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As of September 10, 2026, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) trades at $20.84. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $26.00, 24.8% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $26.00 across 10 analysts. RSI at 19 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $24.15.
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)
Hormel Foods Corporation NYSE
$20.84
-0.1300 (-0.62%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is currently trading at $20.84, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($24.15 and $23.42), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company's consensus rating is Hold, supported by a Wall Street score of 63 and a median analyst price target of $26.00, suggesting a potential upside of 24.8%. Recent earnings have shown slight beats, with the latest quarter reporting EPS of $0.37 against an estimate of $0.35. However, revenue growth has been negative, with the current quarter expected to remain flat year-over-year. Despite the oversold technical conditions, the stock faces headwinds from moderate insider selling and a neutral stance from a majority of Wall Street analysts. The company's forward revenue estimates show minimal growth for the upcoming quarters and the current year. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in analyst sentiment for potential catalysts.
HRL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$21.00
Day Range
$20.75 to $21.02
Prev Close
$20.97
Volume
4.10M
52-Week Range
$19.70 to $26.60
Market Cap
$11.47B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+35%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
HRL Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+24.76% Upside
Median of 10 analysts (12-month)
$26.00
AI Technical Analysis
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($24.15 and $23.42), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 18.85, classifying it as oversold, which could suggest a potential for a short-term bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also negative at -0.95, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downward trend, but the oversold RSI suggests that significant downside may be limited in the immediate term. Trading volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction from either buyers or sellers. The current price action points towards continued weakness unless a significant catalyst emerges to reverse the trend.
ProTips
- Investors should monitor Hormel Foods Corporation's (HRL) ability to reignite revenue growth, as current projections show minimal expansion.
- The stock's oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but the underlying bearish trend and insider selling warrant caution.
- Given the current valuation premium and moderate insider selling, consider a more conservative position size until a clear bullish catalyst emerges.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent EPS Beats
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has a track record of beating analyst EPS estimates, as seen in the latest quarter's $0.37 actual vs $0.35 estimate.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold $953.6K worth of stock versus $0 in purchases, indicating a lack of strong buying conviction.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Stagnant Revenue Growth
Current revenue growth is negative (-2.9%), and forward estimates project flat to minimal year-over-year growth for upcoming quarters and the current year.
Source: Revenue EstimatesNeutral
Attractive Dividend Yield
The stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.61%, which may appeal to income-focused investors.
Source: Dividend DataMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) over the next 6-12 months suggests limited upside, with the median analyst target price at $26.00. The current oversold technical conditions may provide a short-term floor, but the lack of strong revenue growth and a premium valuation present headwinds. The company's ability to maintain its dividend yield of 5.61% will be a key factor for income-focused investors. Potential catalysts for a positive shift include a significant improvement in revenue growth, a more favorable valuation compared to peers, or a change in insider sentiment. Conversely, continued stagnation in sales, increased competition within the packaged foods sector, or a broader market downturn could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the downside projection of $11.34.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 11.47B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.38 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.6100 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.61% |
| 52 Week High | 26.60 |
| 52 Week Low | 19.70 |
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) exhibits a P/E ratio of 34.38, which is above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting it is trading at a premium relative to its peers. Its earnings per share (EPS) stands at $0.61. The company's revenue growth has been negative at -2.9%, and forward estimates project minimal growth for the current and next quarters, with only a 1.00% growth expected for the current year. While the company has a history of beating earnings estimates, the lack of strong revenue growth and a higher-than-average P/E ratio present valuation concerns. The dividend yield is 5.61%, offering some income to investors, but the overall fundamental picture suggests limited upside potential without a significant improvement in sales or a more attractive valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings per share estimates in recent quarters. The most recent report on August 27, 2026, showed an EPS of $0.37, exceeding the estimate of $0.35 by 5.71%, and the stock saw a positive price change of 1.36%. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, though price reactions varied. Despite these EPS beats, the company's revenue growth has been stagnant, with current estimates projecting flat year-over-year growth for the current quarter.
Key Risks
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) faces risks associated with its premium valuation relative to sector averages, as indicated by its P/E ratio of 34.38 compared to the sector average of 25.5. Moderate insider selling, with $953.6K in total sales versus $0 in purchases, suggests a lack of strong conviction from management. Also, the company's negative revenue growth and minimal forward projections present a challenge to future earnings expansion.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 18.85 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.95 |
| SMA 50 | 24.15 |
| SMA 200 | 23.42 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($24.15) above the 200-day SMA ($23.42), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 18.9 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.09
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.28
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
HRL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$20.63
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$20.84
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$19.93
MAX LOSS
-3.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (18.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$21.25
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$21.66
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$22.28
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for HRL is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in HRL in September 2016 would be worth about $5,747 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HRL today could grow to about $9,957 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $25,981 and a bear case around $3,816. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HRL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $20.80 for HRL by 2030 in the base case, from $20.84 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $11.34. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HRL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $15.38 | $20.83 | $28.21 |
| 2028 | $13.56 | $20.82 | $31.97 |
| 2029 | $12.31 | $20.81 | $35.19 |
| 2030 | $11.34 | $20.80 | $38.16 |
| 2031 | $10.55 | $20.79 | $40.97 |
| 2032 | $9.89 | $20.79 | $43.69 |
| 2033 | $9.31 | $20.78 | $46.35 |
| 2034 | $8.81 | $20.77 | $48.97 |
| 2035 | $8.36 | $20.76 | $51.57 |
| 2036 | $7.95 | $20.75 | $54.14 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HRL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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HRL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$953.6K
3 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$317.9K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | LEITCH GLENN R
Officer
|
Sell | 140.0K | $6.6M |
| Jan 9, 2020 | VORPAHL LARRY L
Officer
|
Sell | 146.8K | $6.6M |
| Jun 8, 2020 | MARCO LORI J
General Counsel
|
Sell | 109.1K | $5.2M |
| Mar 5, 2021 | LEITCH GLENN R
Officer
|
Sell | 87.0K | $4.1M |
| Sep 3, 2020 | MARCO LORI J
General Counsel
|
Sell | 64.1K | $3.3M |
| Sep 9, 2020 | BRADY DEANNA T
Officer
|
Sell | 52.6K | $2.7M |
| Jun 22, 2020 | LEITCH GLENN R
Officer
|
Sell | 51.8K | $2.5M |
| Mar 19, 2020 | DAY THOMAS R
Officer
|
Sell | 46.2K | $2.3M |
| May 28, 2021 | SHEEHAN JAMES N
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 39.6K | $1.9M |
| Jun 8, 2020 | SPLINTER JAMES M
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $1.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Hormel Foods Corporation's current stock price?
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is currently trading at $20.84 as of September 10, 2026.
Is Hormel Foods Corporation stock a buy right now?
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is rated Hold by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 63. While the stock is technically oversold, its premium valuation and moderate insider selling suggest caution, making it not an immediate buy.
What is the median analyst price target for HRL stock?
The median analyst price target for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is $26.00, indicating a potential upside of 24.8% from its current price of $20.84.
How has Hormel Foods Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report showing an EPS of $0.37 versus an estimate of $0.35. However, revenue growth has been flat to negative.
What are the key risks for Hormel Foods Corporation?
Key risks for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) include its premium valuation compared to sector peers, moderate insider selling, and stagnant revenue growth projections.
What is Hormel Foods Corporation's dividend yield?
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.61%.
What is the long-range projection for Hormel Foods Corporation stock?
The long-range projection for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) in 2030 shows a base case price of $20.80, with a downside projection of $11.34 and an upside projection of $38.16, based on Monte Carlo simulations.