Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Republic Services Inc. (RSG)
- Market cap
- $72.16B
- P/E
- 33.43
- Dividend yield
- 1.08%
- Street target
- $244.50median of 27 analysts
- 52-week range
- $196.41 $243.22
RSG stock forecast today
Where RSG stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
RSG at a glance
Republic Services Inc. (RSG): Buy, 74/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($221.31 and $216.36).
- Earnings RSG beat estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 5 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $2.2M and bought $1.6B over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 33.4 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: broadly in line with peers (-2%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Republic Services Inc. (RSG) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 74/100.
Its trend is the strongest factor. The price is 8.92% above its 200-day average and 6.49% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 2.28% above the 200-day. Slow revenue growth pulls the score down the most, with revenue up 4.60%, 7.1 percentage points below the sector median. The 50-day average is $221.31 and the 200-day average is $216.36. Across the past year, the price rose 6.61%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from RSG's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
RSG stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $235.66 is 6.5% above the 50-day simple moving average of $221.31.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 8.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $216.36.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($221.31) is 2.3% above the 200-day average ($216.36), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 84% of its 52-week range, between $196.41 and $243.22.
RSG share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far RSG has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where RSG sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
RSG fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 33.43 is 1.7% below the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 4.27 is 6.8% above the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $2.2B on revenue of $16.9B, a net margin of 12.9%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
RSG beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.08%, or $2.55 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for RSG.
As of October 27, 2026, RSG trades at $235.66, with a market value of $72.16B, a P/E ratio of 33.43 and a dividend yield of 1.08%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of RSG's valuation, growth and risks.
RSG's P/E of 33.43 is 1.7% below the 34.0 sector median P/E for Industrials stocks, a gap that leaves the P/E broadly in line with peers. On sales, the stock is priced at 4.27 times, which is 6.7% above the sector median P/S of 4.0. Trailing earnings stand at $7.05 a share.
RSG is growing revenue at 4.60%, which is 7.1 percentage points slower than the sector median of 11.7%. Profitability is a different story. The company keeps a net margin of 12.94% and an operating margin of 20.43%, and its return on equity of 18.15% sits above the sector median of 17.8%. Debt-to-equity stands at 1.19, and the trailing dividend yield is 1.08%, equal to $2.55 a share each year.
Of the 3 reports before the latest, the largest reaction came after the July 29, 2025 report, which beat the estimate by 0.57% while the stock fell 5.82%. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $7.27, which would be growth of 3.6%, and $8.07 for next year (growth of 11.0%).
RSG's average daily move is 1.43% with a beta of 0.40 against the S&P 500. Insiders sold $2.2M over the last 18 months and bought $1.6B, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
RSG against the Industrials sector
How RSG compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-2% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs XLI: Since May 15, 2025, RSG has lost 3.8% against a gain of 18.1% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
RSG and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much RSG sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.5% in FY2025 to $16.6B, from $16.0B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 12.9% in FY2025, up from 12.7% the year before.
Profitable: RSG earned $2.1B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did RSG beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: RSG beat the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 5 of those 8 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | $1.82 | $1.85 | +1.65% | +2.37% | +2.69% |
| May 7, 2026after close | $1.64 | $1.70 | +3.66% | -0.76% | +3.54% |
| Feb 17, 2026after close | $1.63 | $1.76 | +7.98% | -1.97% | -0.20% |
| Oct 30, 2025after close | $1.78 | $1.90 | +6.74% | -0.80% | -2.71% |
| Jul 29, 2025after close | $1.76 | $1.77 | +0.57% | -5.82% | -5.66% |
| Apr 24, 2025after close | $1.53 | $1.58 | +3.27% | +1.16% | +3.59% |
| Feb 13, 2025after close | $1.39 | $1.58 | +13.67% | +3.06% | +2.84% |
| Oct 29, 2024after close | $1.61 | $1.81 | +12.42% | -2.69% | -1.06% |
As of October 27, 2026, RSG has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 5 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 1.65% above the estimate and the stock moved +2.37% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
RSG AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 63.1, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 63.1 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of RSG
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Both moving averages sit under the price, which is the shape of an uptrend for Republic Services Inc. (RSG): the price of $235.66 is 6.49% above the 50-day average ($221.31) and 8.92% above the 200-day average ($216.36). The price sits near the top of its 52-week range, 3.11% below the high of $243.22 and 19.98% above the low of $196.41. The 50-day average sits 2.28% above the 200-day, which confirms the move rather than contradicting it.
The 14-day RSI of 63.1 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive. The recent returns are all positive: the price rose 8.78% over the past three months, rose 13.22% over the past six months and rose 6.61% over the past year.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Baird kept its Neutral rating on October 22, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Baird, October 22, 2026
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high of $243.22 above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $227.98 below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 63.1 falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
The uptrend rests on RSG staying above its 50-day average at $221.31 and its 200-day average at $216.36; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at $227.98.
Overhead, the next level is the 52-week high of $243.22. Momentum is still on the side of the move, since the RSI sits in the bullish zone.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for RSG, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with RSG at $235.66, its 14-day RSI is 63.1 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $221.31 and its 200-day is $216.36.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What RSG moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, RSG's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.10 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.06 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.15 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.05 with gold (XAU).
RSG price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
15 of 27 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 11 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $244.50 is 3.8% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
15 of 27 rate it a buy now, against 15 of 27 three months ago.
RSG Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Oct 8, 2026 | CIBC | Maintains | Outperformer |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Wolfe Research | Assumes | Peer Perform |
| Aug 11, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
As of October 27, 2026, 27 Wall Street analysts cover RSG: 15 rate it a buy or strong buy, 11 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $208.00 to $272.00. The median RSG price target is $244.50, 3.8% above the price of $235.66.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
RSG trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
RSG trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from RSG's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much RSG tends to move, against the market and on its own.
