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As of September 26, 2026, HP Inc. (HPQ) trades at $31.30. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $31.30, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $28.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 45 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $29.90.

HP Inc. (HPQ)

HP Inc. NYSE

$31.30 0.1600 (0.51%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
25 / 100
HP Inc. (HPQ) is currently trading at $31.30, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($29.90 and $23.47) but below its 20-day EMA, indicating mixed short-term momentum. The company's fundamental valuation appears stretched relative to its sector peers, trading at a lower P/E ratio but with significantly negative return on equity. Recent earnings have shown consistent beats on EPS estimates, yet the stock has reacted negatively in two of the last four quarters. The primary risk stems from persistent insider selling and a cautious Wall Street outlook.

HPQ Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$31.60
Day Range
$30.81 to $31.77
Prev Close
$31.14
Volume
12.01M
52-Week Range
$17.56 to $36.23
Market Cap
$28.23B

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Technology)

Performance vs XLK

Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-65%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.

HPQ Financial Performance

Revenue vs. Earnings

Annual

Quarterly

Earnings Reality Check

Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, HPQ beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.

HPQ Analysis

Company's Health 3/5
12-Month Analyst Target -10.54% Downside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$28.00
AI Technical Analysis Sell
HP Inc. (HPQ) exhibits neutral momentum with an RSI of 45.36, trading below its 20-day EMA of $32.08, suggesting near-term weakness. The stock is positioned above its 50-day SMA of $29.90 and 200-day SMA of $23.47, indicating a longer-term uptrend remains intact. Volume has been below average recently, with 12.01 million shares traded compared to a 28-day average of 16.87 million. Key support lies at the 50-day SMA, while resistance is forming near the 20-day EMA.
ProTips
  • Monitor insider transaction activity closely; recent moderate selling signals a cautious stance from management.
  • Given the stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($29.90 and $23.47) but below its 20-day EMA, near-term price action may be volatile.
  • Consider position sizing carefully given the mixed analyst ratings and a median price target below the current stock price.
Key Catalysts
Bearish Moderate Insider Selling Continues

Insiders have sold approximately $6.9 million worth of HP Inc. (HPQ) stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of internal confidence.

Source: Insider Transactions
Bearish Median Analyst Price Target Below Current Price

The median price target for HPQ from Wall Street analysts is $28.00, representing a 10.5% downside from the current trading price of $31.30.

Source: Wall Street Analysts
Neutral Consistent EPS Beats

HP Inc. has a track record of beating EPS estimates, most recently by 20.29% for the quarter ending September 2026, though stock price reactions have been mixed.

Source: Earnings Reports
Neutral Flat Forward Revenue Growth Projections

Revenue growth is estimated to be flat at 0.00% for the next fiscal year, suggesting limited top-line expansion potential.

Source: Wall Street Estimates
Market Outlook
HP Inc. (HPQ) faces a challenging outlook, with a median Wall Street price target of $28.00 suggesting a downside from its current $31.30 trading level. The company's forward revenue growth is expected to be flat in the next fiscal year, and while it has a strong cash position, its profitability metrics are concerning. The persistent insider selling further dampens the near-term prospects. Potential upside could materialize if the company can demonstrate renewed revenue growth or if market sentiment shifts favorably towards value hardware stocks. However, downside risks include increased competition, potential margin compression, and a continued lack of insider buying.

Key Statistics

Market Cap 28.23B
P/E Ratio 11.89
EPS (TTM) 2.62
Dividend Yield 3.83%
52 Week High 36.23
52 Week Low 17.56
HP Inc. (HPQ) trades at a P/E ratio of 11.89, significantly below the technology sector median of 34.0, but this is juxtaposed with a significantly negative return on equity of -730.92%. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 0.47 is also well below the sector average of 7.5. While the company reported positive revenue growth of 12.5% in the last reported period, forward revenue growth estimates for the next year are flat at 0.00%. The negative debt-to-equity ratio of -1.12 suggests a strong net cash position, but the overall profitability metrics are concerning.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

HP Inc. (HPQ) has demonstrated a pattern of beating EPS estimates in its recent quarterly reports, including a 20.29% surprise in the quarter ending September 2026. However, the stock price reaction has been negative in two of the last four reporting periods, suggesting that earnings beats are not translating into sustained positive sentiment. Despite these beats, the forward EPS estimates for the next year show a slight decline, indicating potential challenges ahead.

