Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN)
- Market cap
- $4.49B
- P/E
- 107.64
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $80.00median of 12 analysts
- 52-week range
- $29.34 $118.38
The short version
Where KRMN stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
KRMN at a glance
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN): Strong Buy, 83/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($41.69 and $66.70).
- Earnings KRMN beat estimates in 3 of its last 5 quarters, yet fell the next day after 1 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $1.2B and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 107.6 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a premium to peers (+217%).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) is currently trading at $35.11, below its 50-day SMA of $41.69 and 200-day SMA of $66.70, indicating a bearish short-term technical picture.
However, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 58.2% and a profit margin of 6.31%, which is slightly below the sector median of 17.8% for ROE but shows strong operating margins at 20.23%. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 107.64, is significantly higher than the sector median of 34, suggesting it trades at a premium. Despite the current technical weakness, Wall Street analysts maintain a strong conviction in KRMN, with 12 analysts issuing a consensus rating of Strong Buy and a median price target of $80.00, implying an upside of 127.9%. This divergence between current price action and analyst sentiment, coupled with strong forward estimates for EPS and revenue growth, suggests potential for a significant rebound. The primary risk lies in the premium valuation and the need for continued execution to justify the high multiples.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from KRMN's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $35.11 is 15.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $41.69.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 47.4% below the 200-day simple moving average of $66.70.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($41.69) is 37.5% below the 200-day average ($66.70), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 6% of its 52-week range, between $29.34 and $118.38.
KRMN share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far KRMN has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where KRMN sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 107.64 is 216.6% above the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 6.78 is 69.4% above the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $37.2M on revenue of $589.6M, a net margin of 6.3%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
KRMN beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 5 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for KRMN.
As of October 16, 2026, KRMN trades at $35.11, with a market value of $4.49B and a P/E ratio of 107.64.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of KRMN's valuation, growth and risks.
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) exhibits a high P/E ratio of 107.64, significantly exceeding the sector median of 34, indicating a premium valuation.
Its Price-to-Sales ratio stands at 6.78, also higher than the sector median of 4.0. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is 9.50%, which is below the sector median of 17.8%, but its Profit Margin is 6.31% and Operating Margin is a strong 20.23%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 2.08, which is a point of concern when compared to the sector average, suggesting higher financial leverage. Despite the premium valuation and higher debt levels, the strong revenue growth of 58.2% and strong operating margins suggest underlying business strength that analysts are factoring into their optimistic price targets.
KRMN against the Industrials sector
How KRMN compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: KRMN trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+217%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs ITA: Since May 6, 2025, KRMN has lost 8.4% against a gain of 30.3% for ITA.
Performance against ITA
KRMN and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much KRMN sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 36.6% in FY2025 to $472M, from $345M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 3.7% in FY2025, up from 3.7% the year before.
Profitable: KRMN earned $17.4M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did KRMN beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: KRMN beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 5 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | $0.13 | $0.14 | +7.69% | +5.60% | +9.72% |
| Mar 25, 2026after close | $0.11 | $0.11 | +0.00% | -13.64% | -16.98% |
| Nov 6, 2025after close | $0.11 | $0.10 | -9.09% | -5.73% | -19.99% |
| Aug 7, 2025after close | $0.07 | $0.10 | +42.86% | -5.04% | +5.60% |
| May 13, 2025after close | $0.02 | $0.05 | +150.00% | +7.99% | +9.21% |
As of October 16, 2026, KRMN has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 5 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 7.69% above the estimate and the stock moved +5.60% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 50.2, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 50.2 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of KRMN
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $41.69 and its 200-day SMA of $66.70, indicating a bearish trend in the medium to long term.
The 14-day RSI is at 50.19, reflecting neutral momentum, while the stock is trading above its 20-day EMA of $33.83, suggesting some short-term support. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current price action relative to longer-term averages. The stochastic indicator at 83.14 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, which could precede a pullback if not accompanied by strong buying pressure.
Strong Analyst Conviction and Price Targets ›
12 Wall Street analysts maintain a Strong Buy consensus with a median price target of $80.00, representing a 127.9% upside from the current price, indicating significant institutional confidence.
Source: Wall Street ResearchRecent Earnings Beat ›
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) beat EPS estimates by 7.69% in its latest earnings report (August 6, 2026), leading to a positive stock price reaction, suggesting improving operational performance.
