Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)
- Market cap
- $72.33B
- P/E
- 27.57
- Dividend yield
- No dividend
- Street target
- $108.00median of 29 analysts
- 52-week range
- $82.59 $102.46
ORLY stock forecast today
Where ORLY stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
ORLY at a glance
O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($87.33 and $90.40).
- Earnings ORLY beat estimates in 2 of the 5 reports in our data, yet fell in the first session after 1 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $28.2M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 27.6 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a premium to peers (+33%).
Figures as of November 6, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) Hold, with a model score of 55/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 23 of 29 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 20.1% above the price. Valuation holds it back most: the P/E of 27.57 is 32.6% above the sector median (a premium to peers) and the P/S of 3.81 is 100.5% above the sector median. The trend is mixed: ORLY trades 2.93% above its 50-day average of $87.33 and 0.57% below its 200-day average of $90.40. Over the past year the price fell 5.38%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ORLY's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
ORLY stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $89.89 is 2.9% above the 50-day simple moving average of $87.33.Price below its 200-day average ›
The price is 0.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $90.40.50-day average below the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($87.33) is 3.4% below the 200-day average ($90.40), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 37% of its 52-week range, between $82.59 and $102.46.
ORLY share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far ORLY has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where ORLY sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
ORLY fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/4P/E above the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 27.57 is 32.6% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S above the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 3.81 is 100.5% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $2.7B on revenue of $19.0B, a net margin of 14.3%.Beat estimates in half or fewer of recent reports ›
ORLY beat the EPS estimate in 2 of the 5 reports in our data.
Key statistics
The headline figures for ORLY.
As of November 6, 2026, ORLY trades at $89.89, with a market value of $72.33B and a P/E ratio of 27.57.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ORLY's valuation, growth and risks.
Against the 20.8 median P/E of Consumer Cyclical stocks, ORLY's P/E of 27.57 is 32.6% above that median, which counts as a premium to peers. ORLY trades at 3.81 times its sales, 100.5% above the sector median of 1.9. The company has a market capitalisation of $72.3B and trailing earnings of $3.26 a share.
Sales turn into profit at a net margin of 14.27% and an operating margin of 21.45%. Our data reports no dividend for the company.
ORLY reported $0.97 a share in the October 28, 2026 report, compared with a $0.93 estimate, which was a beat of 4.30%. Even so, the stock moved the other way, falling 2.62% in the first session after the report.
ORLY has topped the EPS estimate in 2 of the 5 reports in our data, yet the stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 2 beats. The largest reaction among the three earlier reports came after the April 29, 2026 report, when EPS beat the estimate by 2.86% and the stock rose 8.41%. Analysts look for EPS of $3.32 this fiscal year, a gain of 11.7%, and $3.66 next year, a gain of 10.3%.
With a P/E of 27.57, 32.6% above the sector median, ORLY is valued at a premium to peers, which means weaker results would meet a higher bar. The 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns is 1.45%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.55. Over the last 18 months insiders sold $28.2M of stock and bought none on the open market. Sales like these are often planned in advance, so they carry less weight than purchases would.
ORLY against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How ORLY compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: ORLY trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+33% against the sector median P/E). Investors are paying more for each dollar of earnings than for the typical stock in the sector.
Return vs SPY: Since May 28, 2025, ORLY has lost 0.7% against a gain of 25.1% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
ORLY and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much ORLY sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to June 30, 2026); ORLY reported again on October 28, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 6.4% in FY2025 to $17.8B, from $16.7B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 14.3% in FY2025, unchanged from the year before.
