Stock·NASDAQ·Industrials
Fastenal Co. (FAST)
- Market cap
- $59.14B
- P/E
- 41.91
- Dividend yield
- 1.94%
- Street target
- $51.00median of 18 analysts
- 52-week range
- $38.97 $52.92
FAST stock forecast today
Where FAST stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
FAST at a glance
Fastenal Co. (FAST): Buy, 60/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($50.42 and $47.07).
- Earnings FAST beat estimates in 1 of the 6 reports in our data, and the stock rose the next day every time.
- Insiders Insiders sold $17.3M and bought $245K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 41.9 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a premium to peers (+23%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Fastenal Co. (FAST) receives a Buy rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 60/100.
Trend is the biggest contributor: the price sits 9.53% above its 200-day average and 2.23% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 7.14% above the 200-day. Valuation is the largest drag. At a P/E of 41.91, the stock is 23.3% above the sector median (a premium to peers), and its P/S of 6.51 is 62.8% above the sector median. The 50-day average is $50.42 and the 200-day is $47.07. Across the past year, the price gained 21.18%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from FAST's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
FAST stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $51.55 is 2.2% above the 50-day simple moving average of $50.42.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 9.5% above the 200-day simple moving average of $47.07.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($50.42) is 7.1% above the 200-day average ($47.07), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 90% of its 52-week range, between $38.97 and $52.92.
FAST share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far FAST has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where FAST sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
FAST fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 41.91 is 23.3% above the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 6.76 is 69.0% above the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $1.4B on revenue of $8.7B, a net margin of 15.5%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
FAST beat the EPS estimate in 1 of the 6 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.94%, or $1.00 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for FAST.
As of October 27, 2026, FAST trades at $51.55, with a market value of $59.14B, a P/E ratio of 41.91 and a dividend yield of 1.94%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of FAST's valuation, growth and risks.
FAST changes hands at 41.91 times trailing earnings, a multiple 23.3% above the Industrials median of 34.0. The peer comparison on this page calls that P/E a premium to peers. On sales, the stock trades at 6.51 times, 62.8% above the sector median of 4.0. To put the size in context, FAST has a market capitalisation of $59.1B and trailing earnings of $1.23 per share.
Profitability shows a net margin of 15.62% and an operating margin of 21.55%, with a return on equity of 35.26%, above the sector median of 17.8%. The balance sheet and payout round out the picture, with debt-to-equity of 0.11 and a trailing dividend yield of 1.94% ($1.00 a share a year).
EPS of $0.33 versus the $0.33 analysts expected made the July 14, 2026 report in line with the estimate. The share price fell 0.83% in the first session after the report.
Over the 6 reports in our data, FAST topped the estimate 1 time, and every one of those beats was followed by a gain the next day. Of the 3 reports before the latest, the largest reaction came after the January 20, 2026 report, which came in line with the estimate while the stock rose 4.67%. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of $1.27 this fiscal year (growth of 16.6%) and $1.40 the year after (growth of 10.5%).
A P/E of 41.91 sits 23.3% above the sector median, which is why FAST is a premium to peers on this measure, and any weaker results would be judged against that high bar. The average daily move is 1.20%, and the beta against the S&P 500 is 0.69. Over the last 18 months insiders sold $17.3M and bought $245K. Insider sales are often planned ahead or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market purchases would.
FAST against the Industrials sector
How FAST compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: FAST trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+23%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs XLI: Since May 15, 2025, FAST has gained 25.9% against a gain of 18.1% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
FAST and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much FAST sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 8.7% in FY2025 to $8.2B, from $7.5B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 15.3% in FY2025, up from 15.2% the year before.
Profitable: FAST earned $1.3B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did FAST beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: FAST beat the analyst estimate in 1 of the 6 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026after close | $0.33 | $0.33 | +0.00% | -0.83% | -1.60% |
| Jan 20, 2026after close | $0.26 | $0.26 | +0.00% | +4.67% | +3.12% |
| Oct 13, 2025after close | $0.30 | $0.29 | -3.33% | +0.99% | +1.56% |
| Jul 14, 2025after close | $0.27 | $0.29 | +7.41% | +0.13% | +2.11% |
| Apr 11, 2025after close | $0.26 | $0.26 | +0.00% | +0.82% | -0.43% |
| Jan 17, 2025after close | $0.24 | $0.23 | -4.17% | +0.01% | +0.25% |
Reports after July 14, 2026 are not yet in our data.
As of October 27, 2026, FAST has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of the 6 reports in our data and rose in the first trading session after that beat; its most recent report in our data, on July 14, 2026, came in 0.00% above the estimate and the stock moved -0.83% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
FAST AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 53.3, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 53.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of FAST
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Fastenal Co. (FAST) is trending up. The stock is priced at $51.55, which places it 2.23% above its 50-day average of $50.42 and 9.53% above its 200-day average of $47.07. Trading near the top of its 52-week range, the price is 2.59% below the high of $52.92 and 32.28% above the low of $38.97. The 50-day average is 7.14% above the 200-day, a configuration that backs up the rise instead of working against it.
The price is up over each of these periods: 2.22% over the past month, 7.17% over the past three months and 21.18% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 40.2% below its average, on a day the price fell 1.75%. The 14-day RSI of 53.3 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Argus Research kept its Buy rating on October 21, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Argus Research, October 21, 2026
Earnings in line ›
The July 14, 2026 report came in line with the EPS estimate, and the share price fell 0.83% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 14, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now: the 52-week high at $52.92, which sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $51.30, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 53.3 falls in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price dropped 0.83% in the first session after the July 14, 2026 report. Across the 6 reports in our data, FAST beat estimates in 1.