RSG price history and drawdowns
RSG's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.43% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 28.7%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by November 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
85% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $55,446, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
RSG Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, RSG's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -28.7% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by November 2020, 8 months after the low, and 85% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into RSG in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: RSG beat the S&P 500 over this period: $55,446 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in RSG in October 2016 would be worth about $55,446 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to RSG, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +5.59%, up in 10 of 10 years.
Weakest month, December: an average of -1.25%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.97%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, RSG's strongest calendar month has been November (average +5.59%, up in 10 of 10 years) and its weakest December (average -1.25%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
RSG stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in RSG, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in RSG today could grow to about $14,456 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $23,811 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,777. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.08% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RSG Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $341 for RSG by 2030 in the base case, from $236 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $207. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RSG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $201 | $258 | $332 | |
| 2028 | $199 | $283 | $403 | |
| 2029 | $202 | $311 | $479 | |
| 2030 | $207 | $341 | $561 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of RSG's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
RSG insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
RSG insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider buying: Insiders bought $1.6B on the open market and sold $2.2M.
As of October 27, 2026, RSG insiders reported 4 open-market sales worth $2.2M and 16 open-market purchases worth $1.6B over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 580.8K | $129.3M |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 720.8K | $159.6M |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 735.3K | $164.7M |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 534.0K | $119.1M |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 552.4K | $122.4M |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 560.1K | $123.5M |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 528 | - |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 571.1K | $127.0M |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 400.3K | $88.2M |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 379.0K | $83.4M |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 356.1K | $76.6M |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 363.0K | $78.3M |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 501.7K | $108.1M |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Amanda Hodges
Officer
|
Grant | 124 | - |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Margaret Reynolds
Director
|
Grant | 680 | - |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Sandra M Volpe
Director
|
Sell | 1.8K | $380.3K |
| May 19, 2026 | Elyse Carlsen
Officer
|
Sell | 360 | $77.9K |
| May 18, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 488.0K | $101.8M |
| May 13, 2026 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 499.2K | $100.5M |
| May 1, 2026 | Jennifer Lynn Bell
Officer
|
Grant | 404 | - |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Courtney Rodriguez
Officer
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Julia Arambula
Officer
|
Grant | 12 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Brian A Bales
Officer
|
Grant | 24 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 945 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Elyse Carlsen
Officer
|
Grant | 219 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Brian M Delghiaccio
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 904 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Catharine D. Ellingsen
Officer
|
Grant | 878 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Amanda Hodges
Officer
|
Grant | 478 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Larson Richardson
Officer
|
Grant | 295 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Courtney Rodriguez
Officer
|
Grant | 485 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ark Jonathan Vander
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 3.5K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Julia Arambula
Officer
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Brian A Bales
Officer
|
Grant | 99 | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Jennifer Lynn Bell
Officer
|
Grant | 647 | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Elyse Carlsen
Officer
|
Grant | 27 | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Brian M Delghiaccio
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Catharine D. Ellingsen
Officer
|
Grant | 4.5K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Amanda Hodges
Officer
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Larson Richardson
Officer
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Courtney Rodriguez
Officer
|
Grant | 2.0K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ark Jonathan Vander
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 23.5K | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Julia Arambula
Officer
|
Grant | 242 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Brian A Bales
Officer
|
Grant | 9 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 463 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Elyse Carlsen
Officer
|
Grant | 8 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Brian M Delghiaccio
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 563 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Catharine D. Ellingsen
Officer
|
Grant | 419 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Amanda Hodges
Officer
|
Grant | 309 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Larson Richardson
Officer
|
Grant | 231 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Courtney Rodriguez
Officer
|
Grant | 264 | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Ark Jonathan Vander
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Julia Arambula
Officer
|
Grant | 20 | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Brian A Bales
Officer
|
Grant | 26 | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 392 | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Elyse Carlsen
Officer
|
Grant | 145 | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Brian M Delghiaccio
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 1.3K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Catharine D. Ellingsen
Officer
|
Grant | 1.6K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Amanda Hodges
Officer
|
Grant | 649 | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Larson Richardson
Officer
|
Grant | 68 | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Ark Jonathan Vander
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 4.5K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Julia Arambula
Officer
|
Grant | 55 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brian A Bales
Officer
|
Grant | 57 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 437 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Elyse Carlsen
Officer
|
Grant | 100 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brian M Delghiaccio
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 659 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Catharine D. Ellingsen
Officer
|
Grant | 1.3K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Amanda Hodges
Officer
|
Grant | 713 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Larson Richardson
Officer
|
Grant | 165 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Ark Jonathan Vander
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 3.7K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Michael J Larson
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | James P. Snee
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Brian Scott Tyler
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Brian Scott Tyler
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Sandra M Volpe
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Sandra M Volpe
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Katharine B Weymouth
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Julia Arambula
Officer
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Brian A Bales
Officer
|
Option | 423 | $89.6K |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Julia Arambula
Officer
|
Grant | 390 | - |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Katharine B Weymouth
Director
|
Buy | 478 | $100.1K |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 524 | - |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Gregg Brummer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 7.3K | $1.7M |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Cascade Investment, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 4.3K | $1.0M |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Amanda Hodges
Officer
|
Grant | 124 | - |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Ark Jonathan Vander
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 970 | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Elyse Carlsen
Officer
|
Sell | 235 | $59.5K |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Courtney Rodriguez
Officer
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
RSG stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.