Jump to any asset
850 assets, updated daily
As of September 11, 2026, NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) trades at $10.21. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $11.00, 7.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $11.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 59 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $9.14.
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR)
NuScale Power Corporation NYSE
$10.21
-0.6000 (-5.55%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
56 / 100
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is trading at $10.21, below its 200-day moving average of $12.87, indicating a bearish technical trend. The company faces significant revenue headwinds, with current year revenue estimates showing a projected decline of 21.00% year-over-year, although next year's estimates suggest a substantial rebound with 454.00% growth. This projected revenue ramp-up is a key factor for future performance, but the company's recent financial performance has been weak, with revenue declining 99.1% in the last reported period. Nevertheless, the overall insider selling activity, even after filtering for parent divestitures, totals $13.8 million, which warrants attention. The company's market capitalization stands at $4.19 billion. Insiders are net sellers with $2,134.9M in total sales versus $816K in total purchases in recent filings. However, 99% of total selling ($2.1B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by FLUOR CORP, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $13.8M.
SMR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$10.49
Day Range
$10.10 to $10.69
Prev Close
$10.81
Volume
22.96M
52-Week Range
$7.21 to $57.42
Market Cap
$4.19B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SMR trades at 415.00x, far above the sector average of 4.20x.
SMR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, SMR beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
SMR Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+7.74% Upside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$11.00
AI Technical Analysis
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is currently trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average of $9.14 but below its 200-day SMA of $12.87, suggesting a mixed short-term trend with longer-term weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.47, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The stock's recent trading volume has been below its average, with the latest volume at 22.96 million compared to an average of 29.13 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key resistance lies at the 200-day SMA, while support is found near the 50-day SMA. The current price action does not present a clear bullish or bearish signal on its own, necessitating a closer look at fundamental drivers.
ProTips
- Monitor NuScale Power Corporation's (SMR) ability to secure new contracts and achieve its aggressive revenue growth targets for next year, as this is critical for its future financial health.
- Given the stock is trading below its 200-day SMA, consider waiting for a confirmed technical uptrend or a clearer fundamental catalyst before initiating new positions.
- The significant insider selling, primarily from Fluor Corp, should be watched for any indication of underlying strategic shifts or operational challenges that could impact NuScale Power Corporation's (SMR) long-term prospects.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Projected Strong Revenue Growth Next Year
Next year's revenue is estimated to grow by 454.00% to $37.2 million, indicating a significant potential turnaround and market adoption of NuScale's SMR technology.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesNeutral
Fluor Corp Divestiture of Stake
Fluor Corp, the parent company, has been systematically reducing its stake, representing $2.1 billion in sales, as part of a corporate restructuring. This is not viewed as a bearish signal from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Significant Revenue Decline in Latest Period
NuScale Power Corporation reported a revenue decline of 99.1% in its most recent period, highlighting immediate operational challenges and a need for significant improvement.
Source: Company FilingsBullish
Meeting Recent Earnings Estimates
NuScale Power Corporation met earnings estimates in its latest report (August 5, 2026), posting -$0.13 EPS, which resulted in a slight positive price movement.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) faces a challenging near-term outlook, with current year revenue projected to decline 21.00% year-over-year. The stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, reinforcing a cautious sentiment. The company's path to profitability and sustained growth hinges on the successful execution of its small modular reactor projects and the projected significant revenue ramp-up of 454.00% expected next year. Key upside catalysts include the successful deployment and commercialization of its SMR technology, potentially attracting new contracts and partnerships that could drive revenue growth beyond current estimates. Conversely, downside risks involve delays in project timelines, regulatory hurdles, competitive pressures from other energy solutions, and the potential for further revenue shortfalls if the projected growth does not materialize. The substantial insider selling, even if a divestiture, warrants close monitoring for any signs of underlying operational concerns.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.19B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -2.20 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| 52 Week High | 57.42 |
| 52 Week Low | 7.21 |
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) presents a challenging valuation picture, with its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio being 'N/A' due to negative EPS of -$2.20, indicating the company is not currently profitable. The reported revenue growth of -99.1% in the last period highlights significant operational challenges. While current year revenue estimates project a decline of 21.00%, the outlook for next year shows a substantial projected increase of 454.00% to $37.2 million, suggesting a potential turnaround driven by the adoption of small modular reactors. However, this aggressive growth forecast is based on estimates and carries inherent risk. The company's market capitalization of $4.19 billion against these revenue figures suggests a high valuation based on future potential rather than current performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) has shown inconsistent earnings performance, with recent quarters exhibiting negative EPS. The most recent earnings report for August 5, 2026, showed an EPS of -$0.13, meeting the estimate with 0% surprise and resulting in a 0.96% price increase. Prior to this, the company missed estimates significantly in February 2026, reporting -$0.80 against an estimate of -$0.15, a -433.33% surprise, which led to a -3.6% stock price drop.
