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As of October 11, 2026, HP Inc. (HPQ) trades at $30.20. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $28.00, 7.3% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $28.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 33 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $31.03.
HP Inc. (HPQ)
HP Inc. NYSE
$30.20
-2.240 (-6.91%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
41 / 100
HP Inc. (HPQ) is trading at $30.20, below its 50-day SMA of $31.03 but above its 200-day SMA of $23.82. The stock's RSI is at 33.09, indicating bearish momentum. Analysts maintain a mixed 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $28.00, suggesting a potential downside of -7.3% from current levels. Recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with EPS beating estimates by over 20% in the last two reported quarters, yet the stock price reaction has been negative, reflecting broader market concerns or sector-specific pressures. The company's fundamental valuation appears relatively attractive compared to the Technology sector averages, with a P/E of 11.53 versus the sector median of 34, and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.46 compared to the sector's 7.5. However, HP Inc. exhibits a negative Return on Equity of -730.92%, indicating significant profitability challenges. The debt-to-equity ratio is also negative at -1.12, suggesting the company has more debt than equity, which can be a risk factor. Despite these concerns, the company's revenue growth has been positive at 12.5%, outperforming the sector's median revenue growth of 24.1%.
HPQ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$31.96
Day Range
$29.89 to $31.96
Prev Close
$32.44
Volume
16.69M
52-Week Range
$17.56 to $36.23
Market Cap
$27.23B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-66%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
HPQ Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, HPQ beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
HPQ Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-7.28% Downside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$28.00
AI Technical Analysis
HP Inc. (HPQ) is exhibiting bearish momentum with an RSI of 33.09, suggesting a potential for further downside or a period of consolidation. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average ($31.03) and its 20-day Exponential Moving Average ($31.76), indicating short-term weakness. However, it remains above its 200-day SMA ($23.82), suggesting that the longer-term uptrend may still be intact. Key support levels are being tested, with the 50-day SMA acting as immediate resistance. Volume has been above average recently, with the latest volume at 16.7 million compared to an average of 12.2 million, indicating increased trading activity. The current price action suggests that the stock may continue to face selling pressure in the near term, especially if it cannot reclaim its short-term moving averages.
ProTips
- Consider the negative insider selling signal and the 'Hold' consensus rating, which suggest caution is warranted for new positions in HP Inc. (HPQ).
- Monitor HP Inc.'s ability to regain its 50-day SMA ($31.03) as a key short-term technical indicator for potential trend reversal.
- Given the weak profitability metrics, focus on companies with stronger balance sheets and positive ROE for more stable investment opportunities.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $6.3 million worth of HP Inc. stock with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in near-term performance.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Analyst Price Targets Below Current Price
The median analyst price target for HP Inc. is $28.00, which is below the current trading price of $30.20, suggesting limited upside potential according to Wall Street.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsNeutral
Consistent EPS Beats
HP Inc. has consistently beaten earnings per share estimates, most recently by over 20%, demonstrating operational efficiency in meeting analyst expectations.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Attractive Valuation Metrics
HP Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 11.53 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.46, significantly lower than Technology sector averages, suggesting potential undervaluation.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
HP Inc. (HPQ) faces a challenging outlook, with analysts projecting flat revenue growth for the next fiscal year and a slight decline in EPS. The current 'Hold' consensus and a median price target below the current stock price suggest limited upside potential in the near to medium term. The stock's technical indicators also point to bearish momentum, with the RSI below 50 and trading below key short-term moving averages. Key upside catalysts could emerge from successful product innovation or market share gains in emerging technology segments, though these are not currently reflected in analyst estimates. Conversely, increased competition, further margin compression, or a broader economic downturn impacting PC demand could exacerbate current weaknesses and push the stock towards its downside targets. The company's ability to improve its profitability metrics and generate positive returns on equity will be critical for a sustained upward re-rating.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 27.23B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.53 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.62 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.97% |
| 52 Week High | 36.23 |
| 52 Week Low | 17.56 |
HP Inc. (HPQ) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 11.53, significantly below the Technology sector median of 34, and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.46 compared to the sector's 7.5. This suggests the stock may be undervalued on a relative basis. However, the company's Return on Equity is a concerning -730.92%, and its Profit Margin is 4.14%, indicating substantial profitability issues and potential challenges in converting revenue into net income. The company's balance sheet shows a negative Debt-to-Equity ratio of -1.12, which warrants caution. While revenue growth has been a positive 12.5%, it lags behind the sector's median growth of 24.1%. Analyst estimates project flat revenue growth for the next fiscal year, indicating a potential slowdown. The current valuation, while appearing cheap on P/E and P/S metrics, is tempered by weak profitability and negative equity.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
HP Inc. (HPQ) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters, with the most recent quarter to September 2026 showing an EPS surprise of 20.29% ($0.83 actual vs. $0.69 estimate). Despite these positive earnings surprises, the stock price has reacted negatively, declining by 2.92% following the latest earnings report. This trend of positive earnings beats accompanied by price declines has been observed in previous quarters as well, suggesting that market sentiment or forward-looking guidance may be outweighing current performance.
