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NuScale Power Corporation (SMR)

$5.27 -0.11 (-2.04%)
Latest Price
Sell
25 / 100
CleaRank Financial AI scorei
Market cap
$2.16B
Dividend yield
None
Street target
$10.00median of 18 analysts
52-week range
$5.20 $45.54
01

SMR stock forecast today

Where SMR stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

SMR at a glance

NuScale Power Corporation (SMR): Sell, 25/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($8.15 and $11.13).
  • Earnings SMR has not beaten estimates in any of the 7 reports in our data.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $2.1B and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.

Figures as of October 26, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) Sell, with a model score of 25/100.

The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: the median target is 89.8% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 52.65% below its 200-day average and 35.36% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 26.75% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $8.15 and the 200-day at $11.13. Over the past year the price fell 86.03%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from SMR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

SMR stock price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $5.27 is 35.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $8.15.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 52.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $11.13.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($8.15) is 26.7% below the 200-day average ($11.13), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 0% of its 52-week range, between $5.20 and $45.54.

SMR share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far SMR has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $37.73 Oct 24, 2025
Latest close $5.27 Oct 26, 2026
High $44.87 Oct 31, 2025
Low $5.27 Oct 26, 2026

Today's trading

Where SMR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 4.59% wide
$5.27
$5.23 $5.47
52-week range 0% of the way up
$5.27
$5.20 $45.54
Open
$5.34
Previous close
$5.38
Volume
25.21M
11% below average
Market cap
$2.16B
03

SMR fundamentals and valuation

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

0/3
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 202.32 is 4,957.9% above the sector median of 4.0.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was -$693.2M on revenue of $10.7M, a net margin of -6,484.6%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    SMR beat the EPS estimate in 0 of the 7 reports in our data.

Key statistics

The headline figures for SMR.

Market Cap
2.16B
P/E Ratio
N/A
EPS (TTM)
N/A
Dividend Yield
None
52 Week High
45.54
52 Week Low
5.20

As of October 26, 2026, SMR trades at $5.27, with a market value of $2.16B.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SMR's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

SMR's price-to-sales ratio of 202.32 is 4,958.0% above the sector median of 4.0. The company's market capitalisation stands at $2.2B.

SMR is losing money: its net margin stands at -3,888.70% and its operating margin at -85,337.34%. Revenue shrank 99.10% in the latest quarter compared with a year earlier, while the sector median growth was 11.7%, so the company is growing far more slowly than its peers. Return on equity is -55.18%, under the sector median of 17.8%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 0.00.

Earnings & Growth

SMR has not beaten the EPS estimate in any of the 7 reports in our data. Earlier, the stock fell 11.93% after the August 7, 2025 report, a miss of 18.18%. The consensus EPS estimate stands at -$0.48 for this fiscal year and -$0.73 for next.

Key risks

The 30-day standard deviation of SMR's daily returns is 4.10%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 2.37. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 88.43% below its 52-week high of $45.54. Insiders sold $2.1B over the last 18 months and bought none on the open market, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.

SMR against the Industrials sector

How SMR compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 4,958% above the median
SMR
202x
Sector median
4.0x
Revenue growth, year on year 110.8 points below the median
SMR
-99.1%
Sector median
11.7%
Return on equity 73.0 points below the median
SMR
-55.2%
Sector median
17.8%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SMR trades at 202.32x, far above the sector average of 4.00x.

Return vs XLI: Since May 14, 2025, SMR has lost 77.0% against a gain of 18.8% for XLI.

Performance against XLI

SMR and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
SMR XLI

Revenue and earnings

How much SMR sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$10.7M
Net income, 12 months
-$693M
Net margin
-6,484.6%
Revenue growth
-99.1%
latest quarter, year on year
FY2021-3,581% marginFY2022-1,199% marginFY2023-790% marginFY2024-940% marginFY2025-2,111% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue fell 15.0% in FY2025 to $31.5M, from $37.0M a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -2,110.8% in FY2025, down from -940.4% the year before.

Loss-making: SMR lost $664M in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did SMR beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
0 of 7
7 reports in our data
Average surprise
-144.7%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+4.5%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Nov '24Mar '25May '25Aug '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

Earnings record: SMR did not beat the analyst estimate in the 7 reports in our data.

