Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI)
- Market cap
- $2.91B
- P/E
- 10.24
- Dividend yield
- 0.88%
- Street target
- $326.50median of 12 analysts
- 52-week range
- $224.65 $429.00
GPI stock forecast today
Where GPI stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
GPI at a glance
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI): Hold, 43/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($254.75 and $309.74).
- Earnings GPI beat estimates in 4 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $6.8M and bought $187.3M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 10.2 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a discount to peers (-51%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
GPI, or Group 1 Automotive, Inc., carries a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 43/100.
Valuation is the largest contributor to that score. The P/E of 10.24 is 50.8% below the sector median (a discount to peers), and the P/S of 0.13 is 93.2% below the sector median. The trend pulls hardest against it: the price is 21.26% below the 200-day average and 4.27% below the 50-day, with the 50-day 17.75% below the 200-day. The 50-day stands at $254.75 and the 200-day at $309.74. Across the past year, the price declined 42.48%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from GPI's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
GPI stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $243.88 is 4.3% below the 50-day simple moving average of $254.75.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 21.3% below the 200-day simple moving average of $309.74.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($254.75) is 17.8% below the 200-day average ($309.74), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 9% of its 52-week range, between $224.65 and $429.00.
GPI share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far GPI has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where GPI sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
GPI fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 10.24 is 50.8% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.13 is 93.1% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $285.2M on revenue of $22.2B, a net margin of 1.3%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
GPI beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 0.88%, or $2.15 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for GPI.
As of October 26, 2026, GPI trades at $243.88, with a market value of $2.91B, a P/E ratio of 10.24 and a dividend yield of 0.88%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of GPI's valuation, growth and risks.
GPI trades at 10.24 times trailing earnings, which is 50.8% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8. The peer comparison on this page calls that a discount to peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.13 is 93.2% below the sector median of 1.9.
GPI's revenue growth lags the sector: in the latest quarter, year on year, revenue fell 5.60%, while the sector median is 7.2%. Profitability shows a net margin of 1.31% and an operating margin of 3.83%. Return on equity stands at 9.49%, which is below the sector median of 12.4%. GPI also carries debt-to-equity of 1.96, and its trailing dividend yield of 0.88% works out to $2.15 a share each year.
GPI's latest quarterly report, on July 30, 2026, missed the estimate by 9.34%, with EPS of $9.61 against an estimate of $10.60. The share price fell 3.35% in the first session after the report.
GPI beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 2 of them. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of $37.19 this fiscal year (a decline of 8.6%) and $40.86 the year after (growth of 9.9%).
GPI's price typically moves 3.21% in a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. Its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.92. The trend is a headwind for holders until the price climbs back above its moving averages. The price is 43.15% under its 52-week high of $429.00.
GPI against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How GPI compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: GPI trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-51%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, GPI has lost 44.4% against a gain of 30.2% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
GPI and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much GPI sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 13.2% in FY2025 to $22.6B, from $19.9B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 1.4% in FY2025, down from 2.5% the year before.
Profitable: GPI earned $325M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did GPI beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: GPI beat the analyst estimate in 4 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 4 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026after close | $10.60 | $9.61 | -9.34% | -3.35% | -8.73% |
| Apr 30, 2026after close | $8.82 | $8.66 | -1.81% | -0.90% | -1.88% |
| Jan 29, 2026after close | $9.16 | $8.49 | -7.31% | -2.45% | -6.18% |
| Oct 28, 2025after close | $10.73 | $10.45 | -2.61% | +2.79% | -1.22% |
| Jul 24, 2025after close | $10.45 | $11.52 | +10.24% | +4.92% | -0.94% |
| Apr 24, 2025after close | $9.67 | $10.20 | +5.48% | -0.04% | -0.35% |
| Jan 29, 2025after close | $9.11 | $10.02 | +9.99% | +2.78% | +4.93% |
| Oct 30, 2024after close | $9.87 | $9.91 | +0.41% | -3.60% | +7.80% |
As of October 26, 2026, GPI has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on July 30, 2026, came in 9.34% below the estimate and the stock moved -3.35% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
GPI AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 49.5, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 49.5 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of GPI
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is trending down. At $243.88, the stock sits 4.27% below its 50-day average of $254.75 and 21.26% below its 200-day average of $309.74. Its position in the 52-week range is near the bottom: the price is 8.56% above the low of $224.65 and 43.15% below the high of $429.00.
