Stock·NASDAQ·Technology
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM)
- Market cap
- $23.71B
- P/E
- 88.15
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $313.00median of 9 analysts
- 52-week range
- $71.64 $319.94
The short version
Where TSEM stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
TSEM at a glance
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM): Sell, 21/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($225.97 and $202.10).
- Earnings TSEM beat estimates in 7 of its last 7 quarters, yet fell the next day after 5 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $60.0M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 88.2 against 35.1 for the Technology sector: a premium to peers (+151%).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) is currently trading at $198.49, below its 50-day SMA of $225.97 and 200-day SMA of $202.10, signaling a bearish trend.
The company's recent earnings reports have shown positive EPS surprises, with the most recent available quarter in May 2026 beating estimates by 16.07%. However, this positive operational performance is overshadowed by significant insider selling, with $60 million in sales across recent filings, leading to a heavy insider selling. This substantial insider divestiture raises concerns about management's near-term confidence in the stock's valuation. Despite the bearish technicals and insider activity, Wall Street analysts maintain a largely positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $313.00, implying an upside of 57.7%. Analysts also project strong revenue growth of 26.00% for the current year and 38.00% for the next year, with earnings per share expected to grow significantly. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 16.94% and a return on equity of 9.98%, which are competitive within the semiconductor sector, though its P/E ratio of 88.15 is significantly higher than the sector median of 35.1.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from TSEM's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
2/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $198.49 is 12.2% below the 50-day simple moving average of $225.97.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 1.8% below the 200-day simple moving average of $202.10.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($225.97) is 11.8% above the 200-day average ($202.10), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 51% of its 52-week range, between $71.64 and $319.94.
TSEM share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far TSEM has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where TSEM sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 88.15 is 151.1% above the Technology median of 35.1.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 13.87 is 82.5% above the sector median of 7.6.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $289.6M on revenue of $1.7B, a net margin of 16.9%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
TSEM beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for TSEM.
As of October 16, 2026, TSEM trades at $198.49, with a market value of $23.71B and a P/E ratio of 88.15.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of TSEM's valuation, growth and risks.
Tower Semiconductor's valuation appears stretched, with a P/E ratio of 88.15 significantly exceeding the sector median of 35.1.
While the company reports a healthy profit margin of 16.94% and a return on equity of 9.98%, its price-to-sales ratio of 13.87 is also considerably higher than the sector average of 7.6. This suggests that the market is pricing in substantial future growth. The company's balance sheet appears strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, well below the sector average. However, the high P/E ratio, especially in light of the current bearish technicals and heavy insider selling, raises questions about the stock's current entry point. The projected revenue growth of 26.00% for the current year and 38.00% for the next year, along with strong EPS growth estimates, supports a bullish long-term view, but the current valuation may limit near-term upside.
TSEM against the Technology sector
How TSEM compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: TSEM trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+151%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs XLK: Since May 6, 2025, TSEM has gained 453.5% against a gain of 73.7% for XLK.
Performance against XLK
TSEM and the Technology sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much TSEM sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 9.1% in FY2025 to $1.6B, from $1.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 14.0% in FY2025, down from 14.4% the year before.
Profitable: TSEM earned $219M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did TSEM beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: TSEM beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 7 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 5 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026after close | $0.56 | $0.65 | +16.07% | +3.66% | -2.32% |
| Feb 11, 2026after close | $0.68 | $0.78 | +14.71% | -0.64% | -6.38% |
| Nov 10, 2025after close | $0.54 | $0.55 | +1.85% | +1.71% | -2.78% |
| Aug 4, 2025after close | $0.45 | $0.50 | +11.11% | -1.67% | -9.12% |
| May 14, 2025after close | $0.38 | $0.45 | +18.42% | -0.19% | -2.75% |
| Feb 10, 2025after close | $0.53 | $0.59 | +11.32% | -2.51% | +2.43% |
| Nov 13, 2024after close | $0.53 | $0.57 | +7.55% | -4.38% | -3.66% |
Reports after May 13, 2026 are not yet in our data.
