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As of October 11, 2026, Ondas Inc. (ONDS) trades at $6.730. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $6.730, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $19.00 across 9 analysts. RSI at 37 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $7.948.
Ondas Inc. (ONDS)
Ondas Inc. NASDAQ
$6.73
-0.1200 (-1.75%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
Ondas Inc. (ONDS) is currently trading at $6.73, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.95 and $9.41), signaling a bearish technical momentum. Despite this, the company is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, projected to increase by 958.00% year-over-year for the current year, reaching $536.7 million. This rapid expansion is supported by a strong analyst consensus, with 9 analysts rating the stock a Buy and a median price target of $19, implying an upside of 182.3%. The company's financial health shows a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 and a strong profit margin of 96.25%, although its operating margin is negative at -166.30%. The significant revenue growth, coupled with a forward 5-year average annual growth estimate of 55.6%, suggests substantial future potential. However, recent insider activity shows net selling totaling $44.4 million, indicating a degree of caution from management, which contrasts with the overwhelmingly positive analyst sentiment.
ONDS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$6.91
Day Range
$6.64 to $6.91
Prev Close
$6.85
Volume
36.99M
52-Week Range
$4.95 to $15.28
Market Cap
$3.92B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+218%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
ONDS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
ONDS Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
ONDS is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $6.73 below the 50-day SMA of $7.95 and the 200-day SMA of $9.41. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 36.95 indicates bearish momentum, reinforcing the downward trend. Support levels are not clearly defined given the limited trading history, but resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA. Volume was 24.9% below its average on the latest trading day, suggesting subdued investor interest amidst the current price action. The chart structure points towards continued near-term weakness, with the bearish RSI and MACD suggesting a potential for further downside before any significant recovery. Investors should monitor the price action around the 50-day SMA for signs of a potential trend reversal. The current price action does not offer immediate technical upside, with the stock trading below its key technical indicators.
ProTips
- Monitor ONDS's ability to achieve profitability as revenue continues to scale; a shift to positive EPS would be a significant catalyst.
- Given the bearish technical momentum, consider waiting for a confirmed break above the 50-day SMA ($7.95) before initiating or adding to a long position.
- The substantial insider selling warrants attention; track future insider transactions for any changes in management sentiment.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Conviction and Price Targets
Nine analysts maintain a Buy rating on ONDS, with a median price target of $19, representing a 182.3% upside from the current price.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Exceptional Revenue Growth Projections
Current year revenue is projected to grow 958.00% YoY to $536.7M, with next year's revenue estimated at $805.1M (89.00% YoY growth).
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold a total of $44.4 million in ONDS stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
ONDS is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.95 and $9.41), with a bearish RSI of 36.95, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Ondas Inc. (ONDS) over the next 6-12 months hinges on its ability to translate its explosive revenue growth into sustained profitability and maintain analyst conviction. With a median analyst target price of $19, the stock has significant upside potential if it can overcome its current bearish technical momentum and negative operating margins. The company's strong balance sheet and low debt provide a buffer for continued investment in growth. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong revenue performance and positive developments in future earnings estimates, particularly the projected shift to positive EPS next year. Conversely, downside risks include the persistent lack of profitability, continued insider selling, and the possibility that the current high valuation is not sustainable if growth falters. The stock's current trading below key moving averages suggests that near-term price appreciation may face resistance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 3.92B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.0600 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 15.28 |
| 52 Week Low | 4.95 |
Ondas Inc. (ONDS) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with exceptional revenue growth contrasting with its current valuation and profitability metrics. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 22.51, significantly above the sector median of 7.5, indicating a premium valuation. While the profit margin is remarkably high at 96.25%, this is offset by a significantly negative operating margin of -166.30% and a negative EPS of -0.06, making traditional P/E ratio analysis impossible. Despite the current lack of profitability on an operating basis, the projected revenue growth for the next year is a strong 89.00%, reaching an estimated $805.1 million. The company's balance sheet appears strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.03. The high return on equity of 19.32% is notable, but likely driven by the high profit margin rather than consistent earnings. The significant revenue expansion suggests that the market is pricing in future profitability, but the current valuation and operating losses warrant careful consideration.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Ondas Inc. (ONDS) has shown a significant revenue growth trajectory, with current year revenue estimates at $536.7 million, a 958.00% increase year-over-year. Forward revenue estimates for next year are projected at $805.1 million, an 89.00% increase. While specific recent quarterly earnings beats or misses are not detailed, the company's forward-looking revenue estimates are exceptionally strong, indicating substantial business expansion. The negative EPS estimates for the current and next year (-$0.21 and -$0.02 respectively) suggest that the company is still in a growth phase and not yet consistently profitable on a per-share basis.
