CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Roger Wohlner, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
JD.com, Inc. (JD) is trading at $26.68, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.16 and $28.80), indicating a bearish short-term technical trend. However, the company's fundamentals and analyst sentiment paint a more optimistic picture for the long term. With a median analyst price target of $39.30, JD offers a potential upside of 47.3% from its current trading level. Forward-looking estimates are strong, with projected revenue growth of 4.00% for the current year and 6.00% for the next, alongside an impressive earnings per share (EPS) growth estimate of 25.8% for the current year and 25.5% for the next. The company's own fundamentals show a profit margin of 1.13% and a return on equity of 6.79%, though its revenue growth was negative at -2.9% in the latest reported period.
JD at a glance
JD.com, Inc. Sponsored (JD): Buy, 76/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($28.16 and $28.80).
ValuationP/E of 18.4 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: broadly in line with peers (-11%).
As of October 15, 2026, JD.com, Inc. Sponsored (JD) trades at $26.68. Wall Street's consensus target is $39.30 across 36 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 44, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $28.16.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from JD's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-11% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
JD Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 1 quarters, JD did not beat the analyst estimate.
JD earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Mar 5, 2026
$0.67
$0.57
-14.93%
+6.12%
+9.70%
The August 13, 2026 report is not shown: the figures our data provider supplied for it failed our checks.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, JD has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 reported quarters; its most recent report with reliable figures, on March 5, 2026, came in 14.93% below the estimate and the stock moved +6.12% in the first session.
JD Analysis
Company's Health4/5
12-Month Analyst Target+47.32% above price
Median of 36 analysts (12-month)
$39.30
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreBuy
JD.com, Inc. (JD) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $28.16 and its 200-day SMA of $28.80, suggesting a bearish trend over the past quarter. The 14-day RSI is at 44.36, indicating neutral momentum, and the MACD is currently negative at -0.316, further reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment. The current price of $26.68 is below its 20-day EMA of $26.89. Volume on the latest trading day was 6.68 million, which is 14.7% below its average volume of 7.83 million, suggesting subdued investor interest in the current price action. The stock's technicals indicate a cautious outlook in the immediate term, with resistance likely found near the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
ProTips
JD.com's current price is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.16 and $28.80), suggesting potential for a near-term bounce if key resistance levels are overcome.
Key Catalysts
BullishPositive Forward Growth Estimates
Analysts project strong earnings growth of over 25% for the current and next years, coupled with positive revenue growth forecasts, indicating anticipated business expansion.
Source: Wall Street Estimates
BullishValuation Below Sector Averages
JD.com's P/E and P/S ratios are lower than sector medians, suggesting potential for multiple expansion as the company executes its growth strategy.
Source: Company Data & Sector Averages
BearishRecent Negative Revenue Growth
The company reported a -2.9% revenue growth in the latest period, which could indicate market saturation or increased competitive pressures impacting top-line performance.
Source: Company Data
BearishTrading Below Key Moving Averages
JD.com's stock price is currently below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.16 and $28.80), indicating short-term technical weakness and potential for further downside if support levels fail.
Source: Technical Analysis
Market Outlook
The thesis could be challenged by a continuation of negative revenue growth or increased competitive pressures in the online retail space. A significant downside risk would be a failure to meet the optimistic earnings and revenue projections, or a shift in analyst sentiment away from the current 'Buy' consensus. Conversely, exceeding growth expectations or successful market share expansion could drive the stock towards the higher end of analyst targets.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
36.03B
P/E Ratio
18.43
EPS (TTM)
1.45
Dividend Yield
3.75%
52 Week High
35.06
52 Week Low
24.51
As of October 15, 2026, JD trades at $26.68, with a market value of $36.03B, a P/E ratio of 18.43 and a dividend yield of 3.75%.
JD.com, Inc. (JD) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.43, which is slightly below the sector average P/E of 20.8, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to its peers in the Consumer Cyclical sector. The company's Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 0.18, also below the sector average of 1.9. While the company's revenue growth was reported at -2.9%, forward-looking estimates are positive, with expected revenue growth of 4.00% for the current year and 6.00% for the next. The profit margin is 1.13% and the return on equity is 6.79%, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, which is in line with the sector average of 0.37. These figures suggest that despite recent revenue contraction, the company is managing its balance sheet effectively and analysts anticipate a return to growth.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
The company's revenue growth is projected to be positive, with an 8.00% increase expected for the next quarter.
