Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
JD.com, Inc. (JD)
- Market cap
- $34.09B
- P/E
- 17.73
- Dividend yield
- 3.97%
- Street target
- $38.19median of 35 analysts
- 52-week range
- $24.51 $35.06
JD stock forecast today
Where JD stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
JD at a glance
JD.com, Inc. (JD): Sell, 35/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($27.29 and $28.68).
- Valuation P/E of 17.7 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: broadly in line with peers (-15%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
JD.com, Inc. (JD) carries a CleaRank rating of Sell and a model score of 35/100.
The analysts' outlook helps most, with 31 of 35 analysts rating the stock a buy and a median target 51.3% above the price. The trend weighs on the score most: the price is 11.98% below its 200-day average and 7.50% below its 50-day, and the 50-day sits 4.84% below the 200-day. The two averages stand at $27.29 and $28.68. Across the past year, the price declined 23.95%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from JD's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
JD stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $25.24 is 7.5% below the 50-day simple moving average of $27.29.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 12.0% below the 200-day simple moving average of $28.68.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($27.29) is 4.8% below the 200-day average ($28.68), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 7% of its 52-week range, between $24.51 and $35.06.
JD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far JD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where JD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
JD fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 17.73 is 14.7% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.17 is 90.9% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $2.2B on revenue of $196.9B, a net margin of 1.1%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 3.97%, or $1.00 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for JD.
As of October 26, 2026, JD trades at $25.24, with a market value of $34.09B, a P/E ratio of 17.73 and a dividend yield of 3.97%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of JD's valuation, growth and risks.
JD's trailing P/E of 17.73 compares with a Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8, 14.7% below it, which the peer comparison on this page rates as broadly in line with peers. JD trades at 0.17 times its sales, 91.1% below the sector median of 1.9. The company has a market capitalisation of $34.1B and trailing earnings of $1.43 a share.
On profitability, the net margin is 1.13% and the operating margin 1.20%, and return on equity of 6.79% sits below the sector median of 12.4%. Debt-to-equity of 0.37 describes the balance sheet. The trailing dividend yield is 3.97%, equal to $1.00 a share each year.
Typical day-to-day movement for JD is about 1.34%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.32. While the price stays under its moving averages, the trend is a headwind for holders. The price is also 28.01% under its 52-week high of $35.06.
JD against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How JD compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-15% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, JD has lost 29.4% against a gain of 30.2% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
JD and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much JD sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q1 '26 (the quarter to March 31, 2026); JD reported again on August 13, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 13.0% in FY2025 to CN¥1.31T, from CN¥1.16T a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 1.8% in FY2025, down from 3.9% the year before.
Profitable: JD earned CN¥23.1B in FY2025.
JD AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 32.2, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 32.2 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of JD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
JD.com, Inc. (JD) is in a downtrend: the price of $25.24 sits 11.98% below its 200-day average of $28.68 and 7.50% below its 50-day average of $27.29. Even so, the stock is near the floor of its 52-week range, with the price 2.99% above the low of $24.51 and 28.01% below the high of $35.06. Both averages point the same way, since the 50-day sits 4.84% below the 200-day.
The 14-day RSI of 32.2 is in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, and the MACD line is negative. The recent returns are all negative: the price fell 18.45% over the past three months, fell 15.16% over the past six months and fell 23.95% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 42.7% below its average, on a day the price fell 0.47%.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Barclays kept its Overweight rating on October 14, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Barclays, October 14, 2026
Analyst downgrade ›
Daiwa Capital downgraded it to Hold from Buy on June 24, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Daiwa Capital, June 24, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
Daiwa Capital downgraded it to Hold from Buy on June 23, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Daiwa Capital, June 23, 2026
- The two levels to keep an eye on are the 20-day EMA at $26.44, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $24.51, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 32.2 lands in the bearish zone, and the negative MACD line points the same way. Readings above 70 or below 30 would mark stretched momentum.
JD is priced below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($27.29 and $28.68), and that is why the trend reads as down. Reclaiming the 50-day average would be the first sign of repair. Above the price, the first level to watch is the 20-day EMA at $26.44.
Below the price, the nearest level is the 52-week low of $24.51.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for JD, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with JD at $25.24, its 14-day RSI is 32.2 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $27.29 and its 200-day is $28.68.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What JD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, JD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.26 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.12 with gold (XAU).
JD price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
31 of 35 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $38.19 is 51.3% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
31 of 35 rate it a buy now, against 32 of 36 three months ago.
JD Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 13, 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Daiwa Capital | Downgrade | Hold |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Daiwa Capital | Downgrade | Hold |
As of October 26, 2026, 35 Wall Street analysts cover JD: 31 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $25.13 to $58.32. The median JD price target is $38.19, 51.3% above the price of $25.24.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
JD trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
JD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from JD's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much JD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
JD price history and drawdowns
JD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.34% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 76.5%, from February 2021 to January 2024; the price is still 71.2% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
42% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $11,062, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
JD Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, JD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -76.5% (February 2021 to January 2024); it is still 71.2% below that peak, and 42% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into JD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: JD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $11,062 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in JD in October 2016 would be worth about $11,062 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to JD, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +6.56%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, October: an average of -2.58%, up in 4 of 9 years.
This month, October: has averaged -2.58%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, JD's strongest calendar month has been January (average +6.56%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest October (average -2.58%, up in 4 of 9 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
JD stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in JD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in JD today could grow to about $11,249 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $37,678 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,358. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.97% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
JD Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $28.39 for JD by 2030 in the base case, from $25.24 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $8.48. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on JD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $14.20 | $25.99 | $47.57 | |
| 2028 | $11.39 | $26.77 | $62.93 | |
| 2029 | $9.68 | $27.57 | $78.54 | |
| 2030 | $8.48 | $28.39 | $95.10 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of JD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
JD insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
JD insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Insider trading: No insider bought JD shares on the open market in the last 18 months.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Carol Yun Yau Li
Director
|
Grant | 9.3K | - |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kun Ding
Director
|
Grant | 7.0K | - |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jennifer Ngar-Wing Yu
Director
|
Grant | 7.0K | - |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Su Shan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 1.3K | - |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Caroline Scheufele
Director
|
Grant | 7.6K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | Louis Tung-Jung Hsieh
Director
|
Grant | 7.5K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | Dingbo Xu
Director
|
Grant | 7.5K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Qiangdong Richard Liu
Director
|
Grant | 1.0M | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Su Shan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 11.3K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ran Xu
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 44.5K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Pang Zhang
Officer
|
Grant | 28.9K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
JD stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.