As of October 16, 2026, TSEM has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 5 of those beats; its most recent report in our data, on May 13, 2026, came in 16.07% above the estimate and the stock moved +3.66% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 38.4, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 38.4 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of TSEM
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Tower Semiconductor's technicals indicate a bearish trend, with the stock trading below its 50-day SMA ($225.97) and 200-day SMA ($202.10).
The 14-day RSI is at 38.43, signaling bearish momentum, and the MACD is negative at -3.24. The stock's price is also below its 20-day EMA ($223.43), reinforcing the downward pressure. The current price action suggests that the moving averages are acting as resistance. The bearish momentum indicated by the RSI and MACD, coupled with the low volume, points towards potential further downside. Investors should monitor key support levels, though the immediate trend suggests caution.
Positive Earnings Surprises ›
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, with the most recent available quarter showing a 16.07% surprise, suggesting strong operational performance.
Source: Earnings ReportsStrong Analyst Price Targets and Growth Estimates ›
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $313.00 and project significant revenue and EPS growth for the coming years.
Source: Wall Street Analyst Data
Bearish Technical Trend ›
Tower Semiconductor is trading below its 50-day SMA ($225.97) and 200-day SMA ($202.10), with bearish momentum indicated by the 14-day RSI (38.43) and negative MACD.
Source: Technical Analysis Data
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($225.97 and $202.10), suggesting a bearish trend. Consider waiting for a confirmed break above these resistance levels before initiating or adding to a long position.
- With a P/E ratio of 88.15, significantly higher than the sector median, TSEM appears to be trading at a premium. Monitor future earnings reports and guidance closely to ensure growth justifies the current valuation.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for TSEM, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with TSEM at $198.49, its 14-day RSI is 38.4 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $225.97 and its 200-day is $202.10.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What TSEM moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, TSEM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.50 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.58 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.20 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.12 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
8 of 9 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $313.00 is 57.7% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
8 of 9 rate it a buy now, against 4 of 5 three months ago.
TSEM Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $198.49, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Mizuho | Initiates | Outperform |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Stifel | Initiates | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2026 | B of A Securities | Initiates | Buy |
| May 14, 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy |
| May 14, 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive |
As of October 16, 2026, 9 Wall Street analysts cover TSEM: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $270.00 to $355.00, with a median of $313.00, 57.7% above the price of $198.49.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
TSEM trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TSEM moves about 4.4% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much TSEM tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
TSEM's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.43% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 61.5%, from January 2018 to December 2018, regained by November 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
67% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $131,536, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
TSEM Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, TSEM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -61.5% (January 2018 to December 2018); it regained that peak by November 2021, 35 months after the low, and 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into TSEM in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: TSEM beat the S&P 500 over this period: $131,536 against $42,525.
A $10,000 investment in TSEM in October 2016 would be worth about $131,536 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to TSEM, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +9.25%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -2.26%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.12%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, TSEM's strongest calendar month has been November (average +9.25%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -2.26%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in TSEM, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TSEM today could grow to about $29,129 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $184,805 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,591. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TSEM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $304 for TSEM by 2030 in the base case, from $198 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $94.62. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TSEM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $123 | $221 | $396 | |
| 2028 | $108 | $246 | $562 | |
| 2029 | $99.44 | $274 | $753 | |
| 2030 | $94.62 | $304 | $979 | |
| 2031 | $91.73 | $339 | $1,251 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of TSEM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
TSEM insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought TSEM shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 16, 2026, TSEM insiders reported 3 open-market sales worth $60.0M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Yoav Chelouche
Director
|
Sell | 232 | $49.9K |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Russell Craig Ellwanger
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 181.5K | $45.6M |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Russell Craig Ellwanger
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 67.0K | $14.4M |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Iris Avner
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Moshe Sagi Ben
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Yoav Chelouche
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Russell Craig Ellwanger
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 22.9K | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Amir Elstein
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Dana Rebecca Gross
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Avi Hasson
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Kalman Kaufman
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Carolin T Seward
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Wolkin Michal Vakrat
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.