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As of September 11, 2026, Allegion (ALLE) trades at $152.99. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $170.00, 11.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $170.00 across 11 analysts. RSI at 31 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $153.76.
Allegion (ALLE)
Allegion NYSE
$152.99
1.720 (1.14%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Allegion (ALLE) is currently trading at $152.99, below its 50-day SMA ($153.76) but above its 200-day SMA ($150.93), signaling a bearish technical momentum. The stock's RSI is at 30.58, indicating bearish momentum, and volume has been significantly below average, suggesting a lack of conviction from traders. Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus 'Hold' rating with a median price target of $170, implying an 11.1% upside from the current price. Recent insider transactions show a net seller position, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, contributing to a moderate sell signal. The company's revenue is projected to grow around 6% for the current and next quarters, and approximately 9% for the current year, indicating steady but not exceptional growth.
ALLE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$153.74
Day Range
$152.02 to $154.90
Prev Close
$151.27
Volume
21.9K
52-Week Range
$125.00 to $183.11
Market Cap
$12.86B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
ALLE Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ALLE beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
ALLE Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+11.12% Upside
Median of 11 analysts (12-month)
$170.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has been exceptionally low, down 98.6% versus its average, indicating a significant lack of trading interest. Allegion's stock is trading below its 50-day SMA of $153.76 and its 20-day EMA of $156.44, reinforcing a bearish short-term trend. The price is currently above its 200-day SMA of $150.93, which may act as a support level. The RSI is at 30.58, firmly in bearish territory, suggesting further downside potential before any significant bounce. The MACD is also negative, indicating bearish momentum.
ProTips
- Consider monitoring insider transaction patterns closely, as the current moderate sell signal could indicate underlying concerns that may impact future price performance.
- Given the stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, traders may want to wait for confirmation of a bullish trend reversal before initiating new positions.
- Allegion's dividend yield of 1.39% offers a modest income stream, but investors should prioritize capital appreciation given the current market signals.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $5.2 million worth of stock versus $590.8 thousand purchased, resulting in a moderate sell signal that could weigh on investor sentiment.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, with a bearish RSI of 30.58, indicating potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Earnings Surprise
Allegion has demonstrated an ability to beat EPS estimates, as seen in the recent Q2 2026 report, which could provide underlying support if sustained.
Source: Earnings AnalysisNeutral
Steady Revenue Growth Projections
Projected revenue growth of approximately 6% for the current and next quarters, and 9% for the current year, suggests consistent business performance.
Source: Wall Street SummaryMarket Outlook
Allegion's outlook is cautiously neutral, with a base case scenario projecting a price around its median analyst target of $170 within the next 6-12 months. This projection assumes a stabilization of insider selling and a potential reversal of current bearish technical trends. The company's steady revenue growth and reasonable valuation provide a foundation for this outlook, supported by the sector's average performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 12.86B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.03 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.62 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.39% |
| 52 Week High | 183.11 |
| 52 Week Low | 125.00 |
Allegion's P/E ratio stands at 20.03, which appears reasonable when compared to the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting it is trading at a discount. However, the stock's current price action and moderate insider selling warrant caution. The company's revenue growth of 12.7% is strong, exceeding the sector average of 10.0%. Profitability metrics and balance sheet strength would provide further context, but are not detailed. The median analyst price target of $170 suggests that the market sees some upside potential, but the current technicals and insider activity temper immediate bullish conviction.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Allegion's most recent earnings report on July 23, 2026, showed EPS of $2.40, beating the estimate of $2.22 by 8.11%, though the stock reacted negatively with a -0.78% price change. Prior to that, on June 29, 2026, the company reported an EPS of -$0.02, significantly beating the estimate of -$0.11 by 81.82% and resulting in a positive stock price movement of 0.6%. The company has shown a mixed pattern of earnings beats and misses in recent quarters, with some positive surprises not translating into immediate stock gains.
Key Risks
Allegion faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales significantly exceeding purchases, signaling potential headwinds. The stock's current trading below key short-term moving averages and its bearish RSI indicate a risk of further price depreciation. Competition within the security and protection services sector, though not explicitly detailed, remains a constant factor that could impact future growth and profitability.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 30.58 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.03 |
| SMA 50 | 153.76 |
| SMA 200 | 150.93 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($153.76) above the 200-day SMA ($150.93), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.39
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
ALLE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$151.46
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$152.99
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$146.92
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$156.00
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$159.03
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$163.58
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ALLE is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ALLE in September 2016 would be worth about $22,450 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ALLE today could grow to about $21,247 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $63,881 and a bear case around $7,067. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ALLE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $207 for ALLE by 2030 in the base case, from $153 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $103. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ALLE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $116 | $165 | $234 |
| 2028 | $109 | $178 | $291 |
| 2029 | $105 | $192 | $351 |
| 2030 | $103 | $207 | $415 |
| 2031 | $102 | $223 | $486 |
| 2032 | $103 | $240 | $564 |
| 2033 | $103 | $259 | $651 |
| 2034 | $104 | $280 | $748 |
| 2035 | $106 | $301 | $857 |
| 2036 | $108 | $325 | $977 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ALLE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
ALLE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$590.8K
3 Transactions
Sold
$5.2M
10 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$443.9K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | PETRATIS DAVID D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 170.8K | $22.4M |
| Sep 2, 2021 | PETRATIS DAVID D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 68.2K | $10.0M |
| Feb 20, 2019 | SHANNON PATRICK S
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.9K | $3.1M |
| Oct 26, 2021 | SHANNON PATRICK S
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 20.1K | $2.6M |
| Oct 25, 2019 | SHANNON PATRICK S
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 20.4K | $2.3M |
| Nov 25, 2024 | ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P
Officer
|
Sell | 14.7K | $2.1M |
| Oct 31, 2019 | KEMP TRACY L
Officer
|
Sell | 17.9K | $2.1M |
| Nov 26, 2019 | ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.8M |
| Aug 7, 2025 | ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P
Officer
|
Sell | 10.8K | $1.8M |
| Mar 12, 2024 | ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P
Officer
|
Sell | 12.4K | $1.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Allegion's stock forecast for 2030?
Allegion's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $206.82, with a downside scenario of $103.09 and an upside scenario of $414.9. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Allegion stock a buy right now?
Allegion is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a median price target of $170, suggesting an 11.1% upside. However, bearish technical indicators and moderate insider selling suggest caution for immediate buying.
What are the biggest risks for Allegion?
The primary risks for Allegion include moderate insider selling activity, bearish technical momentum indicated by its RSI and moving averages, and potential competitive pressures within the security and protection services industry.
How did Allegion perform in its latest earnings report?
In its latest earnings report on July 23, 2026, Allegion reported an EPS of $2.40, beating estimates by 8.11%. Despite this beat, the stock experienced a slight decline of -0.78%.
What is Allegion's revenue growth outlook?
Allegion's revenue is expected to grow by approximately 6.00% for the current and next quarters, and by 9.00% for the current year, indicating steady expansion.
How does Allegion's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Allegion's P/E ratio of 20.03 is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting it is trading at a discount relative to its peers in the Industrials sector.
What is the consensus rating for Allegion stock?
The consensus rating for Allegion stock among 11 Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 59 out of 100.