Profitable: ORLY earned $2.5B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did ORLY beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: ORLY beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the 5 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 2 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026after close | $0.93 | $0.97 | +4.30% | -2.62% | +2.10% |
| Jul 29, 2026after close | $0.86 | $0.86 | +0.00% | -3.61% | +3.10% |
| Apr 29, 2026after close | $0.70 | $0.72 | +2.86% | +8.41% | +3.37% |
| Jul 23, 2025after close | $0.78 | $0.78 | +0.00% | +2.87% | +4.15% |
| Apr 23, 2025after close | $0.66 | $0.62 | -6.06% | -2.05% | +2.51% |
As of November 6, 2026, ORLY has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of the 5 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on October 28, 2026, came in 4.30% above the estimate and the stock moved -2.62% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
ORLY AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 52.8, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 52.8 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of ORLY
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) shows a mixed trend. At $89.89, the price is 2.93% above its 50-day average of $87.33, yet it is 0.57% below its 200-day average of $90.40. Because the 50-day average is 3.39% below the 200-day average, the longer-term structure has not turned up yet, even though the price has moved back above the shorter average. Inside its 52-week range of $82.59 to $102.46, the price sits at 37% of the range and 12.27% below the high.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 6.24% over the past month, fell 3.89% over the past three months and fell 5.38% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 52.8 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
Rating reaffirmed ›
UBS kept its Buy rating on October 31, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, UBS, October 31, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The October 28, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 4.30%, and the share price fell 2.62% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, October 28, 2026New analyst coverage ›
Bernstein started coverage at Market Perform on September 29, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Bernstein, September 29, 2026
- The two nearest levels matter most: the 200-day SMA at $90.40 sits above the price, while the 20-day EMA at $89.42 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 52.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- The share price fell 2.62% in the first session after the October 28, 2026 report. Across the 5 reports in our data, ORLY beat estimates in 2.
ORLY's trend is mixed. The price sits above its 50-day average of $87.33 but below its 200-day average of $90.40. A close above the 200-day would bring both signals up, while a close below the 50-day would bring both down. On the downside, the first level is the 20-day EMA at $89.42, and on the upside, the 200-day SMA at $90.40 comes first.
ORLY's 14-day RSI reads 52.8, which places it in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for ORLY, from its daily closes.
As of November 6, 2026, with ORLY at $89.89, its 14-day RSI is 52.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $87.33 and its 200-day is $90.40.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of November 6, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What ORLY moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of November 6, 2026, ORLY's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.12 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.01 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.04 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.07 with gold (XAU).
ORLY price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
23 of 29 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $108.00 is 20.1% above the price.Buy share not up from three months ago ›
23 of 29 rate it a buy now, against 23 of 28 three months ago.
ORLY Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $89.89, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 30, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform |
| Oct 20, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bernstein | Initiates | Market Perform |
As of November 6, 2026, 29 Wall Street analysts cover ORLY: 23 rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $91.00 to $122.00. The median ORLY price target is $108.00, 20.1% above the price of $89.89.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
ORLY risk and volatility
How much it moves day to day, and how it stacks up against similar assets.
Risk profile
How much ORLY tends to move, against the market and on its own.
ORLY price history and drawdowns
ORLY's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Typical daily move under 2% ›
A typical daily move is 1.45% (the standard deviation of the last 30 daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 42.0%, from November 2019 to March 2020, regained by July 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
89% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since December 2016 ›
$10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $49,379, against $39,188 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
ORLY Drawdowns & Recovery
As of November 6, 2026, ORLY's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -42.0% (November 2019 to March 2020); it regained that peak by July 2020, 4 months after the low, and 89% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into ORLY in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: ORLY beat the S&P 500 over this period: $49,379 against $39,188.
A $10,000 investment in ORLY in December 2016 would be worth about $49,379 today, compared with about $39,188 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark with its dividends reinvested.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to ORLY, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +6.34%, up in 8 of 9 years.
Weakest month, December: an average of -0.69%, up in 4 of 9 years.
This month, November: has averaged +6.34%, up in 8 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Across 10 calendar years of history, ORLY's strongest calendar month has been November (average +6.34%, up in 8 of 9 years) and its weakest December (average -0.69%, up in 4 of 9 years).
Average return for each calendar month across 10 calendar years of history, from weekly closing prices.
