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As of September 27, 2026, Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) trades at $35.69. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $85.00, 138.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $85.00 across 11 analysts. RSI at 38 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $46.69.
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN)
Karman Holdings Inc. NYSE
$35.69
0.7700 (2.21%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) is currently trading at $35.69, well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.69 and $69.65), indicating a bearish technical trend. Despite this, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 58.2% year-over-year, with analysts projecting further acceleration to 59.00% in the current and next quarters. The median analyst price target stands at $85.00, suggesting a potential upside of 138.2% from current levels. Insider activity reveals significant selling, but this is dominated by parent company TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP, totaling $1.2 billion in sales as part of a corporate restructuring, rather than direct officer or director actions. Officer and director selling amounts to $66.9 million. The company's fundamental metrics, including a profit margin of 6.31% and an operating margin of 20.23%, are solid, though its price-to-sales ratio of 7.68 is high relative to its sector peers. Insiders are net sellers with $1,553.7M in total sales versus $0 in total purchases in recent filings. However, 95% of total selling ($1.2B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $66.9M.
KRMN Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$34.76
Day Range
$33.35 to $35.77
Prev Close
$34.92
Volume
4.87M
52-Week Range
$32.20 to $118.38
Market Cap
$4.73B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+272%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
KRMN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, KRMN beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
KRMN Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Karman Holdings Inc. is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $35.69 sitting below the 50-day SMA of $46.69 and the 200-day SMA of $69.65. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.96, indicating bearish momentum and suggesting further downside potential before any significant reversal. Volume has been slightly below its average, with 4.87 million shares traded versus a 5.06 million average. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current trend, while resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA. The overall chart structure points to a bearish short-term outlook, with the price action needing to break above these moving averages to signal a potential trend change.
ProTips
- Monitor the price action closely for a sustained break above the 50-day SMA ($46.69) and 200-day SMA ($69.65) as a signal of a potential trend reversal.
- Given the high price-to-sales ratio, investors should pay close attention to future revenue growth figures and profitability to justify the current valuation.
- The significant selling by parent company TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP should be viewed as a corporate restructuring event rather than a bearish indicator from management.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Momentum
Continued high revenue growth, projected at 59.00% for the current and next quarters, could drive investor confidence and stock price appreciation.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Analyst Price Target Upside
A median analyst price target of $85.00, representing a 138.2% upside from the current price, suggests significant potential for price appreciation if targets are met.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Recent Earnings Beat
The company's positive EPS surprise in the quarter ending June 2026 and subsequent stock price increase indicate improving operational performance.
Source: Earnings ReportNeutral
Parent Company Divestiture
The substantial selling by TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP is a large-scale corporate restructuring, not a reflection of internal management sentiment, and is a key factor in understanding insider transaction data.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Trend
The stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.69 and $69.65), indicating a strong bearish momentum that could persist in the short term.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Karman Holdings Inc. anticipates a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $85.00 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its exceptional revenue growth and positive analyst sentiment. This target represents a 138.2% upside from the current price, suggesting significant undervaluation if the company can maintain its growth trajectory. However, the current bearish technical setup presents a near-term risk. A sustained break above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs would be a strong bullish signal. Conversely, failure to reverse the current downtrend could lead to further downside, potentially testing the lower end of analyst targets or even the long-range projection's downside scenario of $13.55.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.73B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 126.59 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.2700 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 118.38 |
| 52 Week Low | 32.20 |
Karman Holdings Inc. exhibits a high price-to-sales ratio of 7.68, significantly above the sector median of 4.00, suggesting the stock may be overvalued on this metric. However, its reported revenue growth of 58.2% is exceptional, far exceeding the sector average of 11.7%. The company's profit margin stands at 6.31% and its operating margin is a strong 20.23%, indicating efficient operations. While the company's return on equity is 9.50%, its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 is relatively high compared to sector averages. The strong revenue growth and solid operating margins provide some justification for the premium valuation, but the high P/S ratio and debt levels warrant careful consideration.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Karman Holdings Inc. most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.14, beating the estimated $0.13 by 7.69% and resulting in a 5.6% stock price increase. Prior to this, the company had mixed results, with a flat EPS in March 2026 and a miss, though it met estimates in another September 2025 report. The company's revenue growth has been a consistent highlight, with current quarter estimates showing a strong +59.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