Key Risks
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) faces significant risks, including its current lack of profitability and negative EPS, coupled with a substantial revenue decline in the most recent reporting period. The company's reliance on future growth projections, particularly the aggressive 454.00% revenue increase forecast for next year, introduces considerable execution risk. Also, the extensive insider selling, even if dominated by a parent company divestiture, signals potential headwinds or strategic shifts that investors should monitor closely.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 59.47 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.31 |
| SMA 50 | 9.14 |
| SMA 200 | 12.87 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $9.142, 200-day: $12.87), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
SMR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$10.11
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$10.21
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$9.230
MAX LOSS
-8.7%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (59.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$10.41
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$10.61
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$10.92
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
SMR is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.23%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SMR in March 2022 would be worth about $10,149 today, compared with about $17,625 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SMR today could grow to about $14,520 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $110,157 and a bear case around $1,914. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SMR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $11.85 for SMR by 2030 in the base case, from $10.21 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $3.29. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SMR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.58 | $10.60 | $20.11 |
| 2028 | $4.44 | $11.00 | $27.23 |
| 2029 | $3.76 | $11.42 | $34.64 |
| 2030 | $3.29 | $11.85 | $42.70 |
| 2031 | $2.94 | $12.30 | $51.56 |
| 2032 | $2.66 | $12.77 | $61.36 |
| 2033 | $2.43 | $13.26 | $72.23 |
| 2034 | $2.25 | $13.76 | $84.28 |
| 2035 | $2.09 | $14.28 | $97.65 |
| 2036 | $1.95 | $14.82 | $112 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SMR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
SMR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$2.1B
35 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$59.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 71.0M | $1.0B |
| Sep 23, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.6M | $200.7M |
| Apr 21, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Director
|
Sell | 13.5M | $159.4M |
| Apr 15, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Director
|
Sell | 12.9M | $150.4M |
| Apr 9, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.5M | $125.6M |
| Oct 6, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.5M | $101.3M |
| Sep 18, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.5M | $96.0M |
| Sep 26, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.3M | $90.1M |
| Oct 1, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.1M | $80.0M |
| Oct 8, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 908.8K | $36.9M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is NuScale Power Corporation's stock price prediction for 2030?
NuScale Power Corporation's (SMR) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $11.85, with a downside scenario at $3.29 and an upside scenario at $42.70, based on Monte Carlo simulations. These figures are statistical outcomes and not definitive price targets.
Is NuScale Power Corporation stock a buy right now?
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 56 out of 100. The stock is trading at $10.21, with a median analyst target price of $11.00, suggesting limited immediate upside.
What are the main risks facing NuScale Power Corporation?
Key risks for NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) include its current unprofitability, a significant recent revenue decline, and the substantial volume of insider selling, even if largely due to a parent company's divestiture. The company's future performance heavily relies on achieving aggressive revenue growth projections.
How has NuScale Power Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) has reported mixed earnings, with recent quarters showing negative EPS. The latest report on August 5, 2026, met estimates with -$0.13 EPS, while a prior report in February 2026 missed estimates significantly with -$0.80 EPS.
What is the technical outlook for NuScale Power Corporation stock?
Technically, NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is trading above its 50-day SMA ($9.14) but below its 200-day SMA ($12.87), indicating a neutral to slightly bearish trend. The RSI is at 59.47, suggesting neutral momentum.
How does NuScale Power Corporation's revenue growth compare to its sector?
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) reported a revenue growth of -99.1% recently, significantly underperforming its Industrials sector peers, which are averaging 10.0% revenue growth. While future growth is projected to be strong, current performance lags considerably.
What is the significance of the insider selling activity at NuScale Power Corporation?
Insider selling at NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is substantial, totaling over $2.1 billion. However, the majority of this selling is attributed to Fluor Corp's divestiture, which is considered a corporate restructuring rather than a negative signal from company management.