Key Risks
The primary risks for Ondas Inc. (ONDS) include its current lack of profitability, with a negative operating margin and EPS, despite impressive revenue growth. The stock is trading below key moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines. Also, significant insider selling totaling $44.4 million suggests a lack of confidence from management in the near-term outlook, which contrasts sharply with the bullish analyst consensus.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 36.95 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.21 |
| SMA 50 | 7.95 |
| SMA 200 | 9.41 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $7.948, 200-day: $9.411), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ONDS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
ONDS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$6.595
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$6.730
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$6.134
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (37.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$6.925
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$7.255
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$7.585
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
ONDS is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.04%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ONDS in December 2020 would be worth about $10,943 today, compared with about $21,051 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ONDS today could grow to about $14,913 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $113,140 and a bear case around $1,966. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ONDS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $7.90 for ONDS by 2030 in the base case, from $6.73 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.19. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ONDS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.69 | $7.00 | $13.29 |
| 2028 | $2.95 | $7.29 | $18.04 |
| 2029 | $2.50 | $7.59 | $23.02 |
| 2030 | $2.19 | $7.90 | $28.45 |
| 2031 | $1.96 | $8.22 | $34.44 |
| 2032 | $1.78 | $8.55 | $41.10 |
| 2033 | $1.63 | $8.90 | $48.51 |
| 2034 | $1.51 | $9.27 | $56.76 |
| 2035 | $1.41 | $9.64 | $65.93 |
| 2036 | $1.32 | $10.04 | $76.14 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ONDS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ONDS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$44.4M
13 Transactions
Insiders
7
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | BROCK ERIC A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.4M | $31.9M |
| Nov 26, 2025 | STERN RON
Director
|
Sell | 850.0K | $6.7M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | BROCK ERIC A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 475.0K | $4.6M |
| Dec 1, 2021 | KANTOR STEWART
President
|
Sell | 150.0K | $1.1M |
| Nov 24, 2021 | KANTOR STEWART
President
|
Sell | 100.0K | $821.0K |
| Nov 19, 2021 | KANTOR STEWART
President
|
Sell | 56.6K | $546.1K |
| Sep 17, 2021 | KANTOR STEWART
President
|
Sell | 45.0K | $365.4K |
| Dec 6, 2021 | KANTOR STEWART
President
|
Sell | 43.4K | $332.2K |
| Dec 23, 2022 | BUSHEY THOMAS
Director
|
Sell | 177.7K | $313.3K |
| Dec 22, 2025 | SOOD JASPREET K
Director
|
Sell | 29.7K | $281.5K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is ONDS's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Ondas Inc. (ONDS) has a projected base case price of $7.90 for 2030, with a downside projection of $2.19 and an upside projection of $28.45. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is ONDS stock a buy right now?
Ondas Inc. (ONDS) has a consensus rating of Buy with a Wall Street score of 79/100. Analysts have a median price target of $19, suggesting significant upside from the current price of $6.73.
What are the key risks facing ONDS?
Key risks for ONDS include its current unprofitability, bearish technical momentum indicated by its price trading below moving averages, and substantial insider selling totaling $44.4 million.
How is ONDS performing in terms of revenue growth?
Ondas Inc. (ONDS) is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, with current year revenue estimated at $536.7 million (958.00% YoY growth) and next year projected at $805.1 million (89.00% YoY growth).
What is the analyst sentiment towards ONDS?
The analyst sentiment towards Ondas Inc. (ONDS) is strongly positive, with 9 analysts covering the stock, all rating it a Buy. The median price target is $19, indicating a substantial potential upside.
What is ONDS's valuation compared to its sector?
Ondas Inc. (ONDS) trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 22.51, which is significantly higher than the sector median of 7.5, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its peers.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for ONDS?
Insider activity for Ondas Inc. (ONDS) indicates a moderate sell signal, with total sales of $44.4 million and no reported purchases, suggesting some caution from management.