ORLY stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ORLY, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in ORLY today could grow to about $14,573 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $29,132 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,290. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ORLY Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $131 for ORLY by 2030 in the base case, from $89.89 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $65.53. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ORLY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $69.85 | $98.76 | $140 | |
| 2028 | $66.49 | $109 | $177 | |
| 2029 | $65.44 | $119 | $217 | |
| 2030 | $65.53 | $131 | $262 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of ORLY's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
ORLY insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
ORLY insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought ORLY shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of November 6, 2026, ORLY insiders reported 21 open-market sales worth $28.2M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Larry Dean Gray
Officer
|
Sell | 7.8K | $699.2K |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Larry Dean Gray
Officer
|
Option | 7.8K | $124.3K |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Thomas T Hendrickson
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $87.8K |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Christopher Andrew Mancini
Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $279.0K |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Maria Amalia Sastre
Director
|
Sell | 2.0K | $183.7K |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Christopher Andrew Mancini
Officer
|
Option | 3.0K | $50.1K |
| May 29, 2026 | Thomas T Hendrickson
Director
|
Sell | 1.2K | $106.0K |
| May 20, 2026 | Robert Allen Dumas
Officer
|
Sell | 84.6K | $7.8M |
| May 20, 2026 | Robert Allen Dumas
Officer
|
Option | 84.6K | $1.5M |
| May 18, 2026 | John Raymond Murphy
Director
|
Sell | 2.6K | $230.1K |
| May 15, 2026 | Kimberly A. Debeers
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | $180.1K |
| May 15, 2026 | Thomas T Hendrickson
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | $180.1K |
| May 15, 2026 | John Raymond Murphy
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | $180.1K |
| May 15, 2026 | Dana N Perlman
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | $180.1K |
| May 15, 2026 | Maria Amalia Sastre
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | $180.1K |
| May 15, 2026 | Fred Alan Whitfield
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | $180.1K |
| May 8, 2026 | Brad Walter Beckham
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 13.6K | $1.3M |
| May 8, 2026 | Brad Walter Beckham
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 13.6K | $233.4K |
| May 7, 2026 | Philip M Hopper
Officer
|
Sell | 3.7K | $350.0K |
| May 7, 2026 | Philip M Hopper
Officer
|
Option | 3.7K | $66.5K |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maria Amalia Sastre
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $92.7K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Gregory L Henslee
Chairman of the Board
|
Grant | 4.3K | $425.5K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | David E O'Reilly
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 3.7K | $369.0K |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Philip M Hopper
Officer
|
Sell | 3.5K | $354.4K |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Christopher Andrew Mancini
Officer
|
Sell | 2.4K | $238.6K |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Philip M Hopper
Officer
|
Option | 3.5K | $62.9K |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Christopher Andrew Mancini
Officer
|
Option | 2.4K | $39.4K |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Dana N Perlman
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | $99.0K |
| Nov 21, 2025 | David E O'Reilly
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 7.1K | $710.0K |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Jeremy Adam Fletcher
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.8K | $379.5K |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Jeremy Adam Fletcher
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.8K | $68.9K |
| Nov 4, 2025 | John Raymond Murphy
Director
|
Sell | 3.1K | $289.4K |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Carl David Wilbanks
Officer
|
Sell | 88.5K | $9.1M |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Maria Amalia Sastre
Director
|
Sell | 595 | $60.9K |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Carl David Wilbanks
Officer
|
Option | 88.5K | $1.6M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Shari Lynne Reaves
Officer
|
Sell | 2.0K | $207.6K |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Dana N Perlman
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | $99.4K |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Mark Joseph Merz
Officer
|
Sell | 34.6K | $3.4M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Mark Joseph Merz
Officer
|
Option | 29.5K | $534.3K |
| May 30, 2025 | Ramon Parises Odems
Officer
|
Sell | 2.0K | $2.7M |
| May 30, 2025 | Gregory L Henslee
Chairman of the Board
|
Grant | 4.9K | $6.7M |
| May 30, 2025 | Ramon Parises Odems
Officer
|
Option | 2.0K | $494.8K |
| May 29, 2025 | Najera Jose A Montellano
Officer
|
Sell | 19 | $25.7K |
| May 19, 2025 | John Raymond Murphy
Director
|
Sell | 200 | $275.8K |
| May 16, 2025 | Thomas T Hendrickson
Director
|
Grant | 131 | $181.0K |
| May 16, 2025 | Gregory Dale Johnson
Director
|
Grant | 131 | $181.0K |
| May 16, 2025 | John Raymond Murphy
Director
|
Grant | 131 | $181.0K |
| May 16, 2025 | Dana N Perlman
Director
|
Grant | 131 | $181.0K |
| May 16, 2025 | Maria Amalia Sastre
Director
|
Grant | 131 | $181.0K |
| May 16, 2025 | Fred Alan Whitfield
Director
|
Grant | 131 | $181.0K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
ORLY stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of November 6, 2026.