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As of October 11, 2026, NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) trades at $7.200. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $6.000, 16.7% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $11.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 21 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $8.947.
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR)
NuScale Power Corporation NYSE
$7.20
-0.1200 (-1.64%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
35 / 100
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is currently trading at $7.20, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($8.95 and $11.73), indicating a strong bearish trend. The company's recent performance has been marred by a dramatic revenue decline of -99.1% and negative EPS of -2.92, leading to a negative profit margin and a high price-to-sales ratio of 276.41. Despite these fundamental challenges, the stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 21.09, signaling an oversold condition that could precede a short-term bounce. The primary catalyst for concern remains the company's severe revenue contraction and ongoing losses, which are not adequately supported by its current valuation metrics. While the company's balance sheet shows minimal debt (0.00 debt-to-equity), the operational performance is a significant overhang. Insiders are net sellers with $2,135.2M in total sales versus $816K in total purchases in recent filings. However, 99% of total selling ($2.1B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by FLUOR CORP, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $13.6M.
SMR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$7.37
Day Range
$7.07 to $7.42
Prev Close
$7.32
Volume
31.77M
52-Week Range
$7.07 to $57.42
Market Cap
$2.95B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SMR trades at 276.41x, far above the sector average of 4.00x.
SMR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, SMR beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
SMR Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $7.20 below the 50-day SMA of $8.95 and the 200-day SMA of $11.73, signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 21.09, indicating the stock is in oversold territory, which could suggest a potential for a short-term rebound. Volume on the latest trading day was 31,765,300, slightly below the average of 32,498,880, suggesting current retail interest is not exceptionally high. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the limited trading history and recent volatility, but the current price represents a psychological level. Resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA ($8.95) and the 200-day SMA ($11.73). The MACD indicator is at -0.46, suggesting bearish momentum is still present, although the oversold RSI could lead to a temporary reversal. Investors should monitor for any sustained move above the 50-day SMA as a potential sign of a trend shift.
ProTips
- Monitor NuScale Power Corporation's ability to reverse its severe revenue contraction and achieve profitability, as current financial metrics present significant risks.
- The stock is technically oversold (RSI 21.09), which could lead to a short-term bounce, but this is not supported by current fundamental data.
- Given the significant insider selling from parent company Fluor Corp, investors should closely watch for any strategic shifts or divestitures that could impact NuScale's operational independence or future funding.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Severe Revenue Contraction Continues
NuScale Power Corporation reported a -99.1% revenue growth, indicating significant challenges in scaling its business and securing new contracts, which poses a substantial risk to future operations and valuation.
Source: Company FilingsBearish
Persistent Net Losses and Negative Profitability
The company continues to report negative EPS (-2.92) and negative profit margins, highlighting ongoing operational inefficiencies and a lack of profitability that weighs heavily on investor sentiment.
Source: Company FilingsNeutral
Parent Company Stake Reduction
Insiders are net sellers with $0 in total purchases vs $2.1B in total sales across 85 transactions. However, 99% of total selling ($2.1B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by FLUOR CORP, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $13.6M.
Source: Insider Trading FilingsBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is at 21.09, indicating it is significantly oversold. This technical condition could lead to a short-term price rebound as traders look for potential buying opportunities.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) faces a challenging outlook, with its current price of $7.20 significantly below the median analyst target price of $11.00, suggesting limited near-term upside. The company's severe revenue contraction and ongoing losses are major headwinds, and while the stock is technically oversold, a fundamental turnaround is not yet evident. The projected revenue growth for next year, though high at +440.00%, is based on a small base and should be viewed with caution. The base case scenario for SMR suggests continued pressure on the stock price, potentially testing lower support levels if fundamental improvements do not materialize. Upside catalysts would require a significant shift in revenue trajectory and a clear path to profitability, which is not currently forecasted by analysts. Downside risks include further revenue deterioration, failure to secure new contracts, and potential dilution from future capital raises to fund operations.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.95B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -2.92 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| 52 Week High | 57.42 |
| 52 Week Low | 7.07 |
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) exhibits a concerning fundamental profile, with a reported revenue growth of -99.1% and a negative EPS of -2.92, resulting in a negative profit margin. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at a high 276.41, indicating it is significantly overvalued relative to its current sales, especially when compared to the sector median P/S of 4.00. The company's return on equity is a significantly negative -55.18%, further highlighting operational inefficiencies. Despite the weak operational performance, the company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00, suggesting a clean balance sheet with no significant leverage. However, the extremely high price-to-sales ratio and negative profitability metrics overshadow the lack of debt. The company's forward revenue estimates show significant growth projections for next year (+440.00%), but these are based on a very small base and capped from a potentially outlier-skewed average, making them highly speculative.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) has shown mixed and concerning earnings results. In the quarter to June 2026, the company reported an EPS of -0.13, matching estimates with no surprise and a price change of 0.96%. However, prior quarters show significant misses, including a -433.33% surprise in the quarter to March 2026 (EPS actual -0.8 vs estimate -0.15). The company's revenue growth has been severely impacted, declining by -99.1% year-over-year, indicating significant challenges in scaling its business operations and generating sales.