The uptrend rests on FAST staying above its 50-day average at $50.42 and its 200-day average at $47.07; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at $51.30.
The next level overhead is the 52-week high at $52.92. The 14-day RSI reads 53.3, which is in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for FAST, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with FAST at $51.55, its 14-day RSI is 53.3 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $50.42 and its 200-day is $47.07.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What FAST moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, FAST's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.40 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.29 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.04 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.05 with gold (XAU).
FAST price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
0/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
6 of 18 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 5 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $51.00 is 1.1% below the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
6 of 18 rate it a buy now, against 6 of 18 three months ago.
FAST Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 15, 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Underperform |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Wolfe Research | Assumes | Underperform |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
As of October 27, 2026, 18 Wall Street analysts cover FAST: 6 rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 5 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $39.90 to $60.00. The median FAST price target is $51.00, 1.1% below the price of $51.55.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
FAST trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
FAST trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from FAST's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much FAST tends to move, against the market and on its own.
FAST price history and drawdowns
FAST's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.20% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 29.5%, from December 2021 to October 2022, regained by October 2023.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
92% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $85,541, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
FAST Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, FAST's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -29.5% (December 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by October 2023, 12 months after the low, and 92% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into FAST in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: FAST beat the S&P 500 over this period: $85,541 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in FAST in October 2016 would be worth about $85,541 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to FAST, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +6.99%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -0.81%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.25%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, FAST's strongest calendar month has been July (average +6.99%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -0.81%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
FAST stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in FAST, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in FAST today could grow to about $14,602 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $28,948 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,366. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.94% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FAST Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $75.28 for FAST by 2030 in the base case, from $51.55 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $37.97. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FAST's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $40.25 | $56.67 | $79.79 | |
| 2028 | $38.40 | $62.29 | $101 | |
| 2029 | $37.86 | $68.48 | $124 | |
| 2030 | $37.97 | $75.28 | $149 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of FAST's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
FAST insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
FAST insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $245K on the open market and sold $17.3M.
As of October 27, 2026, FAST insiders reported 15 open-market sales worth $17.3M and 6 open-market purchases worth $245K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Donnalee Kathleen Papenfuss
Officer
|
Sell | 9.3K | $475.8K |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Grant | 400 | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Donnalee Kathleen Papenfuss
Officer
|
Option | 9.3K | $168.7K |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Sell | 3.0K | $156.0K |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Option | 3.0K | $41.3K |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rita J Heise
Director
|
Sell | 35.0K | $1.8M |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rita J Heise
Director
|
Option | 35.0K | $604.3K |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Sell | 3.0K | $147.0K |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Option | 3.0K | $41.3K |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Option | 1.0K | $44.9K |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Reyne Kay Wisecup
Director
|
Sell | 36.9K | $1.7M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Reyne Kay Wisecup
Director
|
Option | 36.9K | $480.0K |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Scott Alan Satterlee
Director
|
Sell | 16.0K | $705.5K |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Scott Alan Satterlee
Director
|
Option | 16.0K | $303.3K |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Option | 1.5K | $63.0K |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Sarah N Nielsen
Director
|
Buy | 1.0K | $39.6K |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Option | 2.0K | $27.5K |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Daniel L. Johnson
Director
|
Buy | 1.0K | $40.4K |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Hsenghung Sam Hsu
Director
|
Buy | 1.0K | $40.6K |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Hsenghung Sam Hsu
Director
|
Buy | 1.0K | $40.8K |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Stephen L Eastman
Director
|
Buy | 1.0K | $40.8K |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Hsenghung Sam Hsu
Director
|
Buy | 1.0K | $42.5K |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Michael J Ancius
Director
|
Option | 2.0K | $86.4K |
| Aug 15, 2025 | William Joseph Drazkowski
Officer
|
Sell | 6.8K | $333.0K |
| Aug 15, 2025 | William Joseph Drazkowski
Officer
|
Option | 6.8K | $130.0K |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Daniel Lars Florness
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 84.6K | $4.1M |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Daniel Lars Florness
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 84.6K | $1.1M |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Jeffery Michael Watts
President
|
Sell | 48.7K | $2.3M |
| Aug 8, 2025 | John Lewis Soderberg
Officer
|
Sell | 34.6K | $1.7M |
| Aug 8, 2025 | John Lewis Soderberg
Officer
|
Option | 34.6K | $450.0K |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Jeffery Michael Watts
President
|
Option | 48.7K | $658.0K |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Anthony Paul Broersma
Officer
|
Sell | 13.6K | $650.9K |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Anthony Paul Broersma
Officer
|
Option | 13.6K | $206.2K |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Sheryl Ann Lisowski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 21.1K | $951.8K |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Sheryl Ann Lisowski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 21.1K | $480.0K |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Donnalee Kathleen Papenfuss
Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $122.0K |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Donnalee Kathleen Papenfuss
Officer
|
Option | 3.0K | $37.5K |
| May 16, 2025 | John Lewis Soderberg
Officer
|
Sell | 16.4K | $1.3M |
| May 16, 2025 | John Lewis Soderberg
Officer
|
Option | 16.4K | $450.0K |
| May 6, 2025 | Scott Alan Satterlee
Director
|
Sell | 9.7K | $768.9K |
| May 6, 2025 | Scott Alan Satterlee
Director
|
Option | 9.7K | $251.4K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
FAST stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.