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As of September 11, 2026, Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) trades at $222.92. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $247.00, 10.8% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $247.00 across 27 analysts. RSI at 54 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $218.13.
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG)
Republic Services, Inc. NYSE
$222.92
1.840 (0.83%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Republic Services (RSG) is trading at $222.92, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($218.13 and $215.10), indicating positive short-to-medium term momentum. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 31.36, is above the sector average, but recent earnings beats and strong revenue growth of 4.6% provide some fundamental support. A significant catalyst is the extreme insider accumulation, with over $1.3 billion in net purchases, primarily from an insider, signaling strong institutional conviction. However, Wall Street's median price target of $247 suggests limited upside potential from current levels, leading to a 'Hold' consensus rating.
RSG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$221.92
Day Range
$220.84 to $223.93
Prev Close
$221.08
Volume
51.4K
52-Week Range
$196.41 to $235.18
Market Cap
$67.70B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+23%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
RSG Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+10.80% Upside
Median of 27 analysts (12-month)
$247.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume behavior for Republic Services (RSG) has been significantly below average, down 96.6% versus its daily average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders in the immediate price action. The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($218.13 and $215.10), indicating an overall bullish trend. The RSI is at 54.33, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD is positive at 1.77. Key support is identified at the 50-day SMA, with resistance near the all-time highs. The chart structure suggests a consolidation phase within an established uptrend.
ProTips
- The extreme insider buying, totaling over $1.3 billion, represents a strong conviction signal from institutional investors like Cascade Investment, L.L.C., providing potential downside support.
- Republic Services (RSG) is trading above its key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), indicating a generally bullish technical setup, though RSI remains neutral.
- Given the premium valuation and limited analyst upside, consider a strategy that acknowledges the stock's stability rather than expecting rapid growth, perhaps focusing on dividend reinvestment.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Extreme Insider Accumulation
Insiders have purchased over $1.3 billion in RSG stock, with Cascade Investment, L.L.C. being the largest buyer, signaling strong institutional conviction and providing potential downside support.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Republic Services has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently with a 1.65% surprise in the August 6, 2026 quarter, indicating operational strength.
Source: Earnings ReportsNeutral
Steady Revenue Growth
The company is projected to achieve 4.00% revenue growth in the current quarter, with forward estimates suggesting continued growth in the 4-5% range, supporting its current valuation.
Source: Analyst EstimatesNeutral
Dividend Payout
Republic Services offers a dividend yield of 1.12%, providing a modest income stream to shareholders that can contribute to total returns.
Source: Dividend DataMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Republic Services (RSG) anticipates a neutral to slightly positive trajectory over the next 6-12 months, with the potential to approach its median analyst target price of $247. The company's consistent earnings performance and strong revenue growth provide a stable foundation. Extreme insider buying signals significant conviction, which could act as a floor for the stock price and potentially drive it higher if this trend continues. The dividend yield of 1.12% also offers some return to shareholders.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 67.70B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.36 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.05 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.12% |
| 52 Week High | 235.18 |
| 52 Week Low | 196.41 |
Republic Services (RSG) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 31.36, which is elevated compared to the sector average of 25.5. Despite this premium valuation, the company has demonstrated consistent earnings beats, with the latest quarter exceeding estimates by 1.65%. Revenue growth stands at 4.6%, aligning with forward estimates of around 4-5% for the current and next year. The balance sheet appears solid, with a dividend yield of 1.12% supported by strong insider buying, though the P/E ratio suggests investors are paying a premium for earnings.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Republic Services (RSG) has a history of exceeding analyst earnings expectations, most recently reporting an EPS of $1.85 against an estimate of $1.82 for the August 6, 2026 quarter, a 1.65% surprise. This follows a pattern of positive surprises in prior quarters, indicating operational efficiency. Revenue growth has been steady, with the current quarter projected to increase by 4.00% year-over-year to $4.4 billion.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Republic Services (RSG) lies in its premium valuation, with a P/E ratio of 31.36 significantly above the sector average, potentially limiting further upside. While insider buying is extremely strong, the median Wall Street price target of $247 suggests limited immediate appreciation potential, capping the stock's near-term trajectory. Competitive pressures within the waste management industry could also impact future growth and margins.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 54.33 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.77 |
