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As of September 26, 2026, Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) trades at $16.66. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $30.00, 80.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $30.00 across 13 analysts. RSI at 64 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $16.05.
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI)
Rigetti Computing, Inc. NASDAQ
$16.66
0.1600 (0.97%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
69 / 100
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) is trading at $16.66, below its 200-day moving average of $18.59, indicating a bearish technical trend despite a bullish RSI of 63.96. The company is experiencing substantial revenue growth, with current year estimates at $23.3M, representing a 228.00% increase year-over-year, and next year's estimates projecting an 89.00% growth to $34.9M. This growth is supported by a strong analyst consensus of 'Buy' with a median price target of $30.00, implying an 80.1% upside potential. However, the company faces significant headwinds from heavy insider selling, with over $62.5 million in dispositions and no reported insider purchases, signaling a lack of confidence from management. While the company's profit margins are negative, its price-to-sales ratio of 416.43 is exceptionally high, suggesting a premium valuation that may be difficult to sustain without continued rapid growth. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is very low at 0.01, indicating a strong balance sheet, but its return on equity is a negative 43.77%.
RGTI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$16.49
Day Range
$16.36 to $17.30
Prev Close
$16.50
Volume
17.52M
52-Week Range
$12.53 to $58.15
Market Cap
$5.56B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, RGTI trades at 416.43x, far above the sector average of 7.50x.
RGTI Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, RGTI beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RGTI Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+80.07% Upside
Median of 13 analysts (12-month)
$30.00
AI Technical Analysis
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) exhibits bullish momentum with its RSI at 63.96, trading above its 50-day SMA of $16.05 and its 20-day EMA of $16.00. However, the stock is currently trading below its 200-day SMA of $18.59, suggesting a longer-term bearish trend. The MACD is near zero, indicating a neutral short-term momentum. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with 17.5 million shares traded compared to a 20-day average of 17.2 million. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 200-day SMA. The current price action suggests a battle between short-term bullish indicators and a longer-term bearish trend, with significant insider selling adding a layer of caution.
ProTips
- Despite a bullish RSI, the significant insider selling of over $62.5 million for Rigetti Computing (RGTI) suggests caution is warranted. Consider waiting for a clearer signal of insider confidence before initiating or increasing a position.
- Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating a potential bearish trend. Investors should monitor if the stock can reclaim this key technical level to signal a shift in momentum.
- Given Rigetti Computing's (RGTI) high price-to-sales ratio of 416.43, position sizing should be conservative, reflecting the elevated valuation and the company's reliance on future growth to justify its current market capitalization.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Next year's revenue is estimated to reach $34.9 million, an 89.00% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for quantum computing solutions.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment
The median analyst price target for RGTI is $30.00, implying an 80.1% upside from the current price, supported by 13 analysts with a consensus 'Buy' rating.
Source: Wall Street Price TargetBearish
Heavy Insider Selling
Insiders have sold over $62.5 million worth of Rigetti Computing (RGTI) stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the near-term outlook.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Trading Below 200-Day Moving Average
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is currently trading at $16.66, below its 200-day SMA of $18.59, suggesting a bearish longer-term technical trend.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) is expected to see continued strong revenue growth, with projections for the next year reaching $34.9 million, an 89.00% increase. The median analyst price target of $30.00 suggests significant upside potential from the current price of $16.66, driven by the company's position in the technology sector and its ambitious growth trajectory. The primary upside catalysts include the successful execution of its growth strategy and continued positive analyst sentiment. However, the significant insider selling and the high valuation metrics present considerable downside risks. A failure to meet aggressive revenue growth targets or a worsening of insider selling could lead to a sharp correction, especially given the stock's current position below its 200-day moving average.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 5.56B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.8300 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 58.15 |
| 52 Week Low | 12.53 |
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a high valuation metric of 416.43 for its price-to-sales ratio, significantly above the sector median of 7.5. This suggests the stock is trading at a substantial premium relative to its current revenue. The company's profit margin is reported at 29.12%, but this is offset by a significantly negative operating margin of -546.17% and a negative return on equity of -43.77%, indicating significant operational inefficiencies and losses. Despite these concerns, the company's balance sheet is strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.01, well below the sector median of 0.01. The projected revenue growth for the next year is a strong 89.00%, which may justify the high price-to-sales ratio if realized. However, the negative EPS of -0.83 and negative growth estimates for the current and next year (-16% and -10.5% respectively) raise questions about the sustainability of its valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) has shown consistent performance around analyst estimates in its recent earnings reports. For the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS of -0.05, matching the estimate with a 0% surprise and resulting in a positive price change of 8.53%. Prior quarters also showed EPS figures at or very near estimates, with no significant surprises. The company's revenue growth is projected to be strong, with current quarter estimates showing an 89.