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As of September 27, 2026, Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) trades at $230.47. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $316.00, 37.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $316.00 across 8 analysts. RSI at 54 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $225.40.
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM)
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. NASDAQ
$230.47
13.19 (6.07%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) is trading at $230.47, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($225.40 and $193.92), indicating a positive short-to-medium term trend. The company operates in the Technology sector, specifically Semiconductors, with a market capitalization of $26.05 billion. Analysts project strong revenue growth of 26.00% for the current year and 37.00% for the next, supported by an average EPS estimate of $3.89 for the current year and $6.71 for the next. The median analyst price target stands at $316.00, implying an upside of 37.1% from the current price. Despite the positive growth outlook and strong analyst consensus, significant insider selling has been observed, with total sales amounting to $60 million against zero purchases. This heavy selling pressure, as indicated by the heavy insider selling, is a key risk factor that investors should monitor closely. The company's P/E ratio of 90.74 is considerably higher than the sector median of 34, suggesting a premium valuation that is being supported by its exceptional growth prospects.
TSEM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$223.43
Day Range
$220.45 to $235.67
Prev Close
$217.28
Volume
2.01M
52-Week Range
$64.83 to $319.94
Market Cap
$26.05B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+167%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
TSEM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, TSEM beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
TSEM Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+37.11% Upside
Median of 8 analysts (12-month)
$316.00
AI Technical Analysis
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($225.40 and $193.92), with its price at $230.47 positioned above the 50-day SMA of $225.40 and the 200-day SMA of $193.92. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53.5, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD at 0.62 suggests a potential for upward movement. The stock is also trading above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $220.24. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $225.40 and the 20-day EMA at $220.24, while resistance may be found near recent highs. Volume on the latest trading day was 2,008,800, which is approximately 21.8% below the average volume of 2,570,000, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders at current levels. The overall chart structure points to a consolidation phase with a positive bias, awaiting further catalysts to break through resistance.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely; a continued trend could signal waning management confidence despite positive analyst sentiment.
- The stock is trading above key moving averages, suggesting a bullish short-term trend, but consider waiting for confirmation on increased volume.
- Given the premium valuation, position sizing should be conservative, especially considering the significant insider selling pressure.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Conviction with Median Target of $316.00
Eight analysts cover TSEM, with a consensus 'Buy' rating and a median price target of $316.00, representing a 37.1% upside from the current price of $230.47.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Estimates
Analysts project current year revenue growth of 26.00% and next year growth of 37.00%, indicating strong market demand and expansion potential for Tower Semiconductor.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $60 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, resulting in a heavy insider selling, which could indicate a lack of confidence from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Mixed Recent Earnings Performance
The latest earnings report showed a slight EPS beat but resulted in a stock price decline, following a pattern of mixed reactions to recent quarterly results.
Source: Recent EarningsMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) over the next 6-12 months anticipates continued upward momentum, driven by strong revenue growth estimates of 26.00% for the current year and 37.00% for the next, and a median analyst target price of $316.00. The company's solid balance sheet with minimal debt and healthy profit margins provide a stable foundation for this growth. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong demand in the semiconductor market and successful execution of its growth strategy, potentially leading to further upward revisions in analyst estimates. Conversely, downside risks include the ongoing heavy insider selling, which could signal underlying concerns not reflected in analyst targets, and a potential market correction if the company's premium valuation is not supported by sustained high growth. Increased competition or macroeconomic headwinds could also impact performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 26.05B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 90.74 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.54 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 319.94 |
| 52 Week Low | 64.83 |