| SMA 50 | 218.13 |
| SMA 200 | 215.10 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($218.13) above the 200-day SMA ($215.10), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.30
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
RSG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$220.69
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$222.92
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$214.07
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (54.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$227.31
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$231.73
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$238.35
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for RSG is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RSG in September 2016 would be worth about $43,979 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RSG today could grow to about $29,179 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $63,897 and a bear case around $13,325. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RSG Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $342 for RSG by 2030 in the base case, from $223 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $208. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RSG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $194 | $248 | $318 |
| 2028 | $195 | $276 | $392 |
| 2029 | $200 | $307 | $472 |
| 2030 | $208 | $342 | $562 |
| 2031 | $219 | $381 | $663 |
| 2032 | $231 | $424 | $778 |
| 2033 | $245 | $472 | $909 |
| 2034 | $260 | $525 | $1,058 |
| 2035 | $278 | $584 | $1,229 |
| 2036 | $297 | $650 | $1,424 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RSG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
RSG Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.3B
14 Transactions
Sold
$2.2M
4 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$72.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2018 | SLAGER DONALD W
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 225.7K | $16.5M |
| Aug 12, 2020 | SLAGER DONALD W
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 108.9K | $10.0M |
| Sep 5, 2019 | SLAGER DONALD W
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 95.1K | $8.6M |
| Aug 30, 2019 | SLAGER DONALD W
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 95.1K | $8.6M |
| Aug 25, 2020 | SLAGER DONALD W
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 65.9K | $6.0M |
| May 9, 2019 | SLAGER DONALD W
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 70.0K | $5.8M |
| Dec 11, 2020 | SLAGER DONALD W
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 43.2K | $4.1M |
| Feb 18, 2020 | BALES BRIAN A
Officer
|
Sell | 21.1K | $2.1M |
| Jun 7, 2022 | STUART TIMOTHY E.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $2.0M |
| Aug 8, 2022 | VANDER ARK JONATHAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.1K | $2.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Republic Services' (RSG) current stock price and consensus rating?
Republic Services (RSG) is currently trading at $222.92 per share. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', based on a review of 27 analysts' ratings.
Is Republic Services (RSG) stock a buy right now?
With a 'Hold' consensus rating and a median analyst price target of $247, which offers only 10.8% upside from the current price of $222.92, Republic Services (RSG) is not currently signaling a strong buy opportunity.
What are the key risks facing Republic Services (RSG)?
Key risks include its elevated P/E ratio of 31.36 compared to the sector average, which suggests a premium valuation. Additionally, the limited upside indicated by the median analyst price target implies that significant near-term price appreciation may be constrained.
How is Republic Services (RSG) performing financially?
Republic Services (RSG) has demonstrated consistent earnings beats and steady revenue growth of 4.6%. The company's latest quarterly EPS was $1.85, exceeding the analyst estimate of $1.82.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for Republic Services (RSG)?
Insider activity for Republic Services (RSG) shows extreme accumulation, with over $1.3 billion in net purchases, primarily from an insider, L.L.C. This indicates strong institutional conviction in the company's future prospects.
What is the outlook for Republic Services (RSG) over the next 12 months?
The outlook for Republic Services (RSG) is neutral to cautiously optimistic, with a base case scenario suggesting potential to reach its median analyst target price of $247. Upside catalysts could emerge from continued strong earnings performance and further insider buying, while downside risks include competitive pressures and a potential re-rating of its premium valuation.
What is Republic Services' (RSG) dividend yield and payout?
Republic Services (RSG) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.12%, with a dividend rate of $2.50. This payout is supported by the company's earnings and strong insider buying.
What is Republic Services' (RSG) long-range projection for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Republic Services (RSG) has a projected base price of $342.12 for 2030, with a downside projection of $208.39 and an upside projection of $561.66. These are simulation outcomes, not price targets.