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As of September 26, 2026, AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) trades at $61.81. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $82.50, 33.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $82.50 across 14 analysts. RSI at 49 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $62.79.
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS)
AST SpaceMobile Inc. NASDAQ
$61.81
0.7500 (1.23%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) is currently trading at $61.81, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($62.79 and $81.52), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth, with current quarter sales up 216.00% year-over-year and next year's projected growth at 285.00%, significantly outpacing sector averages. However, this growth is occurring alongside substantial net losses, with a negative EPS of -2.15 and a profit margin of 50.34% which is misleading due to negative operating margins. The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, which is in line with sector averages, but its return on equity is a negative -45.62%. Wall Street analysts maintain a mixed 'Hold' consensus with a score of 55, based on 14 analysts, with a median price target of $82.50, implying a 33.5% upside. The company's ability to scale its innovative satellite-to-mobile technology while managing its substantial operating losses will be critical for future performance. Insiders are net sellers with $465.3M in total sales versus $1.1M in total purchases in recent filings. However, 94% of total selling ($430.5M) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by MIKITANI HIROSHI, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $28.9M.
ASTS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$61.98
Day Range
$61.02 to $63.22
Prev Close
$61.06
Volume
6.43M
52-Week Range
$39.50 to $133.86
Market Cap
$24.05B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, ASTS trades at 206.10x, far above the sector average of 7.50x.
ASTS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, ASTS beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
ASTS Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+33.47% Upside
Median of 14 analysts (12-month)
$82.50
AI Technical Analysis
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($62.79 and $81.52), indicating a bearish trend. The stock's price is currently above its 20-day exponential moving average, suggesting some short-term upward momentum, but the overall longer-term trend appears weak. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 49.17, falling into the neutral momentum category, providing no strong signal of overbought or oversold conditions. Volume has been below its recent average, with the latest volume at 6.43 million compared to an average of 9.70 million, a decrease of 33.6%. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the stock's recent trading history, but resistance may be found near the 50-day SMA of $62.79. The current technical setup suggests caution, with the price action indicating a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers in the immediate term.
ProTips
- Monitor AST SpaceMobile's progress in achieving profitability and managing its substantial operating losses, as this remains a key challenge despite strong revenue growth.
- Given the stock's current trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($62.79 and $81.52), investors should exercise caution and look for signs of a sustained technical trend reversal before considering new positions.
- Pay close attention to future earnings reports and analyst commentary regarding revenue growth and path to profitability, as these will be critical drivers of the stock's valuation.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Accelerated Revenue Growth Exceeding Expectations
AST SpaceMobile's current quarter revenue growth of 216.00% and projected next year growth of 285.00% significantly outpace sector averages, indicating strong market demand and potential for exceeding future revenue targets.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Positive Price Reaction to Earnings Misses
Despite consistent EPS misses, the stock experienced a 4.17% positive price reaction following the most recent earnings report, suggesting investor focus may be shifting towards growth potential over immediate profitability.
Source: Earnings DataNeutral
Parent Company Stake Reduction
Insiders are net sellers with $806.4K in total purchases vs $459.4M in total sales across 65 transactions. However, 94% of total selling ($430.5M) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by MIKITANI HIROSHI, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $28.9M.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Persistent Net Losses and Negative EPS
AST SpaceMobile continues to report substantial net losses and a negative EPS of -2.15, alongside a negative operating margin of -544.63%, raising concerns about long-term financial sustainability.
Source: Company FundamentalsBearish
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
The company's price-to-sales ratio of 206.10 is significantly higher than the sector median of 7.50, suggesting the stock may be overvalued if future growth projections are not met.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) is expected to continue its trajectory of rapid revenue growth, driven by the expansion of its satellite-to-mobile network. The company's base case projection for 2030 is $111.48, supported by an average analyst price target of $82.50, suggesting a potential upside of 33.5% from the current price. This outlook hinges on the successful scaling of its technology and achieving profitability, which remains a significant challenge given current operating losses and negative EPS. Upside catalysts could include further strategic partnerships and successful network deployments that accelerate subscriber adoption and revenue generation. Conversely, downside risks include the company's persistent inability to achieve profitability, potential dilution from future capital raises to fund operations, and increased competition in the satellite communications sector. The significant insider selling, while largely attributed to corporate restructuring, also warrants careful observation as a potential indicator of underlying pressures.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 24.05B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -2.15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 133.86 |
| 52 Week Low | 39.50 |
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) exhibits a high price-to-sales ratio of 206.10, significantly above the sector median of 7.50, indicating that investors are paying a substantial premium for its revenue. This valuation is not supported by current profitability, as the company reports a negative EPS of -2.15 and a negative operating margin of -544.63%. While the reported net profit margin is 50.34%, this figure appears anomalous given the negative operating margin and negative EPS, suggesting it may not reflect the true operational profitability. The company's return on equity is a significantly negative -45.62%, highlighting significant inefficiency in generating profits from shareholder equity. Despite these fundamental weaknesses, the projected revenue growth for next year stands at an impressive 285.00%, far exceeding the sector average of 24.10%. This aggressive growth outlook, coupled with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25 which is in line with the sector, suggests that investors are pricing in substantial future success for ASTS's innovative technology, despite current financial performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) most recently reported a loss per share of -0.77 for the quarter ending June 2026, significantly missing the analyst estimate of -0.33 by 133.33%. This followed a pattern of consistent earnings misses, with the prior three reported quarters also showing negative surprises. Despite these earnings disappointments, the stock saw a positive price reaction of 4.17% following the latest earnings report. Revenue growth, however, remains a strong point, with current quarter sales up 216.00% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for its services.
