | 109.43 |
| SMA 200 | 142.03 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $109.43, 200-day: $142.03), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LULU? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
LULU Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$96.39
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$94.50
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$101.74
MAX LOSS
-5.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$91.57
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$86.75
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$81.93
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
LULU is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.70%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LULU in October 2016 would be worth about $16,347 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LULU today could grow to about $17,969 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $97,749 and a bear case around $3,303. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LULU Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $119 for LULU by 2030 in the base case, from $94.50 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $40.93. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LULU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $58.65 | $100 | $171 |
| 2028 | $49.82 | $106 | $227 |
| 2029 | $44.55 | $113 | $285 |
| 2030 | $40.93 | $119 | $349 |
| 2031 | $38.24 | $127 | $420 |
| 2032 | $36.17 | $134 | $499 |
| 2033 | $34.53 | $142 | $588 |
| 2034 | $33.20 | $151 | $687 |
| 2035 | $32.11 | $160 | $799 |
| 2036 | $31.22 | $170 | $924 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LULU's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LULU Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.0M
3 Transactions
Sold
$9.9M
5 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2018 | ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 10.0M | $1.2B |
| Jan 11, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.6M | $340.1M |
| Jan 30, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.9M | $272.2M |
| Feb 14, 2018 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.8M | $211.0M |
| Jan 15, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 444.4K | $62.4M |
| Apr 6, 2020 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 258.6K | $50.0M |
| Mar 28, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 288.9K | $45.0M |
| Aug 22, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 164.1K | $30.0M |
| Apr 20, 2020 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 135.8K | $30.0M |
| Sep 9, 2019 | WILSON DENNIS J
Director
|
Sell | 145.9K | $29.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Lululemon's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Lululemon's stock price is projected to be $119.47 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $40.93, while the upside projection reaches $348.71. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Lululemon stock a buy right now?
Lululemon is currently rated as a Sell with a consensus score of 21. The stock is trading below key moving averages, exhibiting bearish momentum, and insiders are net sellers. While valuation appears attractive, the negative revenue growth and technical weakness suggest caution.
What is Lululemon's current analyst target price?
The median analyst target price for Lululemon is $100.00, suggesting an upside of 5.8% from the current price of $94.50. This target is based on the consensus of 35 analysts covering the stock.
How did Lululemon perform in its most recent earnings report?
In the quarter to September 2026, Lululemon reported an EPS surprise of 63.13%, with actual EPS of $2.92 beating the estimate of $1.79. Despite this strong beat, the stock price fell 17.38% following the announcement.
What are the main risks facing Lululemon?
Key risks include declining revenue growth projections, significant insider selling activity, and bearish technical indicators. These factors suggest potential headwinds for the stock in the near to medium term.
How does Lululemon's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Lululemon's price-to-sales ratio of 0.98 is below the sector median of 1.9, indicating it trades at a discount. Its profit margin of 12.78% and ROE of 30.90% are strong, but projected revenue declines temper the valuation appeal.
What is the overall Wall Street sentiment towards Lululemon?
Wall Street sentiment is largely neutral, with a consensus rating of 'Hold' from 35 analysts. The consensus score is 46 out of 100, with the majority of analysts rating the stock as 'Hold'.