Key Risks
JD.com, Inc. (JD) faces risks related to its recent negative revenue growth of -2.9%, indicating potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures within the internet retail sector. The stock is also trading below its key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs), signaling short-term technical weakness that could persist. Also, while analyst sentiment is largely positive, the presence of one "Sell" rating among 36 analysts suggests some divergence in opinion regarding the stock's future performance. The company's profit margin of 1.13% is relatively thin, which could make it vulnerable to unexpected cost increases or competitive pricing.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
44.36
MACD (12, 26)
-0.316
SMA (50-day)
28.16
SMA (200-day)
28.80
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $28.16, 200-day: $28.80), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with JD at $26.68, its 14-day RSI is 44.4 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $28.16 and its 200-day is $28.80.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.30
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.14
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, JD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.30 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.27 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.16 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.14 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with JD? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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JD Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $25.20Median $39.30 (+47.3%)High $53.42
Ratings
Buy 32Hold 3Sell 13 months ago: 32 of 36 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on JD
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Aug 17, 2026
Susquehanna
Maintains
Neutral
Jul 15, 2026
Barclays
Maintains
Overweight
Jun 24, 2026
Daiwa Capital
Downgrade
Hold
Jun 23, 2026
Daiwa Capital
Downgrade
Hold
May 14, 2026
Susquehanna
Maintains
Neutral
May 14, 2026
Barclays
Maintains
Overweight
As of October 15, 2026, 36 Wall Street analysts cover JD: 32 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $25.20 to $53.42, with a median of $39.30, 47.3% above the price of $26.68.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
JD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$26.15
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$26.68
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$25.36
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (44.4) and current market volatility
These levels come from JD's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in JD in October 2016 would be worth about $10,141 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
JD Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-79.6%
February 2021 to February 2024
Recovery
Not yet
still 75.0% below the February 2021 peak
From the 10-year high
-75.0%
highest close, February 2021
1-year holds that gained
41%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, JD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -79.6% (February 2021 to February 2024); it is still 75.0% below that peak, and 41% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in JD today could grow to about $13,708 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $92,634 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,029. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.75% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
JD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $30.27 for JD by 2030 in the base case, from $26.68 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $9.04. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on JD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
JD simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$15.05
$27.53
$50.38
2028
$12.09
$28.42
$66.78
2029
$10.30
$29.33
$83.52
2030
$9.04
$30.27
$101
2031
$8.09
$31.24
$121
Method: a lognormal simulation of JD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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Popular Comparisons
JD Insider Trading Analysis
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
▲Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼Sold
None
No open-market sells
●Insiders
10
Active Traders
$Avg Transaction
N/A
Values not reported
Recent insider transactions in JD
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Sep 23, 2026
LI CAROL YUN YAU
Director
Grant
9.3K
-
Aug 14, 2026
DING KUN
Director
Grant
7.0K
-
Aug 14, 2026
YU JENNIFER NGAR-WING
Director
Grant
7.0K
-
Jul 1, 2026
SHAN SU
Chief Financial Officer
Grant
1.3K
-
Jun 8, 2026
SCHEUFELE CAROLINE
Director
Grant
7.6K
-
May 22, 2026
HSIEH LOUIS TUNG-JUNG
Director
Grant
7.5K
-
May 22, 2026
XU DINGBO
Director
Grant
7.5K
-
May 15, 2026
LIU QIANGDONG RICHARD
Director
Grant
1.0M
-
Apr 1, 2026
SHAN SU
Chief Financial Officer
Grant
11.3K
-
Apr 1, 2026
XU RAN
Chief Executive Officer
Grant
44.5K
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does JD.com's valuation compare to its sector?
JD.com's P/E ratio of 18.43 and P/S ratio of 0.18 are both below the sector averages of 20.8 and 1.9, respectively, suggesting that JD may be undervalued compared to its peers in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What is JD.com's projected revenue growth?
Analysts project JD.com's revenue to grow by 4.00% for the current year and 6.00% for the next year. For the next quarter, revenue growth is estimated at a significant 8.00% year-over-year.
What are the main risks facing JD.com?
Key risks for JD.com include recent negative revenue growth of -2.9%, short-term technical weakness indicated by prices below moving averages, and a thin profit margin of 1.13% which could be sensitive to cost fluctuations.
What is JD.com's long-term outlook?
The long-term outlook for JD.com appears positive, with analysts projecting strong earnings growth of over 25% for the current and next years, and a 5-year average annual growth rate of 23.3%. The company's valuation metrics are also below sector averages, suggesting room for appreciation.
Does JD pay a dividend?
Yes. As of October 15, 2026, JD's dividend yield is 3.75%, or about $1.00 per share a year at the current price of $26.68. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
Is JD in an uptrend?
No. JD.com, Inc. Sponsored (JD) trades at $26.68, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($28.16 and $28.80). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 44.4, in neutral territory.
What is the analyst price target for JD?
As of October 15, 2026, the 36 Wall Street analysts covering JD have 12-month targets from $25.20 to $53.42, with a median of $39.30, 47.3% above the current price of $26.68. 32 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 32 of 36 rated it a buy.
What is JD's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
JD.com, Inc. Sponsored (JD)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -79.6%, from February 2021 to February 2024. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 75.0% below it. Over the same period, 41% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are JD's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, January has been JD's strongest month on average (+8.44%, rising in 8 of 10 years) and October its weakest (-4.13%, rising in 4 of 9 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does JD move with the stock market?
Over the past year JD's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.30). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.27; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.16; Gold (XAU): +0.14. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