Key Risks

HP Inc. (HPQ) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with $6.9 million in total sales versus no reported purchases, signaling a lack of internal conviction. Also, the company's forward revenue growth is projected to be flat for the next fiscal year, raising concerns about future expansion. The stock's current price is also below the median Wall Street price target of $28.00, suggesting limited upside potential.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 45.36
MACD 0.66
SMA 50 29.90
SMA 200 23.47
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($29.90) above the 200-day SMA ($23.47), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.43
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.10
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) -0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with HPQ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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HPQ Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$31.93
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$31.30
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$33.48
MAX LOSS
-4.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (45.4) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$30.33
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$28.73
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$27.14
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
HPQ is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.24%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in HPQ in September 2016 would be worth about $20,839 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HPQ today could grow to about $20,442 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $88,172 and a bear case around $4,740. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

HPQ Stock Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $41.66 for HPQ by 2030 in the base case, from $31.30 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $16.53. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HPQ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

HPQ simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $21.18 $33.62 $53.38
2028 $18.78 $36.11 $69.43
2029 $17.42 $38.79 $86.38
2030 $16.53 $41.66 $105
2031 $15.92 $44.75 $126
2032 $15.49 $48.07 $149
2033 $15.20 $51.63 $175
2034 $15.00 $55.46 $205
2035 $14.89 $59.57 $238
2036 $14.83 $63.98 $276

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HPQ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

People Also Watch

HPQ Insider Trading Analysis

Source: SEC Form 4
▲ Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼ Sold
$6.9M
11 Transactions
● Insiders
13
Active Traders
$ Avg Transaction
$629.6K
Moderate size
Recent insider transactions in HPQ
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 13, 2023
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 5.5M $158.5M
Oct 2, 2023
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 5.1M $132.0M
Sep 22, 2023
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 4.8M $129.2M
Sep 27, 2023
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 4.6M $119.7M
Oct 3, 2023
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 3.1M $80.4M
Oct 1, 2018
LESJAK CATHERINE ANNE
Chief Operating Officer
Sell 693.6K $17.9M
Dec 17, 2020
KEOGH TRACY SUITT
Officer
Sell 337.2K $8.1M
Aug 26, 2019
WEISLER DION J
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 437.2K $7.9M
Mar 9, 2018
LORES ENRIQUE J
Officer
Sell 302.9K $7.4M
Sep 12, 2024
LORES ENRIQUE J
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 211.5K $7.0M

Frequently Asked Questions

What is HP Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
HP Inc. (HPQ) is currently trading at $31.30. The consensus rating among analysts is Hold, with a consensus score of 41 out of 100.
Is HP Inc. stock a buy right now?
HP Inc. (HPQ) is rated as a Sell based on our AI analysis, with a consensus score of 25. This is driven by moderate insider selling and a Wall Street consensus leaning towards Hold and Sell ratings.
What is HP Inc.'s price target from Wall Street analysts?
The median price target for HP Inc. (HPQ) from Wall Street analysts is $28.00, which is below the current trading price of $31.30, indicating a potential downside of 10.5%.
How has HP Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
HP Inc. (HPQ) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 20.29% surprise in the quarter ending September 2026. However, the stock price has reacted negatively in two of the last four earnings releases.
What are the key risks facing HP Inc. stock?
Key risks for HP Inc. (HPQ) include moderate insider selling totaling $6.9 million, flat projected revenue growth for the next fiscal year, and a current stock price that exceeds the median Wall Street price target.
How does HP Inc. compare to its technology sector peers?
HP Inc. (HPQ) trades at a lower P/E ratio (11.89) compared to the technology sector median (34.0) and has a significantly negative return on equity (-730.92%) versus the sector median of 13.4%. Its revenue growth of 12.5% is below the sector median of 24.1%.
What is HP Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, HP Inc.'s (HPQ) base case price projection for 2030 is $41.66, with a downside scenario of $16.53. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for HPQ are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on September 26, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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