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 90.74, significantly higher than the sector median of 34, indicating a premium valuation. However, its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 15.24 is also above the sector median of 7.5, which is consistent with its high P/E given its strong revenue growth. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 9.98%, below the sector average of 13.4%, but its Profit Margin of 16.94% and Operating Margin of 19.63% are strong. The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio is a very low 0.05, suggesting a strong balance sheet with minimal leverage, which is favorable compared to the sector average of 0.05. While the current valuation appears stretched on a P/E basis, the strong revenue growth estimates of 26.00% for the current year and 37.00% for the next, coupled with healthy profit margins, provide a fundamental basis for the premium. Investors are essentially pricing in substantial future growth.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Tower Semiconductor's most recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 2026 showed an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.89, slightly beating the estimate of $0.87 by 2.3%, though the stock experienced a price decline of 7.46%. Prior to this, the company beat estimates in the March 2026 quarter by 16.07%, leading to a positive price reaction of 3.66%. The pattern shows a mix of beats and misses, with recent performance indicating a slight slowdown in positive surprise magnitude. Forward-looking estimates suggest continued strong EPS growth, with current year estimates at $3.89 and next year at $6.71.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) is the significant insider selling, with $60 million in dispositions and a heavy insider selling, which could indicate a lack of confidence from management despite positive analyst ratings. Additionally, the stock's premium valuation, reflected in its high P/E ratio of 90.74 compared to the sector median of 34, exposes it to potential downside if growth expectations are not met. Competitive pressures within the semiconductor industry also pose a persistent risk, as rapid technological advancements and market shifts require continuous innovation and investment.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 53.50 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.62 |
| SMA 50 | 225.40 |
| SMA 200 | 193.92 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($225.40) above the 200-day SMA ($193.92), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.58
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with TSEM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
TSEM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$225.86
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$230.47
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$202.46
MAX LOSS
-10.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (53.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$237.15
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$248.45
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$259.74
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
TSEM is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.45%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TSEM in September 2016 would be worth about $150,241 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TSEM today could grow to about $44,061 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $276,849 and a bear case around $7,012. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TSEM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $417 for TSEM by 2030 in the base case, from $230 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $130. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TSEM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $149 | $267 | $478 |
| 2028 | $136 | $310 | $705 |
| 2029 | $131 | $360 | $984 |
| 2030 | $130 | $417 | $1,334 |
| 2031 | $132 | $484 | $1,774 |
| 2032 | $135 | $561 | $2,330 |
| 2033 | $140 | $651 | $3,029 |
| 2034 | $146 | $755 | $3,906 |
| 2035 | $153 | $876 | $5,006 |
| 2036 | $162 | $1,015 | $6,381 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TSEM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. TSEM is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TSEM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$60.0M
3 Transactions
Insiders
10
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$20.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | ELLWANGER RUSSELL CRAIG
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 181.5K | $45.6M |
| Jul 13, 2026 | ELLWANGER RUSSELL CRAIG
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 67.0K | $14.4M |
| Sep 10, 2026 | CHELOUCHE YOAV
Director
|
Sell | 232 | $49.9K |
| Jul 2, 2026 | AVNER IRIS
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | BEN MOSHE SAGI
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | CHELOUCHE YOAV
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | ELLWANGER RUSSELL CRAIG
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 22.9K | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | ELSTEIN AMIR
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | GROSS DANA REBECCA
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
| Jul 2, 2026 | HASSON AVI
Director
|
Grant | 814 | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Tower Semiconductor's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Tower Semiconductor's stock price forecast for 2030 includes a base case of $417.10, a downside projection of $130.44, and an upside projection of $1333.69. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is Tower Semiconductor stock a buy right now?
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating from analysts, with a median price target of $316.00, suggesting a 37.1% upside. The stock is trading above key moving averages, and forward growth estimates are strong, supporting a bullish short-term outlook.
What is the current technical outlook for Tower Semiconductor?
Tower Semiconductor is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($225.40 and $193.92), with neutral RSI momentum. The stock is positioned above its 20-day EMA, indicating a positive short-term trend, though recent volume has been below average.
Are insiders buying or selling Tower Semiconductor stock?
Insiders have been net sellers of Tower Semiconductor stock, with total sales of $60 million and no reported purchases. This heavy insider selling is a notable concern for investors.
How does Tower Semiconductor compare to its sector averages?
Tower Semiconductor's P/E ratio of 90.74 and P/S ratio of 15.24 are significantly higher than the sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. However, its revenue growth of 23.7% is in line with the sector average of 24.1%, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 is very low.
What are the key risks facing Tower Semiconductor?
The primary risks include significant insider selling, a premium valuation relative to sector peers, and intense competition within the semiconductor industry. These factors could pressure the stock if growth projections are not met.
What is Tower Semiconductor's recent earnings performance?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Tower Semiconductor reported EPS of $0.89, beating estimates by 2.3%, but the stock declined. Previous quarters showed stronger positive surprises, indicating a mixed recent earnings trend.