SMR earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Aug 5, 2026after close -$0.13 -$0.13 +0.00% +0.96% +2.24%
May 7, 2026after close -$0.14 -$0.14 +0.00% -0.24% -4.13%
Feb 26, 2026after close -$0.15 -$0.80 -433.33% -3.60% -8.63%
Aug 7, 2025after close -$0.11 -$0.13 -18.18% -11.93% -19.58%
May 12, 2025after close -$0.11 -$0.11 +0.00% +21.64% +37.83%
Mar 3, 2025after close -$0.12 -$0.77 -541.67% +11.52% -5.05%
Nov 7, 2024after close -$0.15 -$0.18 -20.00% +13.01% +13.80%

As of October 26, 2026, SMR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of the 7 reports in our data; its latest report, on August 5, 2026, came in 0.00% above the estimate and the stock moved +0.96% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

SMR AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

0/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 25.0, in oversold territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 25.0 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of SMR

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
2/5
12-month analyst target
$10.00
+89.75% above price · median of 18 analysts
AI analyst consensus
25/100
Sell
What the AI sees

NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is trading in a downtrend. At $5.27, the stock sits 35.36% below its 50-day average of $8.15 and 52.65% below its 200-day average of $11.13. Near the bottom of its 52-week range, the price is 1.35% above the low of $5.20, and 88.43% below the high of $45.54. Because the 50-day average is 26.75% below the 200-day average, the shorter-term trend is weaker than the longer one.

The 14-day RSI of 25.0 is in oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. The recent returns are all negative: the price fell 38.29% over the past three months, fell 58.34% over the past six months and fell 86.03% over the past year.

Catalysts
Risks
  • Analyst downgrade ›

    Barclays downgraded it to Underweight from Equal-Weight on October 20, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Barclays, October 20, 2026
  • Analyst downgrade ›

    UBS downgraded it to Sell from Neutral on September 11, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, UBS, September 11, 2026
Other events
  • Earnings in line ›

    The August 5, 2026 report came in line with the EPS estimate, and the share price rose 0.96% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, August 5, 2026
ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $6.49 overhead, and the 52-week low at $5.20 underneath the price.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 25.0, which places it in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
  3. Following the August 5, 2026 report, the shares climbed 0.96% in the first session. Even so, SMR has beaten estimates in 0 of the 7 reports in our data.
Market outlook

SMR trades under its 50-day ($8.15) and 200-day ($11.13) averages, which is what makes the trend down; regaining the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. The nearest level above the price is the 20-day EMA at $6.49.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $5.20. Momentum is significantly depressed, with the RSI under the oversold line. A move back above that line would be an early hint that the decline is leveling off.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for SMR, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Oversold
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Oversold
25.014-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.857 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-35.4%price against the 50-day average
200-day $11.13 50-day $8.153 Price $5.270
Price against the 200-day -52.7% Bearish

As of October 26, 2026, with SMR at $5.27, its 14-day RSI is 25.0 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $8.15 and its 200-day is $11.13.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What SMR moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.46 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.51 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.41 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.22 Weak

As of October 26, 2026, SMR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.46 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.51 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.41 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.22 with gold (XAU).

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05

SMR price target and analyst forecast

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

1/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    6 of 18 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 8 a hold and 4 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $10.00 is 89.8% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    6 of 18 rate it a buy now, against 6 of 18 three months ago.

SMR Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $5.00 Median $10.00 (+89.8%) High $20.00

Ratings

Buy 6 Hold 8 Sell 4 3 months ago: 6 of 18 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on SMR
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 20, 2026 Barclays Downgrade Underweight
Sep 11, 2026 UBS Downgrade Sell
Aug 14, 2026 B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy
Aug 11, 2026 RBC Capital Maintains Sector Perform
Aug 6, 2026 Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy
Aug 6, 2026 Citigroup Maintains Sell

As of October 26, 2026, 18 Wall Street analysts cover SMR: 6 rate it a buy or strong buy, 8 a hold and 4 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $5.00 to $20.00. The median SMR price target is $10.00, 89.8% above the price of $5.27.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

SMR trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

SMR trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$5.375
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$5.270
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$5.789
Max loss
-7.7%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (25.0) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$5.107
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$4.838
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$4.569
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

SMR moves about 4.1% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much SMR tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Beta
2.37
against the S&P 500; 1 moves with the market
Daily volatility
4.10%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$5.270
$5.20 0% of the way up $45.54

Compare SMR

Put SMR side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

SMR price history and drawdowns

SMR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

0/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 4.10% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 90.1%, from October 2025 to October 2026; the price is still 90.1% below that peak.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    47% of 1-year holding periods in the last 5 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in March 2022 is now worth $7,311, against $18,961 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

SMR Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall since March 2022
-90.1%
October 2025 to October 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 90.1% below the October 2025 peak
From the high since March 2022
-90.1%
highest close, October 2025
1-year holds that gained
47%
of every 1-year window

As of October 26, 2026, SMR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since March 2022 with dividends reinvested was -90.1% (October 2025 to October 2026); it is still 90.1% below that peak, and 47% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into SMR in March 2022 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

SMR today
$7,311
from $10,000 in March 2022, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$18,961
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$11,650
0.4x the index result
Total change
-27%
0.7x the starting amount
2023202420252026
SMR S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: SMR trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $7,310.69 against $18,961.