Key Risks
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) faces substantial risks stemming from its severe revenue contraction and ongoing net losses, as evidenced by its negative EPS and profit margin. The company's valuation appears stretched given its current financial performance, with a price-to-sales ratio of 276.41 significantly exceeding sector averages. Also, the significant insider selling, primarily from parent company Fluor Corp, signals a corporate restructuring that, while not necessarily bearish for management's confidence, highlights a period of strategic transition and potential uncertainty.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.09 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.46 |
| SMA 50 | 8.95 |
| SMA 200 | 11.73 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $8.947, 200-day: $11.73), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 21.1 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.49
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with SMR? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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SMR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$7.344
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$7.200
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$7.997
MAX LOSS
-8.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (21.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$6.977
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$6.610
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$6.242
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
SMR is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.39%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SMR in March 2022 would be worth about $7,157 today, compared with about $18,107 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SMR today could grow to about $9,721 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $73,749 and a bear case around $1,281. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SMR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $7.12 for SMR by 2030 in the base case, from $7.20 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.98. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SMR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.78 | $7.18 | $13.63 |
| 2028 | $2.89 | $7.16 | $17.72 |
| 2029 | $2.35 | $7.14 | $21.66 |
| 2030 | $1.98 | $7.12 | $25.65 |
| 2031 | $1.69 | $7.10 | $29.75 |
| 2032 | $1.47 | $7.08 | $34.01 |
| 2033 | $1.30 | $7.06 | $38.46 |
| 2034 | $1.15 | $7.04 | $43.12 |
| 2035 | $1.03 | $7.02 | $47.99 |
| 2036 | $0.9226 | $7.00 | $53.10 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SMR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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SMR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$2.1B
36 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$57.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 71.0M | $1.0B |
| Sep 23, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.6M | $200.7M |
| Apr 21, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Director
|
Sell | 13.5M | $159.4M |
| Apr 15, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Director
|
Sell | 12.9M | $150.4M |
| Apr 9, 2026 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.5M | $125.6M |
| Oct 6, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.5M | $101.3M |
| Sep 18, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.5M | $96.0M |
| Sep 26, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.3M | $90.1M |
| Oct 1, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.1M | $80.0M |
| Oct 8, 2025 | FLUOR CORP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 908.8K | $36.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is NuScale Power Corporation's stock price prediction for 2030?
NuScale Power Corporation's stock price projection for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, indicates a base case of $7.12, with a downside scenario at $1.98 and an upside scenario at $25.65. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is NuScale Power Corporation stock a buy right now?
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is currently rated as a Sell, with a consensus score of 35. While the stock is trading at $7.20 and is technically oversold, its severe revenue contraction and ongoing losses present significant fundamental risks that outweigh the current technical conditions.
What are the main risks for NuScale Power Corporation?
The primary risks for NuScale Power Corporation include its severe revenue contraction of -99.1%, persistent net losses indicated by negative EPS, and a highly stretched valuation with a price-to-sales ratio of 276.41. The significant insider selling, although primarily a parent company divestiture, adds a layer of uncertainty regarding the company's strategic direction.
How is NuScale Power Corporation performing financially?
Financially, NuScale Power Corporation is struggling, reporting a -99.1% revenue growth and a negative EPS of -2.92. Its profit margin is negative, and its return on equity is -55.18%, indicating significant operational challenges despite a debt-free balance sheet.
What is the Wall Street consensus on NuScale Power Corporation?
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus for NuScale Power Corporation, with a score of 54 out of 100. The breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 9 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell rating among 18 analysts.
What are NuScale Power Corporation's recent earnings results?
In the quarter to June 2026, NuScale Power Corporation reported an EPS of -0.13, matching estimates. However, previous quarters have shown significant misses, including a -433.33% surprise in the quarter to March 2026, indicating inconsistent earnings performance.
What is NuScale Power Corporation's revenue growth outlook?
NuScale Power Corporation's recent revenue growth has been severely negative at -99.1%. While forward estimates suggest substantial growth for next year (+440.00%), these projections are based on a small base and capped from a potentially outlier-skewed average, making them highly speculative.