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) faces significant risks, primarily stemming from heavy insider selling totaling over $62.5 million, which suggests a lack of confidence from management. The company's extremely high price-to-sales ratio of 416.43, far exceeding the sector median, indicates a potentially overvalued stock that is highly sensitive to growth expectations. Also, the stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, signaling a bearish longer-term trend that could persist.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 63.96 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.00 |
| SMA 50 | 16.05 |
| SMA 200 | 18.59 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Neutral
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $16.05, 200-day: $18.59), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RGTI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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RGTI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$16.33
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$16.66
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$14.93
MAX LOSS
-8.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (64.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$17.14
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$17.96
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$18.78
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
RGTI is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.28%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RGTI in April 2021 would be worth about $16,828 today, compared with about $18,710 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RGTI today could grow to about $22,919 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $173,875 and a bear case around $3,021. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RGTI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $23.21 for RGTI by 2030 in the base case, from $16.66 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $6.44. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RGTI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $9.54 | $18.10 | $34.35 |
| 2028 | $7.95 | $19.67 | $48.67 |
| 2029 | $7.04 | $21.37 | $64.83 |
| 2030 | $6.44 | $23.21 | $83.63 |
| 2031 | $6.02 | $25.22 | $106 |
| 2032 | $5.70 | $27.40 | $132 |
| 2033 | $5.46 | $29.77 | $162 |
| 2034 | $5.28 | $32.35 | $198 |
| 2035 | $5.14 | $35.14 | $240 |
| 2036 | $5.03 | $38.18 | $290 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RGTI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. RGTI is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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RGTI Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$62.5M
35 Transactions
Insiders
8
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.8M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | RIVAS DAVID
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 499.3K | $12.7M |
| May 20, 2025 | KULKARNI SUBODH K
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.0M | $12.0M |
| Dec 9, 2025 | CLIFTON MICHAEL S.
Director
|
Sell | 150.0K | $4.1M |
| Nov 11, 2024 | BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS TRUST
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.0M | $3.0M |
| Nov 11, 2024 | BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS X L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.0M | $3.0M |
| Oct 17, 2025 | SANDFORD HELENE GAIL
Director
|
Sell | 62.0K | $2.8M |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RIVAS DAVID
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 351.8K | $2.7M |
| May 21, 2025 | BERTELSEN JEFFREY A
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 231.3K | $2.7M |
| Jun 1, 2026 | KULKARNI SUBODH K
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 104.2K | $2.6M |
| Jun 8, 2026 | JOHNSON RAY O
Director
|
Sell | 122.2K | $2.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Rigetti Computing's stock price prediction for 2030?
Rigetti Computing's (RGTI) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $23.21, with a downside scenario of $6.44 and an upside scenario of $83.63. These figures are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation and not guaranteed price targets.
Is Rigetti Computing (RGTI) stock a buy right now?
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 69 and a median analyst price target of $30.00, suggesting an 80.1% upside. However, significant insider selling and a high price-to-sales ratio warrant careful consideration.
What are the key risks for Rigetti Computing (RGTI)?
The primary risks for Rigetti Computing (RGTI) include substantial insider selling exceeding $62.5 million, an extremely high price-to-sales ratio of 416.43, and the stock trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential overvaluation and bearish sentiment.
How is Rigetti Computing's revenue growth?
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is experiencing strong revenue growth, with current year estimates at $23.3 million, a 228.00% increase year-over-year. Next year's revenue is projected to grow by 89.00% to $34.9 million.
What is the analyst consensus for Rigetti Computing (RGTI)?
The Wall Street consensus for Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is predominantly positive, with 1 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings from 13 analysts, resulting in a 'Buy' consensus and a score of 69 out of 100.
How does Rigetti Computing's valuation compare to its sector?
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) trades at a significant premium compared to its sector peers, with a price-to-sales ratio of 416.43 versus the sector median of 7.5. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 is in line with the sector median.
What was Rigetti Computing's most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Rigetti Computing (RGTI) reported an EPS of -0.05, matching estimates with no surprise, and saw a positive stock price reaction of 8.53%.