The price is down over each of these periods: 3.29% over the past month, 27.72% over the past three months and 42.48% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 49.5 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Evercore ISI Group kept its Outperform rating on October 12, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Evercore ISI Group, October 12, 2026
Earnings miss ›
The July 30, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 9.34%, and the share price fell 3.35% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 30, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
Morgan Stanley downgraded it to Underweight from Equal-Weight on October 5, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Morgan Stanley, October 5, 2026
- The two levels closest to the price are the 50-day SMA at $254.75, above it, and the 20-day EMA at $241.81, below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 49.5 sits in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- After the July 30, 2026 report the share price fell 3.35% in the first session; GPI beat estimates in 4 of the last 8 reports.
GPI sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($254.75 and $309.74), and that is why the trend reads down. A recovery back above the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. The nearest level above the price is the 50-day SMA at $254.75.
The 20-day EMA, at $241.81, is the next level beneath the price. GPI's 14-day RSI of 49.5 places it in the neutral zone, between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for GPI, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with GPI at $243.88, its 14-day RSI is 49.5 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $254.75 and its 200-day is $309.74.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What GPI moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, GPI's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.31 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.21 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.07 with gold (XAU).
GPI price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
8 of 12 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $326.50 is 33.9% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
8 of 12 rate it a buy now, against 9 of 12 three months ago.
GPI Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform |
| Oct 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 6, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Underweight |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 26, 2026, 12 Wall Street analysts cover GPI: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $232.00 to $432.00. The median GPI price target is $326.50, 33.9% above the price of $243.88.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
GPI trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
GPI trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
GPI moves about 3.2% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much GPI tends to move, against the market and on its own.
GPI price history and drawdowns
GPI's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 3.21% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 63.9%, from December 2019 to March 2020, regained by October 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
70% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $45,378, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
GPI Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, GPI's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -63.9% (December 2019 to March 2020); it regained that peak by October 2020, 7 months after the low, and 70% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into GPI in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: GPI beat the S&P 500 over this period: $45,378 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in GPI in October 2016 would be worth about $45,378 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to GPI, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +9.62%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -8.07%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.78%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, GPI's strongest calendar month has been November (average +9.62%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -8.07%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
GPI stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in GPI, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in GPI today could grow to about $14,272 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $45,410 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,485. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.88% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GPI Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $348 for GPI by 2030 in the base case, from $244 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $109. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GPI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $149 | $267 | $475 | |
| 2028 | $129 | $291 | $660 | |
| 2029 | $117 | $318 | $868 | |
| 2030 | $109 | $348 | $1,107 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of GPI's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
GPI insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
GPI insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider buying: Insiders bought $187.3M on the open market and sold $6.8M.
As of October 26, 2026, GPI insiders reported 4 open-market sales worth $6.8M and 6 open-market purchases worth $187.3M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Conifer Management LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 273.7K | $66.3M |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Conifer Management LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 126.3K | $31.5M |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Conifer Management LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 65.7K | $16.9M |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peter C Delongchamps
Officer
|
Grant | 854 | - |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Conifer Management LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 84.0K | $23.7M |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Conifer Management LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 140.3K | $40.6M |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Conifer Management LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Buy | 30.1K | $8.3M |
| May 19, 2026 | Daniel James Mchenry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 809 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Daryl A Kenningham
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Daryl A Kenningham
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 22.7K | - |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Peter C Delongchamps
Officer
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Gillian A Hobson
Officer
|
Grant | 4.4K | - |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Melkeya Mcduffie
Officer
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Daniel James Mchenry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Shelley Washburn
Officer
|
Grant | 743 | - |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Steven Mizell
Director
|
Grant | 575 | - |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Lincoln Pereira
Director
|
Grant | 575 | - |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Stephen D Quinn
Director
|
Grant | 575 | - |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Steven P Stanbrook
Director
|
Grant | 575 | - |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Charles L Szews
Chairman of the Board
|
Grant | 575 | - |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Lincoln Pereira
Director
|
Sell | 7.0K | $3.3M |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Melkeya Mcduffie
Officer
|
Grant | 293 | $125.1K |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Steven Mizell
Director
|
Sell | 525 | $219.4K |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Daniel James Mchenry
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $2.7M |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Michael David Jones
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6K | $654.2K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
GPI stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.