Karman Holdings Inc. faces significant risks including its current bearish technical trend, trading well below key moving averages. The high price-to-sales ratio of 7.68, compared to the sector median of 4.00, indicates a potential valuation stretch. Additionally, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 is elevated, posing a risk in a rising interest rate environment.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 37.96 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -3.87 |
| SMA 50 | 46.69 |
| SMA 200 | 69.65 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $46.69, 200-day: $69.65), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with KRMN? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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KRMN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$34.98
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$35.69
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$31.17
MAX LOSS
-10.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (38.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$36.73
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$38.47
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$40.22
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
KRMN is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.73%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in KRMN in February 2025 would be worth about $11,877 today, compared with about $12,651 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KRMN today could grow to about $21,856 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $165,816 and a bear case around $2,881. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
KRMN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $48.80 for KRMN by 2030 in the base case, from $35.69 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $13.55. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KRMN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $20.33 | $38.59 | $73.25 |
| 2028 | $16.86 | $41.73 | $103 |
| 2029 | $14.87 | $45.13 | $137 |
| 2030 | $13.55 | $48.80 | $176 |
| 2031 | $12.59 | $52.76 | $221 |
| 2032 | $11.87 | $57.05 | $274 |
| 2033 | $11.32 | $61.70 | $336 |
| 2034 | $10.89 | $66.71 | $409 |
| 2035 | $10.55 | $72.14 | $493 |
| 2036 | $10.28 | $78.01 | $592 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using KRMN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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KRMN Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$1.2B
14 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$87.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2025 | TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 23.6M | $1.2B |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 9.7M | $310.0M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | KOBLINSKI TONY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 250.0K | $12.3M |
| Feb 14, 2025 | KOBLINSKI TONY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 381.8K | $12.2M |
| Nov 17, 2025 | WILLIS MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 115.0K | $6.7M |
| Nov 12, 2025 | RADUENZ BRIAN D.
Director
|
Sell | 90.0K | $6.1M |
| Dec 12, 2025 | KOBLINSKI TONY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.2M |
| Nov 28, 2025 | KOBLINSKI TONY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.1M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | KOBLINSKI TONY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.0M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | WILLIS MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $4.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is KRMN stock forecast for 2030?
The long-range projection for Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) in 2030 indicates a base case price of $48.80. The downside scenario suggests a price of $13.55, while the upside scenario projects $175.78. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and are not definitive price targets.
Is Karman Holdings Inc. stock a buy?
With a median analyst target price of $85.00, implying a 138.2% upside from the current price of $35.69, and strong revenue growth, Karman Holdings Inc. presents a compelling buy case. However, the current bearish technical trend and high valuation multiples should be considered.
What is Karman Holdings Inc.'s current technical position?
Karman Holdings Inc. is currently in a bearish technical trend, trading below its 50-day SMA ($46.69) and 200-day SMA ($69.65). The RSI is at 37.96, indicating bearish momentum.
How are Karman Holdings Inc.'s recent earnings?
Karman Holdings Inc. recently beat EPS estimates for the quarter ending June 2026 by 7.69%, leading to a positive stock price reaction. While prior quarters showed mixed results, the company consistently demonstrates strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates projecting a 59.00% increase.
What are the main risks for Karman Holdings Inc.?
Key risks for Karman Holdings Inc. include its current bearish technical trend, a high price-to-sales ratio of 7.68, and an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08. Investors should monitor these factors closely.
What is the analyst consensus for Karman Holdings Inc.?
The Wall Street consensus for Karman Holdings Inc. is 'Buy', with 11 analysts covering the stock. The consensus score is 79 out of 100, with a median price target of $85.00.
How does Karman Holdings Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Karman Holdings Inc. significantly outperforms its sector peers in revenue growth (58.2% vs. 11.7%) but trades at a higher price-to-sales ratio (7.68 vs. 4.00). Its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 is also higher than the sector median.