Source: Company Earnings ReleaseHigh Revenue Growth Projections ›
Analysts forecast strong revenue growth for KRMN, with current year estimates at +57.00% and next year at +28.00%, driven by strong demand in the aerospace and defense sector.
Source: Wall Street Estimates
Premium Valuation and Technical Weakness ›
KRMN's P/E ratio of 107.64 and Price-to-Sales of 6.78 are significantly higher than sector medians, and the stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, posing valuation and technical risks.
Source: Market DataParent Company Stake Reduction ›
TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP, a large institutional holder, has been systematically reducing its stake in KRMN, accounting for $1.2B of total insider sales. This is viewed as a corporate restructuring rather than a management confidence issue.
Source: Insider Trading Filings
- Monitor Karman Holdings Inc.'s (KRMN) ability to sustain its high revenue growth rate and manage its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 to justify its premium valuation.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($41.69 and $66.70), suggesting caution for short-term traders until a clear upward trend is established.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for KRMN, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with KRMN at $35.11, its 14-day RSI is 50.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $41.69 and its 200-day is $66.70.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What KRMN moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, KRMN's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.40 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.38 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.20 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.26 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
12 of 12 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $80.00 is 127.9% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
12 of 12 rate it a buy now, against 10 of 11 three months ago.
KRMN Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $35.11, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight |
| Sep 28, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Guggenheim | Initiates | Buy |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 10, 2026 | BWS Financial | Maintains | Sell |
As of October 16, 2026, 12 Wall Street analysts cover KRMN: 12 rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $63.00 to $100.00, with a median of $80.00, 127.9% above the price of $35.11.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
KRMN trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
KRMN moves about 4.7% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much KRMN tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
KRMN's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/3Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.69% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 73.9%, from January 2026 to October 2026; the price is still 69.5% below that peak.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in February 2025 is now worth $11,281, against $12,906 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
KRMN Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, KRMN's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 2 years with dividends reinvested was -73.9% (January 2026 to October 2026); it is still 69.5% below that peak.
From daily closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into KRMN in February 2025 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: KRMN trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $11,281 against $12,906.
A $10,000 investment in KRMN in February 2025 would be worth about $11,281 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $12,906 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to KRMN, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +35.07%.
Weakest month, November: an average of -22.99%.
This month, October: has averaged +14.66%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in KRMN, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KRMN today could grow to about $19,538 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $148,228 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,575. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
KRMN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $45.90 for KRMN by 2030 in the base case, from $35.11 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $12.74. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KRMN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $19.78 | $37.54 | $71.25 | |
| 2028 | $16.22 | $40.14 | $99.35 | |
| 2029 | $14.15 | $42.92 | $130 | |
| 2030 | $12.74 | $45.90 | $165 | |
| 2031 | $11.71 | $49.08 | $206 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of KRMN's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
KRMN insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought KRMN shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 16, 2026, KRMN insiders reported 14 open-market sales worth $1.2B and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Chris Michael Boynton
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 11.4K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Matthew Alty
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Jonathan Beaudoin
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 689 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | John Hamilton
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Tony Koblinski
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Doug Laurendeau
Officer
|
Grant | 10.9K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Mary D Petryszyn
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Mary D Petryszyn
Director
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Brian D. Raduenz
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Jon Rambeau
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 99.9K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Stephanie Sawhill
Former
|
Grant | 689 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | David Stinnett
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Stephen Twitty
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Michael Willis
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 689 | - |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Tony Koblinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.2M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Tony Koblinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.0M |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Tony Koblinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.1M |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Tony Koblinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $4.4M |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Michael Willis
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 115.0K | $6.7M |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Jonathan Beaudoin
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 74.0K | $4.7M |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Stephanie Sawhill
Officer
|
Sell | 62.0K | $4.0M |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Brian D. Raduenz
Director
|
Sell | 90.0K | $6.1M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Tcfiii Spaceco Spv Lp
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 23.6M | $1.2B |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Tony Koblinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 250.0K | $12.3M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Michael Willis
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $4.9M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Jonathan Beaudoin
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 80.0K | $3.9M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Stephanie Sawhill
Officer
|
Sell | 62.0K | $3.0M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Brian D. Raduenz
Director
|
Sell | 34.0K | $1.7M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.