Key Risks
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) faces significant risks related to its substantial operating losses and negative EPS, which are not currently offset by profitability despite impressive revenue growth. The high price-to-sales ratio of 206.10 suggests a potentially overvalued stock if future growth projections are not met. Also, the significant insider selling, totaling $459.4 million, although largely attributed to parent company divestitures, indicates a lack of immediate confidence from major stakeholders and warrants close monitoring.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 49.17 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.90 |
| SMA 50 | 62.79 |
| SMA 200 | 81.52 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $62.79, 200-day: $81.52), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ASTS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
ASTS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$61.19
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$61.81
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$56.91
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (49.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$63.03
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$64.25
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$66.09
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
ASTS is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.63%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ASTS in November 2019 would be worth about $63,265 today, compared with about $25,196 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ASTS today could grow to about $43,684 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $331,414 and a bear case around $5,758. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ASTS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $111 for ASTS by 2030 in the base case, from $61.81 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $30.95. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ASTS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $37.74 | $71.63 | $136 |
| 2028 | $33.54 | $83.01 | $205 |
| 2029 | $31.71 | $96.20 | $292 |
| 2030 | $30.95 | $111 | $402 |
| 2031 | $30.83 | $129 | $541 |
| 2032 | $31.16 | $150 | $719 |
| 2033 | $31.84 | $173 | $945 |
| 2034 | $32.82 | $201 | $1,232 |
| 2035 | $34.08 | $233 | $1,593 |
| 2036 | $35.59 | $270 | $2,048 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ASTS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. ASTS is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ASTS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$806.4K
5 Transactions
Sold
$459.4M
21 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$17.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | MIKITANI HIROSHI
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.0M | $270.9M |
| Dec 9, 2025 | AMERICAN TOWER CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.3M | $159.6M |
| Jun 11, 2026 | JOHNSON ANDREW MARTIN
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 45.8K | $4.3M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $3.9M |
| Mar 23, 2026 | YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $3.6M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $2.9M |
| Sep 16, 2026 | YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $2.4M |
| Sep 30, 2024 | GUPTA SHANTI B.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 80.0K | $2.1M |
| Jun 9, 2025 | WISNIEWSKI SCOTT
President
|
Sell | 50.0K | $1.8M |
| Sep 16, 2025 | YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $1.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is ASTS stock price prediction for 2030?
AST SpaceMobile Inc.'s (ASTS) long-range projection for 2030 estimates a base price of $111.48, with a downside projection of $30.95 and an upside projection of $401.59. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and should not be considered definitive price targets or guarantees.
Is ASTS stock a buy right now?
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 55. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, and while revenue growth is exceptional, ongoing losses and significant insider selling present considerable risks.
What are the main risks for ASTS?
The primary risks for AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) include its substantial operating losses and negative EPS, a high price-to-sales ratio of 206.10, and significant insider selling totaling $459.4 million. These factors suggest potential valuation concerns and a need for continued capital investment.
How is ASTS performing financially?
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) is experiencing rapid revenue growth, with current quarter sales up 216.00% year-over-year. However, the company continues to report significant net losses, negative EPS of -2.15, and a negative operating margin of -544.63%.
What is the Wall Street consensus for ASTS?
The Wall Street consensus for AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 55 out of 100. This is based on ratings from 14 analysts, including 1 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 7 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell.
How does ASTS's revenue growth compare to its sector?
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) shows exceptional revenue growth, projected at 285.00% for next year, significantly outpacing the sector median of 24.10%. This indicates strong market adoption and expansion potential for its services.
What was ASTS's most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter ending June 2026, AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) reported an EPS of -0.77, missing the analyst estimate of -0.33 by 133.33%. This marked another earnings miss, though the stock saw a positive price reaction of 4.17%.