Key Risks
HP Inc. faces significant risks including intense competition in the PC and printer markets, which could pressure margins and market share. The company's weak profitability, evidenced by a significantly negative Return on Equity, poses a substantial risk to its long-term financial health. Also, the moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with $6.3 million in net sales, suggests a lack of strong conviction from management and could indicate potential headwinds.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.09 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.08 |
| SMA 50 | 31.03 |
| SMA 200 | 23.82 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($31.03) above the 200-day SMA ($23.82), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.36
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with HPQ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
HPQ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$29.90
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$30.20
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$26.79
MAX LOSS
-10.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$30.79
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$31.39
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$32.29
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
HPQ is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.26%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in HPQ in October 2016 would be worth about $19,560 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HPQ today could grow to about $19,779 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $85,618 and a bear case around $4,569. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HPQ Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $39.67 for HPQ by 2030 in the base case, from $30.20 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $15.70. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HPQ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $20.34 | $32.33 | $51.39 |
| 2028 | $17.97 | $34.61 | $66.66 |
| 2029 | $16.61 | $37.06 | $82.68 |
| 2030 | $15.70 | $39.67 | $100 |
| 2031 | $15.07 | $42.47 | $120 |
| 2032 | $14.62 | $45.47 | $141 |
| 2033 | $14.29 | $48.68 | $166 |
| 2034 | $14.05 | $52.12 | $193 |
| 2035 | $13.90 | $55.79 | $224 |
| 2036 | $13.80 | $59.73 | $259 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HPQ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
HPQ Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$6.3M
10 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$631.2K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2023 | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.5M | $158.5M |
| Oct 2, 2023 | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.1M | $132.0M |
| Sep 22, 2023 | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.8M | $129.2M |
| Sep 27, 2023 | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.6M | $119.7M |
| Oct 3, 2023 | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.1M | $80.4M |
| Oct 1, 2018 | LESJAK CATHERINE ANNE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 693.6K | $17.9M |
| Dec 17, 2020 | KEOGH TRACY SUITT
Officer
|
Sell | 337.2K | $8.1M |
| Aug 26, 2019 | WEISLER DION J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 437.2K | $7.9M |
| Mar 9, 2018 | LORES ENRIQUE J
Officer
|
Sell | 302.9K | $7.4M |
| Sep 12, 2024 | LORES ENRIQUE J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 211.5K | $7.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is HP Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
HP Inc. (HPQ) is currently trading at $30.20. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 41 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for HP Inc. stock?
The median analyst price target for HP Inc. (HPQ) is $28.00, which represents an upside of -7.3% from its current trading price of $30.20.
How has HP Inc. performed in its recent earnings reports?
HP Inc. has consistently beaten earnings per share estimates in recent quarters, including a 20.29% surprise in the quarter ending September 2026. However, the stock price has reacted negatively to these positive earnings results.
What are HP Inc.'s key financial strengths and weaknesses?
HP Inc. shows strengths in revenue growth (12.5%) and a low P/E ratio (11.53) relative to its sector. However, it struggles with a significantly negative Return on Equity (-730.92%) and a negative Debt-to-Equity ratio (-1.12).
What does the technical analysis suggest for HP Inc. stock?
Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum for HP Inc. (HPQ), with an RSI at 33.1 and the stock trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness.
What is HP Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, HP Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $39.67 and a downside projection of $15.70. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Are there any significant insider transactions for HP Inc. recently?
Insider activity for HP Inc. shows a moderate sell signal, with $6.3 million in total sales and no reported purchases. This indicates a net selling trend among insiders.