A $10,000 investment in SMR in March 2022 would be worth about $7,311 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $18,961 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to SMR, and which have not.

Jan2/4 upFeb1/4 upMar1/4 upApr4/5 upMay3/5 upJun3/5 upJul3/5 upAug2/5 upSep2/5 upOct2/4 upNov1/4 upDec1/4 up

Strongest month, May: an average of +28.37%, up in 3 of 5 years.

Weakest month, November: an average of -15.49%, up in 1 of 4 years.

This month, October: has averaged +13.20%, up in 2 of 4 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 5 years, SMR's strongest calendar month has been May (average +28.37%, up in 3 of 5 years) and its weakest November (average -15.49%, up in 1 of 4 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 5 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

SMR stock price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SMR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$2,399
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$8,642
median path
Upside, 2030
$31,132
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 4.7 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in SMR today could grow to about $8,642 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $31,132 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,399. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

SMR Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$5.27
Base case, 2030
$4.55
0.9x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$1.26 to $16.41
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $4.55 for SMR by 2030 in the base case, from $5.27 today (0.9x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $1.26. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SMR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

SMR simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $2.68 $5.08 $9.64
2028 $1.98 $4.90 $12.13
2029 $1.56 $4.72 $14.33
2030 $1.26 $4.55 $16.41

Method: a lognormal simulation of SMR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

09

SMR insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

SMR insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$2.1B
36 open-market sales
Insiders filing
16
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$57.7M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Net insider selling: No insider bought SMR shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

As of October 26, 2026, SMR insiders reported 36 open-market sales worth $2.1B and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in SMR
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 1, 2026
Robert Ramsey Hamady
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 20.0K $157.8K
Oct 1, 2026
Robert Ramsey Hamady
Chief Financial Officer
Option 20.0K $64.0K
Sep 30, 2026
Alan L Boeckmann
Director
Grant 4.5K -
Sep 30, 2026
Kent Kresa
Director
Grant 3.3K -
Aug 27, 2026
Robert Ramsey Hamady
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 29.9K $280.6K
Aug 26, 2026
Robert Ramsey Hamady
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 76.9K -
Aug 18, 2026
Shinji Fujino
Director
Sell 20.0K $177.2K
Aug 17, 2026
Robert Ramsey Hamady
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 20.0K $189.8K
Aug 17, 2026
Robert Ramsey Hamady
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 20.0K $183.8K
Aug 17, 2026
Robert Ramsey Hamady
Chief Financial Officer
Option 20.0K $64.0K
Page 1 of 9

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

SMR stock forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.

SMR Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) a buy right now?
A score of 25/100 gives SMR its Sell rating. The analysts' outlook does the most to lift the score, since the median target is 89.8% above the price. The main drag is the trend: the price is 52.65% below its 200-day average and 35.36% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 26.75% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 86.03%. Over shorter periods it fell 38.29% in three months and fell 37.41% in the past month. It now trades 88.43% below its 52-week high of $45.54.
What are the key price levels for SMR?
Above the current price, the first levels are the 20-day EMA at $6.49 and the 50-day SMA at $8.15. Below the price, the level to watch is the 52-week low at $5.20.
What do Wall Street analysts think of SMR?
Of the 18 analysts covering SMR, 6 rate it buy, 8 hold and 4 sell. Their median 12-month target is $10.00, 89.8% above the current price.
How often has SMR beaten earnings estimates?
In our data, SMR topped the EPS estimate in 0 of the 7 reports.
How volatile is SMR?
On an average day, SMR's share price moves 4.10%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. Measured against the S&P 500, its beta is 2.37.
Are SMR insiders buying or selling?
Across the last 18 months, insiders disposed of $2.1B worth of stock and made no open-market purchases. Such sales are frequently scheduled ahead of time or carried out to pay taxes on vesting shares, which makes them a weaker signal than buying would be.
What is the 52-week range of SMR?
Over the past 52 weeks, SMR has traded between $5.20 and $45.54. At $5.27, the stock is at 0% of that span, 1.35% above the low and 88.43% below the high.
Is SMR in an uptrend?
No. NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) trades at $5.27, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($8.15 and $11.13). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 25.0, in oversold territory.
What is SMR's biggest drop in the period since March 2022?
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since March 2022 was -90.1%, from October 2025 to October 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 90.1% below it. Over the same period, 47% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for SMR are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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